Hot Tips Archives

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 23, 2018

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 23, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Dow Plunges 450 at the Opening, on a Caterpillar and 3M (MMM) downshift in guidance. These two stocks account for half the index loss. Give me a break. It’s one of the biggest BS moves I have ever seen. Click here.

2) Bonds Rocket on “RISK OFF” Move. With the Chinese still dumping their massive $1 trillion in US Treasury holdings and the budget deficit soaring towards $1 trillion, I am more than happy to sell short here. Check your inbox for the Trade Alert.

3) NASDAQ is having its Worst Month since 2008. And you wondered why I spent most of the summer in cash. Click here.

4) China Stock Crash Comes Home to Roost. Up yesterday, down today, maybe trade wars are harder to win than someone thought. Click here.

5) Stocks Give Up All 2018 Gains. Ho hum, easy come, easy go. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(WATCH OUT FOR THE UNICORN STAMPEDE IN 2019),

(TSLA), (NFLX), (DB), (DOCU), (EB), (SVMK), (ZUO), (SQ),

(A NOTE ON OPTIONS CALLED AWAY), (MSFT),

(THE CLOUD FOR DUMMIES)

(AMZN), (MSFT), (GOOGL), (AAPL), (CRM), (ZS)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 22, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 22, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Watch Out for a Tenfold Increase in IPOs in 2019, as the mega unicorns such as Uber and Airbnb go public. Everyone wants to get stock out the door before the next recession hits. Will it kill the goose that laid the golden egg? Click here.

2) It’s a Big Week for Tech Earnings. Can blowout earnings reports from Amazon and Microsoft end a steep correction? So far, so good. Click here.

3) Chinese Stock Markets Soar 4%. Maybe they have been tipped about a coming deal with the US? Click here.

4) Trump Announces Major New Tax Cut, with the midterm election two weeks off. But even his own party knows nothing about it, and Congress is out of session. With the budget deficit about to break $1 trillion for the first time since the crash markets aren’t buying it, with stocks down and bonds up. Click here.

5) Headless Body in Topless Bar. I’ve been waiting for years to use the most famous newspaper headline in history. Richard Parsons only lasted a month as the new CEO of CBS. Maybe it was the list of pending litigation that made him sick. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(THE MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or HEADING FOR LAKE TAHOE),

(SPY), (TLT), (VIX), (MSFT), (AMZN), (CRM), (ROKU),

(BRING BACK THE UPTICK RULE!)

(FACEBOOK’S DARPA DALLIANCE),

(FB), (GOOGL), (AAPL)

“The General” in Georgia, once stolen by Union forces during the Civil War

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 19, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 19, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Chinese Economy Grows 6.5% Year-on-Year. Yes, I know the numbers are probably fake, but do you think ours are any better? Maybe the trade war is hurting us more than them. No doubt there was an acceleration of exports to beat the trade tariffs. Click here.

2) Will Saudi Arabia Dump Their Technology Holdings, in response to the Khashoggi murder? Some tech traders think so. Hey, if you boycott Middle Eastern countries that cut off the fingers of journalists you won’t be able to go anywhere. Click here.

3) Subprime Debt is Making a Big Comeback. Another sign of a long-term market top. Some people will do anything for yield in this low return world. Click here.

4) September Existing Home Sales Down a Disastrous 3.5%, a 2 ½ year low. If you had any doubts the housing boom is well and truly over. Click here.

5) The Algorithms Are Coming After You. Actually, this letter has been written by an algorithm for the last ten years, I just haven’t told you yet. Fooled you! The San Francisco conference scene has turned to all AI all the time. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(LAST CHANCE TO BUY TICKETS NOW FOR THE MAD HEDGE LAKE TAHOE CONFERENCE FOR OCTOBER 26-27)

(FIVE STOCKS TO BUY AT THE BOTTOM),

(AAPL), (AMZN), (SQ), (ROKU), (MSFT)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 18, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 18, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Fed Says They’re Still Raising Rates Four Times in a Year, no matter what the president says. Look for a 3.25% overnight rate in a year, and 4% for three months funds. Can the economy handle it? Me thinks not. Click here.

2) Elon Musk Buys $20 Million of Tesla Stock, adding to his existing $9 billion. If this won’t scare the shorts what will? Click here.

