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Tag Archive for: (GSK)

Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Emerging COVID-19 Alliances

Biotech Letter

Tesla (TSLA) has been sizzling hot for months now, and it looks like its Midas touch has reached the biotechnology world.

It seems that almost everything linked to Tesla achieves success. That could indicate terrific news for a particular biotech: CureVac (CVAC).

CureVac, an under-the-radar biotech stock, is closing in on the leading COVID-19 vaccine developers today.

A differentiating factor it has from the likes of Pfizer (PFE), BioNTech (BNTX), and Moderna (MRNA) is its bonafide tie-in with Tesla. Although it sounds like quite a stretch for an electric car company to have any involvement with a biotech stock, the connection actually makes sense.  

Like Moderna and BioNTech, CureVac has also been working on utilizing messenger RNA (mRNA) technology to develop various vaccines and other treatments. If all goes well, this could even lead to finding a way to immunize people against cancer.

Where does Tesla come in?

It all started in 2019 when CureVac was awarded $34 million in funding by the Coalition for Epidemic Prepared Innovations (CEPI).

The goal was to create and eventually build a prototype of an mRNA “printer.” This high-tech tool would be used to produce mRNA doses in areas that suffer from viral outbreaks. It could be used by hospitals to create personalized medicines.

Having an mRNA printer would be groundbreaking in fighting off viral diseases, particularly in remote regions. As expected, this project faced many technology obstacles along the way.

Here’s where Tesla can offer a solution since one of the companies it acquired in the past years is Grohmann Engineering, which specializes in automated manufacturing.

This makes Tesla Grohmann Automation the logical partner for CureVac to turn for help in building its mRNA printer prototype.

What we know so far is that the two companies have been working closely on the project.

It’s only a matter of time before we find out if Tesla’s magic would once again blow our expectations out of the water and we are presented with yet another breakthrough.

Other than its alliance with Tesla in the mRNA race, CureVac has forged another partnership to transform itself into a stronger candidate in the COVID-19 vaccine competition.

CureVac has tapped into the global reach of Bayer (BAYN) to help it distribute its vaccine once it gains approval.

In terms of its own COVID-19 vaccine candidate, CureVac is anticipated to release positive results.

This is because its technology closely mirrors that used by Moderna and BioNTech, which strongly indicates that the efficacy levels could be just as good.

However, CureVac’s vaccine candidate offers a competitive advantage over the others: it doesn’t require cold storage.

This means it would be easier and more convenient to distribute it compared to Moderna’s and Pfizer’s.

It also requires a much smaller dose compared to Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine candidate. This translates to cheaper manufacturing costs.

CureVac has secured a deal with the EU to deliver an initial 405 million doses for half of the year plus 300 million doses more in 2021 alone. It also agreed to produce 600 million doses in 2022.

Meanwhile, its alliance deal with Bayer indicates that it has secured a powerful distribution partner.

Therefore, we could expect CureVac to leverage Bayer’s global supply network to deliver its vaccines worldwide.

However, CureVac and Bayer are thinking way ahead of 2022.

The alliance formed by the two companies sees to it that the CureVac vaccine candidate would become the strongest contender in the post-pandemic years.

As per Bayer’s projection, the companies estimate 12 billion to 14 billion vaccine doses just to bring this pandemic under control.

Considering that COVID is expected to become an endemic disease, annual or even bi-annual vaccination programs would become the norm.

While Pfizer, Moderna, and AstraZeneca have been well ahead of the vaccine race, the door is still firmly open for other developers like Novavax (NVAX), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), Sanofi (SNY), and, of course, CureVac to launch their own COVID-19 vaccines. 

Only going public in August 2020, this German biotech company already has $18.2 billion in market capitalization.

Its public offering of 15.3 million shares sold at $16 each generated $245.3 million for the company back in August.

By early December 2020, CureVac shares were already being traded somewhere around $150 as investors quickly began to realize the value proposition.

