Global Market Comments
February 8, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or THE SWEET SPOT CONTINUES),
(INDU), (SPY), (SLV), (GME), (TLT), (JPM), (BAC), (C), (BLK)
Global Market Comments
February 8, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or THE SWEET SPOT CONTINUES),
(INDU), (SPY), (SLV), (GME), (TLT), (JPM), (BAC), (C), (BLK)
Global Market Comments
February 5, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(FEBRUARY 3 BIWEEKLY STRATEGY WEBINAR Q&A),
(MRNA), (PFE), (JNJ), (AMZN), (SLV), (GME), (GLD), (CLDR), (SNOW), (NVDA), (X), (FCX),
(AAPL), (TSLA), (FEYE), (PANW), (SWI), (WYNN), (MGM), (LVS)
Hi John,
Thanks for your comments yesterday on the two happiest people you have met. Both were uplifting.
The story about Kazuko particularly resonated with me. I am a sansei who grew up in Fresno, CA. My grandparents were from Hiroshima and came to the US in the early 1900s. They were both sent to "camp" in Jerome, Arkansas.
Both my uncle and dad served in the US Army during WWII--my dad was a technical sergeant in Europe and my uncle was a Lieutenant in MIS. My dad won a new Chevrolet for writing a winning essay in Stars and Stripes about what he wanted to do after returning to civilian life. His message as told to me was that it was essential to serve the community.
He followed through by becoming a president in almost every group that he joined, from Rotary to Central CA Optometric Association to local planning commissions and local and County School Boards. My dad was a grad of UC Berkeley and my mom a grad of Fresno State (which Kazuko may have attended).
You have clearly achieved at much higher levels and in much broader experiential arenas, but your advice and commentary in both financial and occasional political areas generally resonate well with me. I lean green, drive a (TSLA), and benefitted from your recent (TSLA) bull call spreads.
I look forward to a better and cleaner world for future generations. Thank you for your deep service in the financial area as well as the country. Sorry for the rambling.
Dan
Global Market Comments
February 4, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(A NEW THEORY OF EQUITIES)
Global Market Comments
February 3, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(THE THIRTEEN-YEAR ANNIVERSARY OF THE MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER)
"Great entrepreneurs see patterns where others see chaos," said Geoff Yang of venture capital firm Redpoint.
Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
February 2, 2021
Fiat Lux
FEATURED TRADE:
(2021: GILEAD SCIENCES’ YEAR OF MILESTONES)
(GILD), (NVAX), (JNJ), (MRK)
Stocks are tumbling on the back of substandard vaccine updates, with investors growing more wary of the whole COVID-19 vaccine narrative.
January ended with Novavax (NVAX) announcing that its COVID-19 vaccine candidate is roughly 90% effective, but doesn’t work as well against other more contagious strains in South Africa.
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) reported that its candidate is only 66% effective at stopping moderate to severe strains of the coronavirus, but is 100% effective in preventing hospitalizations and even death 28 days after it gets administered.
However, the real kicker is Merck’s (MRK) decision to completely drop out of the COVID-19 vaccine race when both its candidates showed disappointing results in the early stages.
This is disappointing news considering that Merck is one of the biggest vaccine developers in the world today.
Nonetheless, Merck’s still not out of the COVID-19 race yet as it appears to be following the lead of Gilead Sciences (GILD) instead.
That is, it plans to focus on developing COVID-19 treatments in the hopes of benefiting from it the same way Gilead did in the past months.
Since the pandemic started, Gilead has been at the forefront of the fight – so much that its COVID-19 treatment, Remdesivir, is evidently having a major impact on the company’s top line.
In its third-quarter earnings report in 2020, Gilead reported $6.6 billion in total revenue, showing off a 17% jump from its performance during the same period last year.
If you exclude its COVID-19 sales, Gilead would have only earned $5.6 billion, with the increase in its year over year performance changing from 17% to just 2%.
