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Tag Archive for: (KO)

april@madhedgefundtrader.com

March 9, 2026

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
March 9, 2026
Fiat Lux

 
Featured Trade:

(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or DON’T LET YOUR COMPLACENCY WIPE OUT YOUR RETIREMENT FUND)
(USO), ($INDU), (RTZ), (CAT), (FCX), (SPY), (GLD),
(MSFT), (C), (CRWD), (PANW),  (BLK), ($VIX),
(PANW), (IGV), (KO), (XLE), (XLP), (XLF) (KRE), (DHI)

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2026-03-09 09:04:082026-03-09 13:42:58March 9, 2026
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

February 13, 2026

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
February 13, 2026
Fiat Lux


Featured Trade:

(FEBRUARY 11 BIWEEKLY STRATEGY WEBINAR Q&A),
(MSFT), (SNOW), (JPM), (KO), (FXE), (FXA), (FXB), (FXC), (TSLA), (GLD), (SLV), (PANW), (PLTR), (LLY)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2026-02-13 09:04:322026-02-13 15:27:39February 13, 2026
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

January 26, 2026

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
January 26, 2026
Fiat Lux


Featured Trade:

(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or TACO RIDES AGAIN!),
(SPY), ($INDU), (GLD), (B), (NEM), (GDX), (GS), (TLT), (KO), (CSCO), (MDLZ), (TAN), (BA), (MOS), (IPI), (MU)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2026-01-26 09:04:032026-01-26 11:46:14January 26, 2026
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

July 27, 2023

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech and Healthcare Letter
July 27, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(INVESTING IN NECESSITIES)
(KVUE), (JNJ), (HLN), (GSK), (KO)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-07-27 10:02:562023-07-26 10:55:51July 27, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Investing in Necessities

Biotech Letter

Everyone knows that Warren Buffett was schooled by the one and only Benjamin Graham. His game was easy-peasy early on — he hunted for dirt-cheap companies in relation to their assets, snagged them, and played the waiting game until the market woke up and realized their true worth. This was the good old 'cigar butt' investing.

It took Charlie Munger, Buffett's partner-in-crime, to shake things up. Munger nudged Buffett to eye high-quality companies with a thick competitive buffer that could weather long stretches of time.

Now with Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ) recent spinoff of Kenvue (KVUE), it seems the investment gods have dished up just the kind of opportunity Munger and Buffett would drool over.

JNJ is rolling out a red carpet, enticing its investors to trade their shares for most of its stake in Kenvue, the consumer division it made public in May.

If you're invested in JNJ, consider looking into this proposition. We're talking about a potential $35 billion transaction. Actually, JNJ is practically dangling a carrot, offering its holders $107 in Kenvue stock for every $100 in JNJ stock, capped, of course.

Basically, the JNJ deal lets holders swap all, some, or zip of their shares for Kenvue. It's a limited-time offer, expiring on August 18, with the price nailed down between August 14 to 16.

Interestingly, the Big Pharma company opted to play the game of 'voluntary exchange offer,' or 'split-off' in Wall Street jargon. A bit more elusive than your garden-variety spinoff, but trust me, it has its charm.

Why, you ask? This method tends to tighten the share count, beefing up the earnings per share.

And here's the sweetener: split-offs usually come with perks. The parent company tends to sprinkle a little discount magic for investors who decide to trade their old shares for the shiny new spinoff ones.

So, what could investors expect from Kenvue?

When it comes to its financial muscle, Kenvue's flexing a robust $20 billion in equity. The balance sheet displays a formidable $35 billion in assets squaring off against a $15 billion debt.

The first quarter has set the pace, projecting an annual revenue run rate of a cool $15.2 billion, and the operating cash flow isn't too shabby either, clocking in at $3.2 billion.

Kenvue's market valuation stands around 18 times its forecasted earnings for 2023, yielding a sweet 3.4%. That's a smidge more than J&J's yield of 2.8%.

Sure, Kenvue may not be sprinting in the high-growth lane — with earnings growth likely to pace in the mid-single digits post-2023 — but it holds a rock-solid portfolio of consumer health brands we've all grown to trust. Bonus? It trades at a discount compared to its closest peer, Haleon (HLN), GlaxoSmithKline’s (GSK) spinoff company.

Kenvue boasts a roster of brand-name products that people can't live without, and this constant demand spells nothing but growth. This spinoff is the proud holder of household names like Tylenol, Listerine, and Band-Aid.

In essence, Kenvue comes off as a Warren Buffett-type business that's up for grabs at a seemingly bargain price.

Consider for a moment why Buffett is so cozy with his long-standing stake in Coca-Cola (KO). Coke quenches the world's thirst with its myriad beverages, winning over brand loyalty and securing repeat purchases like it's a walk in the park.

My investment angle on Kenvue draws a parallel here, with a twist: Kenvue's products are absolute necessities, not just something you treat yourself to. That fact alone makes it even more appealing to me.

The company also disclosed a promising earnings range of $1.26 to $1.31 per share, with sales growth itching to hit a respectable 5%. The cherry on top? They're starting a quarterly dividend at 20 cents a share.

Now, you might be wary of growth prospects stagnating – let's face it, there's a limit to how many Band-Aids and Tylenol a household will need, right?

