The Return of Peter the Great

Peter the Great

Peter the Great is back! That is what the latest rumblings out of Russia confirm, with President Vladimir Putin demanding no less than $18 billion in payments from the Ukraine for its natural gas purchases. Never mind that this is more than the beleaguered country could possibly ever use. “Pay up, or we invade” seems to be the message. The Dow Average promptly sold off … [Read more...]

April 10, 2014

Global Market Comments April 10, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAS VEGAS WEDNESDAY, MAY 14 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON) (INCLINE VILLAGE STRATEGY LUNCH REVIEW), (TESTIMONIAL), (2014 EUROPEAN STRATEGY LUNCHEONS) … [Read more...]

Las Vegas Wednesday, May 14 Global Strategy Luncheon

las-vegas-welcome-sign

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Las Vegas, Nevada on Wednesday, May 14. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Incline Village Strategy Lunch Review

John Thomas

There is no better was to start off a strategy luncheon than sending out, not just one, but two Trade Alerts in the morning, and then watching them soar 50% by the time the appetizer was served. That was the case on April 4, when I picked up short positions in the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500 for my model trading portfolio the morning of my event in sleepy Incline … [Read more...]

2014 European Strategies Luncheons

and some fun...

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy luncheons, which I will be conducting throughout Europe during the summer of 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and … [Read more...]

April 9, 2014

Global Market Comments April 9, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 26 ISTANBUL, TURKEY STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (BOJ BOMBSHELL HITS YEN SELLERS IN THE SHORTS), (FXY), (YCS), (BREAKFAST WITH MOHAMED EL-ERIAN) CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) ProShares UltraShort Yen (YCS) … [Read more...]

June 26 Istanbul, Turkey Strategy Luncheon

Istanbul, Turkey

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Istanbul, Turkey on Thursday, June 26, 2014. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

BOJ Bombshell Hits Yen Sellers in the Shorts

Japanese Lady-Sad

It was little after midnight west coast time when the Bank of Japan dropped its bombshell. It said it would refrain from stimulating the economy further to offset the deflationary effects of the VAT tax increase from 5% to 8%, which took effect on April 1. Within seconds, the Japanese yen rocketed and never looked back. The Nikkei stock average crashed. Traders were stunned … [Read more...]

April 8, 2014

Global Market Comments April 8, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (APRIL 9 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (HARRY S. DENT ON HEDGE FUND RADIO), (SPY), (IWM), (UUP), (GLD), (SLV), (USO), (XLE), (TLT) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (UUP) SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) iShares … [Read more...]

Friday April 25 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

San Francisco

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 25, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the April 9 Global Strategy Webinar

John Thomas

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, April 9 at 12:00 PM EDT. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the appropriate securities with which to take positions. I will also be opining … [Read more...]

Harry S. Dent, Jr. on Hedge Fund Radio

Harry S. Dent, Jr.

Your stock portfolio will get decimated by a stock market crash that could take the Dow average down 60% to 6,000 or lower. There will be no place to hide, as gold, silver, oil, real estate will see declines of similar magnitude. Given the fresh dose of uncertainty besieging the markets these days, I thought I'd touch base with my pal, co-conspiring Eagle Scout, and fellow … [Read more...]

April 7, 2014

Global Market Comments April 7, 2014 Fiat Lux SPECIAL SHORT SELLING ISSUE Featured Trade: (CHICAGO FRIDAY, MAY 23 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (A VERY BAD CHART DAY), (SPY), (QQQ), (IWM), (TLT), (TSLA), (AMZN), (NFLX), (FB) (SHORT SELLING SCHOOL 101), (SH), (SDS), (PSQ), (DOG), (RWM), (SPXU), (AAPL),  (VIX), (VXX), (IPO), (MTUM), (SPHB), (HDGE) SPDR S&P 500 … [Read more...]