3) Initial Jobless Claims at 210,000, down 5,000, hugging all-time lows. I saw “NOW HIRING” signs everywhere on the Southeast US Road Show, especially makers of pecan pralines after my visit. Click here.

4) Facebook Hires 10,000 to Fight Fake News. It won’t work. No analog strategy can ever beat digital ones, and many of these screeners are coming down with post-traumatic stress. Whenever they close one bogus account, ten more pop up like whack-a-moles. Click here.

5) I Finally Became a Grandfather. Meet Corbin, the newest reader of the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader. Do you think there’s a trader in him?

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

SPECIAL TRAVEL PLANNING ISSUE

(IS AIRBNB YOUR NEXT TEN BAGGER?)
(UNDERSTANDING THE REAL COMPETITION),

(SPOT), (AAPL), (GOOGL), (MSFT), (HUAWEI)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 12, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 12, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) I’m Calling the Bottom Here on Stocks. Earnings and valuation support start kicking in big time at these levels, and the blackout period for company share buybacks starts ending from today. Start buying those dips. I’m starting to invest my 95% cash position. Click here.

2) Some $2.6 Trillion Lost in Global Stock Markets This Week. You should have become a doctor like your mother wanted. Click here.

3) JP Morgan Beats on Earnings, as do most other big banks. CEO Jamie Diamond says that a 40-basis point rise in rates is no big deal. The bull market is on. Click here.

4) Sears is Headed for Bankruptcy. Look for giant gaping holes to start appearing at your local mall. Click here.

5) Chinese Gamer Tencent Postpones US IPO. It seems they noticed that market conditions have become unfavorable. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(WHY THE STOCK MARKET IS BOTTOMING HERE),

(SPY), (INDU),

(NETFLIX SAYS WE BECOME A NATION OF COUCH POTATOES),

(NFLX), (M), (AMZN), (TSLA), (DIS), (GOOG)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 11, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 11, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Last Chance to Attend the Mad Hedge Houston Luncheon. Grill John Thomas face to face about any stock or asset class in your personal portfolio and get a great lunch and stimulating company as well. Hear what John can’t risk putting in his daily newsletters. Click here.

2) The Panic is On in the Bond Market, with wholesale dumping of every category of bond fund and ETF. A trillion-dollar worth of losses in a week. Told you so. But I was buying bonds yesterday for the oversold dead cat bounce. Click here.

3) And the Stock Market. The third worst day in market history, down 831 points and closing on the lows, and down another 350 today. NASDAQ has its biggest drop in ten years. The stock market finally noticed the trade wars, but we are near the bottom now. The bull market isn’t dead, it’s just resting. Click here.

4) September Consumer Price Index up only 0.1%, and 2.2% YOY. Modest inflation read gives a temporary boost for bonds. Click here.

5) Trump Says the Federal Reserve is Crazy. White House control of interest rates ahead of elections. What a great idea! Why didn’t I think of that? Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(REACHING PEAK TECHNOLOGY STOCKS),

(GOOGL), (MSFT), (NFLX), (FB), (AAPL),

(LOCKHEED MARTIN’S SECRET FUSION BREAKTHROUGH),

(LMT), (NOC), (BA)

(WHY SNAPCHAT SNAPPED),

(SNAP), (FB), (AMZN), (NFLX)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 10, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 10, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Last Chance to Attend the Mad Hedge Savannah Strategy Breakfast. Grill John Thomas face to face about any stock or asset class in your personal portfolio and get a good breakfast and stimulating company as well. Hear what John can’t risk putting in his daily newsletters. Click here.

2) Producer Price Index Comes in at a Hot 0.2%, gut-punching the bond market and stocks once again. Deflation is truly dead. Click here.

3) Space X Lands Its First Rocket in California, at Vandenberg Air Force Base. It was an amazing sight to see from the top of Berkeley’s Grizzly Peak some 250 miles away. Click here.

4) Trump Moves to Ban Chinese Investment in the US. You can kiss those high-end San Francisco homes goodbye. The Chinese were one third of the market. So, we won’t let them give us their money anymore? What’s next? Click here.

