• support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Member Login
Mad Hedge Fund Trader
  • Home
  • About
  • Store
  • Luncheons
  • Testimonials
  • Contact Us
  • Click to open the search input field Click to open the search input field Search
  • Menu Menu
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 20, 2014

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
May 20, 2014
Fiat Lux

SPECIAL LAS VEGAS SALT ISSUE

Featured Trade:
(LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE CHICAGO FRIDAY, MAY 23 GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(REPORT ON THE 6th ANNUAL SKYBRIDGE ALTERNATIVES (SALT) CONFERENCE)

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-05-20 01:05:382014-05-20 01:05:38May 20, 2014
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 20, 2014 - Quote of the Day

Quote of the Day

?Most of the time, stocks are in a zone of reasonableness. I think stocks are reasonable now,? said Oracle of Omaha, Berkshire Hathaway?s Warren Buffett.

Warren Buffet

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/Warren-Buffet.jpg 225 333 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-05-20 01:02:102014-05-20 01:02:10May 20, 2014 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 19, 2014 - MDT - Yen Futures Alert

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.

Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-05-19 21:56:362014-05-19 21:56:36May 19, 2014 - MDT - Yen Futures Alert
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Follow Up to Trade Alert - (TLT) May 19, 2014

Trade Alert

As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen.

Further Update to: Trade Alert -(TLT)

Buy the iShares Barclay 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (TLT) July, 2014 $116-$119 in-the-money bear put spread at $2.25 or best

Opening Trade

5-19-2014

expiration date: July 18, 2014

Portfolio weighting: 10%

Number of Contracts = 45 contracts
Just a few quick words here.

I think we chewed through a good chunk of our short squeeze with the plunge in yields from 2.60% to 2.48%. Even if the bond market continues to grind up, it is going to be a low volume slog. These strikes give you a break even in the position of 2.38% in yield terms, the old all time low.

We only need one bad day in the bond market to make the bulk of your profit in this trade. If you can?t do options, then buy the (TBT) for a couple of points in the short term, and a double for the long term.

The best execution can be had by placing your bid for the entire spread in the middle market and waiting for the market to come to you. The difference between the bid and the offer on these deep in-the-money spread trades can be enormous. Don?t execute the legs individually or you will end up losing much of your profit. Keep in mind that these are ballpark prices only. Spread pricing can be very volatile on expiration months farther out.

Here are the specific trades you need to execute this position:

Buy 45 July, 2014 (TLT) $119 puts at?????$6.75

Sell short 45 July, 2014 (TLT) $116 puts at..??.$4.50
Net Cost:??????????????????.....$2.25

Potential Profit: $3.00 - $2.25 = $0.75

(45 X 100 X $0.75) = $3,375 or 3.38% profit for the notional $100,000 portfolio.

TLT 5-19-14

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/investing-a-z-stock-market-game-for-students.jpg 240 320 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-05-19 16:35:242014-05-19 16:35:24Follow Up to Trade Alert - (TLT) May 19, 2014
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Follow Up to Trade Alert - (FXY) May 19, 2014

Trade Alert

As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen.

Further Update to: Trade Alert -(FXY)

Buy the Currency Shares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) July, 2014 $98-$101 in-the-money bear put spread at $2.65 or best

Opening Trade

5-19-2014

expiration date: July 18, 2014

Portfolio weighting: 10%

Number of Contracts = 38 contracts
?Oh, how I despise the yen, let me count the ways.?

I?m sure Shakespeare would have come up with a line of iambic pentameter similar to this if he were a foreign exchange trader. I firmly believe that a short position in the yen should be at the core of any hedged portfolio for the next decade.

To remind you why you hate the currency of the land of the rising sun, I?ll refresh your memory with this short list:

* With the world?s structurally weakest major economy, Japan is certain to be the last country to raise interest rates. Interest rate differentials are the greatest driver of foreign exchange rates.

* This is inciting big hedge funds to borrow yen and sell it to finance longs in every other corner of the financial markets.

* Japan has the world?s worst demographic outlook that assures its problems will only get worse. They?re not making enough Japanese any more.