Chicago Friday, May 23 Global Strategy Luncheon

Chicago

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Friday, May 23. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

A Very Bad Chart Day

monks

I spoke to the best traders I know in the market Thursday night, and to a man they said the market looked terrible. Although prices were high, the momentum was totally gone and volume was shrinking. Worse, these conditions prevail as we head into May, the onset of the traditional “RISK OFF” season (click here for “The Hard Numbers Behind Selling in May”). Best case, it … [Read more...]

April 4, 2014

Global Market Comments April 4, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (ORLANDO FLORIDA SATURDAY, MAY 17 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON) (APRIL 9 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (WHY JIM CHANOS IS WRONG ON CHINA), (FXI), (CYB) (DRINKS WITH ROBERT REICH) iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) WisdomTree Chinese Yuan Strategy (CYB) … [Read more...]

Orlando, Florida Saturday May 17 Global Strategy Luncheon

Magic Kingdon, Orland, FL

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Orlando, Florida on Saturday, May 17. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the April 9 Global Strategy Webinar

John Thomas

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, April 9 at 12:00 PM EDT. This time Mad Day Trader Jim Parker will be my willing coconspirator. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the … [Read more...]

Why Jim Chanos is Wrong on China

China

Hedge fund titan, Jim Chanos, is well known for his extremely bearish views on China. He says that the cracks are spreading on the façade, real estate sales are falling, and that the economic engine is starting to sputter. This will be bad news for the rest of us, as China imports 50%-80% of the world’s commodities. Commodity exporting countries will be especially hard hit, … [Read more...]

April 3, 2014

Global Market Comments April 3, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAS VEGAS WEDNESDAY, MAY 14 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (MAD DAY TRADER JIM PARKER’S Q2 VIEWS), (SPX), (NDX), (XLK), (TLT), (FXB), (FXY), (YCS), (FXA),  (GLD), (SLV), (SOYB), (CORN), (WEAT), (VIX), (VXX) (THE BLACK SWAN SOLUTION TO OUR ENERGY PROBLEMS) S&P 500 Index (SPX) Nasdaq 100 Index … [Read more...]

Las Vegas Wednesday, May 14 Global Strategy Luncheon

las-vegas-welcome-sign

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Las Vegas, Nevada on Wednesday, May 14. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Mad Day Trader Jim Parker’s Q2 Views

Jim Parker

Mad Day Trader Jim Parker is expecting the second quarter of 2014 to be an uneventful, low volume, range trading affair. There is insufficient momentum in the major indexes to substantially break out of the ranges established in Q1. He does see a modest upward bias to the market. But it is going to have to fight for every point. Sector leadership will change daily, with a … [Read more...]

April 2, 2014

Global Market Comments April 2, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (ABSOLUTELY THE LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE FRIDAY APRIL 4 INCLINE VILLAGE, NEVADA STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (A DAY IN THE LIFE OF THE MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER), (SPY), (SPX), (QQQ), (GOOG), (FSLR), (UNG), (TLT), (TBT), (FXE), (GLD), (GDX), (TSLA), (USO) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) S&P 500 Index (SPX) PowerShares QQQ … [Read more...]

Absolutely the Last Chance to Attend the Friday April 4 Incline Village, Nevada Global Strategy Luncheon

Lake Tahoe View

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Incline Village, Nevada on Friday, April 4, 2014. Incline Village is about a one-hour drive from the Reno Airport. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on … [Read more...]

A Day in the Life of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Frozen

Diary Entry for Tuesday, April 1, 2014 Dear Diary, 4:30 PM Monday-the day before- Thought I’d check my Bloomberg to see how the Asian markets were opening. Wow! Japan finally had an up day. It must be fiscal year end window dressing. The VAT tax hike that takes effect tomorrow, from 5% to 8%, certainly has sucked the life out of that market. Nothing like strangling a … [Read more...]

April 1, 2014

Global Market Comments April 1, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (WILL SYNBIO SAVE OR DESTROY THE WORLD?), (XLV), (XPH), (XBI), (MON), (IBM), (GOOG), (AAPL), (CSCO) Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF (XPH) SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI) Monsanto Company (MON) International Business … [Read more...]

