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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

How To Be An Elite Trader?

Tech Letter

How to be an elite stock market trader?

Easy.

First, be the richest guy in the world.

Shell out $3B on a 9.2% stake in a publicly-traded tech stock that you often use.

Grab a bag of popcorn and watch the SEC filing announced and the stock soar 26%.

Make an instant $780M appreciation in your purchase, flip it if you want to right away for a profit, or hold it to most likely make another double or triple in your investment.

It seems like it’s that easy for guys like Tesla (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk who announced a monster purchase in the social media messaging company Twitter (TWTR).

Making money isn’t that easy for most people, but Elon isn’t most people.

He has more gunpowder than anyone else and deploying it at this moment is an unequivocal buy signal for tech in the short term.

He usually is the smartest guy in every room and Twitter has been beaten down quite badly in the short-term going from $77 per share down to $31.

Buy low and sell high.

This formula has worked for many people.

Twitter will instantly go from a tech company rough around the edges to now an Elon Musk company.

The brand difference is immense.

First on the cards will most likely be the changing of CEO Parag Agrawal who must be responsible for the acceleration of digital ads you see on Twitter lately.

Agrawal is not Musk’s chosen man and Musk’s decision to dive into Twitter also has an activist investor element to it.

Let me remind readers that it was only just a few days ago that Elon Musk said he is “giving serious thought” to creating a social media platform that would compete with Twitter, saying that the latter has been stifling free speech.

“Free speech is essential to a functioning democracy. Do you believe Twitter rigorously adheres to this principle?” Musk tweeted in a Twitter poll.

The next day, Musk took it a step further, writing: “Given that Twitter serves as the de facto public town square, failing to adhere to free speech principles fundamentally undermines democracy. What should be done?”

In the same thread, a Twitter user asked the Tesla CEO about possibly “building a new social media platform” that would boast “an open-source algorithm.”

The user proposed that the new platform would be one “where free speech and adhering to free speech is given top priority” and where “propaganda is very minimal.”

There will be an inquisition into the “best practices” at Twitter to see who is behind the mechanisms that lead to what Musk believes is the stifling of censorship.

Naturally, it appears that Musk will be hellbent on securing a board seat and this could be the precursor to additional investments into Twitter that might have him secure majority ownership.

Musk will turn Twitter into what he sees is good for democracy and sadly for investors in the short term, which could plausibly be bad for the share price.

However, if this becomes his pet project, he will want it to succeed in the long-term like everything else he touches which turns into gold and failure is not an option.

Just imagine being part of the umbrella that is Twitter management right now, Musk will most likely push for wholesale management changes at every level.

This is also an indictment of how bad Twitter management has been.

Musk is about to remake Twitter in his own image and what does that mean for tech stocks?

In a world of high uncertainties, this offers an ironclad green light to buy tech stocks.

Certainly, Musk wouldn’t buy Twitter at this time because he believes it is at a high point.

I loaded up last Friday in tech and I believe much of the short-term bad news in technology stocks is priced into shares and we have a lull before earnings season in which there is a chance for tech stocks to make up lost ground.

The last nugget I want to throw out to readers is that Twitter could become the vehicle in which Musk develops his passion for cryptocurrency.

This would dovetail nicely with Musk’s tendency to pull workers from Tesla and Space X in order to harness synergies.

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-04-04 16:02:282022-04-04 16:48:58How To Be An Elite Trader?
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 1, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
April 1, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE CREATIVE CLOUD IS OVERSOLD)
(ADBE), (AAPL), (GOOGL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-04-01 16:04:592022-04-04 10:38:48April 1, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Creative Cloud is Oversold

Tech Letter

Creative software giant Adobe (ADBE) has ironclad support at $440 on a technical basis and I am willing to go on a 13-day excursion with the underlying stock.

That being said, the macroeconomic picture leaves a lot to be desired and one could literally say that 100 times.

Many of the risks have yet to be unlocked if one rolls through the list of them like hyperinflation, spiking energy costs, the military conflict, rising rates, poor global government, and the list really could be added to for infinity at this point.

No need to beat a dead horse.

However, this breathtaking relief rally has turned into something that is probably more than just a relief rally and has told us investors one thing.

There is still way too much liquidity in the system and it’s still sloshing around.

And although I missed the bottom of the relief rally, I seek to benefit off the next stage of it with ADBE and GOOGL which are two highly sought-after tech stocks with a proven track record and whose technical picture looks positive in the short-term.

The cheat sheet for this exam is Apple (AAPL) whose bounce from $150 to $180 really summed up what’s going on in the tech ecosystem.

The best of breed is harvesting the bulk of the gains, and instead of fighting it from the other side, I’ll just traverse on the side of Apple and ride it up with them.

The dip-buying has been almost violent in this rally and although I do believe there will be some reduction in the pace of the up moves, it’s almost impossible to go completely bearish against tech right now.

