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Tag Archive for: (MSTR)

Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Microstrategy Strategizes to Profits

Tech Letter

There has been one tech company that has tied its fortunes directly to the price of Bitcoin ($BTC) and that is MicroStrategy (MSTR).

Gutsy is a word that would describe this direction, and some would even say it’s full out irresponsible.

The daring company has had to deal with fallout when bitcoin crashes and it was brutal in the PR world.

Yet as Bitcoin soars in price today, the co-founder of MSTR Michael Saylor should take a victory lap.

Saylor was on the receiving end of a great deal of scorn and criticism as Bitcoin tanked to $15,000 per coin.

Now the company is levering up some more to go bigger.

MSTR bought another 12,000 Bitcoin for $821.7 million, the second-largest purchase by the enterprise software maker since it began acquiring the cryptocurrency almost four years ago.

The fresh hoard raised MicroStrategy’s total Bitcoin holdings to around 205,000 tokens, or to more than $14 billion.

Saylor started buying Bitcoin in 2020 as an inflation hedge and alternative to holding cash. MicroStrategy has already spent more than $1 billion in Bitcoin in the first three months of 2024, more than half of last year’s total buying. The cryptocurrency is up around 675% since Saylor began buying.

The shift into Bitcoin has led to a revival in the share price of MicroStrategy, which has surged more than 1,000% since Saylor’s pivot.

The company’s market capitalization has increased to around $25.7 billion, topping the level that it previously peaked at in March 2000. MicroStrategy reached a settlement in December 2000 with the SEC over accounting fraud allegations.

The average price for the total holding is $33,706, according to the filing. Bitcoin reached a record high of more than $72,000.

The company also presides over a real software business and they believe that the combination of an operating structure including a bitcoin strategy will succeed.

MSTR’s focus on technology innovation provides a unique opportunity for value creation.

Being an operating company, MSTR’s software business remains a core revenue and cash flow generator.

In addition, it also enables them to acquire bitcoin through the use of excess cash or proceeds from equity capital raises or corporate debt capital raises and to pursue software innovations that leverage the bitcoin blockchain.

They’ve deployed these levers to increase bitcoin holdings in a manner that has created shareholder value.

Bitcoin development includes its Bitcoin acquisition strategy and Bitcoin advocacy initiatives.

MSTR’s software development includes BI, AI, Cloud, or Bitcoin and Lightning-related software development.

In 2024, they are hell-bent to shift focus to grow in AI plus BI, while accelerating a sharp transition to a cloud-centric operating model.

Key strategic goals are to grow cloud, innovate with AI, and increase profitability.

In December, they successfully deployed Google Cloud platform integration, furthering multi-cloud capabilities, and providing greater optionality to their customers.

I won’t say that MSTR’s software and cloud business will compete with the Silicon Valley Magnificent 7, but its existence is to support a risky Bitcoin strategy which is actually working effectively as we speak.

Sometimes risky bets pay off well.

Shares in this company will either skyrocket or go to zero depending on what Bitcoin does.

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2024-03-11 14:02:212024-03-11 16:30:24Microstrategy Strategizes to Profits
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

October 27, 2023

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
October 27, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(CRYPTO IS BACK AT IT AGAIN)
(MSTR), (BTC)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2023-10-27 14:04:252023-10-27 18:12:37October 27, 2023
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Crypto Is Back At It Again

Tech Letter

Cryptocurrency prices have been on a tear lately as bitcoin continues to rally on hopes a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund will launch soon.

Last week Bitcoin had a 24-hour time period where it exploded 13% to the upside as the digital gold wakes up from its slumber.

Lately, it certainly is odd to see US treasury yield surpassing any type of volatility that crypto can offer proving that volatility is more about a time and place dynamic rather than a certain asset class.

The volatility meant that Bitcoin passed $35,000 for the first time since May 2022 even though it has pulled back a little today.

The rally could be fueled in part by investors who were betting against the crypto asset scrambling to cover short positions as well. 

Bitcoin led cryptocurrency prices higher over the past two weeks after the SEC declined to challenge its court loss against Grayscale Investments (GBTC) and its effort to convert its Grayscale Bitcoin Trust into a spot bitcoin ETF on Oct. 13.

A U.S. appeals court ordered the SEC to review Grayscale's ETF application. The regulator could still reject the spot bitcoin application, but it would need a new justification to do so.

Institutional demand for a spot bitcoin ETF is stronger than ever before. For many institutions, it is a matter of when — not if — the SEC will approve a spot bitcoin ETF.