As for its overall performance in 2020, Gilead announced that it’s raising its previous guidance from the $23 billion and $23.35 billion range to be somewhere between $24.3 billion and $24.35 billion.
This new guidance indicates a 10% year over year growth, but without Remdesivir, its product sales would actually show a slight decline compared to 2019.
Outside Remdesivir, Gilead has been active in searching for additional growth drivers.
So far, the most promising segment is its HIV lineup led by its top-selling product, Biktarvy, also known as "the gold standard in HIV treatment."
In the third quarter of 2020, sales of Gilead’s HIV line climbed by 8% to reach $4.5 billion.
While generic competition has entered the market, Biktarvy is expected to continue to gain steam in 2021.
Another catalyst in its HIV line is the drug Lenacapavir, which can either be developed as a twice-a-year injection or a weekly pill.
If successful, Lenacapavir can bring an additional $9 billion in revenue for Gilead.
Aside from HIV, Gilead has also been working toward becoming a leader in the oncology sector.
To achieve this, the company spent $21 billion for the acquisition of Immunomedics.
Specifically, Gilead bought the New Jersey-based company for its new breast cancer treatment, Trodelvy.
Gilead’s massive bet on Trodelvy raised a lot of eyebrows, but the product offers a very real chance for an enormous payoff for its shareholders.
Trodelvy lowers the risk of death among breast cancer patients by an impressive 52% when compared to those who receive standard care.
Annually, Trodelvy is estimated to rake in at least $1.8 billion in revenue for Gilead --- and that’s only for breast cancer application.
Gilead also intends to expand Trodelvy’s application to include more complex fields of oncology and even for some viral diseases.
Beyond its COVID-19 program, Gilead has an impressive portfolio of diverse assets that the company is focused on developing.
It currently has 42 clinical programs queued in its pipeline and at least a handful of these are anticipated to become steady sources of revenue.
As expected, it spent 2020 acquiring the necessary partners for its big picture plans, making 2021 a year of milestones for the company.
Global Market Comments
February 2, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(MY NEWLY UPDATED LONG-TERM PORTFOLIO),
(PFE), (BMY), (AMGN), (CELG), (CRSP), (FB), (PYPL), (GOOGL), (AAPL), (AMZN), (SQ), (JPM), (BAC), (MS), (GS), (BABA), (EEM), (FXA), (FCX), (GLD), (SLV), (TLT)
When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more
Legal Disclaimer
There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.
This site uses cookies. By continuing to browse the site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies.
OKLearn moreWe may request cookies to be set on your device. We use cookies to let us know when you visit our websites, how you interact with us, to enrich your user experience, and to customize your relationship with our website.
Click on the different category headings to find out more. You can also change some of your preferences. Note that blocking some types of cookies may impact your experience on our websites and the services we are able to offer.
These cookies are strictly necessary to provide you with services available through our website and to use some of its features.
Because these cookies are strictly necessary to deliver the website, refuseing them will have impact how our site functions. You always can block or delete cookies by changing your browser settings and force blocking all cookies on this website. But this will always prompt you to accept/refuse cookies when revisiting our site.
We fully respect if you want to refuse cookies but to avoid asking you again and again kindly allow us to store a cookie for that. You are free to opt out any time or opt in for other cookies to get a better experience. If you refuse cookies we will remove all set cookies in our domain.
We provide you with a list of stored cookies on your computer in our domain so you can check what we stored. Due to security reasons we are not able to show or modify cookies from other domains. You can check these in your browser security settings.
These cookies collect information that is used either in aggregate form to help us understand how our website is being used or how effective our marketing campaigns are, or to help us customize our website and application for you in order to enhance your experience.
If you do not want that we track your visist to our site you can disable tracking in your browser here:
We also use different external services like Google Webfonts, Google Maps, and external Video providers. Since these providers may collect personal data like your IP address we allow you to block them here. Please be aware that this might heavily reduce the functionality and appearance of our site. Changes will take effect once you reload the page.
Google Webfont Settings:
Google Map Settings:
Vimeo and Youtube video embeds: