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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The One Bright Start in the Healthcare Industry

Biotech Letter

The COVID-19 crisis has yanked the rug from under companies across all industries, and among the businesses that experienced a completely altered landscape these days is the health insurance industry. Imagine a business where sales increase fourfold overnight, but the customers can’t pay.

With the unemployment rate rising to historic levels since the pandemic hit, more people are dropping off commercial coverage rolls. Visits to the doctors and other elective procedures have been postponed indefinitely. Even political talks on healthcare reforms appear to be tabled until 2021.

Overnight, some doctors at country hospitals have seen workloads double and the suicide rate soar, while those in private practice are essentially unemployed.

While healthcare stocks are understandably struggling to survive, there are standouts that managed to take the blow without crumbling to ruins.

One of them is Anthem (ANTM).

With a market capitalization of $75.78 billion, Anthem is one of the biggest health insurers in the United States today.

Recently, the company wielded its power to offer $2.5 billion worth of premium credits as a form of financial assistance to its members during the pandemic.

This comes in the form of cost-share waivers, extensions for their virtual care coverage, and even assistance for struggling employers to help in maintaining the healthcare of their own employees.

While a lot of companies have been rapidly downgrading 2020 guidance due to the pandemic, Anthem updated its 2020 forecasts to reflect an increase in its adjusted net income from $19.44 per share to an eye-popping $22.30.

This indicates that Anthem has extra bandwidth for growth primarily thanks to its stable revenue stream, increasing membership, and solid earnings.

In its first quarter report for 2020, Anthem’s operating revenues jumped by 20.7% year over year to reach $29.4 billion, with profits from its IngenioRx launch.

As for its net income in the said period, Anthem raked in $1.52 billion or roughly $5.94 per share compared to $5.91 per share in 2019.

Anthem even increased its dividend by 19% in January.

However, it’s Anthem’s cash flow that continues to impress. From 2019 up until the first quarter of this year, Anthem’s cash flow surged by 58% year over year.

One of the main factors that boost the growth of a health insurance company is membership, and Anthem managed to tick off that box as well in the first quarter.

Anthem’s medical enrollment climbed to 42.1 million members, showing off a 3.2% increase year over year. With backing from government business enrollment as well as commercial and specialty businesses, this number is expected to climb higher this year.

Even Anthem’s inorganic growth ventures promise great results, with acquisitions and collaborations continuously boosting the Medicare Advantage growth of the company.

A good example is its acquisition of the Medicaid members in Missouri and Nebraska via WellCare Health at the beginning of 2020. This led to 849,000 lives added to its government business enrollment since 2019.

Meanwhile, its acquisition of AmeriBen added 452,000 members to its commercial and specialty business sector.

Anthem’s takeover of Beacon Health, which is the biggest independent behavioral health firm in the US, serves to further strengthen its position in this sector. This move added roughly 300,000 Medicaid members under Anthem’s coverage.

In terms of adapting to the needs of its members during the pandemic, Anthem is making more aggressive moves to promote its telehealth services.

Although this sector is currently widely associated with Teladoc Health (TDOC), which has a market capitalization of $12.93 billion, the rest of the league is catching up quick.

Since the average cost per telehealth session is roughly $100 less compared to fees paid in visits to the doctor’s office, this is definitely a platform-managed care providers are looking into.

According to Anthem, its telehealth app recorded over 170,000 new downloads since the COVID-19 crisis started.

It also reported a 250% surge in the demand for its virtual care services.

Anthem isn’t the only health insurer joining the telehealth fray. CVS Health (CVS), Humana (HUM), Centene (CNC), and even industry leader UnitedHealth Group (UNH) has been looking into the service.

In this period of uncertainty, choosing a stable company with a robust outlook and sold at a reasonable price is always a wise investment.

With Anthem’s profits projected to grow by roughly 47% over the next years, this company’s future offers security to its investors. Its impressive cash flow also plays a significant role in its higher share valuation.

anthem

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-16 10:00:522020-06-17 01:01:03The One Bright Start in the Healthcare Industry
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 16, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to a six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-16 09:29:472020-06-16 09:29:47June 16, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 16, 2020

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
June 16, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE IDIOT’S GUIDE TO INVESTING),
(TSLA), (BYND), (JPM)
(TESTIMONIAL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-16 09:06:582020-06-16 08:49:43June 16, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (AAPL) June 15, 2020 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-15 14:49:122020-06-15 15:05:17Trade Alert - (AAPL) June 15, 2020 - BUY
Douglas Davenport

June 15, 2020 - MDT Alert (DXC)

MDT Alert

Today I would like to make one more suggestion. And it will be a covered call.

The stock is DXC Technology Co. (DXC).

DXC is trading at $16.34 as I write this.

My suggestion is to buy DXC at the market.

Then Sell to Open (1) June 19th- $17 call for every 100 share you buy.

The June 19th - $17 calls can be sold for $.55.

Based on the tracking portfolio, limit the stock buy in to 300 shares or 4.9% of the tracking portfolio.