A spot bitcoin ETF would provide a regulated and accessible vehicle for bitcoin exposure, and also mark a major vote of institutional confidence.

MicroStrategy (MSTR) added 21% and the computer software company holds 158,245 bitcoin with an average purchase price of $29,582.

Sooner or later, unless regulation totally wipes out Bitcoin, crypto is likely to find itself finagling its way into 401K’s.

The longer it lingers around, institutional pockets, which are deep, will find a way to onboard it into its business model.

For many years, institutional money has stayed away from crypto primarily because it is built on nothing and most conservative investors want to see cash flow.

At least an asset like gold bullion, there is a physical nature of what one buys.

Yet, as the world becomes more digitized and globalized, institutional money is starting to take the bait.

To Bitcoin’s credit, the absolute collapse of volatility in the past few years has been an interesting talking point because too much volatility used to be the problem for this asset class.

There is a chance that as we begin to start a new economic cycle because of a Fed pivot, that $16,000 per Bitcoin at the end of December 2022 could register the low of the next cycle.

Bitcoin is more appealing as a risk-reward proposition now than it was exactly a year ago as the Fed embarked on an epic tightening cycle.

Throw into the mix that the quality of global government has cratered to a generational low and it makes sense for institutional backers from Blackrock to front-run the next bull market in crypto as capital looks to de-risk from fiat currencies.

This could finally end up being the run-up to $100,000 per bitcoin that everyone expected during the last bitcoin spike.

Readers can play this in the equity market by buying MSTR.

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2023-10-27 14:02:242023-10-27 18:10:45Crypto Is Back At It Again
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 22, 2023

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 22, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(IF BITCOIN THEN GROWTH TECH TOO)
(COIN), (MSTR), (BTC), (DOCU), (TDOC)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-03-22 15:04:472023-03-22 16:13:18March 22, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

If Bitcoin Then Growth Tech Too

Tech Letter

We are closing in on $27,000 and that’s quite the performance for the digital gold Bitcoin (BTC).

It just was last year when Bitcoin was down in the dumps.

I am not here flogging crypto but tech investors should take heed of what is happening in the riskier parts of the asset markets.

Yes, tech growth is quite volatile, but bitcoin even more so.

The price of Bitcoin is already up 72% this year and that will beat most tech growth stocks including the Teledocs and DocuSigns of the world.

This last strong surge is correlated with global banking contagion with even very liberal-based CNBC stating that Switzerland has become a financial “banana republic.”

Bitcoin is often advertised as the alternative asset class to fiat banking precisely because fiat banking has a history of going to zero.

The blowups at Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic, and Credit Suisse offer credible evidence that the strength of the fiat money banking system is trending down rather than up.

Hence the monster rally and this will just make banking more expensive for the unbanked and give the big banks more power and more “too big to fail” status.

Narratives are more powerful in crypto in generating real price movements than any other asset class and no matter what your thoughts on how powerful that narrative is, people actually believe this.

Cryptocurrency initially attracted interest from a niche group of investors following bank failures and government rescues.

While its popularity has grown among speculative investors in the roughly decade-and-a-half since, it has retained a status among some as being an asset more removed from the banking system than stocks and government bonds.

If the Fed decides to slow down the pace of interest rate hikes this is highly bullish for the crypto and tech growth sector.

Crypto investors have been particularly sensitive to regulatory and interest-rate developments.

They tend to pull money from long-bitcoin funds while adding to short-bitcoin products after the Federal Reserve announces interest-rate increases and regulators take action against crypto companies.

Since regulators started to crack down on some of the biggest crypto players, investors have pulled about $424 million from global exchange-traded products.

It’s been a terrible year to short bitcoin as that trade was last year’s rich uncle.

An important part of investing is to avoid searching for that boat that has left the dock.

Investors betting against crypto exchange, Coinbase (COIN), and bitcoin-buying software intelligence firm, MicroStrategy (MSTR), were down 76% and 62%, respectively, this year.

Some investors remain cautiously optimistic about the trajectory of bitcoin’s price, especially as it has surged against the backdrop of a banking crisis.

Although there could be a vicious pullback from the epic surge so far this year, Bitcoin will likely do well along with tech growth stocks in a paused or lower rate interest environment.

Throw in the bank contagion as a supercharger and 2023 is shaping up to be a great year to buy bitcoin and growth tech on the dips.

