“Your time is limited, so don't waste it living someone else's life.” – Said Co-Founder of Apple Steve Jobs
“Your time is limited, so don't waste it living someone else's life.” – Said Co-Founder of Apple Steve Jobs
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
August 1, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(The iCar)
(APPL)
CEO Tim Cook and the company he runs, Apple (AAPL), are widely known as the iPhone company, but he wants to change that.
Cook wants to take over your car because the iPhone business is saturating at an alarming speed.
So what’s his plan for the iCar?
Apparently, he doesn’t want Apple to produce the physical car, but he wants access to the system that controls the car.
By doing this, Cook saves time by avoiding the physical design process of the metal, suspension, engine, and curves during inflationary times.
Cook feels that it’s more cost-effective to play God from a remote office in California.
Why not?
The manufacturing part is a serious risk these days with bottlenecked supply chains and rising input prices.
This leads me to say, there will likely be no Apple-branded car, even though all the Apple fanatics have been waiting for years for this.
Apple wants the car to be made by the car companies.
If Apple and Cook can pull this off, this would most likely become Cook’s legacy at Apple after he steps down in the future.
Like it or not, he’s been living in the shadow of Steve Jobs’ contributions to Apple since he took the CEO job.
He finally is looking to put his tailor-made stamp on the company before he leaves.
Cook has always been overshadowed by Jobs because he’s never been able to bring uniqueness like Jobs did.
At its WWDC developer conference recently, Apple presented a new version of its car operating system Carplay, which is due to be launched at the end of 2023.
So far, Carplay can do relatively little. Users can use the navigation, plus some apps like music and voice control and this is the first step to building a killer system that will later be installed as the car's nervous system.
Apple wants to completely take over the interior of the car in terms of software and the iPhone will simply be used as hardware.
The fact that the new Carplay version will not be available until the end of 2023 indicates that a stronger CPU will also be used in the iPhone. This will be the in-house M1 or M2 chip in the mobile version, which is expected in the iPhone by 2023 at the latest.
Just 4% of users say they prefer the built-in infotainment system to Apple's. In addition, owners of expensive vehicles are more likely to own a new iPhone model. So premium brands would run the risk of losing customers if they didn't offer Apple’s Carplay.
The batteries come from China, the electric motors from a supplier, as do large quantities of the other components.
Shockingly enough, there hasn’t been much pushback from elite German automakers like Mercedes and Audi.
This is a sign that they know they can’t compete in software against an army full of top-grade dorky software developers at Apple.
But then why would Apple need to work with a German automaker to install an expensive design that would spike costs?
Surely, Apple can outsource iCar manufacturing to China like they already do with the iPhone.
In the case that German automakers gleefully integrate Apple’s software into their own car design, it would mean death to corporate Germany.
It would decrease the value of German auto manufacturers by 75% overnight.
Technology is a winner-takes-all sweepstake and this business situation epitomizes that.
This would most likely get Apple to a $4 trillion market cap while crushing its European competition.
“Build something 100 people love, not something 1 million people kind of like.” – Said Co-Founder and CEO of Airbnb Brian Chesky
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
July 29, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(BUYER BEWARE)
(TIKTOK)
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
July 27, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(STITCHED UP BY ITS OWN POOR DECISIONS)
(SFIX), (AMZN)
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
July 25, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(THE FUTURE IS HERE)
(NO CODE)
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
July 22, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
AUTOMATION AND BANKING)
(SQ), (PYPL), (APPL), (AMZN)
Automation is taking place at warp speed, displacing employees from all walks of life.
According to a recent report, the U.S. financial industry will depose of 200,000 workers in the next decade because of automating efficiencies.
Yes, humans are going the way of the dodo bird and banking will effectively become algorithms working for a handful of executives and engineers.
The x-factor in this equation is the $150 billion annually that banks spend on technological development in-house which is higher than any other industry.
Welcome to the world of lower cost, shedding wage bills, and boosting performance rates.
We forget to realize that employee compensation eats up 50% of bank expenses.
The 200,000 job trimmings would result in 10% of the U.S. banking sector getting axed.
The hyped-up “golden age of banking” should deliver extraordinary savings and premium services to the customer at no extra cost.
This iteration of mobile and online banking has delivered functionality that no generation of customers has ever seen.
The most gutted part of banking jobs will naturally occur in the call centers because they are the low-hanging fruit for automated chatbots.
A few years ago, chatbots were suboptimal, even spewing out arbitrary profanity, but they have slowly crawled up in performance metrics to the point where some customers are unaware that they are communicating with an artificially engineered algorithm.
The wholesale integration of automating the back-office staff isn’t the end of it, the front office will experience a 30% drop in numbers sullying the predated ideology that front office staff are irreplaceable heavy hitters.
The front-office staff has already felt the brunt of downsizing with purges carried out from 2022 representing a twelfth year of continuous decline.
Front-office traders and brokers are being replaced by software engineers as banks follow the wider trend of every company transitioning into a tech company.
The infusion of artificial intelligence will lower mortgage processing costs by 30% and the accumulation of hordes of data will advance the marketing effort into a smart, multi-pronged, hybrid cloud-based, and hyper-targeted strategy.
The last two human bank hiring waves are a distant memory.
The most recent spike came in the 7 years after the dot com crash of 2001 until the sub-prime crisis of 2008 adding around half a million jobs on top of the 1.5 million that existed then.
After the subsidies wear off from the pandemic, I do believe that the banking sector will quietly put in the call to trim even more.
The longest and most dramatic rise in human bankers was from 1935 to 1985, a 50-year boom that delivered over 1.2 million bankers to the U.S. workforce.
This type of human hiring will likely never be seen again in the U.S. financial industry.
Recomposing banks through automation is crucial to surviving as fintech companies like PayPal (PYPL) and Square (SQ) are chomping at the bit and even tech companies like Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) have started tinkering with new financial products.
And if you thought that this phenomenon was limited to the U.S., think again, Europe is by far the biggest culprit by already laying off 63,036 employees in 2019, more than 10x higher than the number of U.S. financial job losses and that has continued in 2021 and 2022.
In a sign of the times, the European outlook has turned demonstrably negative with Deutsche Bank announcing layoffs of 40,000 employees through 2023 as it scales down its investment banking business.
Don’t tell your kid to get into banking, because they will most likely be feeding on scraps at that point.
THE LAST STAGE OF HUMAN-FACING BANK SERVICES IS NOW!
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
July 20, 2022
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(HUMAN TESTING COULD START SHORTLY)
(NEURALINK)
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