Chinese Tech Glitters In The Short-Term

The bazookas have been unloaded, and the results are big.

The aftermath is reverberating through the rest of the world’s equity markets.

The Chinese economy is in the dumps and the Chinese communist party is using every tool in the proverbial toolkit to pull them out of their slump.

Juxtapose that in the face of a demographic time bomb and we could say that it is in the nick of time.

Now that we have decades of data on the issue, the Chinese economy has major structural issues and instead of fixing it, they are throwing liquidity at it.

Chinese purchasing power is about to drop through the toilet pipes, but I believe bellwether stocks like Alibaba (BABA), JD.com (JD), Pinduoduo (PDD), and Baidu (BIDU) will perform quite well.

China is all about ecommerce at the retail level anyway and Alibaba will be able to reverse a years-long slump on the back of Beijing’s sweeping stimulus measures.

Flooding the system with liquidity will paper over the cracks and should get consumers out and about instead of eating instant noodles in their little apartments.

Retail is now moving in the right direction again.

Although, long term this does nothing to address the major structural issues in the system, the short-term transfusion should help putting money in consumer’s pockets and liquidity on Chinese corporates will outperform.

Market-support measures initiated by the People’s Bank of China included mortgage rate cuts and an unprecedented $114 billion stock-buying facility.

The renewed positive market sentiment for Alibaba reflects its resilience after struggling in recent years, owing to Beijing’s 32-month crackdown on Big Tech firms and the mainland’s shaky post-pandemic economic recovery.

BABA lost nearly half their value over the past five years.

China’s largest operator of online shopping platforms and a major domestic artificial intelligence (AI) technology player, Alibaba recently won praise from the State Administration for Market Regulation for complying with rectification measures, ending more than three years of regulatory scrutiny that has hung over the company’s operations.

Alibaba’s cloud computing services unit last week announced at an event in Hangzhou the release of more than 100 large language models – the deep-learning technology underpinning generative AI applications like ChatGPT – to the global open-source community and a new text-to-video model, as the company showed its rapid progress in this field.

Earlier this month, Alibaba founder Jack Ma called on employees of the business empire he created 25 years ago to “believe in the future” and “believe in the market” amid stiff competition.

The Chinese Communist Party and their heavy handed approach has a lot to do with many tech companies fizzling out.

It is impossible to really kick start growth when they are suppressing it.

However, now is the time when the government has realized they are overdoing it and have unleashed the animal spirits.
Ultimately, the Chiense government is the arbiter of who gets to do business and how well in China.

In the short-term, Chinese tech stocks will outperform American tech stocks.

Chinese tech stocks are cheap by almost every metric – buy the dip in Chinese tech.