Friday April 25 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

San Francisco

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 25, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And … [Read more...]

Will SynBio Save or Destroy the World?

Phi X 174 - Synthetic  Bacteria

Some 40 years ago, when I was a biotechnology student at UCLA, a handful of graduate students speculated about how dangerous our work really was. It only took us an hour to figure out how to synthesize a microbe that had a 99% fatality rate, was immune to antibiotics, and was so simple it could be produced in your home kitchen. Basically, a bunch of bored students discovered … [Read more...]

March 31, 2014

Global Market Comments March 31, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE FRIDAY APRIL 4 INCLINE VILLAGE, NEVADA STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (THE HARD NUMBERS BEHIND SELLING IN MAY),  (SPY), (QQQ), (GOOG), (HEDGE FUNDS: THE NEW DUMB MONEY) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) PowerShares QQQ (QQQ) Google Inc. (GOOG) … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Attend the Friday April 4 Incline Village, Nevada Global Strategy Luncheon

Lake Tahoe View

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Incline Village, Nevada on this coming Friday, April 4, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and … [Read more...]

The Hard Numbers Behind Selling in May

May Calendar

Followers of my Trade Alert service have watched me build up a substantial long volatility position in recent days. That’s because I am a big fan of buying straw hats in the dead of winter and umbrellas in the sizzling heat of the summer. I even load up on Christmas ornaments every January when they go on sale for ten cents on the dollar. There is a method to my … [Read more...]

March 28, 2014

Global Market Comments March 28, 2014 Fiat Lux SPECIAL TESLA EDITION Featured Trade: (ON THE TESLA MELT UP), (TSLA), (F), (FIATY), (PEUGY), (SCTY), (BBRY), (HLF), (NFLX), (FSLR) Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) Ford Motor Co. (F) Fiat S.p.A. (FIATY) Peugeot S.A. (PEUGY) SolarCity Corporation (SCTY) BlackBerry Limited (BBRY) Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) Netflix, Inc. … [Read more...]

On The Tesla Melt Up

Tesla

Tesla (TSLA) was the short squeeze that was begging to happen. Five guys owned 50% of the company, including the visionary founder, Elon Musk. Of the remaining float, 45% had been borrowed and sold short by hedge funds. All that was needed to ignite a rally was for someone to say “Boo”. Someone said exactly that, and their shares rocketed from $30 to $265 in little more than … [Read more...]

March 27, 2014

Global Market Comments March 27, 2014 Fiat Lux SPECIAL VOLATILITY ISSUE Featured Trade: (LAS VEGAS WEDNESDAY, MAY 14 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (WILL CANDY CRUSH CRUSH THE MARKET?), (SPY), (QQQ), (IWM), (KING), (VIX), (VXX), (BUY FLOOD INSRANCE WITH THE (VXX), (VIX) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) PowerShares QQQ (QQQ) iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) King Digital Entertainment … [Read more...]

Las Vegas Wednesday, May 14 Global Strategy Luncheon

las-vegas-welcome-sign

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Las Vegas, Nevada on Wednesday, May 14. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Will Candy Crush Crush the Market?

Girl on Pogo Stick

Feed the ducks while they are quacking. That is one of the oldest nostrums heard on Wall Street, and feed them they have, to the point of absolute gluttony. This year we have seen the market for new initial public offerings for newly listed companies explode to life. There have been 46 so far in 2014, some 26 from the biotechnology area alone. Last Friday, there were an … [Read more...]

SOLD OUT – Monday, June 23, 2014 – London Global Strategy Luncheon

Big_Ben_8583a

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in London on Monday, June 23, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep … [Read more...]

March 26, 2014

Global Market Comments March 26, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (THE AMERICAN ONSHORING TREND IS ACCELERATING), (GE), (TSLA), (TESTIMONIAL) General Electric Company (GE) Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) … [Read more...]

