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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - March 25, 2022

Tech Letter

“I couldn't imagine a more incompetent politician than myself.” – Said Co-Founder and Co-CEO of Salesforce

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/marc-benioff.png 500 488 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-25 15:00:292022-03-25 16:55:29Quote of the Day - March 25, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 23, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 23, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(NVDA STRENGTHENING INTO THE FUTURE)
(NVDA)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-23 16:04:492022-03-23 17:38:43March 23, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

NVDA Strengthening Into the Future

Tech Letter

The growing meaning of the metaverse to Nvidia (NVDA) is something that could strengthen the long-term trajectory for a company that I have loved for years.

It’s really the best of breed in terms of artificial intelligence if you look at it through the lens of a semiconductor.

Nvidia shares have rebounded quickly from the earlier dip and the 19% uptick is something that many investors have come to expect.

The stock is extremely resilient, and investors expect incessant dip-buying.

Nvidia’s strategic importance at the cutting edge of multiple industries makes it hard to discard this company.

Yesterday they had an investor call to showcase their newest product – Omniverse.

NVIDIA Omniverse is an easily extensible, open platform built for virtual collaboration and real-time physically accurate simulation. Creators, designers, researchers, and engineers can connect major design tools, assets, and projects to collaborate and iterate in a shared virtual space.

This product will nudge NVDA headfirst into the omniverse so much so that accelerating revenue projections are already starting to reflect the outperformance of omniverse.  

This division is just another notch in the belt for Nvidia who presides over many successful initiatives from gaming, data centers, crypto mining, AI, autonomous vehicles — they all offer significant growth potential for this company.

NVDA could be described as the jack of all trades, master of all.

Let me remind you that regarding the metaverse revenue of the expected growth to Nvidia’s existing market segments, the company could reach $140 billion in annual sales by 2040.

What Is the Metaverse?

The meaning and term “metaverse” has been liberally bandied around lately.  

Despite what some companies might want you to believe, it’s not a single entity or platform.

It’s more of a shift toward interacting digitally instead of purely physically. This can include virtual reality (VR), or a mix between digital and physical in the form of augmented reality (AR).

There will be dedicated spaces such as games and virtual worlds, and a digital economy is springing up to serve these communities.

Interoperable digital worlds is the core of metaverse and it will become real very quickly.

When that happens, expect Nvidia to be one of the biggest winners of metaverse economics.

Think of the metaverse today as the early days of the internet to get a visualization of how it is primed to explode in capabilities and importance.

Nvidia’s technology will be an important cog in the metaverse’s future development. The metaverse requires massive server infrastructure to host virtual worlds. Nvidia has leveraged the parallel processing capabilities of its GPUs to become a leader in GPU-accelerated data center solutions. The company’s data center revenue was up 71% year over year in its latest earnings report.  

AI will be in high demand for an interactive metaverse experience — another strong point for NVDA.

Making the most of a PC-based metaverse will require the installation of high-powered graphics cards.

The creators who design metaverse experiences and populate them with virtual goods will also need high-powered GPUs and software tools.

Therefore, it makes sense that NVDA is rolling out the omniverse platform to facilitate the construction of the metaverse.

Investors should look forward to NVDA allocating the incremental resource to the metaverse in order to corner the market for its technology.

This is very much one of those situations where if NVDA is a critical element to the start-up phase, they won’t be kicked out of the next phase of development.

Readers should be adding this stock on any tech sell-off, it’s rare that NVDA is on discount.

 

nvidia metaverse

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - March 23, 2022

Tech Letter

“I fear the day when the technology overlaps with our humanity. The world will only have a generation of idiots.” – Said German-born Theoretical Physicist Albert Einstein

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/einstein.png 342 510 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-23 16:00:312022-03-23 17:36:48Quote of the Day - March 23, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 21, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 21, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(TRUST THE CLOUD)
(AMZN), (ZS), (CRM), (GOOGL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-21 16:04:252022-03-21 16:45:59March 21, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trust the Cloud

Tech Letter

Dealing with the Cloud works, and for every relevant tech company, this division serves as the pipeline to the CEO position.

If this isn’t the case for a tech company, then there’s something egregiously wrong with them!

Take Andy Jassy, the mastermind behind Amazon’s (AMZN) lucrative cloud computing division and the man who succeeded company founder, Jeff Bezos.

He’s been rewarded this important position based on his performance in the cloud, and he faces a daunting proposition of following Bezos as CEO.  

Bezos incorporated Amazon almost 30 years ago.

Jassy developed a highly profitable and market-leading business, Amazon Web Services, that runs data centers serving a wide range of corporate computing needs.

Cloud 101

If you've been living under a rock the past few years, the cloud phenomenon hasn't passed you by--you still have time to cash in.

