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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - March 23, 2022

Tech Letter

“I fear the day when the technology overlaps with our humanity. The world will only have a generation of idiots.” – Said German-born Theoretical Physicist Albert Einstein

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/einstein.png 342 510 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-23 16:00:312022-03-23 17:36:48Quote of the Day - March 23, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 21, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 21, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(TRUST THE CLOUD)
(AMZN), (ZS), (CRM), (GOOGL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-21 16:04:252022-03-21 16:45:59March 21, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trust the Cloud

Tech Letter

Dealing with the Cloud works, and for every relevant tech company, this division serves as the pipeline to the CEO position.

If this isn’t the case for a tech company, then there’s something egregiously wrong with them!

Take Andy Jassy, the mastermind behind Amazon’s (AMZN) lucrative cloud computing division and the man who succeeded company founder, Jeff Bezos.

He’s been rewarded this important position based on his performance in the cloud, and he faces a daunting proposition of following Bezos as CEO.  

Bezos incorporated Amazon almost 30 years ago.

Jassy developed a highly profitable and market-leading business, Amazon Web Services, that runs data centers serving a wide range of corporate computing needs.

Cloud 101

If you've been living under a rock the past few years, the cloud phenomenon hasn't passed you by--you still have time to cash in.

You want to hitch your wagon to cloud-based investments in any way, shape, or form.

Amazon leads the cloud industry it created.

It still maintains more than 30% of the cloud market. Microsoft would need to gain a lot of ground to even come close to this jewel of a business.

Amazon relies on AWS to underpin the rest of its businesses and that is why AWS contributes most of Amazon's total operating income.

Total revenue for just the AWS division would operate as a healthy stand-alone tech company if need be.

The future is about the cloud.

These days, the average investor probably hears about the cloud a dozen times a day.

If you work in Silicon Valley, you can quadruple that figure.

So, before we get deep into the weeds with this letter on cloud services, cloud fundamentals, cloud plays, and cloud Trade Alerts, let's get into the basics of what the cloud actually is.

Think of this as a cloud primer.

It's important to understand the cloud, both its strengths and limitations.

Giant companies that have it figured out, such as Salesforce (CRM) and Zscaler (ZS), are some of the fastest-growing companies in the world.

Understand the cloud and you will readily identify its bottlenecks and bulges that can lead to extreme investment opportunities. And that is where I come in.

Cloud storage refers to the online space where you can store data. It resides across multiple remote servers housed inside massive data centers all over the country, some as large as football fields, often in rural areas where land, labor, and electricity are cheap.

They are built using virtualization technology, which means that storage space spans across many different servers and multiple locations. If this sounds crazy, remember that the original Department of Defense packet-switching design was intended to make the system atomic bomb-proof.

As a user, you can access any single server at any one time anywhere in the world. These servers are owned, maintained, and operated by giant third-party companies such as Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet (GOOGL), which may or may not charge a fee for using them.

The most important features of cloud storage are:

1) It is a service provided by an external provider.

2) All data is stored outside your computer residing inside an in-house network.

3) A simple Internet connection will allow you to access your data at any time from anywhere.

4) Because of all these features, sharing data with others is vastly easier, and you can even work with multiple people online at the same time, making it the perfect, collaborative vehicle for our globalized world.

Once you start using the cloud to store a company's data, the benefits are many.

No Maintenance

Many companies, regardless of their size, prefer to store data inside in-house servers and data centers.

However, these require constant 24-hour-a-day maintenance, so the company has to employ a large in-house IT staff to manage them - a costly proposition.

Thanks to cloud storage, businesses can save costs on maintenance since their servers are now the headache of third-party providers.

Instead, they can focus resources on the core aspects of their business where they can add the most value, without worrying about managing IT staff of prima donnas.

Greater Flexibility

Today's employees want to have a better work/life balance and this goal can be best achieved by letting them working remotely, which effectively happened because of the public health situation. Increasingly, workers are bending their jobs to fit their lifestyles, and that is certainly the case here at Mad Hedge Fund Trader.

How else can I send off a Trade Alert while hanging from the face of a Swiss Alp?

Cloud storage services, such as Google Drive, offer exactly this kind of flexibility for employees.

With data stored online, it's easy for employees to log into a cloud portal, work on the data they need to, and then log off when they're done. This way a single project can be worked on by a global team, the work handed off from time zone to time zone until it's done.

It also makes them work more efficiently, saving money for penny-pinching entrepreneurs.

Better Collaboration and Communication

In today's business environment, it's common practice for employees to collaborate and communicate with co-workers located around the world.

For example, they may have to work on the same client proposal together or provide feedback on training documents. Cloud-based tools from DocuSign, Dropbox, and Google Drive make collaboration and document management a piece of cake.