Friday April 25 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

San Francisco

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 25, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

March 25, 2014

Global Market Comments March 25, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 4 INCLINE VILLAGE, NEVADA STRATEGY), (HEED THE MAD DAY TRADER’S Q2 FORECASTS), (SPY), (QQQ), (IWM), (TLT), (TBT), (FXY), (FXE), (FXA), (CU), (USO), (GLD), (GDX) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) PowerShares QQQ (QQQ) iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) ProShares UltraShort … [Read more...]

Friday April 4 Incline Village, Nevada Global Strategy Luncheon

Lake Tahoe View

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Incline Village, Nevada on Friday, April 4, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Heed the Mad Day Trader’s Q2 Forecasts

Jim Parker

Mad Day Trader, Jim Parker, thinks that the next three to six months will be a tough time for the financial markets. They won’t crash, but won’t break out to new highs either. Instead, they will stay confined to technically driven, narrow, low volume ranges that will cause traders to tear their hair out. It will be an environment where it will be tough for anyone to make … [Read more...]

March 24, 2014

Global Market Comments March 24, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MARCH 26 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (READ OIL & ENERGY INSIDER FOR TRADING CLUES), (USO), (UNG), (APC), (NBL) (END OF THE COMMODITY SUPERCYCLE), (SLV), (PPLT), (PALL), (CU), (BHP), (USO), (CORN), (WEAT), (SOYB), (DBA), (RSX) United States Oil (USO) United States Natural Gas (UNG) Anadarko Petroleum … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the March 26 Global Strategy Webinar

John Thomas

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, March 26 at 12:00 PM EDT. This time Mad Day Trader Jim Parker will be my willing coconspirator. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the … [Read more...]

Read Oil & Energy Insider for Trading Clues

Oil fire

I am often asked to divulge my research sources that give me my unfair advantage in trading. I usually decline such requests, unwilling to part with the “secret sauce” that enables me to beat the market, as well as most other hedge fund managers year after year. Why level the playing field for my competitors, what few there are? However, it would be greedy and selfish of me … [Read more...]

March 21, 2014

Global Market Comments March 21, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (CHICAGO FRIDAY, MAY 23 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON) (THE RECEPTION THAT THE STARS FELL UPON), (NLR), (CCJ), (CORN), (WEAT), (SOYB), (DBA), (THE MOST FUNCTIONAL WORD IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE) Market Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Enrgy ETF (NLR) Cameco Corporation (CCJ) Teucrium Corn (CORN) Teucrium Wheat … [Read more...]

Chicago Friday, May 23 Global Strategy Luncheon

Chicago

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Friday, May 23. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

The Reception That the Stars Fell Upon

Sam Nunn

My friend was having a hard time finding someone to attend a reception who was knowledgeable about financial markets, White House intrigue, international politics, and nuclear weapons. I asked who was coming. She said Reagan’s Treasury Secretary, George Shultz, Clinton’s Defense Secretary, William Perry, and Senate Armed Services Chairman, Sam Nunn. I said I’d be there … [Read more...]

March 20, 2014

Global Market Comments March 20, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (ORLANDO FLORIDA SATURDAY, MAY 17 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (MAKING HAY WITH THE EAGLEFORD SHALE), (USO), (UNG), (XOM), (CVX), (LNG), (CHK), (HAL) (THE PASSING OF A GREAT MAN) United States Oil (USO) United States Natural Gas (UNG) Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) Corporation (CVX) Chevron Cheniere Energy, … [Read more...]

Orlando, Florida Saturday May 17 Global Strategy Luncheon

Magic Kingdon, Orland, FL

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Orlando, Florida on Saturday, May 17. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

March 19, 2014

Global Market Comments March 19, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAS VEGAS WEDNESDAY, MAY 14 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (THE MYSTERY OF THE MISSING $100 BILLION), (TLT), (AN EVENING WITH CONGRESS BARNEY FRANK) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) … [Read more...]