* The sovereign debt crisis in Europe is prompting investors to scan the horizon for the next troubled country. With gross debt well over a nosebleed 240% of GDP, or 120% when you net out inter agency crossholdings, Japan is at the top of the list.

* The Japanese long bond market, with a yield of only 0.60%, is a disaster waiting to happen.

*You have two willing co-conspirators in this trade, the Ministry of Finance and the Bank of Japan, who will move Mount Fuji if they must to get the yen down and bail out the country?s beleaguered exporters.

When the big turn inevitably comes, we?re going to ?110, then ?120, then ?150. That works out to a price of $200 for the (YCS), which last traded at $62. But it might take a few years to get there.

If you think this is extreme, let me remind you that when I first went to Japan in the early seventies, the yen was trading at ?305, and had just been revalued from the Peace Treaty Dodge line rate of ?360. To me the ?83 I see on my screen today is unbelievable. That would then give you a neat 17-year double top.

If you don?t have options coursing through your veins buy the 2X short yen ETF, the ProShares Ultra Short Yen (YCS), which go up when the yen goes down. Look to grab a double of points for the short term, and a double for the long term.

The best execution can be had by placing your bid for the entire spread in the middle market and waiting for the market to come to you. The difference between the bid and the offer on these deep in-the-money spread trades can be enormous. Don?t execute the legs individually or you will end up losing much of your profit. Keep in mind that these are ballpark prices only. Spread pricing can be very volatile on expiration months farther out.

Here are the specific trades you need to execute this position:

Buy 38 July, 2014 (FXY) $101 puts at?????$4.85

Sell short 38 July, 2014 (FXY) $98 puts at..??.$2.20
Net Cost:??????????????????.....$2.65

Potential Profit: $3.00 - $2.65 = $0.35

(38 X 100 X $0.35) = $1,330 or 1.33% profit for the notional $100,000 portfolio.

FXY 5-19-14

YCS 5-19-14

Japanese Lady-SadIt?s All Over for the Yen

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/Japanese-Lady-Sad-e1400531413320.jpg 324 319 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-05-19 16:32:032014-05-19 16:32:03Follow Up to Trade Alert - (FXY) May 19, 2014
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (FXY) May 19, 2014

Trade Alert

As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen. Read more

0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-05-19 15:30:182014-05-19 15:30:18Trade Alert - (FXY) May 19, 2014
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 19, 2014 - MDT - Yen Futures Alert

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.

Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-05-19 15:18:482014-05-19 15:18:48May 19, 2014 - MDT - Yen Futures Alert
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (TLT) May 19, 2014

Trade Alert

As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/slider-05-trader-alert.jpg 316 600 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-05-19 14:53:332014-05-19 14:53:33Trade Alert - (TLT) May 19, 2014
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 19, 2014 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.

Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-05-19 12:22:242014-05-19 12:22:24May 19, 2014 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 19, 2014

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
May 19, 2014
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(JUNE 17 NEW YORK STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(MAY 21 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR),
(COME TO THE JUNE 13-14 INVEST LIKE A MONSTER LAS VEGAS CONFERENCE)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-05-19 01:06:572014-05-19 01:06:57May 19, 2014
Page 5 of 12«‹34567›»

tastytrade, Inc. (“tastytrade”) has entered into a Marketing Agreement with Mad Hedge Fund Trader (“Marketing Agent”) whereby tastytrade pays compensation to Marketing Agent to recommend tastytrade’s brokerage services. The existence of this Marketing Agreement should not be deemed as an endorsement or recommendation of Marketing Agent by tastytrade and/or any of its affiliated companies. Neither tastytrade nor any of its affiliated companies is responsible for the privacy practices of Marketing Agent or this website. tastytrade does not warrant the accuracy or content of the products or services offered by Marketing Agent or this website. Marketing Agent is independent and is not an affiliate of tastytrade. 

Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

Copyright © 2025. Mad Hedge Fund Trader. All Rights Reserved. support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Privacy Policy
  • Disclaimer
  • FAQ
Scroll to top