• support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Member Login
Mad Hedge Fund Trader
  • Home
  • About
  • Store
  • Luncheons
  • Testimonials
  • Contact Us
  • Click to open the search input field Click to open the search input field Search
  • Menu Menu

Tag Archive for: ($COMPQ)

Mad Hedge Fund Trader

5 Tips to Help Navigate the Tech Market Correction

Tech Letter

The Nasdaq technology index has been on a bull run for the ages.

You didn’t think it was going to last forever, did you?

In the past 10 years, we’ve only had three little blips, one in 2019 from the temper tantrum, then the 2020 pandemic selloff, and now the 2022 inflation problem.

It’s more or less been strong performance aside from those quick corrections where the Nasdaq bounced back even stronger.

The truth is that meaningful corrections don’t happen that often and every time one has occurred, it’s been a great buying opportunity.

I know it sounds scary in the face of red drowning out your screen, but the silver lining is that this will give readers a chance to grab high quality stocks that are rarely, if at all, on sale.

Here are a few tips on how to navigate a tech market correction.

  1. Put Market Corrections in Context

Since 1928, a correction of at least 10% has happened about once every 19 months – not that often. Of the 27 corrections since World War II, the index has experienced an average decline of 13.7%.

This highlights the simple truth that investing is not a contest of who can dump stocks as fast as possible.

If you’re convinced a sell-off is on the horizon, consider making the following changes.

  1. Take Profits

Sell stocks in your portfolio that you think have peaked.

Alternatively, you may want to establish a selling strategy that dictates when you sell stocks and remove any emotion from the decision.

This type of strategy is a method of managing stress and you will avoid misusing that fat finger to get rid of your best assets.

  1. Focus on Asset Allocation

Preside over a healthy mix of different types of investments that will hold their value until you can jump back into tech stocks.

Don’t put all your money into Facebook (FB) and feel wounded after it drops 25% after their business model collapses (which is essentially what just happened.)

Rarely will everything go down all at once.

The tech sector usually experiences more downside in a correction than others due to their high growth nature.

This is when dividend-paying stocks start to outperform and a huge rotation rapidly takes place.

  1. Smarten Up by Placing Limit Orders

It is essential to always place limit orders and not market orders. With a limit order, you specify the price you want to buy or sell at, and the trade is only executed at that price or better.

Meanwhile, opting for a market order means your trade is at the whim of the market. The final filled order could be a few percentage points of where you expected it.

This nasty surprise is easy to avoid.

  1. Don’t Lose Sight of Your Ultimate Goal

Even if you’re a buy-and-hold investor, you’ll eventually want to sell some of your investments.

Minimizing risks is the name of the game and most investors have a number in mind at the end of the day.

This number is complemented by a timeline; don’t lose sight of the path towards that, and the process needed to achieve that final number.

Markets almost never sell off by 20% and many of these market corrections are great chances to get into the best of tech.

Let’s be honest, tech has been very expensive the last few years and to get a great company like Google, Apple, or Microsoft on discount is something that people pray for.

The tech market has always recovered from its short- and longer-term market dips and this correction won’t be any different.

tech correction

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-02-23 16:02:292022-02-28 17:36:545 Tips to Help Navigate the Tech Market Correction
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 8, 2021

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 8, 2021
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(ON EXECUTING MY TRADE ALERTS),
(TEN REASONS WHY STOCKS CAN’T SELL OFF BIG TIME),
(SPY), (INDU), ($COMPQ), (IWM), (TLT), (GME)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-12-08 10:06:182021-12-08 13:13:42December 8, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

February 9, 2021

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
February 9, 2021
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(ON EXECUTING MY TRADE ALERTS),
(TEN REASONS WHY STOCKS CAN’T SELL OFF BIG TIME),
(SPY), (INDU), ($COMPQ), (IWM), (TLT), (GME)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-02-09 10:06:472021-02-09 12:02:58February 9, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 26, 2020

Tech Letter



Mad Hedge Technology Letter
October 26, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(WHAT DOES DIGITAL UPSKILLING MEAN TO TECH?)
(AAPL), ($COMPQ)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-26 11:04:232020-10-26 11:30:46October 26, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

What Does Digital Upskilling Mean to Tech?