If I am to look to invest in a COVID-19 vaccine developer at this point, CureVac would surely be one of my choices.

curevac

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-01-26 12:00:182021-01-27 20:09:34Emerging COVID-19 Alliances
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 17, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
December 17, 2020
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(ALL HAIL THE DIVIDEND KING)
(JNJ), (PFE), (GSK), (SNY), (MRK), (MRNA)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-12-17 11:02:252020-12-17 12:59:28December 17, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

All Hail the Dividend King

Biotech Letter

Major problems have the tendency to attract major problem solvers.

That’s why it came as no surprise when the biggest pharmaceutical companies, like Pfizer (PFE), GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), Sanofi (SNY), and Merck (MRK), jumped in to work a solution the moment a global pandemic threatened the planet.

Now, another big name in the healthcare industry is set to release its own solution.

As Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) releases more positive data from its COVID-19 vaccine program, it becomes more obvious that the company won’t simply be one of the businesses benefiting from the world turning the corner on the pandemic—it will be one of the companies making that happen.

While companies like Pfizer have already gained approval and are out in the market today, JNJ’s day in the sun could be happening sooner than anticipated as well.

What we know so far is that JNJ would be able to manufacture at least 1 billion doses of its COVID-19 vaccine, JNJ-78436735, by early 2021. Given the company’s massive production capacity, catching up with the global demand won’t be an issue either.

More importantly, JNJ’s vaccine offers more convenience in terms of storage compared to current leaders Pfizer and Moderna (MRNA) since JNJ-78436735 does not need ultra-special requirements.

Unlike the other vaccines, JNJ’s candidate can be stored at refrigerator temperature for up to three months.

Plus, JNJ-78436735 is formulated to be a one-dose vaccine, which means it would be easier to administer than the two-shot candidates from Pfizer and Moderna.

While this is great news, the company already announced that it would be selling JNJ-78436735 at cost during the pandemic.

That doesn’t necessarily mean that JNJ is doing all these for purely altruistic reasons though. Even when the pandemic is over, there will still be a demand for the COVID-19 vaccine.

The market for this is estimated to be worth roughly $100 billion in sales and over $40 billion in profits.

If approved, then JNJ can comfortably share this opportunity with competitors.

Given the pricing and the target market, JNJ is projected to earn at least $3 billion in sales for JNJ-78436735 in 2021 alone.

However, the appeal of JNJ stock does not lie in its COVID-19 vaccine candidate.

Pretty much like industry stalwarts such as Walmart (WMT), JNJ is one of the safest blue-chip stocks.

Founded in 1886, it has shown its capacity to weather practically all types of market crashes thanks to its consumer defensive strategy.

While JNJ is not immune to setbacks, as it faced patent expirations for its best-selling drugs and even lawsuits for products like Tylenol and the infamous Baby Powder legal battle, the company managed to repeatedly bounce back primarily because of its well-diversified business segments.

Simply put, its strong products easily offset the weaknesses.

JNJ manufactures and markets basic items like bandages, baby formula, and even skincare products—all of which are goods that customers continue to buy regardless of what is happening to the economy.

Specifically, JNJ owns a number of multibillion-dollar brands like Band-Aid, Listerine, and Nicorette. However, it doesn’t heavily rely on already established names.

For instance, its consumer health sector—the smallest segment in the company—raked in $13.9 billion in sales in 2019.

Meanwhile, its medical devices division generated $26 billion in the same year.

Its pharmaceuticals sector, which covers drugs and treatments for infectious diseases, oncology, and cardiovascular, brought in a whopping $42.2 billion.

A more recent demonstration of JNJ’s ability to weather market downturns is the company’s third-quarter earnings report, which showed a 3.8% jump in its EPS to hit $2.2 and a 1.7% increase in its sales to reach $21.1 billion.

By 2021, JNJ is projected to report a 9% increase in its revenue and a 12% earnings growth following the easing of the pandemic woes and the increasing sales of its top cancer treatments Darzalex and Imbruvica.