 

bank bitcoin

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-03-22 15:02:492023-04-01 17:15:49If Bitcoin Then Growth Tech Too
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

February 23, 2023

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
February 23, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(LOOKING AT THE LARGE NUMBERS)
(TLT), (TBT) (BITCOIN), (MSTR), (BLOK), (HUT)

 

CLICK HERE to download today's position sheet.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-02-23 09:04:212023-02-23 17:02:55February 23, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 14, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
November 14, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(LOW BAR HAS BEEN SET)
(COIN), (HOOD), (MSTR)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-11-14 15:04:002022-11-14 15:31:53November 14, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Low Bar Has Been Set

Tech Letter

It’s been a historic and unprecedented last few weeks in the world of technology.

99.9% of crypto projects are effectively a zero after this weekend.

Cryptocurrency has now descended into a death spiral due to a fraud so large that it makes many who got caught up in the mess sick to their stomach.  

This “trigger” event has massive ramifications for the technology industry and is highly positive for the health of the tech sector.

Enter Former CEO of FTX, the former second biggest crypto exchange, Sam Bankman-Fried or SBF.

His crypto exchange FTX filed for bankruptcy just days ago.

SBF was stealing customer deposits to invest in his lifestyle and bought off everyone he thought was useful, including politicians, regulators, sports athletes, and famous actors.

SBF even bailed out many crypto-related companies during the recent downturn that were confirmed Ponzi schemes or frauds just to onboard them onto an even bigger scam.

In the end, a bank run collapsed SBF’s crypto empire and exchange.

It was only after the house was on fire that normal investors found out that his business was rotten to the core.

How did SBF hide this?

FTX and SBF literally replaced these funds on their balance sheet with their own in-house crypto coin that was produced and created by FTX.

This self-made coin was called FTT and FTT represented $7.4 billion of “liquid” funds for FTX on their balance sheet.

Therefore, when mass demands for withdrawals took place, FTX didn’t have the capital to distribute back to account holders because the value of FTT had sunk 95%.

The $18 billion in liabilities was only propped up by $900 million of real liquidity with $470 million comprising of Robinhood (HOOD) stock shares.

Ultimately, FTX faced an $8 billion shortfall to fill in short notice or go under.   

Any reader holding any crypto on any exchange should request immediate withdrawal of funds as soon as possible.

Don’t be the last one to ask for your money back. Get out while you can!

There is a good chance that every crypto exchange was faking their balance sheet with fake coins that have fake values while claiming these coins are liquid as US dollars.

That means weak balance sheets could plant the seeds of more bank runs putting extreme stress on liquidity and forcing them to halt withdrawals.

Any project related to FTX is now a zero.

This industry is truly broken and will take a generation to heal itself or might never come back.

I understand the FTX debacle as a highly positive event for the tech sector and tech stocks moving forward because it makes legitimate tech stocks look great.

FTX has set a low bar for tech stocks to jump over.

The Nasdaq market needed the fluff removed after the tech bubble had a 2-year accelerated bull market until 2022 and that came after a 10-year garden variety bull market in tech stocks.

FTX was the fluff. Avoid stocks such as Coinbase (COIN), Robinhood (HOOD), and MicroStrategy (MSTR).

Normal tech stocks will benefit after many incremental investors now believe crypto is completely fake.

This will forever be known as the colossal event that brought crypto to its knees.

I do believe that many of the leftover Bitcoin survivors will migrate into tech stocks moving forward because that’s the closest derivative to crypto.

Tech companies need to go through a lot of soul-searching to get their mojo back and a recession is always a good time to separate the good from the bad. Now, this is even better.

Crypto’s demise means venture capitalists will start to open the checkbook for non-crypto tech instead of spilling their money down a black hole.

 

ftx

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-11-14 15:02:592022-12-02 03:12:59Low Bar Has Been Set
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 1, 2022

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
September 1, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(LOOKING AT THE LARGE NUMBERS)
(TLT), (TBT) (BITCOIN), (MSTR), (BLOK), (HUT)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-09-01 10:04:542022-09-01 08:46:40September 1, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 6, 2022

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
June 6, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE MAD HEDGE TRADERS & INVESTORS SUMMIT IS ON FOR JUNE 14-16)
(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or PUTIN’S DEAD END),
(VIX), (HYG), (JNK), (PTON), (W), (MSTR), (RDFN), (BYND), (F), (TSLA), (NVDA)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-06-06 10:06:412022-06-06 11:37:16June 6, 2022
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