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Nvidia Earning Out After the Close Today,

and the market will be flatlining until then. Note that the shares are unchanged since the last quarterly earnings three months ago. Analysts largely expect that the company — the largest in the broad-market index — will meaningfully beat Wall Street's expectations and forecast strong sales growth driven by demand for its AI chips and other infrastructure.  I’m staying away as most tech stocks have sold off 10% on good earnings announcements.

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Meta Wins FTC Antitrust Trial,

causing a nice pop in the stock. In a memorandum opinion released Tuesday, Judge James Boasberg of the U.S. District Court in Washington, D.C., said the FTC failed to prove its argument. The case, initially filed by the FTC five years ago, centered on Meta’s acquisition of WhatsApp and Instagram.

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Netflix Up Sharply on Warners Brothers Discovery Bid.

Warner Bros. Discovery has set a Nov. 20 deadline for first-round bids. The board is expected to meet before Thanksgiving to evaluate the offers and aims to have the process wrapped up by year-end. It looks like a 17% annual growth rate isn’t enough for (NFLX) founder and CEO Reed Hastings. Now he wants to take advantage of Paramount’s forced sale of Warner Bros to buy market share. Warner Bros., with its deep film and TV library, extensive production capabilities, and HBO Max, is an opportunity they would be remiss not to investigate. But (NFLX) on dips.

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$1.2 Trillion Lost in Crypto in Six Weeks,

after Bitcoin bounced off $90,000 last night. The risk-sensitive cryptocurrency has lost all this year's gains and is now around 26% below a peak of $126,000 in October. It was last up nearly 1.9% at $93,532, after slipping as low as $89,286.75. Market participants said a combination of doubts around future U.S. interest rate cuts and the risk-averse mood in broader markets, which have wobbled after a long rally, was dragging down crypto. Avoid all crypto.

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Trump Invasion Threats Prompt Massive Rally in Venezuela Debt Default Bonds,

betting that the ouster of socialist leader Nicolas Maduro will pave the way for an investor-friendly government that quickly cuts a deal to pay back a chunk of the debt. A change in leadership would, in theory, help to unlock Venezuela's oil wealth, setting the country on a more stable footing while setting the table for negotiations over debt restructuring. There’s always a trade somewhere. Who said Trump wouldn’t be good for the market?

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Bitcoin Craters Below $90,000 and is Now Down 4% on the Year.

Liquidity, which crypto feeds on, is drying up. Watch Bitcoin even if you don’t play in the crypto space. It’s a great risk indicator, and right now it is shouting “RISK OFF”. Avoid (BTC) and (MSTR), it’s too late to short.

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Major Cloudflare Outage Takes Out Big part of the Internet.

The outage had taken down the websites for everything from the chief US energy regulator, ChatGPT, the New Jersey transit authority, and the social-media platform X. ChatGPT and X were among the services that were back online by 10 a.m. New York time. A Cloudflare spokesperson said the company observed a “spike in unusual traffic” to one of its services around 6:20 a.m. ET, causing some traffic passing through its network to experience errors. The issue was fixed within six hours, according to the company. Avoid (NET).

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Strategy Buys More Bitcoin,

taking its holdings up to 640,418 bitcoin, worth around $70 billion. Strategy Inc. sold €775 million ($898 million) preferred shares at 80 cents on the euro earlier this month. Now, with Bitcoin prices in freefall, the few traders offering prices on the stock are willing to sell at about 78 cents and buy a couple of cents lower, according to two people familiar with the matter, who asked not to be named as the prices were shared privately. Strategy has been doubling down despite the recent crypto rout. The firm bought $835.6 million in Bitcoin in the seven days ended Sunday, the largest purchase by the firm since July. The company appeared to finance the majority of the purchases with the proceeds of the euro preferred offering.

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Jobless Claims Hit Two-Month High.

Continued claims for jobless benefits - those receiving benefits beyond an initial week of relief - rose to 1.957 million in the week ended October 18, updated figures posted to a Labor Department website showed on Tuesday. That was up 10,000 from the prior week and was the highest since early August. It was up notably from the 1.916 million level in the week ended September 13, the last week of data to have been reported prior to the start of the shutdown on October 1.

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Homebuilder Sentiment Comes in Flat.

U.S. homebuilder sentiment remained subdued in November as concerns about the labor market and household finances weighed on demand, contributing to a surge in the share of builders slashing prices to reduce new housing inventory. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index edged up one point to 38 this month. It remained below the 50 breakeven point for the 19th straight month. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the index unchanged at 37.

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Berkshire Hathaway Takes Major Stake in Amazon.

The value of that stake was $904 million by the closing bell on Wednesday. Despite the sizable headline figure, the position doesn’t put Berkshire near the top of Amazon’s biggest shareholder list. The stake represents about 0.1% of Amazon’s outstanding equity. The size of the position, however, had not previously been reported to the public. If it's good enough for Warren, it's good enough for me. Buy (AMZN) on dips.

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China iPhone Sales Jump 22%.

Sales of iPhones in China rose 22% from year-earlier levels in the first month after the iPhone 17 series launched, even as the broader market softened, a private survey showed on Friday. The new lineup drove most of Apple’s smartphone sales in China in the period from the September 19 launch, with the 17 series accounting for nearly four-fifths of units sold to consumers, according to the data from research firm Counterpoint. Buy (AAPL) on dips.