Another key insight into recent stock movement is that the nominal size of the stock market at this point is so gigantic in terms of market cap that the leverage inside of it is causing volatility to go nuts.

I don’t think this will resolve itself in the near future and this sets the stage for some series of epic up moves moving forward to the second half of the year as a large swath of negativity has been priced into the news.

Tech could go back to its overshooting the rest of the market narrative and names like ADBE and GOOGL will perform splendidly with this type of boost.

Let’s get into the weeds and explain why I really do like ADBE as a standalone company?

The massive slide over the past few months was nothing structural. ADBE posted market-beating earnings for the first quarter, growing cloud revenue, one of the biggest markets in the tech world, to more than $2 billion. The firm has also been steadily shot up the digital subscription revenue ladder.

Yes, their product lines are slowing but they are at the cutting edge of digital innovation which with its terrific brand has great pricing power.

ADBE has transformed itself into a software behemoth, more than tripling its revenue since 2010. The company is famous for its namesake PDF-reader and photo-editing software Photoshop.

However, ADBE’s bread and butter is a full suite of software products monetized through a recurring subscription model.

ADBE transitioned from selling boxed software to recurring subscriptions in 2013 and revenues have gone parabolic since.

Readers must be practical at this point and not focus attention on the low end of tech.

Tightening conditions in the capital markets mean that there will be less resources to throw at the poor-quality tech names.

Practicality should be the foot forward with readers piling into the best of tech like APPL, AMZN, GOOGL, ADBE, and MSFT.

Don’t get too cute here.

Traders never go bankrupt from taking a profit.

 

adbe

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-04-01 16:02:522022-04-12 15:34:31The Creative Cloud is Oversold
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - April 1, 2022

Tech Letter

“We also welcome any regulation that helps the marketplace not be a race to the bottom.” – Said CEO of Microsoft Satya Nadella

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/mark-zuckerberg.png 431 312 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-04-01 16:00:392022-04-04 10:37:45Quote of the Day - April 1, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 30, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 30, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(HITTING THE LOTTERY WITH MEME MANIA)
(GME), (AMC), (HYMC)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-30 16:04:172022-03-30 17:15:18March 30, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Hitting the Lottery with Meme Mania

Tech Letter

Meme mania is back and warping the equity markets – many thought they were left for dead.

They have come back in the past week as GameStop (GME) and AMC (AMC) shares have doubled.

The doubling isn’t just because of the extremely oversold nature of the stock market.

It’s not only that.

Even more critical, meme companies are finally embracing who they are – highly speculative in nature and presenting it as a positive to their investor base.

Management has gotten the memo and is pushing the boundaries yet again by stirring up the pot.

Readers with strong stomachs should only consider GME and AMC if they are willing to lose 100% of their principal because these stocks are in no way long-term buy and hold material.

Many traders have already gotten rich by catching parabolic moves, and management’s behavior signals there will be more to come from these highly volatile stocks.

Earlier this month AMC announced it was buying a stake in gold and silver miner Hycroft Mining Holding Corp (HYMC).

Acquiring a major stake in a tiny gold and silver miner that has been on shaky financial ground from a distance appears somewhat bizarre.

CEO Adam Aron is now starting to think more outside the box and traversing industries could play to their alternative audience.

Aron doesn’t need to play to institutional money since it was them that created high amounts of short interest in the stock.

Retail traders are the target audience and third-party external M&A announcements going forward where AMC can reach for the stars could whip up this base of investors.

They are taking over a highly dysfunctional miner with past management problems.

Now Aron views this company as an upstart minnow waiting for a turnaround story at a time when commodities are red hot.

It’s yet to be seen whether this type of move will impact the narrative of AMC but getting AMC out of the movie theatre business should be paramount.

Netflix has effectively killed the movie theatre business during covid and getting into commodities in a high inflationary environment is more sensible.

GME CEO Billionaire Ryan Cohen's investment company bought 100,000 shares of GameStop Corp taking Cohen's stake marginally higher to 11.9%, with the total number of shares owned at 9.1 million.

An oversized reason for the spiking shares is that there is still loads of short interest in these stocks.

Institutional money is still betting on big down moves and when the reverse happens, they must buy back the stock at higher prices to close positions which drives the stock even higher.

Cohen is also hoping to diversify GME’s business from a retail video game store.

He co-founded online pet products retailer Chewy and earlier this month said he now owns nearly 10% of Bed Bath & Beyond and wants the home goods retailer to explore alternatives including a full sale of the company.

He also plans to modernize GMEs business by building a NFT marketplace.

The management at these companies has realized that they can’t stand pat with the current businesses they overlook because they are outdated and lack sustainability.

The spiking stock price has offered them financial gunpowder to go after industries they never even thought about before as well as giving them more financial slack.