These products, which all offer free entry-level versions, allow users to access the latest versions of any document so they can stay on top of real-time changes which can help businesses to better manage workflow, regardless of geographical location.

Data Protection

Another important reason to move to the cloud is for better protection of your data, especially in the event of a natural disaster. Hurricane Sandy wreaked havoc on local data centers in New York City, forcing many websites to shut down their operations for days.

And we haven’t talked about the recent ransomware attacks by Eastern Europeans on energy company Colonial Pipeline and meat producer JBS Foods.

The cloud simply routes traffic around problem areas as if, yes, they have just been destroyed by a nuclear attack.

It's best to move data to the cloud, to avoid such disruptions because there your data will be stored in multiple locations.

This redundancy makes it so that even if one area is affected, your operations don't have to capitulate, and data remains accessible no matter what happens. It's a system called deduplication.

Lower Overhead

The cloud can save businesses a lot of money.

By outsourcing data storage to cloud providers, businesses save on capital and maintenance costs, money that in turn can be used to expand the business. Setting up an in-house data center requires tens of thousands of dollars in investment, and that's not to mention the maintenance costs it carries.

Plus, considering the security, reduced lag, up-time and controlled environments that providers such as Amazon's AWS have, creating an in-house data center seems about as contemporary as a buggy whip, a corset, or a Model T.

The cloud is where you want to be.

 

cloud data

 

cloud data

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 18, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 18, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE FUTURE IS HERE)
(NO CODE)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-18 15:04:272022-03-19 14:19:20March 18, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 16, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 16, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE GENIUS AT SOFTBANK GETS EXPOSED)
(SFTBY), (ARKK), (DIDI), (BABA), (CPNG)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-16 16:04:152022-03-16 16:40:03March 16, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Genius at Softbank Gets Exposed

Tech Letter

Softbank’s (SFTBY) Masayoshi Son has been heralded as the consensus aficionado on all things artificial intelligence and a venture capitalist who has effectively bet the ranch on transformational technology.

It also sounds like a page out of the Cathy Woods ARK funds (ARKK) fiasco to be honest with you.

Leveraging a portfolio with borrowed money works well during good times, but Son is finding out that it isn’t all rosy on the downside.

His vast fortune has crumbled along with the performance of the Nasdaq index, and it’s Son who owns many of the low-quality tech names.

His wealth has cratered, going from $25 billion last year to around $14 billion today.

Body bags are starting to pile up, such as the fiascos at German’s Wirecard AG and Greensill Capital.

Investments that go to zero aren’t the hallmark of a stock market picking genius.

Then what about Son’s China bet, Alibaba (BABA), that, has been taken back behind the woodshed and beaten to a pulp.

Then the Russia/Ukraine conflict happened, giving the flight to safety bid more life and inflation hedged assets even more time in the sun.

This has been the worse environment to invest in technology companies since the dot com bust of 2001.

Softbank’s parent stock in Japan is also down 60% and questions have arisen whether at some point soon there will be margin calls.

At the very minimum, Son is lurching towards a liquidity crisis of epic proportions.

If Son thought somebody will come in to swoop him out of his troubles, then I would love to hear the escape plan.

There just isn’t that much bright news ahead if we consider that the international conflict has brought forward a chance of recession at the same time the Fed plans to hike rates.

These 2 macro events are highly negative for tech valuations.

Son has also presided over more disasters like Chinese ride sharer DiDi (DIDI) which sold off 44% in just one day last week and South Korean ecommerce company Coupang (CPNG) whose stock has more than halved since its IPO.

The Japanese firm depends on financing to maintain its investment pace and support its share buyback program. It will need as much as $45 billion in cash this year.

The onerous funding is now a problem when the sails aren’t with Softbank’s back and he will need to cut losses just to pay off debt.

Serious red flags of Son overextending could eventually take the whole company down.

Son also has personal loans tied to company stock after pledging shares worth $5.7 billion to 18 lenders including Bank Julius Baer & Co., Mizuho Bank Ltd., and Daiwa Securities Group Inc.

More importantly, the IPO market is now morbid making it impossible for Softbank to capitalize on exciting new offerings because there are none.

I hiatus of new IPOs makes Son’s high growth strategy null and void.

There simply is no appetite now for high-growth stocks amid this poor macro backdrop.

Whispers of stagflation are cropping up all over the place and it could easily become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Son’s image has also taken a massive hit as his poor investment decisions make him look like a novice investor.  

It’s plausible to believe he won’t get that sort of leash to lock and load in the future with other people’s money.

The Saudis have already soured on a second $100 billion vision fund, and one might question why Son didn’t take profits in an Alibaba position when he could have.

Son might be so stubborn that he believes all his investments will become successful through hell or high water.