Over the past five years, JNJ’s stock has rallied by over 40% and generated a total return of 65%.

To date, this stock trades at merely 17 times forward earnings and pays a respectable forward yield at 2.7%, making it a good investment at a decent price.

As in the past, it’s easy to bet on JNJ’s dividend growth in the next years and even decades for three main reasons—an extremely diversified portfolio that already has an established solid footing across global markets, a rock-solid balance sheet, and a hyper-focus on development and growth.

JNJ’s solid foothold in the worldwide healthcare market along with its innovative R&D spending serves as key drivers for its impressive cash flow and consistent dividends.

Most investors are familiar with companies tagged as Dividend Aristocrats. These stocks are part of the S&P 500 group that managed to increase their dividends for at least 25 years in a row.

However, there’s an even more elite group of dividend stocks that do not get as much fanfare: the Dividend Kings.

To be categorized as a Dividend King, the company must be able to grow its dividend for at least 50 consecutive years.

Since it went public 76 years ago, JNJ has been able to boost its annual dividend for 58 straight years---making this company one of the globally recognized Dividend Kings of the S&P 500.

jnj covid vaccine

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-12-17 11:00:252020-12-18 23:44:40All Hail the Dividend King
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 12, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
November 12, 2020
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(GILEAD IS THE CHOSEN ONE)
(GILD), (REGN), (LLY), (PFE), (AZN), (MRNA), (BNTX), (IMMU)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-12 10:02:422020-11-12 11:05:38November 12, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Gilead is the Chosen One

Biotech Letter

The fight against the coronavirus reached a major milestone when the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved the first ever treatment for this deadly disease.

Unsurprisingly, the chosen leader for COVID-19 treatment to cross the full approval finish line is the same company that has been supplying the medication since the pandemic started: Gilead Sciences (GILD).

While Gilead’s Remdesivir has been widely used since January to treat severe cases of COVID-19, this FDA approval makes it official—a welcome piece of good news that pushed the stock up by 4% upon announcement.

Now, Gilead can broadly market Remdesivir under its official drug name, Veklury, to doctors and patients.

That means that other than the elderly and severe cases, Veklury can be marketed to COVID-19 patients as young as 12 years old.

Since Veklury gained approval, the drug has generated roughly $873 million in revenues.

Despite its limited market, this COVID-19 treatment actually ranked as Gilead’s second highest-selling drug in the third quarter of 2020—only behind the blockbuster HIV medication Biktarvy, which rose by 8% to contribute $4.55 billion.

As expected, Veklury’s popularity boosted Gilead’s 2020 performance.

Gilead’s total sales for the third quarter alone reached $6.5 billion, with $873 million coming from its brand new just-approved COVID-19 treatment Veklury.

For context, the company’s sales for the third quarter was only projected to grow by 2%. Veklury sales boosted this number to generate an 18% jump in revenue instead.

Clearly, Veklury injects a ray of hope in the declining sales for some of previous Gilead’s money makers like its hepatitis lineup, which saw a $210 million slide in revenue this quarter.

With this approval, Gilead is expected to pocket billions in Veklury sales as the company announced its plan to ramp up production to meet the global demand.

After all, governments are expected to stockpile the drug to be ready for future outbreaks.

In terms of its sustainability, Gilead is estimated to enjoy Veklury’s lucrative profits for a year or two until a COVID-19 vaccine gets fully approved or when herd immunity eventually kicks in.

Apart from Gilead, there are also other companies looking to cash in on this demand.

One of them is Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN), which gained popularity after being used to fast track the COVID-19 recovery of Donald Trump during the campaign period. Another is Eli Lilly, which also applied for an emergency authorization for its antibody cocktail.

Most importantly, Veklury sets a promising precedent for other COVID-19 programs, particularly the vaccines.

If the ongoing trials yield positive results, then the vaccines of Pfizer (PFE), AstraZeneca (AZN), Moderna (MRNA), and BioNTech (BNTX) could quickly receive emergency authorizations.

