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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 4, 2024

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
December 4, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(MANAGEMENT TURNOVER IN TECH SPURRING CHANGES)
(INTC), (CRWD), (PANW)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-04 14:04:522024-12-04 14:07:58December 4, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Management Turnover In Tech Spurring Changes

Tech Letter

CEO’s are toast as the CEO turnover tally starts to explode at the end of 2024.

There appears to be a strong trend that will grow in 2025, and that is corporate tech companies looking to the bullpen to substitute out the CEO.

They aren’t doing enough for their respective companies, and that needs to change.

This speaks volumes to the tough times in which debt has become too expensive to fund growth.

Tech companies have always played by the idea of the “winner takes all” mentality, and 2024 underscored this trend by seeing the likes of the Magnificent 7 grow in size and stature.

Through October, more than 1,800 CEOs have announced their departures this year. The outperformance of big tech stocks means that shareholders are putting massive pressure on management to juice up their own stock prices.

The number of exits is up 19% from the more than 1,500 departures during the same period last year, which was the previous year-to-date record.

Boards of directors are becoming impatient and ambitious, holding their CEOs accountable for underperformance — both in terms of profits and stock price.

The expected length of tenure as a CEO, on average, is declining as a result of these performance pressures.

The massive stock market gains of the past two years — the S&P gained roughly 20% in 2023 and is set to gain more than that by the end of 2024 — also pose challenges to US companies.

The outperformance of big tech is forcing shareholders to lean into their own management and demand answers to why they are falling behind.

The answer is complicated, and I acknowledge that many CEOs aren’t in the position to throw around capital like the CEO of Apple, Tim Cook, or CEO of Meta Zuckerberg.

These leaders can chase the next big thing and can strike out many times and not even bat an eyelid.

High turnover shows growing risk appetites and "a desire for leaders who can navigate increasing complexity in the macro business environment, including tech transformation, sustainability, geopolitical crises, and social issues."

If a company’s figurative boat is sinking while most others are enjoying a rising tide, corrective action must be taken by the CEO and or the Board.

If the CEO doesn’t have a clear plan for a turnaround, the Board finds someone who has a plan and the strength to execute that plan. It doesn’t matter if the CEO is actually at fault. Blame is assigned, and heads roll. It isn’t always fair.

Many of these tech CEOs cannot just issue dividends or execute stock buybacks to manipulate the share prices higher.

I believe these shareholder returns will be a key tool for big tech to jump over the low bar after a bevy of lower-than-expected guidance.

Next year, we could experience the haves and have nots in tech separate from each other even further.

Many of these hot chip names are right in the middle of their growth curves. 

Software stocks still look good on the dips.

Lately, there were selloffs in cyber security stocks like Palo Alto Networks (PANW) and CrowdStrike (CRWD).

Traders bought the dip after weak guidance, and this is an example of where there is an opportunity as a trader to get in at optimal entry points.

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-04 14:02:032024-12-04 14:07:23Management Turnover In Tech Spurring Changes
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 4, 2024 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“AI and the robots will provide any goods and services that you want.” – Said Elon Musk

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Elon-Musk.png 418 314 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-04 14:00:012024-12-04 14:07:15December 4, 2024 - Quote of the Day
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 4, 2024

Jacque's Post

 

(AN UPDATE ON CORE SCIENTIFIC (CORZ)

December 4, 2024

 

Hello everyone

December 4, 2024, stock price:  $16.42

August 7, 2024, purchase price: $9.71

Percentage gain from 08/07/24 to 11/29/24 = 84.14%

 

Core Scientific (CORZ) daily chart

 

Core Scientific is a sort of rags to riches story.  This year it went from bankruptcy to an investor’s favourite by betting on two big technology trends:  AI data centres and bitcoin mining.  Shares are up around 400% this year.

Core Scientific has been earning steady profits by hosting servers owned by companies that sell cloud services to AI providers.

Data centres are in high demand because tech companies need them to power their AI applications.

Core Scientific operates nine grid-connected warehouses in six states with access to so much electricity they could serve several hundred thousand homes.