If the calls are assigned this Friday, the return will be 7.4% for five days.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Douglas Davenport https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Douglas Davenport2020-06-15 13:42:282020-06-15 13:42:59June 15, 2020 - MDT Alert (DXC)
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (SPY) June 15, 2020 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-15 13:19:482020-06-15 13:22:18Trade Alert - (SPY) June 15, 2020 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 15, 2020 - MDT Alert (MFA)

MDT Alert

We were able to sell the $4 call on MFA that expires this coming Friday for $0.65.

And today, we can close it for $0.10.

Ordinarily, I would leave the position alone and hold until expiration.

But MFA reports this Thursday and we can capture 85% of the profit on the call that was sold.

My suggestion will be to close the short calls.

Here is how you do it.

Buy to Close June 19th - $4 call for $0.10.

Close the entire short call position. So, if you followed the alert, you would be buying back 10 calls.

Of course, this alert only applies if you sold the June $4 calls.

If you did sell the 10 calls, the cash profit is $550.

If the stock makes a run into earnings, I will suggest you sell more call options.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-15 12:02:262020-06-15 12:02:26June 15, 2020 - MDT Alert (MFA)
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 15, 2020

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
June 15, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(DON’T TAKE YOUR EYES OFF BIG TECH SHARES),
(GOOGL), (AAPL), (MSFT), (NFLX), (FB), (AMZN), (IBM), (CSCO)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-15 11:04:322020-06-15 11:05:13June 15, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Don't Take Your Eyes Off Big Tech Shares

Tech Letter

There is literally no possible scenario in a post-second-wave lockdown where the 7 tech stocks of Facebook, Google, Apple, Microsoft, Netflix, Facebook, and Amazon don’t shoot the lights out unless the world ceases to exist.

25,891 – that is the number of new coronavirus cases registered in the U.S. on June 13th, 2020 which is about in line with the recent near-term peaks of total daily U.S. coronavirus cases.

Why is this important?

Traders are calculating whether a “second wave” will possibly rear its ugly head to crush the frothy momentum in tech stocks.

That is where we are at now in the tech market.

Tech stocks could possibly ride another magnificent ride up in share appreciation if the reopening of the economy can kick into second gear.

Skeptics are sounding the alarms that this is not even the “second wave” and we still in the latter half of the first wave.  

Consensus has it that this could be just a head fake.  

The jitters are real with recent dive in tech shares.

The five biggest tech companies burned more than $269 billion in value last Thursday - the worst day for U.S. stocks since March and the 25th worst day in stock market history.

Nasdaq stocks ended the day largely 5% in the red with Microsoft shedding $80 billion in market cap in just one day.

Larger drops were led by IBM who lost 9% and Cisco who lost 8%.

It was a dreadful day at the office, to say the least.

We are teetering on a knife's edge and the tension is running high in the White House with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin already announcing that the U.S. can’t afford another lockdown.

It’s not up to him in the end, it’s about how consumers will assess the confronted health risks.

Tech will undoubtedly be dragged down with the rest on the next lockdown sparing few survivors.

The housing market might actually go down as well as the initial push to the suburbs will dissipate and fresh forbearances will explode higher.

Consumers might not even have the cash to pay for their monthly Apple phone service or internet bill if the worst-case scenario manifests itself.

The health scare has already dented new software purchases by small and medium businesses (SMBs) and tech companies in industries such as travel, retail, and hospitality; online ad spending by the likes of automakers and online travel agencies; and smartphone, automotive and industrial chip purchases.

Small business has held off on reducing their tech software spending too much on the expectation that macro conditions will perform a V-shaped recovery.

Numerous tech firms have cited “demand stabilization,” but it’s not guaranteed to last if we revert to another lockdown.  

If a lockdown happens again, it will be another referendum on Fed’s enormous liquidity impulses versus the drop in real earnings or flat out losses to tech business models.

Even with the media’s onslaught of vicious fearmongering campaigns, I do believe this is the time for long-term investors to scale into the best of tech such as Amazon, Apple, Google, Microsoft, Facebook, Netflix.

If you thought these 7 companies had anti-trust issues before, then look away.

We could gradually head into an economy where up to 40% of the public markets comprise of only 7 tech stocks which is at a mind-boggling 25% now.

Never waste a good crisis – tech is following through like no other sector!

Bonds don’t make money anymore and hiding out now means putting your life savings into these 7 premium tech stocks.

In the short-term, this is a good opportunity for a tactical bullish tech trade.

tech companies

 

tech companies

 

tech companies

 

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/US-new-cases.png 229 492 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-15 11:02:302020-06-15 23:40:16Don't Take Your Eyes Off Big Tech Shares
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 15, 2020 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“Microsoft isn't evil, they just make really crappy operating systems.” – Said Finnish-American software engineer Linus Benedict Torvalds who is the creator Linux, Android, and Chrome OS

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/torvalds.png 116 108 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-15 11:00:272020-06-15 11:04:32June 15, 2020 - Quote of the Day
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There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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