• support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Member Login
Mad Hedge Fund Trader
  • Home
  • About
  • Store
  • Luncheons
  • Testimonials
  • Contact Us
  • Click to open the search input field Click to open the search input field Search
  • Menu Menu
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (EBAY) August 4, 2020 - BUY

Tech Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-08-04 14:09:302020-08-04 14:09:39Trade Alert - (EBAY) August 4, 2020 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

August 4, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
August 4, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(MERCK’S SLOW BUT STEADY COVID-19 HEADWAY)

(MRK), (GILD), (REGN), (AZN), (PFE), (MRNA), (ABBV), (BMY), (RHHBY)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-08-04 09:32:052020-08-06 09:43:45August 4, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Merck's Slow but Steady Covid-19 Headway

Biotech Letter

Is it truly better late than never?

Merck has been decisively cautious in its approach of potential COVID-19 treatments and even more so when it comes to their vaccine candidates.

Recently though, the company has finally offered a glimpse of its progress.

The first promising update is Merck’s work on MK-4482, which is an antiviral candidate aimed at treating COVID-19 patients. Basically, this candidate works by preventing the SARS-CoV-2 from replicating.

The laboratory results showed that an increasing dose of MK-4482 can effectively halt the progress of the virus in a patient’s system.

Judging from the timeline followed up to this point, Merck plans to begin huge trials by September.

The MK-4482 is expected to compete with Gilead Sciences’ (GILD) Remdesivir, with the Merck candidate possibly edging out the latter.

This is because the SARS-CoV-2 tends to mutate, rendering Remdesivir less potent the next time it is administered to patients. In comparison, MK-4482 has demonstrated an ability to fight off the mutated versions of the virus.

MK-4482 also comes in tablet form, making it a preferable and more convenient option compared to Gilead’s intravenous infusion and even Regeneron’s (REGN) injectable antiviral cocktail REGN-COV2. 

On the COVID-19 vaccine front, Merck has been working with Thermis Biosciences in developing a candidate based on a measles virus vector platform originally developed by the Institut Pasteur researchers.

However, this is not Merck’s only shot on goal.

The company is also collaborating with the International AIDS Vaccine Initiative to develop another vaccine candidate, V590.

The two are using the same platform that Merck created for its already approved Ebola vaccine. The goal is to start human testing by the third quarter of 2020.

Merck is also looking into offering a single-dose vaccine instead of the double dose shots its competitors are working on, with one of its candidates developed to be taken orally instead of via injectibles.

If they succeed, then Merck’s vaccines will be more accessible and convenient for a lot of patients.

Aside from developing V590, Merck plans to use the same approved technology to advance its other antivirals in its clinical testing pipeline.

In fact, Merck’s move to acquire Thermis Bioscience demonstrates the company’s resolve to focus on strengthening its vaccine program. The primary expectation for this newly formed partnership is to come out swinging and eventually win big on the COVID-19 vaccine race.

The victory will then serve as a springboard for a new and powerful revenue stream for Merck, which would serve to quiet the fears of the company’s investors fretting over the patent expiration of blockbuster drug Keytruda.

The impending loss of exclusivity for cancer treatment Keytruda has been hanging over Merck’s head for quite some time now.

Aside from the potential biosimilar competition, Keytruda has been facing stiff competition against biotechnology giants like Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY), Roche (RHHBY), and Regeneron.

Needless to say, fears over this have been overshadowing the company’s impressive internal pipeline – a reaction that pretty much mirrors the experience of AbbVie (ABBV) on the pending patent loss of its blockbuster Humira.

However, Merck has been working on products that could rake in an additional $13 billion to $18 billion to its sales every year.

The list includes immuno-oncology antibody candidates, additional vaccines, and even HIV treatments.

The company also has more than $40 billion on its balance sheet, putting it in a favorable position to acquire more companies or products that could bolster its franchise.

Since the pandemic broke out, Merck has lagged behind its COVID-19 rivals AstraZeneca (AZN), Pfizer (PFE), and Moderna (MRNA).

Looking at its progress and future plans though, it looks like the company has set out to achieve a tortoise over the hare victory particularly in the COVID-19 vaccine race.

With incredible uncertainty hovering over the rest of 2020, it is only natural to seek stocks for an all-weather portfolio.

While there are many factors to consider, looking at businesses that allocated sensibly to capital expenditures and R&D is definitely a great way to start.

Merck’s strategic partnerships with companies like Thermis Biosciences, Taiho Pharmaceuticals, and Astex Pharmaceuticals also play significant roles in this aspect.

Although Merck has not provided a particularly strong performance so far this year, this biotechnology and health care giant is poised to stage a strong comeback when the dust settles.

merck

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-08-04 09:30:032020-08-05 16:37:29Merck's Slow but Steady Covid-19 Headway
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

August 4, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to a six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-08-04 09:23:082020-08-04 09:23:08August 4, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

August 4, 2020

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
August 4, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(MEET THE ITALIAN LEONARDO FIBONACCI)

(MRK), (GILD), (REGN), (AZN), (PFE), (MRNA), (ABBV), (BMY), (RHHBY)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-08-04 09:04:112020-08-04 11:27:17August 4, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

August 3, 2020 - MDT Alert (HOG)

MDT Alert

I would like to make a suggestion on a debit spread on a stock we traded before.  That stock is Harley Davidson Inc.(HOG).

