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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 5, 2020 - MDT Alert (PRA)

MDT Alert

PRA has been trading in a range since the position was put on.

And as I write this, it is trading around $15.27.

We can collect $.20 per share by selling the November monthly calls against the position and that is what I suggest you do.

Here is the trade:

Sell to November 20th - $17.50 call for $.20.

These calls expire in two weeks.

This will bring to $1.00 per share the premium collected on the position.

And if the calls are assigned on the 20th, the return will be 12.5%.

Only sell these calls if you are long the stock. And sell 1 call for every 100 shares you own.

This alert applies to you only if you own shares in PRA.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-05 12:55:232020-11-05 12:55:23November 5, 2020 - MDT Alert (PRA)
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 5, 2020 - MDT Alert (AA)

MDT Alert

I would like to make a suggestion on a covered call. And it is on a stock that does have weekly options.

And they already reported and do not report again until January 2021.

The stock is Alcoa Corp. (AA).

AA is trading around $13.98 as I write this. And it is trading right around the key midband level on its daily chart.

My suggestion today is to buy AA at the market, which is $13.98.

Then Sell to Open (1) November 13th $14.50 call for every 100 shares you buy.

These calls can be sold for $.25.

If these calls are assigned next Friday, the return will be 5.5% for 6 trading days.

Based on the nominal tracking portfolio, I suggest a limit of 500 shares or 7% of the portfolio.

Remember to sell the calls that expire next Friday.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-05 12:40:032020-11-05 12:40:22November 5, 2020 - MDT Alert (AA)
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (AMGN) November 5, 2020 - SELL-TAKE PROFITS

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-05 10:56:152020-11-05 10:57:43Trade Alert - (AMGN) November 5, 2020 - SELL-TAKE PROFITS
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 5, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to a six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-05 09:33:322020-11-05 09:33:32November 5, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 5, 2020

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
November 5, 2020
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(A NOTE ON OPTIONS CALLED AWAY),
(SPY), (UNP), (TSLA), (CAT), (JPM), (GOLD), (UPS), (AMGN), (TLT)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-05 09:04:402020-11-05 17:13:10November 5, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 4, 2020 - MDT Alert (MAS)

MDT Alert

Call me skittish or anything you would like, but I am going to suggest you book the one day profit in the MAS position.

Especially, when you can book a one-day 60% return.

Here is how you close the trade.

Sell to Close November 20th - $55.00 Call for $3.60

Buy to Close November 20th - $60.00 Call for $.65

The net credit will be $2.95 per spread.

The debit when initiated yesterday was $1.95, resulting in a profit of $1.10 per spread.

This results in a one-day gain of 59.5%.

If you traded the suggested 6 lot, the cash return is $660.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-04 14:42:372020-11-04 14:42:37November 4, 2020 - MDT Alert (MAS)
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (SPY) November 4, 2020 - SELL-TAKE PROFITS

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-04 14:15:122020-11-04 14:15:12Trade Alert - (SPY) November 4, 2020 - SELL-TAKE PROFITS
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (TLT) November 4, 2020 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-04 13:55:112020-11-04 13:55:11Trade Alert - (TLT) November 4, 2020 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 4, 2020

Tech Letter



Mad Hedge Technology Letter
November 4, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(WHICH JOBS ARE ON THE LINE NEXT?)
(CVX), (CRM), (ALL), (SCHW), (XOM), (RTN)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-04 12:04:182020-11-04 12:35:16November 4, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Which Jobs are on the Line Next?

Tech Letter

For every job created by Amazon during the pandemic, there are 10 jobs losses in the brick and mortar retail sector.

That is happening as we speak.

The next phase of job losses will move up the value chain and hit those precious $100,000 per year jobs precisely because the advancement of technology will allow management to seamlessly substitute these highly paid workers with a digital or automated solution.

The evidence is starting to follow through.

In the last few days, ExxonMobil, Chevron (CVX), Charles Schwab, and Raytheon have announced plans to cut thousands of white-collar jobs.

Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Salesforce (CRM), Allstate (ALL) and CNN owner WarnerMedia have already announced a massive wave of firings too.