The company started the year focused entirely on crypto mining, but it quickly pivoted as it saw demand surge for electricity for AI data centres.

In June, the company signed a deal with a company called Coreweave to lease data centre space for AI cloud services.  Coreweave has since agreed to lease 500 megawatts worth of space.  Core Scientific says it will get paid $8.7 billion over 12 years under the deal.

Privately held Coreweave is one of the fastest-growing companies behind the AI revolution.  It was once a cryptocurrency miner, but has since transitioned to offering cloud services, with a particular focus on artificial intelligence.  It’s closely connected to Nvidia, which has invested money in Coreweave and given the company access to its top-end chips.  Coreweave expects to be one of the first customers for Nvidia’s upcoming Blackwell GPUs.

Analysts see EPS in the company jumping tenfold by 2027.  Shares trade at about 13 times those 2027 estimates.

The data center opportunity should only grow from here, as tech companies build more powerful AI systems.  Of the 1,200 megawatts worth of gross power capacity Core Scientific has contracted, about 800 megawatts are going to data center computing deals and 400 megawatts toward Bitcoin mining.   

 

QI CORNER

 

 

Recording of October Zoom monthly Meeting (apologies for the late arrival of this recording)

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/jacquie-munro-meeting-replay-october-2024/

 

 

Cheers

Jacquie

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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 4, 2024

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 4, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(AMERICA’S DEMOGRAPHIC TIME BOMB)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-04 09:04:102024-12-04 10:39:33December 4, 2024
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

America's Demographic Time Bomb

Diary, Newsletter

You can never underestimate the importance of demographics in shaping long-term investment trends, so I thought I’d pass on these two highly instructive maps.

The first shows a map of the world drawn in terms of the population of children, while the second illustrates the globe in terms of its 100-year-olds.

Notice that China and India dominate the children’s map. Kids turn into consumers in 20 years, stay healthy for a long time, and power economic growth.

The US, Japan, and Europe shrink to a fraction of their actual size on the children’s map, so economic growth is in a long-term secular downtrend there.

There is more bad news for the developed world on the centenarian’s map, which shows these countries ballooning in size to grotesque, unnatural proportions.

This means higher social security and medical costs, plunging productivity, and falling GDP growth.

The bottom line is that you want to own equities and local currencies of emerging market countries and avoid developed countries like the plague.

This is why we saw tenfold returns from SOME emerging markets (EEM) over the past ten and why there is an irresistible force pushing their currencies upward (CYB) over the long term.

Use any major meltdowns this year to increase your exposure to emerging markets, as I will.

 

 

 

 

Would You Rather Own Them?

 

Or Them?

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/Children.jpg 297 369 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2024-12-04 09:02:342024-12-04 10:39:18America's Demographic Time Bomb
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 3, 2024

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech and Healthcare Letter
December 3, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(EYE SPY THE NEXT BIG THING)

(LCTX), (RHHBY), (ALPMY), (ADVM), (EDIT), (RGNX)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-03 12:02:052024-12-03 12:37:33December 3, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Eye Spy The Next Big Thing

Biotech Letter

Who knew that the path to restored vision would involve recycling?

Not the kind where you sort plastics from paper, but the fascinating world of cellular hand-me-downs, where scientists are taking stem cells - nature's ultimate blank slate - and transforming them into made-to-order eye parts.

While most medical breakthroughs involve pills, patches, or the occasional well-placed zap of electricity, doctors have managed something far more incredible: they've successfully restored vision in multiple patients by essentially giving their eyes a cellular renovation via stem cell transplants.

But before you picture entire eyeballs being swapped out like lightbulbs, let me explain: We're talking about precision repair work at the cellular level, particularly targeting the notorious troublemakers of the vision world - macular degeneration and corneal damage.

The numbers behind this story are enough to make your eyes pop (sorry, couldn't resist).

Nearly 20 million Americans over 40 are currently living with age-related macular degeneration (AMD). That's more people than the entire population of New York City, all dealing with various stages of vision loss.