Tech Letter

The signals are there offering the impetus to the U.S. workforce to become increasingly tech-savvy in a hurry.

A word was even coined for it: “Digital upskilling.”

The idea of this development in digital skills is, in fact, the reason why every investor needs to look at tech growth stocks as the cornerstone of their investment portfolio.

To understand the trajectory of tech growth stocks, analyzing the entry level of industry employment offers a clearer snapshot of the meat and bones of the industry.

The tech workforce is upskilling precisely because they are incentivized with the opportunity to secure higher salaries.

The higher salaries exist precisely because tech corporations can afford to pay their workers more when they participate in a business cycle that delivers 40% higher revenue than the year before.

It’s a virtuous cycle that not only enriches the shareholder but is a golden chance for U.S. workers to secure a high-quality life when other U.S. industries like retail, hospitality, and energy have crashed and burned.

The very day that tech companies stop doling out larger than life salaries will be the cue that we are at ex-growth and investors must be able to pivot quickly to target the next growth part of the economy.

The great x-factor of technology is that there will always be a new start-up tech reshaping the industry and old technologies just become obsolete like the fax machine and Atari game console.

Therefore, the upskilling at all levels of the tech ladder means the possibility that someone will strike it rich by discovering a new technology that is able to revolutionize the industry.

Companies are even offering in-company courses to encourage employees to hone their skills.

This can often lead to exciting promotions even in a time where the economy has been throttled to a standstill.

The latest accelerator has been none other than the coronavirus as corporations have been forced to continue operations without the help of a physical office.

Corporations are fast-tracking their embrace of digital technologies and enabling workers to learn wherever they are, whenever they want, on any device.

Around 86% of top-performing companies reported that digital training programs boosted employee engagement and performance.

The aim of tech companies is to load itself with employees skilled in data science, data storage technology skills, tech support, and digital literacy.

Other marketable skills include software development, digital marketing, and IT administration.

The real hurdle in digital upskilling lies in execution, making an entire workforce digitally savvy is a tough chore and there will always be stragglers bringing up the rear.

Corporates have ploughed full steam into upskilling and even though Silicon Valley hasn’t moved on from the smartphone, it is squeezing as much juice from this grapefruit as it can.

We are now onto the Apple (AAPL) iPhone 12 and who knows, we might get to the iPhone 20 or 30.

We are onto the Apple iPhone 12 because it’s a cash cow and that won’t stop which is why investors need to feed their appetite for premium US tech stocks.

Stocks are divided into “value” and “growth” halves. The former consists of the stocks that are cheapest in relation to net assets, current cash flow, and so on. These tend to be older, duller, and less exciting companies.

The other half, “growth,” tends to consist of the glamorous companies that have monopolies.

Just look at the performance of value stocks. The average U.S. large company “value” mutual fund has lost 8% so far this year, even including reinvested dividends.

The average growth fund? It’s up a stunning 30%. And this gap has been going on for years: “Growth” funds have beaten “Value” funds since as far back as 2007, market data show.

From the upskilling at entry-level jobs, there are signs everywhere that investing in high growth tech is the way to go and if you compare tech to the rest of the market in 2020, the numbers are a no-brainer.

 

digital upskilling

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-26 11:02:392020-10-29 20:33:22What Does Digital Upskilling Mean to Tech?
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 14, 2020

Tech Letter



Mad Hedge Technology Letter
October 14, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(TECH OPTION VOLUME UNHINGED)
($COMPQ), (APPL), (FB), (MSFT), (GOOGL), (NFLX)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-14 11:04:262020-10-14 10:56:52October 14, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Tech Option Volume Unhinged

Tech Letter

The euphoria in big cap tech shares is the catalyst moving the Nasdaq index recently.

Call option activity is taking the top off of tech shares with usual low beta stocks surging over 5% in single trading sessions.

This unfortunately is causing our options trades to experience heightened stock volatility and the knock-on effect is our strikes getting blown out.

Some of the excess volatility comes down to traders making big bets in the run-up to the election.

Remember when Trump won in 2016, the market exploded higher when many “experts” guaranteed a massive sell-off would ensue.

