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Hot Tips
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October 23, 2025
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Tesla Disappoints,
with an earnings shortfall that took the stock down $18. Tesla's earnings report was a largely disappointing one, with profit missing Wall Street's estimates despite record vehicle deliveries, and operating income plunged 40% in the third quarter. Elon Musk spent the end of Tesla Inc.'s earnings call pleading with investors to approve his $1 trillion pay package and blasting shareholder advisory firms that have come out against the proposal.
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US Imposes Oil Sanctions on Russia,
spiking prices 5%. The step comes at a time when global supply looks plentiful as nations inside and outside the OPEC+ producer alliance ramp up output amid signs of cooling demand growth. If India does drastically cut purchases — senior refinery executives said the restrictions would make it all but impossible for flows to continue — the question will become whether China is willing to step into the void.
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Existing Home Sales Hit Seven-Month High,
up 1.5% in September. Supply of previously owned homes surges 14.0% from a year ago. Median house price up 2.1% to $415,200 from the year-earlier period. Home sales jumped 4.1% on a year-over-year basis. The average rate on the popular 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is near a one-year low of 6.27%. Some realtors have also said the shutdown is delaying contract closings. All-cash sales constituted 30% of transactions, unchanged from a year ago.
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Rivian Announced Mass Layoffs,
as the end of the EV Tax credit on September 30 craters sales. The expiration of a $7,500 U.S. federal tax credit for purchases of new EVs last month is expected to drive up prices and further weaken demand, posing a fresh challenge for automakers such as Rivian already grappling with mounting cost pressures. The EV nuclear winter continues.
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Beyond Meat Reaches Short Interest Exceeds 100%,
meaning that 100% of its share float has been sold short, and no more selling is allowed. About 109% of Beyond Meat's free float shares were shorted, up from 81.8%, as of Wednesday. Short interest in a stock can exceed 100% of its free float due to the re-lending of borrowed shares, allowing multiple investors to short the same underlying stock. Avoid (BYND).
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October 22, 2025
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Netflix Bombs,
with earnings coming in at $5.87 a share versus an expected $6.97. Revenues were in line, but operating margins came in short due to a dispute with Brazilian tax authorities. Guidance was also lower. Ad revenue has doubled. K-pop Demon Hunters wasn’t enough. Buy (NFLX) on dips.
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General Motors Goes Ballistic to All-Time High,
up 15%, with a tremendous earnings beat and forecast. Imagine what their earnings would be without tariffs. Market share recovered to 17%. There is a big pivot away from EVs to internal combustion engines. Falling interest rates also help. No more CAFÉ standards, no more green credit buys from Tesla. Boy, did I miss this one.
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Beyond Meat Achieves Meme Stock Status.
The highly shorted shares jumped more than 60% on Wednesday, fueled by a fresh wave of buying among retail traders who have sparked meme stock frenzies on Wall Street in recent years. It is up a staggering 15X in a week on a massive short squeeze. The company has struggled with weak sales as demand dropped for its plant-based meat patties over the past four years, triggering job cuts and measures to manage its debt pile. Avoid (BYND).
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Gold Takes Another Big Hit,
down $72 on the day. The barbarous relic is now down an eye-popping $450, or 11% on the week. Profit-taking is running rampant. Prices averaged $3,574.95 per ounce in the July–September quarter, up 43.5% year-on-year. Bullion prices surged past $4,000 per ounce for the first time ever this month, with some analysts now forecasting a run to the $5,000 mark next year. Precious metal miners are also benefiting from stable production and contained cost pressures, Stifel analysts said, flagging rising contractor fees, royalties, and taxes linked to gold prices as potential challenges. Overnight, we have flipped from FOMO to fear of margin calls. Wait for gold to bottom out before reentering.
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US Health Insurance Premiums Jump to $27,000.
Reflecting higher spending on popular weight-loss treatments and other prescription drugs. The survey of employers, conducted in the first half of this year, found that premiums for coverage for a family rose $1,406 to $26,993 on average for the year. Workers will have contributed $6,850 of that, with employers covering the balance.
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October 21, 2025
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Gold Dives 5%,
after hitting a fresh peak of $4,381.52 an ounce on Monday, as a strengthening US dollar made precious metals more expensive for most buyers. Haven demand for precious metals has cooled somewhat as the US and China are set to meet next week to iron out their differences on trade. Get ready to buy the dip in (GLD).
