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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 26, 2024

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 26, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

SPECIAL ISSUE ABOUT THE FAR FUTURE

Featured Trade:
(PEAKING INTO THE FUTURE WITH RAY KURZWEIL),
(GOOG), (INTC), (AAPL), (TXN)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-26 09:04:192024-12-26 10:02:24December 26, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 24, 2024

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 24, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(THE NEXT COMMODITY SUPER CYCLE HAS ALREADY STARTED),
(COPX), (GLD), (FCX), (BHP), (RIO), (SIL),
(PPLT), (PALL), (GOLD), (ECH), (EWZ), (IDX)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-24 09:04:022024-12-24 09:59:07December 24, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 23, 2024

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 23, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(A BUY WRITE PRIMER)

(AAPL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-23 09:04:282024-12-23 11:34:05December 23, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 20, 2024

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 20, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(THE EIGHT WORST TRADES IN HISTORY)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-20 09:04:512024-12-20 13:09:00December 20, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 19, 2024

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 19, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(A CHRISTMAS STORY),
(THE U-HAUL INDICATOR)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-19 09:06:022024-12-19 11:49:20December 19, 2024
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The U-Haul Indicator

Diary, Newsletter

It is the end of the semester at the University of California, and as a single parent, the unenviable task of retrieving my daughters out of the dorms for the holidays fell to me.

When I arrived, I was stunned to find nothing less than a war zone. Both sides of every street were lined with mountains of trash, the unwanted flotsam and jetsam cast aside by departing students.

Computer desk, embarrassingly stained mattresses, broken lava lamps, and an assortment of heavily worn Ikea furniture were there for the taking. Newly arriving students were sifting through the piles, looking for that reusable gem.

Diminutive Chinese teenagers were seen pushing massive suitcases on wheels down the sidewalk on their way back to Shanghai, Beijing, and Hong Kong. The university attempted to bring order to the chaos by strategically placing dumpsters on every block, but they were rapidly filled to overflowing.

It was all worth it because of the insight it gave me into one of my favorite, least-known leading economic indicators. When I picked up the truck at U-HAUL, the lot was absolutely packed with returned vehicles, and there were more parked on both sides of the streets.

The booking agent told me there is a massive influx of people moving into California from the Midwest and the Northwest, with the result that lots all over the San Francisco Bay Area are filled to capacity.

I love this company because, in addition to providing a great service, they get the first indication of any changes to the migratory habits of Americans. The last time I saw this happen was after the dotcom bust when thousands of tech-savvy, newly unemployed pulled up stakes in the foggy city and moved to Lake Tahoe to work in “the cloud.”

Bottom line: California is enjoying a resurgence of hiring and new economic growth, most likely driven by Artificial Intelligence. This is what the stock market is screaming at us right now.

 

 

lava lamps

Want a Great Deal on a Used Lava Lamp?

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/U-Haul-Ad.jpg 203 515 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2024-12-19 09:02:282024-12-19 11:48:39The U-Haul Indicator
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 18, 2024

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 18, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(TESTIMONIAL),
(WHAT EVER HAPPENED TO THE GREAT DEPRESSION DEBT?),
($TNX), (TLT), (TBT)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-18 09:06:162024-12-18 10:34:40December 18, 2024
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Testimonial

Diary, Newsletter, Testimonials

It's so great having John as my Personal Investment 911.  Even when he was navigating the current of his excellent Summit … it took him less than 3 minutes to answer my questions & guide me on my way.  I’m underway & making hay … thank you, John.

Andy  
Sarasota, Florida

 

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/john-thomas-pilot.png 274 350 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2024-12-18 09:04:282024-12-18 10:34:15Testimonial
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 17, 2024

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 17, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(I’M TAKING OFF FOR THE YEAR)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-17 09:06:412024-12-17 10:20:41December 17, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

I’m Taking Off for the Year

Diary, Newsletter

By the time you read this, I will be 200 miles off the west coast of  Mexico on the Coral Princess. I’ll be occupying the spacious owner's suite and packing all three of my tuxes (and all my black socks) just to make sure I am never underdressed.

You see, I need a vacation.

I have been working nonstop for decades and desperately need a break. It seems that the older I get, the more I know the more in demand I become. Why quit taking tests when I already know all the answers?

You can tear up your Rolodex card for me, unfriend me on Facebook, designate my email address as SPAM, and block my Twitter account. It won’t do you any good.

If I don’t take some time off, I am going to start raving MAD!

Over the last 17 years, I have worked the hardest in my entire life. And the last year, I have had to work with a bullet wound in my hip courtesy of the Russian Army in Ukraine. Whenever I have free time, I go fight a war. That’s who you want calling your trades.

This year, I have brought in a total return of +75.25%, versus +27% for the S&P 500, far and away among the best of my life and almost certainly yours as well. If you got half of my performance, you beat virtually everyone else in the industry, even the best hedge funds. In other words, I underpromised and over delivered….in spades. That is my way.

If you wonder why I do this, it’s really very simple. Read my inbox, and you would burst into tears.

Every day, I learn tales of mortgages paid off, student loans dealt with, college educations financed, and early retirements launched. I am improving lives by the thousands. That’s far better than any hedge fund bonus could offer me, although I wouldn’t mind owning the Golden State Warriors.

At this late stage in my life, the most valuable thing is to be needed and listened to. If that means becoming a cult leader, that’s fine with me. After all, the last guy to try this route got crucified.

When horrific uncontrollable wildfires broke out in California, I flew volunteer spotter planes for Cal Fire, holding the stick with one hand and a pair of binoculars with the other, looking for trouble and radioing in coordinates, and directing aerial tankers. Nobody can fly wildfires like I can.

I lost access to my Lake Tahoe house when the big fire hit right in the middle of a remodel. All the contractors disappeared, chasing much higher-paying insurance work. At least we now have a 20-mile-wide fire break to the southwest of the house.

I have high hopes for next summer, starting with my seminar at sea across the Atlantic in June, then a trip on the Orient Express to Venice, another Matterhorn climb in July, client visits in Europe for August, flying Spitfires in England in September, and hiking the 170 mile Tahoe Rim Trail in October.

On top of all this, I was on speed dial at the Joint Chiefs and the US Marine Corps. A major? Really? And now I’m a major in two armies, the US and Ukraine. Seems you’re not the only one in desperate need of global macro advice.

So, I will spend the next 16 days reading the deep research, speaking with old hedge fund buddies, the few still left alive, and trying to come up with a game plan for 2025. One thing is certain: we will likely make a lot more money next year, the setup is so clear. Market volatility is about to go through the roof.

Instead of sending out urgent trade alerts, emergency news flashes, and more research than you can read, I’ll be playing Monopoly and Risk, practicing my banjo, and catching up on some classic films.

I already have one trade-on: I’ll watch Elf for the millionth time if the kids watch Gary Cooper’s 1949 Task Force, the history of Naval Aviation (semper fi).

In the meantime, I’ll be running some of my favorite research pieces from the past over the next two weeks. Hot Tips will include the same.

So, everyone, please have some great holidays, spend your monster Tesla profits well, and get well rested.

We have some serious work to do in 2025.

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year,

John Thomas
CEO and Publisher
The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Selling Christmas Trees for the Boy Scouts

 

 

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/john-christmas-trees-e1577182165465.png 380 500 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-17 09:04:332024-12-17 10:20:21I’m Taking Off for the Year
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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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