Meanwhile, Veklury is not the only pandemic-defying achievement of Gilead this year.

Even before the pandemic broke, Gilead’s strategy has consistently centered on acquisitions.

This plan was kickstarted with its $12 billion acquisition of Kite Pharma in 2017.

This investment has been paying off as the company continues growth in Asia, specifically in China.

By 2022, Gilead is projected to generate over $1 billion in sales from its Hepatitis B lineup in this region alone.

While 2020 has not been the best year for mergers and even acquisitions particularly in the biopharmaceutical sector, Gilead seems to not be letting the pandemic ruin its plans.

In March, Gilead completed its $4.9 billion acquisition of Forty-Seven in an effort to own the rights to a blockbuster cancer drug called Magrolimab. This product is anticipated to bring more than $3 billion in annual sales. 

Recently, the company announced yet another massive $21 billion deal to acquire Immunomedics (IMMU)—a value that is nearly 30% of Gilead’s $70.4 billion market capitalization.

Gilead’s deal with Immunomedics adds another potential blockbuster drug in its oncology lineup: Trodelvy.

Once approved, Trodelvy is expected to rake in $4 billion annually—a profit that would eventually pay off the $21 billion that Gilead shelled out to acquire Immunomedics.

Looking at profits from its recent acquisitions, Gilead can rake in roughly $2 billion in quarterly revenue just for Trodelvy and Magrolimab alone.

Overall, Gilead’s product lineup has clearly shown significant growth.

Its core portfolio has been consistently strong, and the full FDA approval of Remdesivir offered the company a short-term boost.

In terms of long-term growth, Gilead maintains the capacity to provide significant cash flow for its shareholders.

veklury

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-12 10:00:102020-11-15 15:57:44Gilead is the Chosen One
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 10, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
November 10, 2020
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(PFIZER ADDS EXCLAMATION POINT TO ITS DECLARATION OF INDEPENDENCE)
(PFE). (MRNA), (AZN), (JNJ), (MCK), (GSK), (MYL). (MRK), (BMY)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-10 11:02:012020-11-10 17:00:07November 10, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Pfizer Adds Exclamation Point to its Declaration of Independence

Biotech Letter

When Operation Warp Speed was launched, the US government handpicked the most promising COVID-19 vaccine programs and offered them funding—an offer that was welcomed by all those selected except for one: Pfizer (PFE).

While COVID-19 vaccine frontrunners like Moderna (MRNA), AstraZeneca (AZN), and even Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) accepted financial assistance from the US government, Pfizer insisted on funding its own coronavirus program.

Now, Pfizer has taken another step to make it clear that it does not need any help.

In what could only be described as adding an exclamation point to its “declaration of independence” from the US government, Pfizer announced that it won’t use the country’s chosen distribution partner in delivering its COVID-19 vaccine.

For years, the US government has been using McKesson (MCK) to deliver drugs and other treatments.

In fact, this was the same company used by the Obama administration in 2009, when it distributed the H1N1 vaccine and medications.

This won’t be the case for Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccine though.

According to the company, it has designed its own delivery system to ensure the proper and safe distribution of its product.

In October, Pfizer disclosed its distribution plans that centered on select sites in Michigan, Belgium, Wisconsin, and Germany.

Other than its goal to operate as independently from the US government as possible, one of the concerns of Pfizer is the sensitive nature of its COVID-19 vaccine.

The vaccine has to be kept at an ultra-cold temperature of minus 94 degrees Fahrenheit, which means that the shipments would require close monitoring.

What we know so far is that Pfizer has designed shipping containers that can maintain the temperature of the vaccine for 10 days.

In terms of monitoring, the company has developed a real-time GPS tracking system that will report any deviations in the set conditions.

All these are implemented to ensure that the COVID-19 vaccine does not lose potency before it reaches patients.

Looking at the other vaccine candidates, Moderna might also resort to this kind of distribution arrangement since its vaccine needs to be stored at negative 4 degrees Fahrenheit.

