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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Taiwan Is On The Map

Tech Letter

I know it’s not the sexiest choice but there is a chip company in Taiwan that readers need to look at.

This company has investments all over the world and is the leader in what they do.

They are also involved in AI which lately has been the ticket to riches.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) may not seem like a glamorous AI stock, but it's as critical to the AI future.

To understand TSMC's role in AI, you need to understand how we get to end consumer-facing products like ChatGPT, Bard, and other generative AI applications.

For AI to be effective, it must be trained using lots of data -- quantities that must be stored in specialized data centers.

Data centers rely on graphic processing units (GPUs), which are essentially the brains of AI computing systems.

TSMC and the semiconductors it manufactures for its client companies are crucial in this process. These GPUs rely heavily on TSMC's best-in-class manufacturing processes.

This AI knock-on effect hasn't impacted TSMC's financials yet, but management said they expect sales of its AI-related semiconductors to grow at a compound annual rate of 50% for at least the next few years.

By 2027, AI-related semiconductors are expected to be responsible for a large part of the company's revenue.

TSMC will absolutely be additive to the AI ecosystem.

Let’s talk about their products.

TSMC's 3nm fabrication process accounted for 15% of the company's revenue in 2023.

Only one of TSMC's customers used it at the time:

Apple (AAPL).

The three-nanometer product is where it’s at.

Wasn’t it just a year or 2 ago we were at 7 nanometers?

As more customers adopt the manufacturing process, 3nm process nodes will account for a considerably larger share of TSMC's revenue.

This year TSMC's N3-series nodes — including N3B and N3E — will account for over 20% of the foundry's revenue in 2024.

Apple currently exclusively uses TSMC's N3B to make its A17 Pro system-on-chip (SoC) for smartphones, as well as the M3-series processors for iMac desktops and MacBook laptops.

AMD is preparing to launch its new Zen 5-based processors made on 3nm- and 4nm-class process technologies later this year.

Apple's new iPhone 16 series will be equipped with the A18-series processor, and the upcoming M4-series processors for Mac PCs will also be produced using TSMC's 3nm technology.

This marks the first time Intel has entrusted TSMC with the full range of chips for its mainstream consumer platform, the report notes.

This collaboration highlights TSMC's expanding role in serving Intel, which also happens to be the company's rival in the foundry market.

With three major customers using TSMC's 3nm family of process technologies, this company needs to be on readers’ radar.

More companies are expected to adopt TSMC's N3 nodes in 2025, including performance-enhanced N3P, and the report suggests 3nm will account for over 30% of TSMC earnings in 2025.

It’s easy to see with the mushrooming of business for TSMC, how they are a highly sought-after stock.

It also explains why the stock has been on a tear.

It was only just last May they were trading at $82 per share and fast forward to today at the stock sits at $136 per share.

Holding this stock long term has borne fruit and every big should be bought.

They will continue to be the best at what they do.

 

 

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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Trade Alert - (GLD) March 27, 2024 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

March 27, 2024

Jacque's Post

 

(CEOs ARE SELLING INTO THIS MARKET RALLY – IS SOMETHING BREWING…?)

March 27, 2024

 

Hello everyone,

Insiders are selling the market rally.

CEOs of technology companies and other firms have been cashing in on this market rally, including a massive sale last week from Michael Dell, founder and CEO of Dell Technologies.

Dell, who took his namesake company public for a second time in 2018, racked up $468 million in stock sales over the past week, according to securities filings and Verity Data.  Those moves bring Dell’s total sales this month to nearly $800 million.

If you look at Dell’s stock chart it appears to have topped out, at least in the short term.  Shares of Dell are up 200% over the past year, but the stock has fallen over the past three weeks.

 

 

Mark Zuckerberg has also been selling off stock.  Securities filings and Verity Data show that roughly $114 million has been sold of late.

It seems that Zuckerberg’s moves were done as part of a 105b-1 plan, which is a document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission to schedule stock sales for executives.  His sales also came from several entities, including the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative, a charitable foundation Zuckerberg runs with his wife, Priscilla Chan.

Like Dell, Zuckerberg’s sales come after a massive run-up for his stock.  Shares of the company formerly known as Facebook are up more than 40% year to date.

CEOs in the following companies have sold off significant parcels of stocks.

