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C3.AI Gets Gutted

Tech Letter

Many of you might not have heard of the AI company C3.ai.

This tech firm is at the low end of the AI transformation.

They are still part of it, but they don’t move the needle much.

The company currently only has a market cap in the low $2 billion, which is microscopic compared to the heavyweights like Nvidia (NVDA).

The past earnings report was nothing short of a disaster, and that is a rarity for AI stocks.

Although C3.ai isn’t the end-all be-all of the AI movement, it certainly gives us a vivid glimpse under the hood of some of the weaker companies in this sub-sector.

Remember, it was only just the other year when anything and everything labeled AI rose with unrelenting force.

We are past that stage now, for better or worse.

Now that the market is becoming more selective in what they differentiate between good and bad AI, it has never been more important to choose the right AI stock.

Moving the goalposts is a hallmark of a maturing industry, and AI is nothing different.

The ticker symbol AI is now down over 20% this morning, showing readers that not all AI is created equal.

C3.ai  develops and sells enterprise AI software solutions. They offer a platform for building and deploying AI applications, as well as pre-built, industry-specific applications for various sectors like manufacturing, energy, and healthcare. Their software aims to help organizations accelerate digital transformation by improving areas like asset performance, supply chain optimization, and fraud detection.

C3.ai reported Q1 revenue, a dramatic 33% below the midpoint of its prior guidance range of $100–109 million.

The revenue miss underscored challenges in capitalizing on market demand, particularly as enterprises increasingly adopt AI solutions. This shortfall was a key driver of investor disappointment, as it suggested that C3.ai was struggling to maintain its growth momentum in a competitive landscape.

Management blamed underperformance on management restructuring, which is quite a weak excuse if you ask me. 

The reorganization, aimed at improving long-term efficiency, temporarily hampered the company’s ability to close deals and generate revenue. Management described it as a significant setback, highlighting the risks of internal changes during a critical growth phase.

The company reported a significant increase in losses, highlighted operational inefficiencies, and raised questions about the company’s ability to manage costs effectively. Unlike some AI peers that have achieved profitability, C3.ai’s persistent losses underscored challenges in scaling its business model while maintaining financial discipline, further eroding investor confidence.

This could fuel a narrative that enterprise AI spending may be slower than anticipated or that companies need to demonstrate clearer ROI to secure large-scale contracts.

C3.ai’s doubled operating losses highlight a broader challenge for some AI companies: achieving profitability in a competitive and capital-intensive market.

The AI industry is increasingly crowded, with tech giants like Microsoft and AWS, as well as nimble startups, competing for market share.

This could lead to a narrative that only well-capitalized or highly specialized AI firms will thrive, while others face consolidation or market share erosion.

If someone put a gun to my head, I would say avoid C3.ai’s stock.

The tech market is clearly relegating the mediocre AI stocks.

Although I wouldn’t classify this as a major crack in the foundation in the AI narrative, it is a small concern, and if similar companies start to report something similar, this small concern turns into something more.

Ultimately, the AI narrative continues, make money while the conditions are ripe for it.

 

 

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