I don’t believe investors want that type of defiant attitude with their hard-earned money.

The Mad Hedge Technology Letter saw this upcoming weakness a mile away, and the fact that Son has buried his head in the sand makes us question who his trusted advisors are.

Volatile markets need more tacticians to get out of potential catastrophes.

The sad takeaway is that while Masayoshi Son might believe he is always the smartest guy in the room, he is just surrounded by "yes men" who provide a unique echo chamber that helps him execute disastrous investment decisions.

Low-quality tech is being penalized by the bucket load and Son is the poster child for owning overhyped tech that sometimes isn’t even tech--like the office sharing company, WeWork.

Avoid Son’s investment monologues because the proof is in the pudding at the point; and when it comes down to it, he doesn’t know more than the next guy.

 

son

 

 

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-16 16:02:252022-03-30 03:19:50The Genius at Softbank Gets Exposed
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 16, 2022 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“A squirrel dying in front of your house may be more relevant to your interests right now than people dying in Africa.” – Said CEO of Facebook Mark Zuckerberg

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/mark-zuckerberg2.png 239 208 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-16 16:00:342022-03-16 16:38:57March 16, 2022 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 14, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 14, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(RISK RISE IN CUPERTINO)
(AAPL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-14 15:04:442022-03-14 16:19:39March 14, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Risk Rises in Cupertino

Tech Letter

It works until it doesn’t, doesn’t it?

That was ex-German Chancellor Angela Merkel who brought Russian energy closely into the orbit of the German economy and made excuses for them time and time again as they deployed an army to pillage in the East.

Then when Russia showed up at the European Union’s doorstep triggering a massive refugee crisis, the sushi hit the fan and the world went bonkers.

The same thing could be happening with Apple’s (AAPL) CEO Tim Cook in China as its Chinese factories were shut down in Shenzhen, the Chinese Silicon Valley, because of a Covid outbreak.

Foxconn is the name of the factory that is responsible for Apple’s outsourced work.

The growing clusters spawned by the highly infectious omicron variant have turned China upside down.

The policy, which kept China virtually virus-free for long periods, is increasingly isolating the country as others open up.

The country still hasn’t seen a virus fatality since January 2021.

This is an ominous sign for the Middle Kingdom because of their abundance of aging citizens who are highly susceptible to succumbing if they do contract the virus.

Then any prudent investors would ask what’s next for Apple?

It’s safe to say that China has done a much better job protecting its citizens against the worst of Covid with their zero Covid policies.

These hard lockdowns prioritize saving lives at all costs and that is extremely hard for businesses to swallow.

Foxconn didn’t specify the length of the suspension. The measures from the Chinese government call for non-essential businesses in Shenzhen to halt until March 20.

As usual, the Chinese communist party has been extremely tight-lipped about when this could end, and even if March 20th is the goal, it could easily spin out of control if zero Covid backfires and cases spread like wildfire.

Foxconn will stop operations at the two Shenzhen campuses and has reallocated production to other sites to reduce impact of the disruption.

Hon Hai, the primary assembler for iPhones, says it expects no “major” impact for now to its finances and business from the temporary shutdown.

Hon Hai’s suspension of iPhone production in Shenzhen due to lockdowns may not affect Apple’s smartphone supply chain.

Its main production hub in Zhengzhou which makes iPhones hasn’t yet been affected by China’s latest virus resurgence and could help offset lost capacity.

Zhengzhou is also geographically distant from Shenzhen, so cases won’t easily spread to that area of the country.

However, Zhengzhou is part of the Henan province which has the largest population in all of China.

Henan being the poorest province in all of China means migrants at the lowest rung of society enter and leave the province more than others mostly looking for work.

Shenzhen is one of the richest cities in China and it appears as if Apple dodged a bullet.

But what if the highly contagious omicron spreads to Zhengzhou and there is a national zero Covid lockdown for months?

Apple would easily become collateral damage and the stock would sell off by 10%.

Also, unfortunately for Apple, there is a real risk that China is dragged into the Russian – Ukraine conflict.

This could set the grounds for the Chinese government to freeze the Apple supply chain in China.

As the business world has completely fractured into democratic versus totalitarian regimes, it could turn out to be a massive liability to extend oneself on enemy grounds.

Apple might find this out the hard way.

Wait for the volatility to calm down before getting back into Apple shares.

 

china apple

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-14 15:02:412022-03-19 01:53:19Risk Rises in Cupertino
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 14, 2022 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“Your time is limited, so don't waste it living someone else's life.” – Said Co-Founder of Apple Steve Jobs

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/steve-jobs.png 254 277 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-14 15:00:382022-03-14 16:18:34March 14, 2022 - Quote of the Day
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There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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