Cadre Holdings - $50.3 million

Arista Networks - $40.9 million

Ares Management - $32.7 million

Gitlab - $16.5 million

Cadence Design Systems - $14.7 million

AppLovin - $9.5 million

Cleanspark - $9 million

As I have been saying, it’s always good to have insurance on your portfolio, and taking some profits is always a good idea. 

Is a Boeing turnaround expected soon?

The shake-up at Boeing this week with the CEO set to step down by year-end may have sparked optimism among investors.  Boeing has faced significant challenges over the years with the latest incident involving a door plug on an Alaska Airlines 737 Max 9 in January.  Numerous groundings and substantial financial losses have come as a result.  The stock is down by more than 27% since the start of the year. 

 

 

The chart of Boeing above shows basically a double bottom.  Instead of buying the stock outright, we could purchase a bull call spread to lessen the risk.  For a short-term spread trade, you could buy a $190 call and sell a $195 call with an expiration on April 19.  If BA trades at or above 195 by the expiration date, this trade could yield a good return.

To get creative with your trades, either change the strikes or change the expiration.  If you place your strikes toward $200 you are being more aggressive.  If you place your strikes underneath the stock price, (in the money), you are being more conservative.

Tesla is out of favour.

Bernstein has cut its Tesla’s price target from $150 to $120, citing growing demand constraints.  The new forecast implies a downside of 30% over the next 12 months.

This quarter to date, Tesla has experienced soft China/Europe demand and constrained US Model 3 production.   Bernstein expects lukewarm growth in 2024, as well as 2025, bringing into question the company’s growth narrative.  Tesla has lost 30.5% in 2024, making it the worst-performing S&P 500 stock.

 

 

Have a great week.

Cheers, 

Jacquie

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-03-27 12:00:302024-03-27 13:24:29March 27, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

March 27, 2024

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
March 27, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

 Featured Trade:

(WHY BUSINESS IS BOOMING AT THE MONEY PRINTERS)
(WHY YOUR OTHER INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER IS SOOO DANGEROUS)

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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Why Business is Booming at the Money Printers

Diary, Newsletter

With US deficits exploding, the National Debt racing towards $35 trillion, and the velocity of money (or the turnover) ticking up, one particularly industry is suddenly doing particularly well.

Business is fantastic at the money printers. The only problem is that there is no way you can participate in this boom as an individual investor, unless you want to marry into a certain family.

All of the high-grade paper used by the US Treasury to print money is bought from a single firm, Crane & Co., which has been in the same family for seven generations.

Last year, the Feds printed 38 million banknotes worth $639 million. Although they briefly saw the Great Recession cause the velocity of money to decline, recent hyper reflationary efforts have spurred a big increase in demand for paper for $100 dollar bills.

The US Treasury first issued paper money in 1861 to help finance the Civil War, and Crane has been supplying them since 1879.

The average life of a dollar bill is 21 months. M1, or notes and coins in circulation, is already exploding. Is this a warning of an imminent jump in inflation? It could be.

In the meantime, check out the new 3D $100 bill. It includes the latest anti-counterfeiting techniques, like a new blue security strip, tiny liberty bells that morph into the number 100, and “United States of America” micro printed on Franklin’s jacket collar.

The new bills started entering circulation in 2013 to frustrate industrial scale North Korean counterfeiting efforts.

No matter what efforts the US Treasury undertakes to keep this 19th century form of exchange alive, its days may be numbered. It is just a matter of time before blockchain technology replaces the greenback with all digital, and unprintable currencies. I hope the Crane family has a nice retirement nest egg.

It’s ironic that the balanced scales on the dollar, a symbolic reference to the founding fathers’ commitment to maintaining a balanced budget, are still on the new Benjamin.

Old Ben must be turning over in his grave.

Out With the Old

 

In With the New

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/new-dollar.png 352 796 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-03-27 09:04:282024-03-27 15:14:50Why Business is Booming at the Money Printers
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Trade Alert - (TSLA) March 26, 2024 - BUY

Mad Hedge AI, Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-03-26 12:19:252024-03-26 12:19:25Trade Alert - (TSLA) March 26, 2024 - BUY
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

March 26, 2024

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech and Healthcare Letter
March 21, 2024
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE TOP DOG IN ANIMAL HEALTHCARE)

(ZTS), (AMGN), (PFE), (JNJ), (ELAN)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-03-26 12:02:232024-03-26 12:54:15March 26, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

The Top Dog In Animal Healthcare

Biotech Letter

You've likely witnessed a scene like this: You're at the park, and you see a young couple playing fetch with their golden retriever.