Las Vegas Wednesday, May 14 Global Strategy Luncheon

las-vegas-welcome-sign

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Las Vegas, Nevada on Wednesday, May 14. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

March 18, 2014

Global Market Comments March 18, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON (ITS TIME FOR A STRATEGY CHANGE), (SPY), (DAL), (GE), (GS), (BAC), (TLT), ($DAX), (HOW TO TRADE CALL SPREADS IN AUSTRALIA), (MY FAVORITE SECRET ECONOMIC INDICATOR) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) General Electric Company (GE) The Goldman … [Read more...]

Friday April 25 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

San Francisco

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 25, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

It’s Time for a Strategy Change

Strategy Change

There is absolutely no doubt that both risk and volatility are rising in the financial markets. The higher the indexes rise, the sharper the intraday breaks. That is never a healthy sign for a bull market that has thrived for more than two years without a 10% correction. The Crimean referendum should have been a yawn, not worthy of the 400 point swan dive that the Dow … [Read more...]

How to Trade Call Spreads in Australia

Kangaroo

For the many Australians who recently subscribed to Mad Hedge Fund Trader PRO, a temporary regulatory obstacle has emerged. There are two types of trading accounts permitted by Australian financial regulators: Cash Accounts – opened by individuals Regulation “T” accounts -  opened by corporations and trusts Reg “T” accounts have no problems executing any of my Trade … [Read more...]

March 17, 2014

Global Market Comments March 17, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 4 INCLINE VILLAGE, NEVADA STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (CHARTS TO WATCH FOR AN END TO THE CRISIS), (SPY), (TLT),(FXY), (RSX), (GLD), (CU), (CYB), (VIX), (VXX), (RUNNING THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY TO BREAKERS) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust … [Read more...]

Friday April 4 Incline Village, Nevada Global Strategy Luncheon

Lake Tahoe View

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Incline Village, Nevada on Friday, April 4, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Charts to Watch For an End to the Crisis

Atomic Bomb

Bad China data….Russia threatens the Ukraine….more bad China data….maneuvers at the Russia-Crimea border. The bull has been punched out with a market that was down every day last week, China and Russia both taking turns thrashing investors, like tag team wrestlers. When will it end? The canaries in the coal mine will be found in the charts below. This is where you will first … [Read more...]

March 14, 2014

Global Market Comments March 14, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (ORLANDO FLORIDA SATURDAY, MAY 17 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (CASHING IN ON THE SAUDI ARABIA OF MILK), (ENZL), (TAKE A RIDE IN THE NEW SHORT JUNK ETF), (SJB), (JNK), (CORN) iShares MSCI New Zealand Capped (ENZL) ProShares Short High Yield (SJB) SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond (JNK) Teucrium Corn (CORN) … [Read more...]

Orlando, Florida Saturday May 17 Global Strategy Luncheon

Magic Kingdon, Orland, FL

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Orlando, Florida on Saturday, May 17. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Cashing in on the “Saudi Arabia of Milk”

New Zealand Flag

On of the scariest parts of driving around New Zealand a few weeks ago were these huge trucks and trailers that came barreling at you on tiny narrow roads. There couldn’t have been more than a few inches of clearance between us. This, I had to deal with while driving a rental stick shift on the left side of the road in a pouring rain storm. Yes, they still make sticks in … [Read more...]

March 13, 2014

­Global Market Comments March 13, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHY THIS CHART IS UTTERLY MEANINGLESS), (THE REAL ESTATE MARKET IN 2030) (TESTIMONIAL) … [Read more...]

Why This Chart is Utterly Meaningless

Child with Binoculars

Much has been made of the rising level of margin debt held by individuals. Cumulative NYSE margin debt, or the amount of money lent to buy stocks on credit, is rapidly approaching $2.3 trillion, an all time high. Historically, when this figure peaked, and no more money was available for mom and pop to buy shares with broker loans, markets fell. This has been put forward … [Read more...]