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Construction Spending is Up 0.2%,

the best reading of the year. I’ll take whatever data points I can get, no matter how obscure. The Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Monday that construction spending increased 0.2% after an upwardly revised 0.2% gain in July. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast construction spending would ease 0.1% after a previously reported 0.1% dip in July.

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Margin Calls on Bitcoin are Forcing Selling of Tech Stocks,

which explains the massive 25% down moves matching Bitcoin's own 25% swan dive. Avoid crypto, as it hasn’t found a bottom yet. It has most affected top brokerages like Robinhood (HOOD), Coinbase (COIN), and Interactive Brokers (IBKR). Robinhood has soared nearly 225% in 2025, while Interactive Brokers is up about 50%, which means they could have more room to fall.

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Nvidia Earnings are Out Wednesday After the Close.

Markets may flatline until then. The chip giant is the most important bellwether for the AI trade, with any miss or beat on projections set to impact price action on a wide array of AI stocks. For Q3, analysts are anticipating adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.26 on revenue of $55.2 billion, according to Bloomberg consensus data. That would represent increases of 55% and 57% increase versus the $0.81 EPS and $35.1 billion the company reported in the same period last year.

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Home Foreclosure Jump 20% in October. 

There were 36,766 U.S. properties with some type of foreclosure filing in October — such as default notices, scheduled auctions, or bank repossessions. That was 3% higher than September and a 19% jump from October 2024 and marked the eighth straight month of annual increases.

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David Tepper Likes Regional Banks,

as well as industrials. His Appaloosa hedge fund bought into several old-economy, industrial, and financial stocks in the third quarter and shook up his technology exposure, regulatory filings show. Tepper opened stakes in a host of regional banks and increased his positions in stocks such as Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT) and Whirlpool (WHR), regulatory filings show. At the same time, he reduced his holdings in several mega-cap tech stocks and zeroed out positions in Oracle (ORCL) and Intel (INTC). What is Tepper’s largest position? China’s Alibaba (BABA).

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Boeing Ends Strike.

A new contract will end a more than three-month strike that has delayed the manufacturer's production of F-15 fighter jets and other programs.  The contract proposal that roughly 3,200 workers voted on Thursday includes 24% wage increases over five years as well as a $6,000 up-front bonus, up from $3,000, though it gets rid of a previous Boeing proposal for $4,000 in payments later on. That will bring average base pay from $75,000 to $109,000 over the contract, Boeing had said.

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Bernstein Targets $ 41,340 for Netflix.

Despite the streaming giant’s recent stock fall, Bernstein SocGen Group reaffirmed its Outperform rating and $1,390 price target for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX). Following its third-quarter earnings announcement, Netflix’s stock fell 10% in spite of meeting market forecasts with a 17% year-over-year revenue growth and achieving a 34% EBIT margin (excluding the impact of Brazil).

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Is Eli Lily the Next Stock to Split?

Eli Lilly is identified as a strong candidate for a stock split, with its share price exceeding $1,000 and strong growth from Zepbound. A split, to be clear, doesn’t change the value of the company, which is the market capitalization in the public equity market, or the dollar amount of equity that each shareholder owns. It simply reduces the share price to make the stock more affordable for individual investors—regular folks—many who don’t have the deep pockets of professional investors.

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No Economic Data for October.

Data on the U.S. unemployment rate for October may never be available after the weeks-long federal government shutdown, White House economic Adviser Kevin Hassett said as federal workers returned to work. The household survey wasn't conducted in October, so we're going to get half the employment report. We'll get the jobs part, but we won't get the unemployment rate. And that'll just be for one month. We probably will never actually know for sure what the unemployment rate was in October.

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Walt Disney Disappoints,

a slate of big-budget films, including a new Avatar picture, will weigh on results for the first quarter of its new fiscal year. Revenue for the fourth quarter was a little changed at $22.5 billion, falling below the $22.8 billion average of analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Earnings came to $1.11 a share in the period ended Sept. 27, excluding some items, beating estimates of $1.07. Avoid (DIS).

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The CPI Rose by 0.3% in October,

the same as September, maybe, according to private sources. We’ll never know for sure since the government didn’t collect the data. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will need some time to measure inflation after the latest, record-breaking lapse in federal funding.

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Tesla Recalls 10,500 units of its Powerwall 2,

battery power systems in the U.S. for fire and burn hazards after receiving 22 reports of overheating. The U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission said the recall covers systems that may fail and overheat, raising the risk of serious injury or death. The $7,500 Powerwall 2 is a residential energy-storage unit that integrates with solar-panel systems, storing electricity for self-consumption, shifting usage to lower-cost periods, and providing backup in grid outages.

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Bitcoin Dives, While Other Crypto are Rising.

That’s because of a headlong rush out of Bitcoin into stablecoins, the new hot thing. Markets are stabilizing… as liquidity cautiously rebuilds across digital and traditional assets, Iliya Kalchev. Across markets, risk appetite is returning—but measuredly so. Avoid (MSTR).

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