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Douglas Davenport

June 5, 2020 - MDT Alert (AGNC)

MDT Alert

I am going to use today's gap to suggest you book the profit on the AGNC position.

AGNC is just under the midband on the daily chart and above the upper band on the 60 minute chart, which suggests it maybe near a short term top.

And when I suggest a position and it moves away and comes back into profit, I suggest you take the profit.

Sell AGNC at the market, which is $14.17.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Douglas Davenport https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Douglas Davenport2020-06-05 09:58:162020-06-05 09:58:16June 5, 2020 - MDT Alert (AGNC)
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 5, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to a six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-05 09:34:492020-06-05 09:34:49June 5, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 4, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
June 4, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(MERCK’S BIG COVID-19 EXPANSION)
(MRK), (PFE), (GSK), (AZN), (MRNA)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-04 11:02:572020-06-04 11:22:36June 4, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Merck’s Big COVID-19 Expansion

Biotech Letter

Leading biotechnology and healthcare giant Merck (MRK), with a market capitalization of $203.75 billion, has been a low-key player during the pandemic.

Now, it finally reveals its grand plans via three major initiatives that aim to create a vaccine and design a novel antiviral against the coronavirus disease (COVID-19).

While Merck has been slow to take part in the COVID-19 war, it’s definitely making up for the lost time by announcing a promising acquisition and two collaborative projects in the works.

The first of the three deals is Merck’s acquisition of Vienna-based biotechnology company called Themis Bioscience. This small-cap biotech develops a range of vaccines and other therapies for infectious diseases.

One of Themis Bioscience’s pipeline candidates is a COVID-19 vaccine, which is a collaborative effort with the Institut Pasteur. Another promising candidate in Themis Bioscience’s pipeline is its late-stage work on a Chikungunya.

Through the acquisition, Merck will be able to access these works and hasten the development of the vaccine.

The second deal is Merck’s collaboration with a nonprofit scientific research group called International AIDS Vaccine Initiative (IAVI). This partnership aims to create a COVID-19 vaccine as well.

This will be a powerful collaboration since IAVI also received $38 million in funding from the US Health Department’s Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA) to help them with their vaccine development initiatives.

Apart from IAVI, BARDA also awarded over $2 billion in funding to other vaccine developers like AstraZeneca (AZN), Phlow, and Moderna (MRNA).

Together, IAVI and Merck aim to optimize the latter’s recombinant vesicular stomatitis virus (rVSV) technology which has been used for Merck’s Ebola vaccine called Ervebo.

The third deal is Merck’s partnership with privately held Ridgeback Biotherapeutics, a Miami-based biotechnology company founded in 2018.

The collaboration intends to develop an oral antiviral treatment, dubbed as EIDD-2801, which can be used for COVID-19.

So far, this developmental drug had been proven safe in a trial with healthy volunteers. Clinical testing for COVID-19 patients has already commenced.

Under the terms of the deal, Merck will own exclusive global rights to EIDD-2801.

The giant biopharma will take charge of the clinical development, manufacturing, and regulatory procedures. In exchange, Ridgeback received an undisclosed amount in upfront payment and milestones. The smaller biotechnology company will also be entitled to a share of net proceeds from the COVID-19 treatment. 

Prior to these deals, investors have been curious as to why Merck was missing in action amid the government’s “Operation Warp Speed” for COVID-19 treatments and vaccines.

With this triple play, Merck has signaled that it’s also going all-in on this pandemic and will pull out all the stops to be on the same level as the efforts from other major biotechnology and healthcare players like GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), Pfizer (PFE), and AstraZeneca (AZN).

The strategic moves from this healthcare giant clearly underscore the incredible demand for any vaccine that actually survives the R&D gamut, as every nation across the globe frantically looks for a vaccine to boost their people’s immunity.

While companies such as CanSino (HKG:6185) and Moderna go neck to neck to take the lead in the clinical race, we all know that two companies cannot handle the production of a vaccine for the entire world -- offering Merck a slot at a place in these chosen group of companies.

Outside its COVID-19 efforts, Merck recently chalked up another win for its blockbuster melanoma drug Keytruda. This time, the top-selling medication expanded its use to advanced colon cancers.

Based on key findings, Keytruda lowered the risk of the disease’s progression or even death by 40% compared to chemotherapy.

Results show that the tumors of patients given Keytruda did not grow for 16.5 months. In comparison, chemotherapy patients experienced tumor growth in 8.2 months.

Even prior to the expansion of its indications, Keytruda sales have continued to make headway.

In the first quarter of 2020, sales of this cancer drug reached $3.3 billion, showing off a whopping 45% year-over-year jump.

With this new addition to Keytruda’s indications, sales of this drug is expected to climb even higher this year.

Apart from that, Merck’s HPV vaccines, called Gardasil and Gardasil 9, performed well in the first quarter as well as sales of both HPV vaccines increased by 31% to reach $1.1 billion.

Another strategic effort for Merck is delving into drug development focused on neurodegenerative diseases like Alzheimer’s, Parkinson’s, and Huntington’s disease.

This initiative was kicked off by Merck’s move to buy a GSK startup, called Calporta Therapeutics, for $576 million in 2019.

It was followed by forging a two-year partnership with Almac Discovery this year. Apart from neuro-related diseases, the two companies are looking into developing therapies for cancer and viral diseases as well.

To further boost its pipeline, Merck completed a deal with Taiho Pharmaceuticals and Astex Pharmaceuticals worth $50 million in upfront payment plus incentive payments of up to $2.5 billion.

