“Adaption is smarter than you are,” said economist Frederich Hayek.
“Adaption is smarter than you are,” said economist Frederich Hayek.
Global Market Comments
September 29, 2023
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(I HAVE A NEW OPENING FOR THE MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER CONCIERGE SERVICE),
(TESTIMONIAL),
(RIGHT SIZING YOUR TRADING)
Our latest performance run for the ages has delivered unintended consequences once again.
One of my Concierge clients bought the bottom of the recent banking crisis crash to load the boat with bank stocks.
As a result, he never has to work again, not bad for someone who is only 45. No need for a Mad Hedge Concierge Service here.
I seem to have a recurring problem.
People make so much money from my concierge service that they retire early, and I never hear from them again.
No surprise with my eye-popping 2023 performance now at an eye-popping +46.38%.
That means I have a new opening for the Mad Hedge Concierge Service. I limit the service to only ten clients at any one time and entry is by application only.
The goal is to provide high net worth individuals with the extra degree of assistance they may require in managing diversified portfolios. Tax, political, and economic issues will all be covered.
It is also the ideal service for the small and medium-sized hedge fund that lacks the resources to support their own in-house global strategist full time.
The service includes the following:
1) Emergency access to John Thomas 24/7 through his personal cell phone number so he can act as your investment 911.
2) A risk analysis of your own personal portfolio with the goal of focusing your investment in the highest return sectors for the long term.
3) A monthly phone call from John Thomas to update you on the current state of play in the global financial markets.
4) Personal meetings with John Thomas anywhere in the world once a year to continue our in-depth discussions.
5) Early releases of strategy letters and urgent trading information.
6) More detailed and early recommendations on LEAPS, or two-year call options on the best high-growth names.
7) Access to a dedicated Concierge website listing complete All LEAPS investment portfolios.
The cost for this highly personalized, bespoke service is $12,000 a year.
To best take advantage of my Mad Hedge Fund Trader Concierge Service, you should possess the following:
1) Be an existing subscriber the Mad Hedge Fund Trader who is already well aware of our strengths and limitations.
2) Have a liquid net worth of over $250,000.
3) Possess a degree of knowledge and sophistication of financial markets. This is NOT for beginners.
To subscribe to Mad Hedge Fund Trader Concierge Service, please email Filomena at customer support at support@madhedgefundtrader.com. Please put “Concierge Candidate” in the subject line.
I look forward to hearing from you.
John Thomas
CEO & Publisher
The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader
Global Market Comments
September 28, 2023
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(THE MAD HEDGE TRADERS & INVESTORS SUMMIT VIDEOS ARE UP!)
(THE MAD HEDGE DICTIONARY OF TRADING SLANG),
(TESTIMONIAL)
Video replays from the September 12-13 confab are up. Listen to 15 speakers opine on the best strategies, tactics, and instruments to use in these volatile markets. It is a true smorgasbord of investment strategies. Find the best one that suits your own goals.
The product discounts offered last week are still valid. Start, stop, and pause the videos at your leisure. Best of all, access to the videos is FREE. Access them all by going to www.madhedge.com, clicking September 2023 Summit Replays!, and selecting the speaker of your choice
"When a manager with a reputation for brilliance takes over a business with poor fundamental economics, it is the reputation of the business that remains intact," said Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett.
I recently spent a weekend attending a graduation in Washington State, a stone’s throw from where the 2010 Vancouver Winter Olympics were held.
While sitting through the tedious reading of 550 names, I was struck by how many seemed to come from abroad.
As I listened to the wailing ceremonial bagpipes, I did several calculations on the back of the commencement program and was shocked with what I discovered.
Higher education has grown into a gigantic service industry for America, with a massively positive impact on our balance of payments, generating an impact on the world far beyond the dollar amounts involved.
According to the non-profit Institute of International Education, there are 819,644 foreign students in the US today, up an impressive 7.2% from last year.
This combined student body pays an average out-of-state tuition of $40,000 a year each totaling some $38 billion. The positive impact on the US balance of payments and the US dollar exchange rate is huge.
China is far and away the dominant origin of these students, accounting for 262,922, up 26% from the previous year. South Korea and India take the number two and three slots, thanks to the generous scholarships provided by their home governments. Saudi Arabia and Brazil are showing the fastest growth rates.
A fortunate few, backed by endowed chairs and buildings financed by wealthy and eager parents, land places at prestigious Universities like Harvard, Princeton, and Yale.
The top destinations of foreign students are the University of Southern California in Los Angeles, CA, the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Indiana’s Perdue University, and New York University, with each of these claiming 9,000 foreign students.