March 12, 2014

Global Market Comments March 12, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (WHY COPPER IS CRASHING), (CU), (FCX), (BREAKFAST WITH FED GOVERNOR BOB MCTEER), Pulling the Ripcord on GM (BAC), (GS), (GM), (AIG) First Trust ISE Global Copper Index (CU) Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX) Bank of America Corporation … [Read more...]

Friday April 25 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

San Francisco

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 25, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And … [Read more...]

Why Copper is Crashing

Pennies

When Dr. Copper (CU), the only commodity with a PhD in economics, suddenly collapses from a heart attack, risk takers everywhere have to sit up and take notice. Since the 2011 top, the red metal has collapsed a shocking 38%. It has given back 10% just in the last two weeks. Will copper take down the rest of the financial markets with it? I don’t think so. So called … [Read more...]

Breakfast with Fed Governor Bob McTeer

McTeerRobert[1]

No one can explain the most complex economic and monetary issues in a simpler, more homespun fashion than former governor of the Federal Reserve, Bob McTeer. He is known for carrying around two yardsticks, one slightly longer than the other, to demonstrate to your average guy the monthly changes in employment. Bob argues that the Fed is getting a bad rap today. Ben … [Read more...]

Pulling the Ripcord on GM

John Thomas

Ouch. To get snake bit twice in two days hurts. But three times? I thought that when the General Motors (GM) ignition recall was announced last week, it was a nice entry point on the long side. I was right for at least a whole day. This morning news hit that there would be a congressional investigation of GM’s handling of the issue. Usually these are no big deal, go … [Read more...]

March 11, 2014

Global Market Comments March 11, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER KILLS IT WITH A 2014 12.6% RETURN), (TLT), (SPY), (BAC), (GM), (EBAY), (DAL), (GS), (XLV), (XLF), (GE), (MARCH 12 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (EUROPEAN STYLE HOMELAND SECURITY) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Bank of America Corporation (BAC) General … [Read more...]

Mad Hedge Fund Trader Kills it with a 12.6% 2014 Return

John Thomas

The industry beating performance of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Trade Alert Service has maintained its gob smacking pace from last year, picking up another 12.6% profit in the first ten trading weeks of 2014. The Dow Average was up a feeble 1.4% during the same period, pegging my outperformance of the index at a stunning 11.2%. Since the beginning of 2013, I am up 80%, with … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the March 12 Global Strategy Webinar

Robin Williams

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, March 12 at 12:00 PM EST. This time Mad Day Trader Jim Parker will be my willing coconspirator. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the … [Read more...]

March 10, 2014

Global Market Comments March 10, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THE MARKET LEADERSHIP CHANGE HAS BEGUN), (XLK), (XLV), (AAPL), (XLF), (BAC), (GS), (JPM), (GM), (F) (WATCH OUT! YOU PC IS WATCHING) Technology Select Sector SPDR® (XLK) Health Care Select Sector SPDR® (XLV) Apple Inc. (AAPL) Financial Select Sector SPDR® (XLF) Bank of America Corporation (BAC) The … [Read more...]

The Market Leadership Change Has Begun

Cars - Snow Covered

Owners of technology (XLK) and health care stocks (XLV) have certainly had a great year. Except for the round of profit taking that did a quick hit and run in January, these two groups have been moving from strength to strength, punching through to multiyear highs. That is, until last week. Starting with the Ukraine induced plunge a week ago, these two leadership … [Read more...]

Be Careful! Your PC is Watching

computer

Hey! You there, staring at this monitor. This is your PC talking to you. No, not you over there standing in the background. I’m talking to the guy sitting in front of me poking at my keys. Ouch! That one hurt! So you thought no one was watching, did you? Let me straighten you out. About a month ago you clicked on a certain website, and I installed myself as a cookie on your … [Read more...]

March 7, 2014

Global Market Comments March 7, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MARCH 12 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR) (LAS VEGAS WEDNESDAY, MAY 14 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (TESTIMONIAL), (REPORT FROM AUSTRALIA) … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the March 12 Global Strategy Webinar

Robin Williams

Don’t Miss the March 12 Global Strategy Webinar. My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, March 12 at 12:00 PM EDT. This time Mad Day Trader Jim Parker will be my willing coconspirator. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to … [Read more...]