In the short-term, the unsustainable pace of speculation in derivatives will translate into wild price swings. Monday brought the biggest rally for the Nasdaq 100 Index since April, but measures of volatility rallied as well.

One proxy for the froth still latent in options, the percentage of overall volume represented by single-stock contracts, remains up 19% from a year ago.

Most of the action is concentrated in mega cap technology and momentum-driven shares.

A consensus is coalescing around a few big buyers coming into the options market to corner it with rumors of purchases around $300 million worth of call contracts on tech stocks in a single day.

The Nasdaq 100 Index has gained in all but two sessions this month and just notched its best week since July after last month’s sharp drop.

Whipsawing markets are also possible when liquidity remains thin.

Trading in options showed itself capable of influencing share movement in August and September when dealer hedging (demand from people who sell options for the underlying stock) created feedback loops that helped drive the Nasdaq higher.

That dynamic can also make sell-offs worse than they should be as well as sellers adjust positions.

Big trades in thin markets, especially in technology or momentum trades considered overbought or oversold, increase the potential for exacerbated stock moves as dealers hedge exposure.

Call open interest in Facebook (FB), Amazon (AMZN), Netflix (NFLX), Alphabet (GOOGL), Apple (APPL) and Microsoft (MSFT) has averaged 12.8 million contracts over the 30 days through Friday, the highest since early 2019.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq index has gyrated an average of 1.8% per day since the beginning of September, while the broader market gauge has fluctuated by 1.2% over that time period.

Recent options activity has been momentum-based, meaning that stocks tend to attract more interest in calls when it’s rallying versus when it trades lower.

Throw in structural forces that are contributing to a sustained high implied volatility environment, and election hedgers have their work cut out for them.

There are fewer short-volatility players as well in the wake of the health crisis.

There’s also less volatility selling by retail investors after the delisting of some popular VIX products earlier this year like the volatility ETF ticker symbol XIV.

It could take a few years for the imbalances to work itself through the system.

Then there’s the resurfacing of an event similar to the “Nasdaq whale” which is reported as Softbank acting like a hedge fund and buying as many big tech call options they could afford.

Softbank CEO has essentially turned his failed hedge fund named the Vision Fund from a start-up investor into a speculative hedge fund in risky option contracts solely betting on the rise of Silicon Valley tech in the age of the coronavirus.

After being burnt by Uber and WeWork, he finally decided to stay out of the messy acquisitions/seed funding and just speculative through derivatives from Tokyo.

The avalanche of options volume will no doubt cause the tech markets to become jittery and it certainly puts a floor under tech implied volatility for a while.

Retail investors have taken notice of this insane volume and largely stayed on the sideline.

At the apex of the madness, retail traders spent more than $511 billion in notional value on call options and that figure was slashed to $343 billion in the first week of October.

Retail traders tend to buy less-expensive short-dated contracts which tend to have greater convexity and ability to exacerbate share movements.

The level of risk-taking occurring in the public markets is at an all-time high.

Just look at America’s most elite university endowments who have slashed their exposure to the stock markets to the lowest levels since before the crash of 1929. And now they’re betting the ranch on secretive, illiquid, and high-risk private-equity funds and hedge funds.

A US teachers’ pension fund has sued Allianz Global Investors, accusing one of the world’s biggest asset managers of employing a “reckless strategy” that cost retirees almost $800m during this year’s market turmoil.

This is just one example of the high-risk strategies taking place with pension money.

In a lawsuit filed on Monday in New York, the Arkansas Teacher Retirement System claims that Alpha Funds, investment vehicles marketed by AllianzGI, had placed bets against an escalation of market volatility in an effort to recover losses they incurred from the same strategy in February.

So here we stand with derivative trading in tech options and general equity strategies leveraged to the hills that are betting on the system not breaking, or at least not breaking yet.

Even if the system reaches breaking point, many of these private investors are betting on governments to come rescue them perpetuating the feedback loop and offers a conundrum to savvy asset managers to miss or partake in the gaps up themselves.