Outside its COVID-19 efforts, Pfizer has been aggressive in pruning its business divisions.

Since late 2019, Pfizer has been implementing strategies to eliminate its underperforming segments.

In August last year, the company forged a partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) to combine their consumer healthcare sectors.

This led to the formation of the GSK Consumer Healthcare, where Pfizer holds a 32% stake.

This year, Pfizer has been working on offloading its off-patent drug unit, Upjohn, and merging it with Mylan (MYL).

This deal should be finalized by the fourth quarter of 2020, with the merger offering Pfizer’s shareholders with roughly 57% of the new company, Viatris.

When this is completed, Pfizer would become a smaller and more focused biopharmaceutical company.

This means that the company can leverage its $202.27 billion market capitalization to move the needle more substantially in terms of its long-term prospects.

One of the key areas that Pfizer has been working towards becoming a powerhouse is oncology—a sector that has served as a major growth driver for the company for years.

Pfizer has a deep oncology portfolio comprising over 20 approved drugs marketed to different areas including breast cancer, lung cancer, and blood cancer. 

However, none of its cancer drugs have managed to breach the $10 billion annual sales mark in this sector.

This is because Pfizer has no absolute mega-blockbuster in the oncology space like its competitors Merck (MRK) with Keytruda and Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) with Opdivo.

With the growing number of pipeline candidates in its cancer portfolio, Pfizer is expected to come up with a blockbuster by the fourth quarter this year or before the first half of 2021 ends.

Looking at Pfizer’s pipeline, there are 14 approvals anticipated from today through 2025 in the oncology segment alone.

One contender is its prostate cancer drug Xtandi. Another is a non-small cell lung cancer medication called Lorbrena.

In terms of its current product lineup, Pfizer’s biopharmaceutical operations continue to impress investors.

Despite not having a mega-blockbuster, it still has several top-selling drugs like Eliquis and Ibrance. Both showed 9% increase each in sales for the third quarter of 2020.

Taking all these into consideration, Pfizer is estimated to deliver solid growth in the next few years primarily thanks to its fast-developing oncology segment. This market is forecasted to experience an increase of $240 billion every year by 2023.

Overall, a successful COVID-19 program could provide a one-time earnings boost for Pfizer and a substantial earnings accretion in fiscal 2021.

However, this giant biopharmaceutical company’s extensive lineup of commercialized products and promising oncology pipeline mean that its revenue and share performance do not heavily depend on its coronavirus vaccine.

If Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccine candidate fails, it won’t be a disaster for its shareholders, especially since the company’s shares do not seem to consider this program in its pricing.

In fact, Pfizer shares are looking inexpensive even without a successful COVID-19 vaccine candidate.

If it does turn out to be a success though, then Pfizer investors could enjoy some COVID-19 vaccine call option for free.

 

pfizer covid vaccine

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-10 11:00:302020-11-10 22:55:19Pfizer Adds Exclamation Point to its Declaration of Independence
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 15, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
October 15, 2020
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(KEEP AN EYE OUT ON THE SLOWER RUNNERS IN THE COVID-19 VACCINE RACE)
(SNY), (GSK), (MRNA), (FPE), (AZN), (PRNB)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-15 11:02:382020-10-15 11:36:22October 15, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Keep an Eye Out on the Slow Runners in the COVID-19 Vaccine Race

Biotech Letter

Under normal circumstances, it would be unheard of for a biotechnology or pharmaceutical company to begin the construction of manufacturing facilities for any drug that has not gained approval from the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA).

However, the year 2020 has been anything but “normal.”

In fact, the US government has already released billions of dollars to companies working to create a COVID-19 vaccine well ahead of their candidates’ approvals by the FDA.

While we have yet to determine which vaccine candidates would work, the amount of money pouring into these programs give us a very real sense of the size of the vaccine market.

Among the companies working on a vaccine, Sanofi (SNY) and GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) emerged as early favorites.