Las Vegas Wednesday, May 14 Global Strategy Luncheon

las-vegas-welcome-sign

Las Vegas Wednesday, May 14 Global Strategy Luncheon Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Las Vegas, Nevada on Wednesday, May 14. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, … [Read more...]

March 6, 2014

Global Market Comments March 6, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (ORLANDO FLORIDA SATURDAY, MAY 17 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (A SPECIAL OFFER FOR AUSTRALIAN SUBSCRIBERS), (IT’S PEDAL TO THE METAL ONCE AGAIN), (SPY), (IWM), (DAL), (GE), (EBAY), (GILD), (GS), (BAC), (DBA) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) General Electric … [Read more...]

Orlando, Florida Saturday May 17 Global Strategy Luncheon

Magic Kingdon, Orland, FL

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Orlando, Florida on Saturday, May 17. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

A Special Offer for Australian Subscribers

kang1

Executing the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Trade Alerts from the other side of the world can pose some annoying challenges. After speaking with many of my Australian followers on my recent trip down under, I learned of the obstacles presented by distant time zones, dealing in foreign currencies, regulations, and obtaining live customer support. I want to make my service easy for … [Read more...]

It’s Pedal to the Metal Once Again

Delta

If the prospect of WWIII can’t knock this market down, what will it take? A giant asteroid that destroys the earth? I would have used “Balls to the Wall” in the headline for this piece. But as this is a family oriented newsletter I opted for the more politically correct screamer. Even the most hardened and seasoned traders, like me and Mad Day Trader Jim Parker, were … [Read more...]

March 5, 2014

Global Market Comments March 5, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (CHICAGO FRIDAY, MAY 23 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (LUCKY FIND SPARKS NEW CALIFORNIA GOLD RUSH), (GLD), (THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER AND MAD DAY FUND TRADER), (THE NEW CALIFORNIA GOLD RUSH) … [Read more...]

Chicago Friday, May 23 Global Strategy Luncheon

Chicago

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Friday, May 23. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

March 4, 2014

Global Market Comments March 4, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (THE NEW WAR IN THE UKRAINE), (RSX), (USO), ($BRENT), (WEAT), (UNG), (EEM), (TIME TO SELL THE TREASURY MARKET SHORT), (TLT), (TBT) Market Vectors Russia ETF (RSX) United States Oil (USO) Brent Crude OiL-Spot Price(EOD) ICE ($BRENT) Teucrium Wheat … [Read more...]

Friday, April 25 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

San Francisco

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 25, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And … [Read more...]

The New War in the Ukraine

Soldiers

It was another one of those midnight calls from my old KGB friend. Yuri was assigned to tail me in Tokyo during the 1970’s. He even came to my wedding as the official TASS correspondent. We have stayed in touch ever since. After the fall of the Soviet Union, he landed on his feet (as did his buddy, Vladimir Putin), eventually ending up in the hedge fund industry. Yuri … [Read more...]

Time to Sell the Treasury Market Short

Vladimir Putin

There is a layup of a trade setting up here in the wake of the escalating crisis in the Ukraine. Since January 2, the Treasury bond market (TLT) has enjoyed a massive 8 point rally, taking the ten year yield from 3.05% to 2.60%. By shorting Treasury bonds here, you are betting that the yield doesn’t drop below 2.48% by March 21, an eight month low. That is only 13 trading … [Read more...]

March 3, 2014

Global Market Comments March 3, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 4 INCLINE VILLAGE, NEVADA STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (ALL ASSET CLASS RISK REVERSAL AT HAND), (SPY), (EEM), (TLT), (VXX), (FXY), (YCS), (FXE), (UUP), (WHY WATER WILL SOON BE WORTH MORE THAN OIL), (CGW), (PHO), (FIW), (VE), (TTEK), (PNR), (TESTIMONIAL) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) iShares MSCI Emerging … [Read more...]