However, the overwhelming majority enroll in the provinces in a thousand rural state universities and junior colleges that most of us have never heard of. Many of these schools now have diligent admissions officers scouring the Chinese hinterlands looking for new applicants.
A college degree once was a uniquely American privilege. In 1974 the US led the world, with 24% of the population getting a sheepskin. Today, it has fallen to 16th, with 28% completing a four-year program, lagging countries like South Korea, Canada, and Japan.
The financial windfall has enabled once sleepy little schools to build themselves into world-class institutions of higher learning, with 30,000 or more students. They boast state of the art facilities, much to the joy of local residents and budget constrained state education officials. Furthermore, the overwhelming leadership of education industry is steadily Americanizing the global establishment.
I can’t tell you how many times over the decades I have run into the Persian Gulf sovereign fund manager who went to Florida State, the Asian CEO who attended Cal State Hayward, or the African finance minister who fondly recalled rooting for the Kansas State Wildcats.
Remember the recently ousted president of Egypt, Mohamed Morsi? He was a former classmate of mine at USC. Go Trojans! Do you think he was singing “Fight on For Old SC” in his jail cell?
Those who constantly bemoan the impending fall of the Great American Empire can take heart by merely looking inland at these impressive degree factories. These students are not clamoring to get into universities in Beijing, Moscow, or Tokyo.
Not a few marry and permanently settle in the US, while many others take their American brides home. Saudi Arabia is home to some 50,000 such wives, who had to agree to Sharia law and give up driving to obtain resident permits.
It also explains why the dollar is so strong in the face of absolutely gigantic, structural trade deficits. When a foreign student pays tuition to a US school, it is treated as an export of a service in terms of the US balance of payments, much like a car or an airplane, our country’s largest exports.
Rising exports mean that more dollars are staying home and fewer are going abroad, strengthening the value of the greenback. $24 billion and change offset a lot of imports of cheap electronics, clothing, and toys from China. This is why the US dollar is close to all-time highs in the foreign exchange markets.
The US has plenty of capacity to expand this trade in services. Over 70% of foreign students are concentrated in just 200 of the country’s 4,000 colleges.
The University of California has blazed a path that many other cash-strapped institutions are certain to follow. During the financial crisis, the world’s greatest public university saw two back-to-back 40% budget cuts from Sacramento.
So it made up the shortfall by bumping up foreign admissions from 5% to 10%, largely from Asia. They must pay $43,980 a year in tuition, compared to $15,444 for in-state residents.
What is the upshot of all of these for the locals? It is now a lot harder to get an “A” in Math at UC Berkeley.
We made a lot of money from your service this year. I don't agree with all of John Thomas' trades, but we really like his insight and timely and quick, short emails that he broadcasts, like on the ECB interest rate cut, the falling yen, etc.
Thank you.
Craig
Herndon, Virginia
Global Market Comments
September 26, 2023
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(I’M TAKING OFF FOR UKRAINE AND I NEED YOUR HELP)
(DIAMONDS ARE STILL AN INVESTOR’S BEST FRIEND),
(LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 29 ZERMATT, SWITZERLAND STRATEGY LUNCHEON)
I’ll be escorting American doctors to hospitals and orphanages in embattled Kiev that are rapidly running out of resources. I’ll also be delivering desperately needed supplies that will be handed out after I conduct careful due diligence.
Included in my luggage will be a duffle bag of $10,000 in one-dollar bills. They don’t make change in Ukraine. To see a list of supplies requested please read the letter from the Kyiv City Children’s Hospital No.1 below.
It is in this light that I humbly request that you make a donation to this effort. If you can only afford $20 that’s fine, every little bit helps. If you have made over $1 million as a result of my services over the past year, and I know there are a lot of you, I hope for something more substantial.
Don’t worry about overhead costs. I’ll be covering the $20,000 cost in travel expenses out of my own pocket and donating my own time. The work is its own reward. Rest assured that 100 cents of every dollar you donate will end up on the desk of a hospital administrator in Ukraine.
I’ll be covering the financial markets as usual. The New York Stock Exchange doesn’t open until 5:30 PM Kiev time, so that frees me up during the day to perform my good deeds.
Don’t worry about me, I’ve had a lot of practice at this sort of thing. This is my eighth war (Algeria, Laos, Cambodia, Croatia, Slovenia, Iraq, Kuwait, and now Ukraine). It seems that the bullet with my name on it has never been cast and never will. In any case, with the level of gun violence in the US today, it’s probably safer for me in Ukraine than at home.
In order to make a donation for any amount. Please click here at https://ukraine.madhedgefundtrader.com
Thank you for your generosity.
John Thomas
CEO & Publisher
The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader
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