Break it down further, and you've got 18.34 million people with early-stage AMD and 1.49 million with the late-stage version, according to those number-crunchers at JAMA Network.

And once you hit 75, your chances of having AMD jump to nearly 30% - not exactly the golden years surprise package anyone's hoping for.

Here's where things get interesting - and by interesting, I mean expensive.

The National Eye Institute estimates that vision loss costs the U.S. about $139 billion annually. That's not just medical bills. It's everything from lost productivity to the cost of assistance devices and support services.

To put this in context, $139 billion could buy every resident of California a lifetime supply of carrots - though that wouldn't help their eyesight nearly as much as stem cell therapy.

Speaking of which, the stem cell therapy market, currently valued at a modest $456 million (pocket change in pharmaceutical terms), is expected to bulk up considerably, growing at a clip of 25.23% annually from 2025 to 2030.

By 2032, we're looking at a market worth $56.15 billion. That's what financial types call a growth opportunity, and what I call a lot of zeros.

Now, let’s take a look at the companies betting big on this cellular vision quest.

Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX) is developing something called OpRegen, which sounds ominous but is actually a therapy using retinal pigment epithelium cells.

They must be onto something because Roche’s (RHHBY) Genentech liked it enough to throw $670 million at them in a collaboration deal.

Then there's Astellas Pharma (ALPMY), working on their own vision-restoration treatment, and Adverum Biotechnologies (ADVM), which is taking a slightly different approach with gene therapy.

Editas Medicine (EDIT) is getting even fancier, using CRISPR technology - think molecular scissors for DNA - to snip out the bad bits causing blindness.

Regenxbio (RGNX) rounds out our vision-quest dream team with their work on something called RGX-314, which uses viral vectors to deliver therapy (think of it as FedEx for genes).

The whole field of regenerative medicine, currently a $13.3 billion industry, is expected to grow exponentially, with projections showing a 23.3% annual growth rate by 2030.

That's significant considering the vision restoration market alone is worth $30 billion globally, with plenty of room to expand. Of course, that’s assuming these treatments make it through the regulatory obstacle course.

For one, there's the FDA to convince, manufacturing challenges to solve (turns out, growing eye cells at scale is tricky), and the ever-present question of who's going to pay for it all.

But given the alternative - a future where millions more lose their vision to degenerative diseases - the motivation to solve these challenges is crystal clear.

For those watching this space, I advise adding these names to your watchlist. After all, the future of vision care isn't just about getting better glasses or contact lenses anymore - it's now about regrowing the parts of the eye that wear out.

And that's a vision worth keeping an eye on (last eye pun, I promise).

 

 

 

 

 

 

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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 3, 2024

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 3, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(THE MAD HEDGE DECEMBER TRADERS & INVESTORS SUMMIT IS ON!)
(IT’S GROUNDHOG DAY)
(LAUNCHING "TRADING OPTIONS FOR BEGINNERS”
(SPY), (TLT), (TBT), (VIX), (VXX), (GLD), (SLV)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-03 09:08:232024-12-03 11:37:22December 3, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

The Mad Hedge December Traders & Investors Summit is On!

Diary, Newsletter

The election is over and a brave new world lies before us.

But the Fed may soon stop raising interest rates, inflation is rising, and tech stocks are flat-lining! Can a stock market crash be far behind? 

What should you do about it?

Attend the Mad Hedge Traders & Investors Summit from December 3 - 5. Learn from 24 of the best professionals in the market with decades of experience and the track records to prove it. They are offering a smorgasbord of successful trading strategies.

Every strategy and asset class will be covered, including stocks, bonds, foreign exchange, precious metals, commodities, energy, and real estate.

Get the tools to build an outstanding performance for your own portfolio.

Best of all, by signing up you will automatically have a chance to win up to $100,000 in prizes. 

Usually, access to an exclusive conference like this costs thousands of dollars. You can attend for free!

Listening to this webinar will change your life! To register, please click here.

 

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/Mr-John-Thomas.png 554 374 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-03 09:06:122024-12-03 11:36:52The Mad Hedge December Traders & Investors Summit is On!
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