The dog is absolutely loving life, jumping and bounding after the ball, tail wagging furiously. It's a heartwarming scene, and it's one that's becoming more and more common these days.

In fact, just the other day, over coffee, a veterinarian buddy of mine spilled the beans.

"You wouldn't believe how people are pampering their pets these days," she said, shaking her head in amusement. "It's no longer just about the basics—food and health. Nope, we're talking top-tier, VIP treatment. They're ready to drop serious cash to ensure their furry friends are living their best lives."

It's a whole new world for pets, and their owners are leading the charge, wallets wide open.

And that is where Zoetis (ZTS) comes in. This company is the top dog (pun intended) in the animal healthcare space, and it's been making some serious waves in the market lately.

Now, I know what you're thinking - "What about those big-shot human healthcare stocks like Amgen (AMGN), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), and Pfizer (PFE)?"

Well, let me tell you, Zoetis has been giving them a run for their money since spinning off from Pfizer back in 2013. This company has been posting positive annual EPS growth every single year, with an average annual EPS growth rate of a whopping 15.9%.

But that's not all — Zoetis has also been dishing out some seriously impressive dividend growth, with a CAGR of nearly 25% since it was spun off. That's right, this stock is checking all the boxes for dividend growth investors.

And if you think this is just an income play, think again.

Zoetis has been absolutely crushing the S&P 500, posting price returns of 492% compared to the market's measly 176% gains over the last decade.

So, what's the secret behind Zoetis' success?

Well, it all comes down to our furry (and sometimes scaly) friends. You see, people are lonelier than ever these days, and they're turning to pets for that much-needed companionship.

The US Surgeon General even called loneliness an epidemic, sounding the alarm on its dire impacts on health, likening its risks to smoking up to 15 cigarettes a day.

From the gripping claws of loneliness among young adults to the isolation felt by mothers with young children, the pandemic has only deepened this crisis, affecting a staggering 36% of Americans.

More than that, this loneliness trend isn't just about having a buddy to binge-watch Netflix (NFLX) with. It's actually impacting our species' survival. Studies show that sexual activity is on the decline, and technology is distorting the way we interact with each other.

It's a bit of a downer, I know, but here's where Zoetis shines through. As people turn to pets for love and affection, they're also shelling out some serious cash to keep their furry friends healthy and happy.

The American Pet Products Association says that nearly 87 million U.S. households own pets (roughly 66%), and it's not just the younger generations who are getting in on the action. Baby Boomers and Gen Xers are also big-time pet owners.

What does all this pet love mean for the industry? Well, the pet industry is expected to be a $150 billion behemoth in 2024.

Now, what really sets Zoetis apart from the pack? It all comes down to pricing power and growth potential.

In the animal health market, drug prices aren't determined by pesky regulations, government buyers, or PBMs. That means Zoetis can charge premium prices for their trusted, name-brand drugs without having to jump through hoops.

Plus, with less competition in the animal health space, Zoetis' products have longer growth runways and aren't constantly battling generic copycats.

For context, Elanco (ELAN), Zoetis' pure-play competitor, only managed to bring in $4.4 billion in sales.

So, what's the bottom line here?

Zoetis is a best-in-breed play on the booming animal healthcare market, with a safe and growing dividend to boot. As this sell-off continues, Zoetis keeps climbing higher on my personal watch list. I'm ready to back up the truck and load up on shares come April when I put my March dividends to work.

If you're looking for a unique way to play the healthcare space with a company that's got plenty of bark and bite, Zoetis might just be the stock for you.

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-03-26 12:00:242024-03-26 12:53:40The Top Dog In Animal Healthcare
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Trade Alert - (WPM) March 26, 2024 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-03-26 10:11:532024-03-26 10:11:53Trade Alert - (WPM) March 26, 2024 - BUY
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

March 26, 2024

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
March 26, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

 Featured Trade:

(THE DEATH OF THE MALL….NOT),
(SPG), (MAC), (TCO),

(QUANTITATIVE EASING EXPLAINED TO A 12-YEAR-OLD)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-03-26 09:06:542024-03-26 12:24:27March 26, 2024
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