 

 

tech option

 

tech option

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-14 11:02:242020-10-16 14:56:14Tech Option Volume Unhinged
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 21, 2020

Tech Letter



Mad Hedge Technology Letter
September 21, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(WHAT’S NEXT FOR THE TECH MARKET)
($COMPQ)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-09-21 11:04:392020-09-21 11:36:02September 21, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

What's Next for the Tech Market

Tech Letter

The tech market appears to be stalling out confronting uncertainty on a host of fronts, but investors betting on one theme—the unfolding economic recovery—appear positive.

What is certainly uncertain is that elections, brazen geopolitics, healthcare bills, inflation, forbearance, natural disasters are piling up like a dirty laundry basket of heightened risk.

Cyclical outperformance has been the catchphrase since the start of September, and the establishment on Wall Street has been barking for a rotation in market leadership from mega-cap tech.

As much as I love the business models of Apple, Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and Netflix, they have come too far — too fast.

We are currently smack dab in an economic phase where growth stocks won’t perform like they did when the broader economy was humming along just before March and the shelter-at-home trade has faded away from its initial boost.

There are knock-on effects and big tech doesn’t just live in a silo which is why investors are searching for reasons to take tech higher.

That being said, big tech did harvest the lions’ share of the gains from March until the end of August and in relative terms, they have emerged the ultimate winners during this health crisis.

Many upper-middle-class families are beginning to feel the economic pinch as well, as the damage is starting to be felt further up the economic food chain.

But these families will still need their tech software and services when they do a cost-benefit analysis and items such as car loans, entertainment, and food delivery will be more likely on the cutting block.

The overextended S&P 500 technology sector has lost 8% in September, while value-oriented materials and industrials have added 6% and 2%, respectively. The overall S&P 500 has declined 4%.

The valuation of the market is arguing for a rotation, not a continued leg up.

In the short term, tech stocks could lose out to U.S. small-caps and specifically small companies with high returns on equity, or ROE.

Low-ROE and nonearning stocks have dominated the Russell 2000’s rebound since late March, as investors focused on revenue growth above all else. That has benefited a lot of software, biotech, and other stocks, but forced investors to pay a high premium.

When the economy is in free fall, many companies have negative sales growth, and the market will favor those who aren’t overvalued.

By my estimation, tech is overvalued in the short-term but still a great long term bet.

Now that the fiscal morphine shot is wearing off, tech appears to be resting while it consolidates while waiting for an “event” to give it more juice.

Some fiscal tools just don’t work now like share buybacks. Management would be tone-deaf to the economic carnage going on in the U.S. — not to mention that tech stocks just visited all-time highs.

The Federal Reserve now sees 4% gross domestic product growth in the U.S. next year, followed by 3% in 2022.

This small-cap rotation will come and go, and once tech gets a little cheaper, the dip will be bought.

As the retracement goes from 20 days to one month, some positive news comes in the form of Walmart and Oracle acquiring parts of TikTok even in a highly diluted form.  

Fortunately, the tech portfolio has been in 100% cash as I sensed the consolidation in time.

We will search for better entry points and will need to be patient.

tech investors

 

tech investors

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-09-21 11:02:262020-09-21 22:09:56What's Next for the Tech Market
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

August 12, 2020

Tech Letter



Mad Hedge Technology Letter
August 12, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(PUT THE KIBOSH ON TECH STOCKS?)
($COMPQ)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-08-12 09:04:222020-08-12 10:18:15August 12, 2020
Page 14 of 17«‹1213141516›»

tastytrade, Inc. (“tastytrade”) has entered into a Marketing Agreement with Mad Hedge Fund Trader (“Marketing Agent”) whereby tastytrade pays compensation to Marketing Agent to recommend tastytrade’s brokerage services. The existence of this Marketing Agreement should not be deemed as an endorsement or recommendation of Marketing Agent by tastytrade and/or any of its affiliated companies. Neither tastytrade nor any of its affiliated companies is responsible for the privacy practices of Marketing Agent or this website. tastytrade does not warrant the accuracy or content of the products or services offered by Marketing Agent or this website. Marketing Agent is independent and is not an affiliate of tastytrade. 

Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

Copyright © 2025. Mad Hedge Fund Trader. All Rights Reserved. support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Privacy Policy
  • Disclaimer
  • FAQ
Scroll to top