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Time is of the essence in the volatile markets. Individual traders need to grab every advantage they can. This is an important one.

Good luck and good trading.

John Thomas

I have traveled in the Middle East for 50 years.

When I first hitch hiked across North Africa in 1968, camels were everywhere, and most of the population was barefoot.

These are the things I recall when dictator Muammar Gaddafi was deporting me from Libya.

When I grew up a few years later, I covered the neighborhood wars for The Economist magazine during the 1970's.

While representing Morgan Stanley in the firm's dealings with the Saudi royal family in the 1980's, I paused to stick my finger in the crack in the Riyadh city gate left by a spear thrown by King Abdul Aziz al Saud when he captured the city in the 1920's, thus creating modern Saudi Arabia.

They only mistake I made in my Texas fracking investments is that I sold out too soon in 2005, when natural gas traded at $5 and missed the spike to $17.

By now, the only camels you ever see are tourist rides at the foot of the pyramids, the racing camels of the Gulf Emirates.

So let me tell you about the price of oil.

It's going up.

No matter how much oil there is in the world, it is tough to beat a global synchronized economic recovery.

China, Europe, and Japan all running hot at the same time. I bet you didn't know that all of these economies are currently beating America's 3% growth rate, in some cases by miles.

Giving a bow to my new long term forecasts, I don't see the end of global quantitative easing until October 2018. The current bull market in stocks should end in mid 2019, and the next recession won't hit until 2020.

So there is ample room to get one more trade here in oil.

You should do well buying majors like Exxon Mobile (XOM) or Chevron (CVX). You can probably beat those returns through investing in Occidental Petroleum (OXY).

But I'll tell you where the real money will be made:

Master Limited Partnerships, or MLP's.

I always find it a useful exercise to sift through the wreckage of past investment disasters. Not only are there valuable lessons to be learned, sometimes decent trades emerge.

I have been doing that lately in the energy sector, a hedge fund favorite these days, and guess what?

MLP's are back. And no, I'm not talking about the Maui Land and Pineapple Company (MLP) (yes, there is such a thing!).

But these are not your father's MLP's.

With overnight cash yields still at a paltry 0.50%, the allure of high yielding MLP's is still there.

Let me start with my investment thesis.

It is always better to invest in an asset class that has its crash behind it (energy) than ahead of it (equities, bonds).

And lets face it, the final bottom in oil at $25 is in.

We may bounce around in a $45-$60 range for a while. But eventually, I expect a global synchronized economic recovery to take it higher.

And while I have never been a fan of OPEC, they are showing rare discipline in honoring the production quotas negotiated in late 2016.

That eliminates much of the downside from MLP's for the next 18 months and makes it one of the more attractive risk/reward trades out there.

The fact is that the energy revolution in the U.S. remains very much intact.

Keep a laser like focus on the weekly Baker Hughes rig counts, as I do, and you see that we have been on a relentless upturn for nearly two years.

Except that this time it's different.

Thanks to hyper accelerating technology (yes, there's that term again), new wells employ a fraction of the labor of the old ones, and are therefore more profitable.

That means they can function, and even prosper, with a much lower oil price.

Since everything is political these days, I would remiss in not bringing this unsavory issue up.

To say that the new administration is friendly to the oil industry would be the understatement of the century.

Look no further than the Keystone pipeline, which after languishing for eight years, saw approval from the new president during his first week in office.

That means lower taxes, more subsidies, and less regulation of the business, all profit boosting measures.

There is another angle too.

By now, you should all be experts on inflation plays, since you read my opus on the subject in my newsletter only yesterday.

Oil is a great inflation play. As prices rise, consumers can pay ever-higher prices for energy.

The great thing for MLP investors is that many revenue streams are inflation-linked according to fixed formulas, much like TIPS, (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities).

But you have to be clever by half to take advantage of these new trends.

Thanks to the crash, the surviving MLP's are now a much better quality investment.

Balance sheet quality has improved as a result of deleveraging in the last three years, and the worst of the ratings downgrade cycle is behind us.

Importantly, some $50 billion- $60 billion worth of growth opportunities for MLPs are expected during FY2017-2020.

That makes the industry one of the great secular growth stories out there today.

As an old fracker myself I can tell you that the potential of the revolutionary new technology has barely been scratched.

Thanks to technology that is improving by the day, a Saudi Arabia's worth of energy reserves remain to be exploited, and maybe two, turning the US into an energy-exporting powerhouse.

Industry experts expect MLP distributions to grow by 3%-5% annually over the coming years. Few other industries can beat this.