The company is also working on spinning off its "Women's Health, Trusted Legacy Brands, and Biosimilars” products into a brand new company with a focus on oncology and vaccines as well as animal health. If things go smoothly, the spinoff should be done by the first half of 2021.

Overall, Merck has proven itself as a stable dividend stock that investors can simply buy and hold for years.

The biotechnology company has managed to post a profit every year for the past decade, actually hitting double-digits most of the time within that period.

This is a trend observed in Merck’s first quarter report as well. The company posted $3.2 billion in profit on sales worth $12.1 billion. This represents a respectable 27% profit margin.

Merck biotechnology

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-04 11:00:572020-06-04 17:08:31Merck’s Big COVID-19 Expansion
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 4, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to a six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-04 10:16:152020-06-04 10:16:15June 4, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 4, 2020

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
June 4, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(SHORT SELLING SCHOOL 101),
(SH), (SDS), (PSQ), (DOG), (RWM), (SPXU), (AAPL),
 (VIX), (VXX), (IPO), (MTUM), (SPHB), (HDGE)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-04 10:04:352020-06-04 10:06:06June 4, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 4, 2020 - Quote of the Day

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

“I had no idea Amazon would produce this kind of performance. I blew it,” confessed Oracle of Omaha Warren Buffett.

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/amzn-jun4.png 192 288 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-04 10:00:292020-06-04 10:04:56June 4, 2020 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (SDS) June 3, 2020 - SELL-STOP LOSS

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-03 11:32:192020-06-03 11:48:00Trade Alert - (SDS) June 3, 2020 - SELL-STOP LOSS
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 3, 2020

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
June 3, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(ABOUT YOUR RIOT-PROOF PORTFOLIO),
(COMPQ), (WMT), (APPL), (AMZN), (TGT), (JWN), (EQIX), (GOOGL), (MSFT)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-03 11:04:142020-06-03 11:43:02June 3, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

About Your Protest-Proof Portfolio

Tech Letter

Social unrest will have NO material effect on tech shares moving forward.

Some investors expected the Nasdaq (COMPQ) index to roll over big time, throttled by a national insurrection. Anti-police-violence protests, some becoming riots, have broken out in more than 60 cities.

However, it appears to be another false negative for the Nasdaq as it motors upwards acting on the momentum of outperformance during the coronavirus.

One thing that the coronavirus pandemic, as well as protests, have taught investors is the unwavering faith in technology’s strength will continue powering the overall market rebound.

Any social unrest will not stop tech shares because they simply don’t subtract from their revenue models.

This will perpetuate into the rest of 2020 and beyond.

Much of the public reaction from big tech has been paying some form of lip service about the national situation being untenable followed up with a small donation.

Apple (AAPL) says it's making donations to various groups including the Equal Justice Initiative, a non-profit organization based in Montgomery, Alabama that provides legal representation to marginalized communities.

To read more about big tech’s donations, click here.

Aside from some PR formalities, it will be business as usual after things settle down.

Apple might suffer some slight inconveniences of having some stores looted, but that doesn’t mean consumers can’t buy products online.

Tech companies simply contort to fit the new paradigm and that is what they are best at doing.

Apple has charged hard into the digital service as a subscription world that has served Amazon, Apple, Google (GOOGL), and Microsoft (MSFT) so well.

To read more about the robust performance of software stocks, please click here.

Many of these tech companies don’t need a physical presence to drive forward earnings, revenue models, and widen their competitive advantages.

That’s the beauty of it and their brands are so entrenched that it doesn’t matter what happens in the outside world at this point.

It’s true that a few tech companies might have to scale back or modify operations until the storm subsides but not at a great scale that will worry investors.

Amazon is reducing deliveries and changing delivery routes in some areas affected by the protests.

Big tech dodged a bullet with the majority of the financial burden falling on the shoulders of big-box retailers like Walmart (WMT) and Target (TGT) and city center-located businesses.

Walmart closed hundreds of stores one hour early on Sunday, but most are slated to reopen. Nordstrom (JWN) temporarily closed all its stores on Sunday.

Amazon (AMZN)-owned Whole Foods are often located in neighborhoods that are perceived likely to escape the bulk of the turmoil.

The events of the last few days will have significant side effects on the normalcy of society or the new normal of it.

Combined with the pandemic, consumers will opt for more spacious housing options in less concentrated areas of the U.S.

The social unrest once again delivers the goodies into the hands of e-commerce as people will be less inclined to leave their house to consume.

A stock that really sticks out during all of this is the leader in interconnected data centers Equinix (EQIX) because of the explosion of data being consumed from the stay-at-home revolution.

Sadly, the price of tech share does not account for life quality which is part of the reason we see stocks lurching higher.  

By the time all the different crises, including coronavirus and protests, are snuffed out, we could be in a world where the only strong companies left are technology, "big tech".

They have an insurmountable lead at this point with guns still blazing.

When you add the windfall of trillions in cash the Fed has pumped out and unwittingly diverted into tech shares recently, it is hard to envision ANY scenario in which the Nasdaq will be down a year from now.

I am bullish on the Nasdaq index and even more bullish on big tech.

Even the supposed “rotation” to value has only meant that tech shares haven’t gone down.

A dip now in tech shares means shares dip for two hours before resurging.

Why would anyone want to sell the best and highest growth industry in the public markets with unlimited revenue-generating potential?

protests and technology

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-03 11:02:492020-06-04 16:27:18About Your Protest-Proof Portfolio
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