Upgrading their business model could go a long way to suppressing volatility in these stocks and making them into appealing long-term buy and hold companies.

They are a long way off from that today, but everyone needs to start somewhere.

 

amc

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-30 16:02:122022-03-31 22:22:52Hitting the Lottery with Meme Mania
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - March 30, 2022

Tech Letter

“When you give everyone a voice and give people power, the system usually ends up in a really good place. So, what we view our role as, is giving people that power.” – Said Co-Founder and CEO of Facebook Mark Zuckerberg

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/mark-zuckerberg.png 431 312 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-30 16:00:072022-03-30 17:14:09Quote of the Day - March 30, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 28, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 28, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE TECH PANACEA TO LOGISTICS)
(LSTR), (JBHT), (ODFL), (KNX), (CVLG)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-28 14:04:432022-03-28 22:52:24March 28, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Tech Panacea to Logistics

Tech Letter

Sure, technology is advancing at a rapid clip, many of us try to harness it for the better as well as make a little coin from it.

A new tailwind is arriving just at a time when investors have been sick and tired of the barrage of inflation news.

Honestly, I am sick of it too.

Even if oil somehow goes to $300 per barrel, which it won’t, but just visualize that it does: automation will bail out the logistic industry.

This is what we have been waiting for, and it’s coming down the pipeline whether we are ready for it or not.

Self-driving technology is almost a generation old and yes, there have been massive improvements and the part of the world this will first filter down to isn’t individuals, but commerce.

Logistic companies are chomping at the bit to integrate this technology into long-haul transport routes.

We are just about there, as the dearth of truck drivers in the United States has slowed to a crawl.

Apparently, most don’t like to sit and drive all day!

It’s also not a secret that many of the employed truck drivers are not Americans; visa issuance was almost entirely halted for 2 years during the health situation, and these workers must be coaxed into immigrating in order to truck drive from places as far as Uzbekistan and Honduras.

On arrival, salaries are dreamy, with starting pay up to $70,000 per year and closer to $100,000 per year for experienced drivers.

Yet, there is still a massive shortage of drivers, much like construction workers, today.

Well, that’s all about to change because many parts of the United States won’t need that long-haul driver anymore to shuttle around goods.

Automation is transforming the trucking industry as self-driving trucks are already on America's highways, currently in the testing phase, as a new study warns up to a half-million jobs are at risk of being displaced by robots.

The integration of automation in long-haul trucking could replace 97% of human truck drivers, the equivalent of approximately 550,000 jobs. 

Researchers developed several automated trucking deployment scenarios, including deployment in southern states, deployment for journeys more than 500 miles, and widespread deployment across the country.

This study was the first to combine a geospatial analysis based on shipment data with explicit consideration of the specific capabilities of automation and how those might evolve over time.

Depending on the scenario, they found the rollout of automation may have up to a 94% impact on long-haul operator hours, equivalent to up to 550,000 jobs that could be displaced.

Researchers received feedback from trucking companies, logistical experts, and tractor-trailer operators to develop a roadmap for the automation rollout within the trucking industry.

At the bare minimum, the highway part of the automation is solved, allowing technology to solve other parts of the logistical conundrum.  

Long haul is first and foremost the easiest part of the equation and I am talking about those large stretches of hundreds of miles that require trucks to merely drive in a straight line.

Certainly, the “last mile” challenge is a whole different animal with navigating through narrow city streets that include one-way streets much harder to just program up in software.

Trucks move 70% of U.S. freight in weight, and labor and fuel costs pressure logistics companies' margins, forcing them to raise shipping rates or face margin compression.

The current dilemma of astronomical oil prices is forcing logistic companies to make some real headway into this much-awaited technology.

Putting the kibosh on costs is sometimes impossible to do, but with this shift on the horizon, logistic companies are about to get a lot more profitable very quickly.

Think about it: truck drivers get tired, perform worse than automated technology, and eventually want to unionize.

Getting rid of the human will result in cost savings, and no need to worry about the immigration process that currently has severe backlogs of over one year because of the Covid knock-on effect.

Eventually, Americans will be able to receive their Amazon package for cheaper in the future with the logistic companies able to pass on some of the savings to the end-user.

Win-win situations are hard to come by in this day and age, but this is definitely one of them.   

Stocks in this space poised to win from this new technology are Landstar System (LSTR), J.B. Hunt Transport (JBHT), Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL), Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX), and Covenant Logistics Group (CVLG).

 

truck driver

 

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-28 14:02:392022-03-31 21:55:28The Tech Panacea to Logistics
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - March 28, 2022

Tech Letter

“My aim is to develop affectionate robots that can make people smile.” – Said CEO of Softbank Masayoshi Son

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/masayoshi.png 252 316 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-28 14:00:382022-03-28 22:51:36Quote of the Day - March 28, 2022
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There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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