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Apple Surges to a new All-Time High,
approaching $4 trillion in market cap. The iPhone 17 series outperformed its predecessor in early sales in China and the United States, with the newer models out-selling the iPhone 16 series by 14% during their first 10 days of availability in the two countries. My 2026 LEAPS are up 35%.
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Coca-Cola Beats,
and keeps annual sales, profit targets despite challenges. Coca-Cola, which is set to launch its cane sugar trademark soda in the U.S. in the fall season, is planning to offer mini 7.5-ounce single-serve cans, priced at less than $2 in U.S. convenience stores, to target lower-income consumers.
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Silver Coin Bags are Back.
Pre-1965 U.S. coins, containing 90% silver, are an investment option for physical silver, with silver prices up almost 80% this year. $1,000 face value bag of pre-1965 silver coins, containing 715 troy ounces, costs about $38,000, a small premium to spot silver. Silver is up almost 80% this year to $52 an ounce after hitting a record $54 recently. There is also some copper value since the coins are 90% silver and 10% copper. Silver may hit $100 an ounce in 2026.
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Pulte Homes Beats,
with third-quarter earnings of $2.96 per share on $4.4 billion in revenue exceeded expectations, but the home sale gross margin was 26.2%. Home orders totaled 6,638, a 6% decrease from the third quarter of 2024, largely meeting analyst estimates. Buy (PHM) on dips.
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October 20, 2025
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Gold to Hit $5,000 an Ounce in 2026,
according to HSBC, a Hong Kong-based bank. The bull market is supported by elevated risks and the impact of new entrants into the market. Spot gold breached the $4,300 level on Thursday and was headed for its strongest week since December 2008. The bank cited geopolitical risks, economic policy uncertainty and rising public debt as factors supporting the price. Buy (GLD) on dips.
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China GDP Comes in Line at 4.8%,
versus 5.0% expected. While China is seeing robust growth, the US is shrinking at a 1% rate. The growth of markets outside the US gets the credit. Who won the trade war?
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American Express Takes off on High-End Spending,
on an increase in their annual platinum fees to $840 a year. Buy (AXP) on dips. It’s a play on concentration of wealth at the top and the rich getting richer.
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Worse is Ahead for EV Makers.
Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, a UK-based pricing and data research firm for energy transition minerals, has cut at least a fifth of its workforce in recent weeks. The 11-year-old firm had been rapidly expanding over the past couple of years alongside growing market interest in lithium, copper and other minerals needed for electric vehicles and other clean-energy uses.
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Silver is Pouring in from All Over the World,
to ease the short squeeze in London. The US, China, and India have been major sources. A shortage of available metal in the London market helped drive silver prices to a premium over U.S. Comex futures a week ago, making deliveries by airplane - usually reserved for much more expensive gold - profitable for sellers. Buy (SLV) on dips.
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October 17, 2025
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Mad Hedge AI Market Timing Index Hits Six-Month Low,
at 23. That means any new long you initiate here will have a 77% chance of making money on a one-month view. Any shorts you initiate have a 77% chance of losing money. The market should hit a short-term bottom in one or two days with the Volatility Index ($VIX) at $25.50.
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US Import Taxes Hit $29.6 Billion in September,
an all-time high and up 295% YOY. That is going to have to come out of your pockets and is also driving inflation upward. Interest payments on the National debt have hit a record $970 billion so far in the fiscal year. The piper is going to have to be paid someday.
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The AI Boom is Driving San Francisco Rents Sky-High,
San Francisco’s residential rents have soared the most in the nation over the past year. Apartment prices in the city rose an average of 6 percent in that time, more than double the 2.5% increase in New York City. That now puts the average rent for a San Francisco apartment at $3,315 a month, right behind New York City’s $3,360, which is the nation’s highest.
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Charles Schwab Books Record Profit,
along with all other brokers. Schwab's (SCHW) results offer an insight into the trends in the investment landscape, with its diversified business model spanning across brokerage services, asset management, banking, and other financial services. Buy (SCHW) on dips.
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Apple Clinches US Rights for Formula 1 Racing.
The move would help the tech giant bolster its streaming service with one of the country's fastest-growing sports, following the success of its Brad Pitt-starrer "F1: The Movie". Apple is thought to have paid $140 million a year for the exclusive broadcast deal. Buy (AAPL) on dips.
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