Corporate America's belt-tightening provides more evidence of the fragile and unforgiving nature of this pandemic.  

Global consultant McKinsey & Company forecasts over 800 million global workers could be replaced by robots by 2030.

The most exposed jobs on the cutting block consist of artificial intelligence (AI), a subset of automation where machines learn to use judgment and logic to complete tasks.

Stanford University doctoral candidate Michael Webb analyzed the data for 16,000 AI-related patents and more than 800 job descriptions and found that highly educated, well-paid workers will become more impacted by the spread of AI.

Bachelor’s degree holders would be exposed to AI over five times more than those with only a high school degree.

That’s because AI is especially superior at completing tasks that require planning, learning, reasoning, problem-solving, and predicting — most of which are skills required for white-collar jobs.

Other closely related jobs are in robotics and software and are likely to impact the physical and routine work of traditional blue-collar jobs.

This will sap the demand from everything from home buying and shopping to credit card defaults if a large swath of the U.S. population earns no income.

The rolling wave of white-collar layoffs is very impactful because this is the group that possesses the most purchasing power in the U.S. economy which is a consumption-driven economy.

Evidence is starting to pop up all over the board.

For instance, Charles Schwab (SCHW) said it would cut about 1,000 jobs following its takeover of TD Ameritrade.

Efficiencies, or the lack of it, have never been more magnified where companies are slashing redundant jobs upon mergers.

In the short term, white-collar workers have fared far better during the pandemic than blue-collar workers, who tend to be younger and have less education.

This is because white-collar workers have been able to operate from a home office where the bulk of blue-collar workers do not have that option.

But in the long term, technology through automation is also going to swallow up these higher-paid workers.

That is not to play down the trend of mass furloughs and layoffs in various industries, but technology and artificial intelligence will be deployed to cut high-paying jobs when it improves.

I believe that in 10 years or less, the technology will improve by leaps and bounds to the point where companies are able to install and scale it globally in an instant.

Those jobs will then go poof!

Nearly 40% of low-income workers lost their jobs in March and it is likely that the U.S. economy will never see that level of peak employment again.

Many people were rehired or found jobs elsewhere as the US economy reopened. After peaking at nearly 15% this spring, the unemployment rate has descended steadily, falling to 7.9% in September.

The mounting signs of white-collar job cuts cannot be ignored.

In another example, Allstate announced in late September that it would lay off 3,800 employees.

The insurance giant blamed the job cuts on the lack of driving during the pandemic and the refunds given to customers.

The pandemic resulted in fewer accidents, thus needing fewer claims people.

ExxonMobil (XOM) announced it will cut 1,900 jobs in the United States, mostly at its headquarters in Houston.

A broader reorganization by Exxon will slash 14,000 jobs by the end of 2022.

Energy companies have been disproportionately impacted because the demand shock has halved oil revenues.

This list goes on and on as Raytheon (RTN) disclosed it will lay off 4,000 contractors, mostly engineers, as well as 1,000 corporate employees.

And that's on top of Raytheon previously announcing plans to lay off 15,000 employees because of the downturn in the aviation industry.

Government, local and federal, has to confront a massive loss of revenues which will affect its ability to hire and maintain government workers.

Layoffs could rise among government workers because the pandemic has set off an epic budget crunch at states and local municipalities.

Eventually, whether it's 5 or 10 years down the line, the next set of solutions will inherently lead to the A word which every employee dreads – Automation.

Going 100% remote means face to face communication has slowed down to a crawl and management is less inclined to reward employees who “put on a good face” and for the sake of their own survival have turned to employees that perform well.

There will be an ultimate race to the bottom with spiraling wages and human workers unable to justify their place when competing with machines.

This inevitably leads into the world of analytics to management part of the staff for better or worse and many companies have gone from all to nothing in an instant.

I know this is a lot of information to process, but the ones getting on board with the new normal will thrive and the ones late to implement the necessary measures will flounder.

2020 has been a strange year, and get ready for new twists and turns in the last two months.

Each ensuing year will most likely get weirder because of the heavy introduction of automation into human lives.

 

job cuts

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/robotics.png 400 856 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-04 12:02:372020-11-05 23:46:08Which Jobs are on the Line Next?
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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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