Friday, April 4 Incline Village, Nevada Global Strategy Luncheon

Lake Tahoe View

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Incline Village, Nevada on Friday, April 4, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

All Asset Class Risk Reversal at Hand

John Thomas - Snorkel

I believe that we are on the verge of seeing major reversals across all asset classes. Get this one right, and you will make a fortune. Screw it up, and you will soon be looking for your next job on Craig’s List. I understand that there is a desperate need for code writers in the cloud. As always, I am taking my cue from the bond market. The great anomaly in the financial … [Read more...]

February 28, 2014

Global Market Comments February 27, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHY I’M SELLING SHORT THE MARKET) (SPY), (TSLA), (NFLX), (FB), (PCLN), (YELP), (XLF), (XLE), (REPORT FROM NEW ZEALAND), (ENZL) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) Facebook, Inc. (FB) priceline.com Incorporated (PCLN) Yelp, Inc. (YELP) Financial Select Sector SPDR® … [Read more...]

Why I’m Selling Short the Market

monks

Let me give you my thinking here. I am a long-term bull, expecting the S&P 500 to be up 10% or more to over 2,000 by yearend, and possibly 20,000 by 2030. But yearend is a long time off (even though every year seems to go by faster). We have just had a massive 11 point pop in the (SPY) during my two week trip to Australia. So a period of digestion is called for. My (BAC) … [Read more...]

February 27, 2014

Global Market Comments February 27, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (DIVIDEND HIKE COULD SEND BANK OF AMERICA FLYING), (BAC), (XLF), (SPY), (PLEASE USE MY FREE DATA BASE SEARCH), (TESTIMONIAL), (IS USA, INC. A “SELL”) Bank of America Corporation (BAC) Financial Select Sector SPDR® (XLF) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) … [Read more...]

Dividend Hike Could Send Bank of America Flying

Bank of America

Bank of America (BAC) certainly was the chief whipping boy of the financial crisis. Since 2008, it has paid out more than $50 billion in fines and lawsuit settlements for every transgression under the sun. After getting a bail out from the US Treasury, it was forced to cut its dividend payment to a token one cent. Do any Google search on the company and you are inundated … [Read more...]

February 26, 2014

Global Market Comments February 26, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 4 INCLINE VILLAGE, NEVADA STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (ANOTHER HOME RUN WITH NATURAL GAS), (UNG), (DGAZ), (UNL), (GET READY FOR YOUR NEXT BIG TAX HIT) United States Natural Gas (UNG) VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN (DGAZ) United States 12 Month Natural Gas (UNL) … [Read more...]

Friday April 4 Incline Village, Nevada Global Strategy Luncheon

Lake Tahoe View

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Incline Village, Nevada on Friday, April 4, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Another Home Run with Natural Gas

Gas Fire

It looks like I hit the nail on the head once again with a major short position in the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG). After my followers bought the July, 2014 $26 puts at $2.16 on Monday, the (UNG) suffered its worst trading day since 2007, the underlying commodity plunging a breathtaking 11%. The puts roared as high as $3.05, a gain of 42% in mere hours. I wish they … [Read more...]

February 25, 2014

Global Market Comments February 25, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (IM BACK FROM THE LAND DOWN UNDER), (FEBRUARY 26 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER LEAPS AHEAD WITH A 9.31% 2014 RETURN),  (UNG), (BAC) (BUDGET CUTS HIT THE WILD ANIMAL MAKET) United States Natural Gas (UNG) Bank of America Corporation (BAC) … [Read more...]

I’m Back from the Land Down Under

John Thomas

I’m half mad with jet lag, and I haven’t pooped in three days. But I’m back from the magical Land Down Under. It was another one of those incredible, once in a lifetime, bucket list type trips. The highlight was flying my own plane out to a small speck of a coral island 40 miles at sea in the Great Barrier Reef National Park. There I spotted electric blue starfish, … [Read more...]