You want to hitch your wagon to cloud-based investments in any way, shape, or form.

Amazon leads the cloud industry it created.

It still maintains more than 30% of the cloud market. Microsoft would need to gain a lot of ground to even come close to this jewel of a business.

Amazon relies on AWS to underpin the rest of its businesses and that is why AWS contributes most of Amazon's total operating income.

Total revenue for just the AWS division would operate as a healthy stand-alone tech company if need be.

The future is about the cloud.

These days, the average investor probably hears about the cloud a dozen times a day.

If you work in Silicon Valley, you can quadruple that figure.

So, before we get deep into the weeds with this letter on cloud services, cloud fundamentals, cloud plays, and cloud Trade Alerts, let's get into the basics of what the cloud actually is.

Think of this as a cloud primer.

It's important to understand the cloud, both its strengths and limitations.

Giant companies that have it figured out, such as Salesforce (CRM) and Zscaler (ZS), are some of the fastest-growing companies in the world.

Understand the cloud and you will readily identify its bottlenecks and bulges that can lead to extreme investment opportunities. And that is where I come in.

Cloud storage refers to the online space where you can store data. It resides across multiple remote servers housed inside massive data centers all over the country, some as large as football fields, often in rural areas where land, labor, and electricity are cheap.

They are built using virtualization technology, which means that storage space spans across many different servers and multiple locations. If this sounds crazy, remember that the original Department of Defense packet-switching design was intended to make the system atomic bomb-proof.

As a user, you can access any single server at any one time anywhere in the world. These servers are owned, maintained, and operated by giant third-party companies such as Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet (GOOGL), which may or may not charge a fee for using them.

The most important features of cloud storage are:

1) It is a service provided by an external provider.

2) All data is stored outside your computer residing inside an in-house network.

3) A simple Internet connection will allow you to access your data at any time from anywhere.

4) Because of all these features, sharing data with others is vastly easier, and you can even work with multiple people online at the same time, making it the perfect, collaborative vehicle for our globalized world.

Once you start using the cloud to store a company's data, the benefits are many.

No Maintenance

Many companies, regardless of their size, prefer to store data inside in-house servers and data centers.

However, these require constant 24-hour-a-day maintenance, so the company has to employ a large in-house IT staff to manage them - a costly proposition.

Thanks to cloud storage, businesses can save costs on maintenance since their servers are now the headache of third-party providers.

Instead, they can focus resources on the core aspects of their business where they can add the most value, without worrying about managing IT staff of prima donnas.

Greater Flexibility

Today's employees want to have a better work/life balance and this goal can be best achieved by letting them working remotely, which effectively happened because of the public health situation. Increasingly, workers are bending their jobs to fit their lifestyles, and that is certainly the case here at Mad Hedge Fund Trader.

How else can I send off a Trade Alert while hanging from the face of a Swiss Alp?

Cloud storage services, such as Google Drive, offer exactly this kind of flexibility for employees.

With data stored online, it's easy for employees to log into a cloud portal, work on the data they need to, and then log off when they're done. This way a single project can be worked on by a global team, the work handed off from time zone to time zone until it's done.

It also makes them work more efficiently, saving money for penny-pinching entrepreneurs.

Better Collaboration and Communication

In today's business environment, it's common practice for employees to collaborate and communicate with co-workers located around the world.

For example, they may have to work on the same client proposal together or provide feedback on training documents. Cloud-based tools from DocuSign, Dropbox, and Google Drive make collaboration and document management a piece of cake.

These products, which all offer free entry-level versions, allow users to access the latest versions of any document so they can stay on top of real-time changes which can help businesses to better manage workflow, regardless of geographical location.

Data Protection

Another important reason to move to the cloud is for better protection of your data, especially in the event of a natural disaster. Hurricane Sandy wreaked havoc on local data centers in New York City, forcing many websites to shut down their operations for days.

And we haven’t talked about the recent ransomware attacks by Eastern Europeans on energy company Colonial Pipeline and meat producer JBS Foods.

The cloud simply routes traffic around problem areas as if, yes, they have just been destroyed by a nuclear attack.

It's best to move data to the cloud, to avoid such disruptions because there your data will be stored in multiple locations.

This redundancy makes it so that even if one area is affected, your operations don't have to capitulate, and data remains accessible no matter what happens. It's a system called deduplication.

Lower Overhead

The cloud can save businesses a lot of money.

By outsourcing data storage to cloud providers, businesses save on capital and maintenance costs, money that in turn can be used to expand the business. Setting up an in-house data center requires tens of thousands of dollars in investment, and that's not to mention the maintenance costs it carries.

