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Douglas Davenport

October 6, 2022

Jacque's Post

Hello everyone,

First, let’s welcome Sabelo Mthembu and Mia Lily to the group.

This post will be a summary of John’s most recent webinar – on October 5th.

Titled:  Betting the Ranch

John is up +70.18% YTD in 2022

He is up 9.72% in September.

An annualized return of 45.36% for 14 years.

80.09% trailing one-year return.

He has made 9.12% in 9 trading days.

I would argue that you could count on one hand people that can do this consistently over many years.

We are now 9 months into a 12–15-month bear market.

Q4 could be the best entry point for stocks in a decade.  It will be the time to look at those LEAPS.

Concierge clients will soon have a dedicated website for all their LEAPS.

Inflation is plunging but it may not show up until the October 13 number.

VIX pops to $34.00

The major trading rally launched with the onset of Q4 may be discounting the end of interest rates in as early as two months.

U.S.$ is close to peaking with bond bottoming at a 4.00% yield.

Tesla's deal to buy Twitter is a disaster for Musk – there are a lot of non-believers that the deal will even take place.

The Fed raises rates by .75 basis points – the statement suggested rates will be higher for longer.

Consumer sentiment hits a record low according to the University of Michigan.  It is worse than the pandemic low and the 2009 Great Recession.

The VIX hits $34.00 on Tuesday.  Perfect time for John to put out trade alerts.

The bond short is gone.  The rich uncle has given everything away.

The risks of NOT being invested are rising.

Stocks for your list:

PANW – great LEAP candidate

ROM – great entry point.

VISA – great entry point

BRKB – great LEAP

As are many others…

TLT has lost 43% in 21/2 years. 

Real estate is in freefall.  Case Shiller – falls 18.7% to 16.1% in June.

That’s all for now.

Do take care.

Cheers,
Jacque

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Douglas Davenport https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Douglas Davenport2022-10-06 11:22:012022-11-17 15:19:15October 6, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (SPY) October 6, 2022 - GET OUT AT COST - SELL

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-06 11:12:122022-10-06 11:28:05Trade Alert - (SPY) October 6, 2022 - GET OUT AT COST - SELL
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (JPM) October 6, 2022 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-06 10:43:512022-10-06 10:43:51Trade Alert - (JPM) October 6, 2022 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 6, 2022

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
October 6, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(MY OLD PAL, LEONARDO FIBONACCI),
(TESTIMONIAL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-06 10:06:552022-10-06 12:24:24October 6, 2022
DougD

Quote of the Day - October 6, 2022

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

When asked how he manages the time to be chairman of Microsoft, run the world's largest charity, and raise three kids, Bill Gates answered, "I don't mow the lawn."

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Lawn-Smiley-Face.jpg 317 244 DougD https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png DougD2022-10-06 10:00:112022-10-06 12:22:49Quote of the Day - October 6, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 5, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
October 5, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE DEAL GOES THROUGH)
(TWTR), (TSLA)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-05 15:04:132022-10-05 16:08:56October 5, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Deal Goes Through

Tech Letter

I believe there are still more twists and turns in the Elon Musk chasing after his favorite social media platform saga.

It’s getting a little out of hand now.  

It seems like it’s the story that will never burn out, yet it gives us deep insight into the state of the tech industry.

It could be just a giant ploy to buy Twitter (TWTR) shares on the open market by Musk as it traded all the way down to $35 per share in July.

Musk could have feigned problematic to drag the price of shares down and scoop them up on the cheap to bring down the cost basis of the sale.

This could be the reason why Musk has offered to conclude a $44 billion acquisition of Twitter in a dramatic turn of events.

The SpaceX Chief had written to Twitter yesterday offering to close the deal at the original price of $54.20 a share.

Musk had been set for a courtroom duel with Twitter with multiple legal commentators warning he had a slim chance of succeeding in his attempt to scrap the deal.

On the surface, it certainly does appear as if Musk has been pacified and content with pushing the deal through.

However, the caveat, funding must be secured for this to go through and since the interest rate environment has turned from bad to atrocious, the other question that must be asked is whether banks can provide the necessary funding at exorbitant rates.

Musk is already thinking 5 steps ahead tweeting that the acquisition could be an “accelerant” to “creating X, the everything app”, adding the process would be accelerated by up to five years without giving further details.

Musk’s initial argument in reneging on his offer to buy the company was that it had miscounted the number of spam or bot accounts on its platform.

An “everything app” could mean something similar to China’s WeChat.

A super app in which you can do everything from paying the gas bill, to ordering pizza, and even finding a new girlfriend.

No doubt if the deal goes through, Twitter and Tesla will be inextricably linked with services of each on both.

Getting down to the nuts and bolts, Twitter is a great technology asset and one that is highly scarce.

It’s the center of conversation for anyone who is of high visibility.

Although I believe the price Musk is paying is way too high and $25 billion seems more appropriate, Musk is a victim of his own brinkmanship.

I also believe that a sharp recession that we could experience in 2023 was the real reason for securing the deal now and not later.

If Tesla’s stock tanks in 2023, it would be cringe-worthy to sell stock at depressed prices to fund a Twitter deal.

Musk saw a clear path to financing this deal and that is the clincher. It also bodes ill for tech stocks in 2023 if Musk thinks he needs to cash in now before they head lower as the Fed raises rates aggressively.

However, something tells me this deal will still get dragged out.

 

musk

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-05 15:02:102022-10-28 12:23:23The Deal Goes Through
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 5, 2022 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“Bitcoin is probably rat poison squared.” – Said Legendary U.S. Investor Warren Buffett

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/warren-buffett.png 244 398 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-05 15:00:452022-10-05 16:07:42October 5, 2022 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 5, 2022

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
October 5, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(TESTIMONIAL),
(DINNER WITH DAVID POGUE),
(TSLA)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-05 10:06:042022-10-05 11:10:43October 5, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Testimonial

Diary, Newsletter, Testimonials

If I ever have to walk across a minefield, I want you leading the way.

David
Orange County, CA

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/john-thomas-bull-ride.png 594 506 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-05 10:04:342022-10-05 11:10:54Testimonial
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There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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