5) Make that a Double Latte for Bill Ackman, as he discloses a major stake in Starbucks (STBX). But should you jump on his coattails? Several of his recent calls have been complete disasters. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

SPECIAL TESLA ISSUE

(OCTOBER 14 SAVANNAH GEORGIA STRATEGY BREAKFAST),

(THE BULL CASE FOR TESLA),

(TSLA), (GM), (F)

(DON’T BUY SURVEYMONKEY ON THE DIP),

(SVMK), (GOOGL), (CRM)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 9, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 9, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Last Chance to Attend the Mad Hedge Miami Luncheon. Grill John Thomas face to face about any stock or asset class in your personal portfolio and get a great lunch and stimulating company as well. Hear what John can’t risk putting in his daily newsletters. Click here.

2) Google Shuts Down Google Plus, the company’s social media answer to Facebook (FB) after a data breach affecting 500,000. The stock tanks 75 points. Who is watching the gatekeepers? Click here.

3) Microsoft Expands its Cloud Business, called “Azure” to snag a $10 billion government contract. Good thing I’m long the stock, up 1% today. Click here.

4) The Volatility Index (VIX) Peaked Yesterday at $18.50. Time to sell short. The next crash is 2019 business. (You must be logged in to view the Trade Alert). Click here.

5) Morgan Stanley Says It’s Time to Dump Tech Stocks. The Golden Age is over. You’re toast. Now what do we buy? Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(TAKING A LOOK AT GOLD LEAPS),

(GLD), (ABX), (AMZN)

(LIVING ON THE EDGE),

(AMZN), (MSFT), (HPE), (GOOGL)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 8, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 8, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Last Chance to Attend the Mad Hedge Atlanta Luncheon. Grill John Thomas face to face about any stock or asset class in your personal portfolio and get a great lunch and stimulating company as well. Hear what John can’t risk putting in his daily newsletters. Click here.

2) Saudi Arabia Pours Another $45 Billion into SoftBank’s Vision Fund. It’s all tech all the time for the Saudis. That’s a lot of dates and humus. This is the money that was supposed to go to the Tesla buyout. Click here.

3) Mad Hedge Market Timing Index Approaching “BUY” Territory. (But you must me logged in to see how close it is.) Click here.

4) Corporate Share Buy Backs Hit All-Time High, at $835 billion in the first three quarters. We’ve shrunk down to a single buyer market. Market topping indicator 97. Click here.

5) But Insider Selling is Also at Highs, with $10.3 billion in August and $7 billion in September. Do they know something we don’t? Market topping indicator 98. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

THE MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or GET ME OFF THIS ROLLER COASTER),

(THE INCREDIBLE FUTURE OF THE AUTOMOBILE),

(TSLA), (GM), (F), (TM),

(A LONG-AWAITED BREATHER IN TECHNOLOGY),

(AMZN), (TGT), (NVDA), (SQ), (AMD), (TLT)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 5, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 5, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) The Panic is On. So, stock markets really don’t like rising interest rates? There’s now a rush by managers to lock in gains by selling off biggest winners, and that would be all of technology. Who knew? Worse to come. Click here.

2) Unemployment Rate Hits a 49-Year Low at 3.7%. I remember it well. I was earning a dollar an hour at the May company snack bar. Neither the snack bar nor the May Company still exist, but I do. Bonds take it on the nose. Click here.

3) JP Morgan Lays Off 400 in the Mortgage Department. If you haven’t sold your house by now you’re screwed. Read my piece on how to ride out the next recession. The good news? You’ll be able to refi at 0% during the next recession if you still own your home. Click here.

4) Daimler Benz Will Start Making Batteries in Alabama, in the first serious threat to Tesla (TSLA) since its foundation 15 years ago. Is it time for Elon Musk to stop tweeting and start looking over his shoulder? Click here.

5) Tronc is Changing its Name Back to Tribune Publishing. In the worst rebranding effort in history the owner of the Chicago Tribune and the LA Times is reversing course after only a year. One comedian said “Tronc” was the noise made when newspapers were dumped in the recycling bin. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 17 HOUSTON STRATEGY LUNCHEON INVITATION),

(OCTOBER 3 BIWEEKLY STRATEGY WEBINAR Q&A)

(SPY), (VIX), (VXX), (MU), (LRCX), (NVDA), (AAPL), (GOOG), (XLV), (USO), (TLT), (AMD), (LMT), (ACB), (TLRY), (WEED)