While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more
Global Market Comments
January 30, 2015
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(FEBRUARY 4 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR),
(SIGN UP NOW FOR TEXT MESSAGING OF TRADE ALERTS),
(QCOM), (SPY),
(THE CHINA VIEW FROM 30,000 FEET)
(FXI), (DBC), (DYY), (DBA), (PHO)
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM)
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
iShares China Large-Cap (FXI)
PowerShares DB Commodity Tracking ETF (DBC)
PowerShares DB Commodity Double Long ETN (DYY)
PowerShares DB Agriculture ETF (DBA)
PowerShares Water Resources ETF (PHO)
As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen. Read more
As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen. Read more
As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. Read more
While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more
Global Market Comments
January 29, 2015
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(QUALCOMM GUIDANCE CRUSHES STOCK), (QCOM)
(BUSINESS IS BOOMING AT THE MONEY PRINTERS),
(TESTIMONIAL)
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM)
It seems that the harder I work, the luckier I get.
Last week I made a bet that companies with a high share of international business would be punished severely during earnings season.
Specifically, I picked QUALCOMM (QCOM), the San Diego based maker of processors for cell phones, tablets, and laptops, because it had the highest percentage of foreign earnings among the S&P 500.
Three days later, after years of dawdling, the European Central Bank announced a particularly aggressive form of quantitative easing that sent the Euro crashing. You might as well have sent a torpedo directly into QUALCOMM?s bottom line.
The company?s Q4 earnings report, announced after the Tuesday close, confirmed my worst fears. While the earnings held up surprisingly well, the second half guidance was downright apocalyptic.
The stock immediately gapped down to $65 in the aftermarket, off some 8%, in a heartbeat.
Foreign earnings are a great place to hide when the greenback is soggy. It is a terrible place to be when the buck is moving from strength to strength, as it has for the past eight months.
It turns out that there is much more that is wrong under the hood at QUALCOMM than the recent collapse of the Euro and the Yen.
Much of the meteoric growth of Apple?s (AAPL) iPhone 6 sales in recent months has been at the expense of Samsung and other competitors. I hate to say ?I told you so? but I have been predicting this all along.
While QUALCOMM sells to both companies, particularly its Snapdragon 800 quadcore processor, it gets a lesser share of the profits on its sales to Apple. QUALCOMM is therefore, effectively, an indirect short position in Apple.
Oops!
I think you can take QUALCOMM?s woeful stock performance today as a warning that there is more suffering to come on the foreign earnings front by other companies yet to report.
For more depth on this, please read yesterday?s piece on ?The Unintended Consequences of the Euro Crash? by clicking here.
As for the happy holders of my recommended QUALCOMM (QCOM) February, 2015 $75-$80 in-the-money bear put spread, good for you! You have just made a nearly instant 2.25% profit on your total portfolio in a mere seven trading days. That works out to a gain of 22% on this single position.
There is no point in running this position the remaining three weeks into the February 20 expiration, as you have already reaped 95% of the potential profit. Better to free up the cash to roll into a new position, while simultaneously reducing your risk.
Or, you could simply take a long vacation from the miserable, unforgiving market.
There Goes QUALCOMM?s Earnings
While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more
Global Market Comments
January 28, 2015
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(THE UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES OF THE EURO CRASH),
(FXE), (EUO)
(CAT), (PG), (MSFT), (M), (FDO), (COST), (TGT), (WMT)
(RSP), (QQQ), (IWM)
(WATCH OUT FOR THE HEAD AND SHOULDERS)
(SPY), (QQQ), (TLT), (FXE), (FXY), (GLD), (SLV)
CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)
ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO)
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)
The Procter & Gamble Company (PG)
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
Macy's, Inc. (M)
Family Dollar Stores Inc. (FDO)
Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST)
Target Corp. (TGT)
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT)
Guggenheim S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP)
PowerShares QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)
iShares Russell 2000 (IWM)
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT)
CurrencyShares Japanese Yen ETF (FXY)
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
iShares Silver Trust (SLV)
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