That means avoiding upstream Exploration and Production companies; where there is still a ton of risk, and placing your bets on midstream companies that operate pipelines.

And by midstream I don't just mean pipelines, but also processing facilities for natural gas liquids and storage and terminal facilities.

You especially want to look at companies with high barriers to entry and attractive assets in high- growth and low-cost production regions.

Companies with a sustainable cost advantage, operated by experienced management with proven geological prowess are further pluses.

MLP's also stack up nicely as a diversifier for your overall portfolio.

Over longer time periods MLP's have generated similar returns to equities, with similar to slightly higher levels of volatility.

Historically they have traded at lower yields than high yield bonds, but currently they are yielding 250 basis points more.

And now for the warning labels.

This is not a new story.

As you can see from the charts below, MLP's have been rallying hard since oil bottomed in January, 2016.

Still, with yields in the 7%-10% range, a certain amount of pain is worth it.

Still interested?

Take a look at the Alerian MLP ETF (AMLP) (6.11%), the Global X MLP Energy Infrastructure ETF (MLPX) (6.11%), and Valero Energy Partners LP (VLP) (4.72%).

By the way, can any readers tell me if my favorite restaurant in Kuwait, the ship Al Boom, is still in business? The lamb kebab there was to die for.

Don't Throw Out the Baby With the Bathwater

Last year, whenever anyone asked me for a stock most likely to double in 2017, I uniformly responded with the same name: NVIDIA (NVDA).

For me, it was a no-brainer.

The processor manufacturer occupied the nexus of the entire movement towards machine learning and artificial intelligence, and then was still relatively unknown.

I lied.

The stock didn't double, it more than tripled, from $67 to a high of $219.

These days, I am being asked the same question.

But this time, I'm going to be boring. Believe it or not, the name to double again in 2018 is (NVDA).

You would think I am MAD to be chasing the big winner of 2017.

But take a look at their blockbuster earnings announced last week first, which blew away the street's most optimistic expectations.

Q3 revenue leapt 54% to just over $2.64 billion, and net profits of $1.33 a share, up 33% YOY, and 41.5% greater than expected.

Their gross operating margin is an eye popping 59.7%.

It is dominating in the fastest growing sectors of the technology space, including AI, virtual reality, and fast data processing.

Every automobile company is basing its self-driving technology on its XP computer.

And now there is a new game in town.

(NVDA) is a major beneficiary of the exponential growth of cryptocurrencies, whose need for processing power is growing voraciously.

At this point, the company has a huge installed base of users on which to build on.

Look at the spec sheets of anything you buy these days and you will find NVIDIA parts somewhere in the guts.

I bought a Dell Alienware Area 51gaming PC to run the Oculus Rift virtual reality hardware for my kids this Christmas (they don't read this letter on a daily basis). It came with a state of the art NVIDIA GeForce GTX 1080 graphics card.

I also happen to know that NVIDIA chips are lurking somewhere in my Tesla (TSLA) Model S-1 and Model X.

Most companies have only one or two artificial intelligence experts. NVIDIA has over 1,000.

While the stock is priced for perfection, it is continuing to deliver just that. The shares actually fell on the earnings announcement.

But let's face it. The momentum of this stock has been unassailable.

However, the company is so far ahead of its competitors it is actually increasing its lead. Nobody has a chance of catching them.

The company is managing an industrywide migration of processing power from the CPU to the GPU. You have to use their architecture, or you will go out of business.

This is why every PC manufacturer, including Dell (DVMT) and Hewlett Packard (HPQ), are partnering with them. IBM (IBM) is using their chips in their high-end machines.

This is because (NVDA) is now first to market with everything important.

Nvidia's dominance of the high-end GPU market is allowing it to soak up all of the spending that would normally have been at least somewhat split between itself and AMD.

Gaming was the big revenue booster for Nvidia, which now accounts for 59% of sales.

Sales of Nvidia's flagship product, the passively cooled 16GB Tesla P100 GPU, is being ravenously consumed by data centers around the country, and should double again in 2018.

And the company has just started to ship its new Volta-based Tesla V100 GPU, which offers a tenfold increase over previous generations.

Hold one of these dense, wicked fast processors in your hand and you possess nothing less than the future of western civilization.

Over the long term, the picture looks even better. It should continue with annual earnings growth of at least 20%-30% a year for the foreseeable future.

At a minimum, the shares have at least another double in them. If I'm wrong, they'll only go up 50%.

Not a bad choice to have.

To learn more about Nvidia, please visit their website by clicking here.

For those of you who did the trade at the beginning, or better yet, bought deep out of the money one year option LEAPS, well done!

I am hearing of 800% returns, or better.