While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more
Global Market Comments
October 19, 2016
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(HAVE WE BECOME A NATION OF COUCH POTATOES?),
(NFLX), (M), (AMZN),
(THE ?INTRODUCTION TO RISK MANAGEMENT? TRAINING VIDEO IS POSTED),
(DECODING THE GREENBACK)
Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)
Macy's, Inc. (M)
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
Three sets of data crossed my screen today that blew my mind.
Retail Sales are clearly in a secular long-term decline. Indeed, Macy?s (M) announced only a few months ago that it is closing 100 of its 769 stores, sending its stock soaring.
Restaurant revenues dropped 3.3% YOY.
However, Netflix (NFLX) earnings rocketed, sending the shares up a ballistic 15% in minutes.
Are these numbers revealing a major new trend in our society? Are we soon to have our every need catered to without lifting a finger?
Have We Become a Nation of Couch Potatoes?
After spending weeks preparing a major research piece for a private client on artificial intelligence, I would have to say that the answer is an overwhelming ?Yes!?
Artificial intelligence, or AI, is far more pervasive than you think. Half of all apps now rely on some form of AI, and within five years, all of them will.
Within a decade, AI will cure cancer and most other human maladies, drive our cars, decide our elections, and do our shopping.
As a result, the earnings and share prices of its most active practitioners are rocketing. Look no further than the dominant player, Amazon (AMZN), whose share are now up a staggering 193% since January.
AI has become the leading market theme for 2016.
People my age all remember George Jetson, the space age cartoon character, who only had to work an hour a day because machines did the rest for him.
The modern incarnation of his ultra light workweek will be far darker and more sinister.
Instead of a one-hour day, it is far more likely that one person will keep a full time eight hour a day job, while another seven unfortunates become full time unemployed.
By the way, I am determined to be that one guy with a job. So should you.
Indeed, I am increasingly coming across dire predictions that 30% of all jobs will disappear within ten years.
I?m sure that they will. The real question is whether that 30%, or more, will be replaced by jobs yet to be invented. I bet they will. Evolution and creative destruction are now happening on fast forward.
After all, some 25% of the professions listed on the Department of Labor website did not exist a decade ago.
SEO manager? Concert social media buzz creator? Online affiliate manager? Solar panel installer? Reputation defender?
What does the stock market do in this new dystopian society? It goes through the roof. After all far fewer workers creating a greater output generate much larger earnings that send share prices soaring.
It is all a crucial part of my ?Golden Age? scenario for the 2020s. For more on this, purchase my book by clicking Stocks to Buy for the Coming Roaring Twenties.
Having said all that, I think I?ll go binge watch Netflix?s tropical film noir Bloodline. I hear it?s hot.
Downton Abbey is over, and Game of Thrones and House of Cards don?t restart until next year.
If you want to impress your friends with your vast knowledge of financial matters, then here are the Latin translations of the script on the backside of a US dollar bill.
?ANNUIT COEPTIS? means ?God has favored our undertaking.? ?NOVUS ORDO SECLORUM? translates into ?A new order has begun.?
The Roman numerals at the base of the pyramid are ?1776.? The better known ?E PLURIBUS UNUM? is ?One nation from many people.?
The basic design for the cotton and linen currency with red and blue silk fibers, which has been in circulation since 1957, carries enough symbolism to drive conspiracy theorists to distraction.
An all seeing eye? The darkened Western face of the pyramid? And of course, the number ?13? abounds.
Thank freemason Benjamin Franklin for these cryptic symbols, and watch Nicholas Cage?s historical adventure movie ?National Treasure.?
The balanced scales in the seal are certainly wishful thinking and a bit quaint if they refer to the Federal budget.
Study the buck closely, because there are soon going to be a lot more of them around, thanks to the efforts of former Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke.

What Did You Really Mean, Ben?
While the Global Trading Dispatch focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Options Trader, provided by Matt Buckley, will focus primarily on the weekly US equity options expirations, with the goal of making profits at all times. Read more
While the Global Trading Dispatch focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Options Trader, provided by Matt Buckley, will focus primarily on the weekly US equity options expirations, with the goal of making profits at all times. Read more
While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more
Global Market Comments
October 18, 2016
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(LOCKHEED MARTIN?S SECRET FUSION BREAKTHROUGH),
(LMT), (NOC), (BA),
(THERE ARE NO GURUS),
(TESTIMONIAL)
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT)
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)
The Boeing Company (BA)
Expect to hear a lot about ignition in the next year.
