"I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." – Said 3rd U.S. President Thomas Jefferson

"I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." – Said 3rd U.S. President Thomas Jefferson

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more
Global Market Comments
January 25, 2023
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(TESTIMONIAL),
(THE BULL CASE FOR BANKS),
(JPM), (BAC), (C), (WFC), (GS), (MS)

CLICK HERE to download today's position sheet.
Thanks, John for the Tesla trade.
I bought 40 contracts of the February $95-$100 vertical bull call spread at $3.75 and sold it this morning for $4.75 for a $4,000 gain.
NICE!
Penny in Florida

Tuesday morning
January 24, 2023
Hello everyone or Bonjour,
I’m practicing my French, so I can keep up with Alex.
But I don’t yet know what the French is for anti-inflation bet.
It seems that’s how investors are approaching the market this year. Will it pan out this way?
Yes, markets are moving up slowly as they look forward to the end of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes. In other words, they are looking through near-term economic weakness and toward the next Fed cutting cycle – even though the current hiking cycle is not yet over. With an expected 0.25% - 0.50% move on Feb 1, investors have grown more comfortable with owning stocks. Fed fund futures are even anticipating some mild rate cuts by the end of 2023, according to CME Group data.
But is it an error of judgment to assume that the Fed will not show such a hawkish tone on Feb 1?
Is the market underestimating the Fed’s desire to avoid a 1970’s style inflation resurgence?
The 1970s saw the central bank raise rates to control inflation, only to cut them on signs of economic weakness. The consequence of this was more increases in the early 1980s that sent the economy into a double-dip recession.
According to Data Trek Research, history shows that the Fed most often cuts policy rates during recessions … so, is the U.S. in recession now?
Food for thought.
The latest Time Magazine cover says it all:
A Picture of Red Lips with a zip across them. It seems the world is full of people who want to hold the floor and spotlight with their wordy content, but apparently, it is the people who say less, who will receive more.
Maybe, we’re just sick of all the noise!

Artificial Intelligence is motoring along at breakneck speed. Now we have ChatGPT. Will it work alongside us or instead of us?
Figureheads in education are scratching their heads.
I can see handwritten essays in class as the future to challenge the AI revolution.
Not sure how education will challenge the chip in the arm or the head scenario.
But wouldn’t that make us boring and stifle creativity?
See Mohamed El-Erian’s post below.

John closed out the February 95/100 TSLA vertical bull call spread today at $4.80 or best. That was a good decision as TSLA reports tomorrow and earnings results are uncertain. Clients who did this trade took home approximately $1,250 or 11.62% in 5 trading days. The $101 bottom in TSLA shares is looking quite solid.
Yesterday, John sent out a trade alert to buy the QQQ February 2023 $305-315 in the money vertical BEAR PUT spread at $9.00 or best.
Expiration Date: February 17
Stand aside if you don’t do options.
John is 71 years young on 26 Jan (Australia Day). Drop him a line. He’d love to hear from you.
Happy mid-week. Have a terrific day.
Cheers,
Jacque
“In order to write about life, first you must live it” - Ernest Hemingway
Subscription to Jacquie’s Post is on John’s site in his Store.
$170 USD/year.
Many thanks to those who are subscribers.
Mad Hedge Biotech and Healthcare Letter
January 24, 2023
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(A MARKET-BEATING HEALTHCARE STOCK)
(LLY), (ABBV), (AMGN), (BMY), (GILD), (JNJ), (MRK), (PFE), (MRNA)

The previous year was horrible for the stock market, with the S&P 500 dropping in value by roughly 19%, marking its first decline since 2018 and only the second time it sank since the 2008 financial crisis.
It was an even more horrid year for the biotechnology industry, with the flagship SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI) sinking by 26% following its more than 20% decline in 2020—a catastrophic blow for such a promising index which delivered an impressive over 30% gains in 6 of the last 10 years.
Meanwhile, the stock prices in the large-cap pharmaceutical segment generally stayed buoyant. The “Big 8,” in particular—AbbVie (ABBV), Amgen (AMGN), Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY), Eli Lilly (LLY), Gilead Sciences (GILD), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Merck & Co (MRK), and Pfizer (PFE)—reported an average share price gains of roughly 15%.
Among the names in this list, Eli Lilly has become one of the go-to “safe” stocks during these turbulent times.
In contrast to the broader market, the company has performed exceptionally well in the last 12 months, with its share prices climbing by 12% within the timeframe.
One of the critical reasons that propelled Eli Lilly’s performance was the regulatory approval it obtained for Mounjaro, a diabetes treatment, in May 2022. Although this pharma giant has been hailed as the leader in the diabetes care segment for decades, Mounjaro is a game changer.
This newly approved diabetes treatment could blow any competitor out of the water, with peak sales estimated to hit $25 billion.
Besides diabetes, Mounjaro is also under review as a potential obesity treatment, signifying label expansions for this drug.
If this pushes through, then Eli Lilly would become one of the first movers in the diabetes and obesity markets, with only Novo Nordisk (NVO) standing as a realistic challenger. Based on the market size and the lack of competitors, the profit margins for these segments could be likened to those recorded by Pfizer and Moderna (MRNA) for the COVID-19 vaccines.
There are also other promising candidates in Eli Lilly’s portfolio. One is Donanemab, which is a potential treatment for Alzheimer’s disease. According to the company's Phase 3 study, its candidate delivered better results than Biogen’s (BIIB) approved Alzheimer’s treatment, Aduhelm.
Eli Lilly recently sent its atopic dermatitis treatment candidate, Lebrikizumab, for regulatory review in both the US and Europe. This marks another potential blockbuster for the company, with many treatments queued for review and possible approval by the end of 2023.
As for the company’s current portfolio, most of its products still report good results. For instance, sales of its cancer drug Verzenio rose by 84% year over year to record $617.7 million in the third quarter of 2022. Revenue for the diabetes treatment Trulicity climbed 16% year over year to reach $1.9 billion.
Another factor that makes Eli Lilly attractive is its dividend. Over the past five years, the company has doubled its payout. In 2022, the company disclosed a 15% hike to its dividend payouts. This marked the fifth consecutive year Eli Lilly implemented.
In December 2022, Eli Lilly shared its updated guidance for 2023. For 2022, the company projected that its top line would be between $28.5 billion and $29 billion. That represents a modest growth rate. Eli Lilly shareholders can anticipate better performance this year.
For 2023, the company estimates sales to climb to $30.8 billion. While that amount may appear underwhelming, it’s essential to keep in mind that this is a very conservative estimate. Eli Lilly is taking into account several concerns that may affect its growth, such as patent exclusivity losses and a decline in its COVID-19 sales.
Overall, Eli Lilly has proven itself to be a good and solid business that looks in excellent shape to continue delivering market-beating returns.
With a market capitalization of over $350 billion and several candidates in its pipeline, this company has a strong potential to be worth much more in the following years. Also, it’s critical to bear in mind that since 2020, Eli Lilly shares have skyrocketed by 176%, dwarfing the S&P 500’s 20%—a trend I expect to continue. I suggest you buy the dip.

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more
When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more
Global Market Comments
January 24, 2023
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(TESTIMONIAL)
(HOW TO BUY A SOLAR SYSTEM),
(SPWR), (TSLA)

CLICK HERE to download today's position sheet.
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