Even without any candidate in late-stage trials, the two drug makers landed a $2.1 billion deal with the US government for their COVID-19 vaccine candidate in July.

This will cover 100 million doses initially, which would put the vaccine cost at $21 per dose.

If all goes well, the US government has the option to buy an additional 500 million doses of the Sanofi-GSK vaccine. The two companies are also negotiating terms with other countries particularly in Europe and Asia.

Sanofi is the lead partner in this program, with the company producing the COVID-19 vaccine itself. As for GSK, it will be adding an adjuvant which would boost the immune response.

Initial data from this study is expected to be released by December 2020, with the duo hoping to receive regulatory approval not later than June 2021.

The goal is to manufacture up to 1 billion doses annually from the time of its approval in 2021.

One of the reasons Sanofi and GSK candidate attracted attention despite the companies’ less aggressive timeline compared to competitors, like Moderna (MRNA), Pfizer (PFE), and AstraZeneca (AZN), is that it uses a protein-based technique already used in their flu vaccine called Flublok.

Using a tried and tested technology affords COVID-19 vaccine investors a safety net in case the newer and untested technologies of Moderna and Pfizer stumbles. For context, Flublok was approved by the FDA in 2013.

Aside from its COVID-19 vaccine program with GSK, Sanofi is working on a separate candidate with Massachusetts-based company Translate Bio.

This candidate, which uses mRNA technology, is expected to start human trials by November.

If all works out, Sanofi and Translate Bio estimate that they can produce 90 million to 360 million doses of this two-dose COVID-19 candidate in 2021.

Sanofi is no stranger to the vaccine market. In 2019, the company enjoyed a 4.8% year-over-year jump in its net sales and over 9% increase in the sales of its vaccines.

While Sanofi’s net sales slid by 4.9% in the first six months of 2020, the company still reported a healthy 9.2% growth in its earnings per share in the same period.

Thanks to its top-selling eczema drug Dupixent, the company’s specialty care segment rose by more than 17%.

In fact, the drug generated over $1 billion in sales in the first half of the year—a stunning 70% jump from its 2019 performance.

Riding this momentum, Sanofi has been aggressively adding new approvals for Dupixent and expanding its reach not only in the US but also in China.

Speaking of expansion, Sanofi recently completed a $3.7 billion acquisition of Principia Biopharma (PRNB) in August. This deal is a strong indicator that the company aims to focus more on its cancer and autoimmune sectors.

This also marks the second major acquisition of Sanofi in less than a year, with the company striking a $2.5 billion deal to acquire another cancer-focused biotechnology company Synthorx last December 2019.

Looking at the timeline of Sanofi compared to its competitor reminds me of the classic Aesop story, “The Hare and the Tortoise.”

However, the race for a COVID-19 vaccine is definitely not a winner-take-all scenario.

Sanofi and its partner GSK may look far behind the frontrunners, but these mega-companies have such extensive experience in developing and testing vaccines that they could easily close the gap in the next few months.

A successful COVID-19 vaccine would definitely be a gamechanger for Sanofi’s pipeline. The competition is stacked – several other resource-rich companies are also working on similar programs – and Sanofi’s candidates are nowhere near the finish line.

If Sanofi’s COVID-19 vaccine candidate is effective, however, there is really no good reason why it cannot snatch a piece of the pie.

Sanofi stock has not experienced any massive gains or losses since the pandemic started, and it probably will not make any investor get rich quick. But even without its COVID-19 vaccine candidate, this company is a tried-and-tested, reasonably priced value stock that any investor could simply buy and hold for decades.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-15 11:00:382020-10-15 11:36:49Keep an Eye Out on the Slow Runners in the COVID-19 Vaccine Race
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 15, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
September 15, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(ASTRAZENECA’S BUMP IN THE ROAD)
(MRNA), (AZN), (PFE), (MRK), (JNJ), (GSK), (SNY), (CVAC), (BNTX), (INO)

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