No, I don?t mean the rebuilt ignition you bought on eBay for the beat up ?68 Cadillac El Dorado up on blocks in your front yard.
Defense contractor Lockheed Martin?s (LMT) famed Skunk Works in California has finally come out of the closet and announced that it has made a major breakthrough in fusion research.
A small functioning reactor could be available in as little as three years.
If true, the news would be dynamite.
I have long been partial to Lockheed as a company, as it employed my mother on an assembly line in Los Angeles to build B-17 bombers during WWII.
When I visited a secret Russian airbase in 1992 to view the wreckage of Gary Powers? U-2 spy plane, the steel Lockheed serial number was unmistakable.
After I asked to take it home as a souvenir, my hosts replied with a very firm ?Nyet!? and hurried me out of the facility, citing it as a ?National Treasure.?
The new fusion technology would deliver ten times more power than conventional nuclear reactors at a fraction of the cost.
Fusion involves the combining of two hydrogen atoms to create one helium atom, releasing immense amounts of power.
To know how much, simply refer to Albert Einstein?s famous equation, E = MC squared.
If successful, the discovery could make available unlimited amounts of carbon free energy at near zero cost, without creating any toxic waste.
The breakthrough relies on using a ?magnetic bottle? to contain the several hundred million degree of heat generated, instead of four foot thick reinforced concrete containment structures.
So far, the stock market is clueless.
Economical fusion power, the type unleashed by thermonuclear hydrogen bombs, has long been the dream of physicists and long term planners everywhere.
The focus of research has until now taken place at the National Ignition Facility next door to me at Lawrence Livermore National Labs in Livermore, California. There, progress has recently suffered several set backs and time delays.
Mention California to most people, and images of love beads, tie died T-shirts, and Birkenstocks come to mind.
But it is also the home of the first atomic bomb, which was originally designed amid the vineyards and cow pastures of this bucolic suburb.
Dr. Robert Oppenheimer of the UC Berkeley School of Mining used to keep the first ever piece of purified plutonium in a file cabinet in his office that, thankfully, was made out of steel.
If it were a wooden cabinet, the US might have lost WWII.
Today, the world?s first cyclotron has been turned into a modern steel sculpture in a traffic roundabout, not a mile from my home.
The thinking at the time was that if someone accidently flipped the wrong switch, it wouldn?t blow up San Francisco, or more importantly, Berkeley.
The $5 billion Livermore project aims 192 lasers at a BB sized piece of frozen hydrogen, using fusion to convert it to helium and unlimited amounts of clean energy.
The heat released by this process reaches 100 million degrees, hotter than the core of the sun, and will be used to fuel conventional steam electric power plants.
The raw material is seawater, and a byproduct is liquid hydrogen, which can be used to fuel cars, trucks, and aircraft. If this all sounds like it is out of Star Trek, you?d be right.
I worked with these guys in the early seventies, back when math was used to make things, and before it was used to game financial markets.? I can tell you, there is not a smarter and more dedicated bunch of people on the planet.
If it works, we will get unlimited amounts of clean energy for low cost in about 20 years. Oil will only be used to make plastics and fertilizer, taking the price down to $10 for domestic production only.
The crude left in the Middle East will become worthless. Lumps of coal will only be found in museums, or in jewelry, its original use. If it doesn?t work, it will melt the adjacent Mt. Diablo and take me with it.
If Lockheed?s fusion success is scalable, it could lift its stock out of the pre-election doldrums from which it, and the rest of the defense sector has been suffering.
Those would include Northrop Grumman (NOC) and Boeing Aircraft (BA).
If you don?t get your newsletter tomorrow, you?ll know what happened.
Now what is this switch for?
I watched John Thomas for a year before jumping in, and I should have done it earlier when he phenomenally traded that awful year, 2011, that whipsawed so many investors including myself.
He again outperformed the market in 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015 and so far he has shown amazing skill once more in navigating treacherous markets with deep-in-the-money call and put spreads.
You can not exactly replicate his numbers 100% of the time for many different reasons, some of them strictly technical in nature.
But you will get most of them, or you can use his trade alerts just directionally to help you determine where you should put your money and how to allocate your dollars risk on vs. risk off.
I am up 20% trading with John since October 2015. I also like John's in-depth charts, market insights, and his educational webinars, that have become the cornerstone of my market evaluations.
One should never put all eggs in the same basket, but subscribing to the Mad Hedge Fund Trader is a smart way to enhance the performance of your stock portfolio.
Christian
Austin, Texas
Sometimes You Have to Toot Your Own Horn
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