HOG is trading around $26.30 as I write this.

HOG reported already, so we do have to be concerned with an earnings release.

My suggestion is to trade the September 4th weekly options.

This gives the stock about three weeks to make a move.

Here is how you open the position:

Buy to Open September 4th - $26.00 Call for $1.70

Sell to Open September 4th - $29.50 Call for  $0.45

The net debit will be $1.25 per spread, with a maximum gain of $2.25 per spread.

Based on the tracking portfolio, I suggest you limit the trade to an 8 lot or 1% of the portfolio.

The maximum gain on a five lot would be $1,800.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-08-03 13:07:332020-08-03 13:07:33August 3, 2020 - MDT Alert (HOG)
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

August 3, 2020 - MDT Alert (DXC)

MDT Alert

I am going to suggest you book the profit on the DXC position.

DXC is trading around $17.62 as I write this. Sell the shares at the market.

This will result in a profit of $381 if you traded the suggested 300 share lot.

You should have also booked profits of $360 by selling call options against this position.

Including the call premium collected, the total gain is $741 or 15.1% for holding the position since June 15th.

DXC reports this week and I would prefer to book profits ahead of earnings.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-08-03 09:57:032020-08-03 09:57:03August 3, 2020 - MDT Alert (DXC)
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

August 3, 2020

Tech Letter



Mad Hedge Technology Letter
August 3, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE MASTERY OF TIM COOK)
(AAPL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-08-03 09:34:142020-08-03 10:24:12August 3, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Mastery of Tim Cook

Tech Letter

Apple (APPL) is a $2 trillion company and their latest jaw-dropping earnings report was by far beyond a best-case scenario.

They crushed top-line revenue beating estimates by over $7 billion and profitability was just as impressive beating estimates by over half a dollar.

Going into the iPhone 12 product cycle, the results mean that moving forward, the company could benefit from 20% growth as the momentum becomes a true tailwind of sorts.

Surely, this was the quarter that Apple could have taken a quick siesta, they even had an out with the pandemic and all, right?

But no, they stuck to their guns and delivered another resilient earnings report.

Some investors were wary even second-guessing the company going into these earnings because of the health crisis forcing 25% of Apple stores to close.

But that proved immaterial and physical store sales actually only comprise 6-7% of sales.

The data was undeniable showing that customers went online to buy Apple’s products in droves.

Not offering guidance, second quarter in a row, plays into Apple’s hands.

This gives them the leeway to never give forward guidance again.

Apple has done enough that they are afforded the wiggle room from investors that feed into the “buy the dip” mentality.

This will be the biggest iPhone refresh cycle since iPhone 6 and it will come thick and fast.

Supply chain might bottleneck, and iPhone might delay by a month, but that is splitting hairs.

In a digital economy where wielding a smartphone is king, consumers will tough it out and upgrade to the iPhone 12.

It’s easy to cut out vacations, but impossible to get rid of your phone or car.

Other tech is stalling, such as the likes as Google who recorded 2% declining revenue growth for the first time ever.

Not all tech has been created equally.

Apple’s overperformance is just a taste of what we will likely see in performance over the next 9-12 months. It is highly unlikely they will botch the new iPhone distribution, servicing, and production of it.

The company was able to beat iPhone revenue projections by $4 billion last quarter and this segment comprises 46.6% of the total revenue now.

I see this number sliding down as services pick up more. In 2021, iPhone revenue could be in the high-30s which is a number management is more comfortable with.

Hardware isn’t the future and propping up and servicing the apps and software is where the real premiums hide.

Apple also did its best to prove it's not just an “iPhone company” anymore.

Air pods and Apple watch are doing particularly well. Air pods project 90 million units in 2020 after 65 million the year before, and 19 million in 2018.

Ironically, the earnings report was disclosed after Tim Cook’s government testimony to avoid the wrath of the politicians.

Granted, Apple didn’t want to offer more ammunition to the interrogators timing the blowout earnings report after the testimony ended.

Apple’s App store is the crown jewel of the business model and the 30% commission is something Cook and the company will defend at all costs.

Regulatory risks are mostly tilted towards Facebook and Amazon, and I do not think there is enough evidence against Apple to meaningfully penalize them.

The argument that if developers do not wish to agree to Apple’s 30% commission has always had the freedom to switch to Android hold water no matter if one likes it or not.

Investors are not viewing anti-trust problems as a major risk and that was evident in the price action last Friday when the stock rose over 10%.

The path to profits has been smoothed over and this clears the way for any dip to be bought until 2021.

The stock usually does not have major corrections, therefore, any 3-4% dips can be described as optimal entry points.

Apple continues to under promise and overdeliver.

If more companies did this, there would be fewer bankruptcies.

I am highly bullish Apple and the rest of big tech.

 

apple

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-08-03 09:32:132020-08-03 19:24:53The Mastery of Tim Cook
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

August 3, 2020 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“You can converge a toaster and a refrigerator, but those things are probably not going to be pleasing to the user.” – Said CEO of Apple Tim Cook

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/tim-cook.png 246 190 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-08-03 09:30:082020-08-03 10:20:36August 3, 2020 - Quote of the Day
Page 933 of 2234«‹931932933934935›»

Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

Copyright © 2026. Mad Hedge Fund Trader. All Rights Reserved. support@madhedgefundtrader.com
Scroll to top