But here's where the plot thickens: the fine folks over at healthcare firm IQVIA (IQV) made quite the compelling argument that the over-the-counter drug market is expected to grow by a hearty 6.1% until 2025.

With a product lineup that's nothing short of a hit with consumers, a sturdy financial standing, and a rosy outlook for growth in the market it caters to, Kenvue is shaping up to be quite the catch for investors.

Of course, there are possible risks, such as a looming recession prompting even the most brand-loyal customers to opt for generic alternatives or management falling short on growth plans. That said, these potential drawbacks are dwarfed by the massive upsides of investing in Kenvue.

I think it's about time you give Kenvue some serious thought.

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-07-27 10:00:532023-07-31 15:35:14Investing in Necessities
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 22, 2023

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
March 22, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE MAD HEDGE TRADERS & INVESTORS SUMMIT VIDEOS ARE UP!)
(THE BARBELL PLAY WITH BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY),
(BRKA), (BRKA), (BAC), (KO), (AXP), (VZ), (BK) (USB), (TLT), (AAPL), (MRK), (ABBV), (CVX), (GM), (PCC), (BNSF)

 

CLICK HERE to download today's position sheet.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-03-22 10:06:222023-03-22 10:33:09March 22, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 2, 2023

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
March 2, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(TOUCHING BASE WITH WARREN BUFFET),
(BRK/B), (AMEX), (KO), (MS), (TSLA)

 

CLICK HERE to download today's position sheet.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-03-02 08:04:102023-03-02 07:53:10March 2, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Touching Base With Warren Buffet

Diary, Free Research, Newsletter

So how does someone with 55 years of investment experience like me learn something new? Listen to someone with 80 years of experience.

It is with great anticipation that I read Warren Buffett’s annual letter to shareholders. Having banged the table for decades that his Berkshire Hathaway (BRK/B) is a “must own” stock, keeping up with the 92-year-old Oracle of Omaha” is essential.

Besides, Warren was one of the founding subscribers to The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader 15 years ago.

I’ll give you the high points.

Berkshire companies took in a record $30.8 billion in operating profits in 2022, producing a net 3% gain in the share price.

Sounds like a deal to me!

Buffett describes himself as a business picker, not a stock picker. Over time, the great businesses prosper and compound, while the poor ones fail. The flowers bloom and the weeds wither away.

One need look no further than the Dow Average, where NO stocks were able to stay in the index over the last 100 years because of business failures. (Corn Products Refining Company? Woolworth’s? Union Carbide?). This is known as “creative destruction,” which moves capital out of the past and into the future.

“Efficient” markets exist only in textbooks, their day-to-day behavior “baffling” and only understood in retrospect.

In the ultimate act of humility, Buffet confesses to only making a dozen good decisions in his life. Coca Cola (KO) was one of those. His initial investment of $1.3 billion in 1994 is now worth $25 billion and now spins off an annual dividend of $700 million.

American Express (AXP) is the same, the initial 1995 investment of $1.3 billion is now worth $22 billion, paying $302 billion a year in dividends. Over the same time frame, an investment in 30-years bonds yielded nothing.

Warren makes the case for share buybacks, which he regularly executes whenever (BRK/B) trades at a discount. When the share count goes down, the shareholders’ ownership of the businesses goes up. This is how Berkshire created many $100 millionaires over the years.

Buffet also makes his annual case for the “Great American Tailwind.” In Buffet’s 80 years of investing, he has only seen it becalmed occasionally and briefly. Never bet against America.

Buffet started his investing career in April of 1942. Unknown to him, the US was about to win the Battle of Midway. Stocks bottomed and launched a torrid 20-year run, even though the public was unaware of the victory for three more months. It’s proof that markets see things before we mere mortals do.

As for me, I suppose I have to be even more humble than Warren Buffet, for I have only made four good investment decisions in 50 years. I agreed to accept a job offer from The Economist magazine in London, kicking off a half-century of intensive research. I took a big pay cut to go to work for Morgan Stanley (MS), which rewarded me with pre-IPO stock at book value of 25 cents a share. I bought Apple (AAPL) at $2 when Steve Jobs returned to run the company on the edge of bankruptcy. I bought Tesla (TSLA) at a split-adjusted $2.35 a share in 2010, completely buying into Elon Musk’s 30-year vision.

I only have to live another 17 years to see if he was right.

 

 

 

 

It Only Took Four Good Decisions

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/New-Tesla.png 455 647 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-03-02 08:02:142023-03-02 07:53:47Touching Base With Warren Buffet
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 19, 2022

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
October 19, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE BARBELL PLAY WITH BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY),
(BRKA), (BRKA), (BAC), (KO), (AXP), (VZ), (BK) (USB),
(MRK), (ABBV), (CVX), (GM), (PCC), (BNSF), (TLT), (AAPL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-10-19 10:04:402022-10-19 10:54:07October 19, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

August 15, 2022

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
August 15, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD,
or WHAT THE MARKET IS REALLY DISCOUNTING NOW),
(SPY), (TLT), (AAPL), (AXP), (KO), (XOM). (TBT), (SNOW), (NFLX), (ARKK), (ETHE),
(NLR), (CCR), CORN), (WEAT), (SOYB), (DBA), (UUP), (FXA), (FXC), (BA), (TSLA)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-08-15 09:04:352022-08-15 13:26:37August 15, 2022
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