Plus, considering the security, reduced lag, up-time and controlled environments that providers such as Amazon's AWS have, creating an in-house data center seems about as contemporary as a buggy whip, a corset, or a Model T.

The cloud is where you want to be.

 

cloud data

 

cloud data

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 18, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 18, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE FUTURE IS HERE)
(NO CODE)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-18 15:04:272022-03-19 14:19:20March 18, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 16, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 16, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE GENIUS AT SOFTBANK GETS EXPOSED)
(SFTBY), (ARKK), (DIDI), (BABA), (CPNG)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-16 16:04:152022-03-16 16:40:03March 16, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Genius at Softbank Gets Exposed

Tech Letter

Softbank’s (SFTBY) Masayoshi Son has been heralded as the consensus aficionado on all things artificial intelligence and a venture capitalist who has effectively bet the ranch on transformational technology.

It also sounds like a page out of the Cathy Woods ARK funds (ARKK) fiasco to be honest with you.

Leveraging a portfolio with borrowed money works well during good times, but Son is finding out that it isn’t all rosy on the downside.

His vast fortune has crumbled along with the performance of the Nasdaq index, and it’s Son who owns many of the low-quality tech names.

His wealth has cratered, going from $25 billion last year to around $14 billion today.

Body bags are starting to pile up, such as the fiascos at German’s Wirecard AG and Greensill Capital.

Investments that go to zero aren’t the hallmark of a stock market picking genius.

Then what about Son’s China bet, Alibaba (BABA), that, has been taken back behind the woodshed and beaten to a pulp.

Then the Russia/Ukraine conflict happened, giving the flight to safety bid more life and inflation hedged assets even more time in the sun.

This has been the worse environment to invest in technology companies since the dot com bust of 2001.

Softbank’s parent stock in Japan is also down 60% and questions have arisen whether at some point soon there will be margin calls.

At the very minimum, Son is lurching towards a liquidity crisis of epic proportions.

If Son thought somebody will come in to swoop him out of his troubles, then I would love to hear the escape plan.

There just isn’t that much bright news ahead if we consider that the international conflict has brought forward a chance of recession at the same time the Fed plans to hike rates.

These 2 macro events are highly negative for tech valuations.

Son has also presided over more disasters like Chinese ride sharer DiDi (DIDI) which sold off 44% in just one day last week and South Korean ecommerce company Coupang (CPNG) whose stock has more than halved since its IPO.

The Japanese firm depends on financing to maintain its investment pace and support its share buyback program. It will need as much as $45 billion in cash this year.

The onerous funding is now a problem when the sails aren’t with Softbank’s back and he will need to cut losses just to pay off debt.

Serious red flags of Son overextending could eventually take the whole company down.

Son also has personal loans tied to company stock after pledging shares worth $5.7 billion to 18 lenders including Bank Julius Baer & Co., Mizuho Bank Ltd., and Daiwa Securities Group Inc.

More importantly, the IPO market is now morbid making it impossible for Softbank to capitalize on exciting new offerings because there are none.

I hiatus of new IPOs makes Son’s high growth strategy null and void.

There simply is no appetite now for high-growth stocks amid this poor macro backdrop.

Whispers of stagflation are cropping up all over the place and it could easily become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Son’s image has also taken a massive hit as his poor investment decisions make him look like a novice investor.  

It’s plausible to believe he won’t get that sort of leash to lock and load in the future with other people’s money.

The Saudis have already soured on a second $100 billion vision fund, and one might question why Son didn’t take profits in an Alibaba position when he could have.

Son might be so stubborn that he believes all his investments will become successful through hell or high water.

I don’t believe investors want that type of defiant attitude with their hard-earned money.

The Mad Hedge Technology Letter saw this upcoming weakness a mile away, and the fact that Son has buried his head in the sand makes us question who his trusted advisors are.

Volatile markets need more tacticians to get out of potential catastrophes.

The sad takeaway is that while Masayoshi Son might believe he is always the smartest guy in the room, he is just surrounded by "yes men" who provide a unique echo chamber that helps him execute disastrous investment decisions.

Low-quality tech is being penalized by the bucket load and Son is the poster child for owning overhyped tech that sometimes isn’t even tech--like the office sharing company, WeWork.

Avoid Son’s investment monologues because the proof is in the pudding at the point; and when it comes down to it, he doesn’t know more than the next guy.

 

son

 

 

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-16 16:02:252022-03-30 03:19:50The Genius at Softbank Gets Exposed
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 16, 2022 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“A squirrel dying in front of your house may be more relevant to your interests right now than people dying in Africa.” – Said CEO of Facebook Mark Zuckerberg

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/mark-zuckerberg2.png 239 208 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-16 16:00:342022-03-16 16:38:57March 16, 2022 - Quote of the Day
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