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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

The Truth About Automation And Banking

Tech Letter

Automation is taking place at warp speed, displacing employees from all walks of life. 

According to a recent report, the U.S. financial industry will depose of 400,000 workers in the next decade because of automating efficiencies.

Yes, humans are going the way of the dodo bird, and banking will effectively become algorithms working for a handful of executives and engineers.

The x-factor in this equation is the $150 billion annually that banks spend on technological development in-house, which is higher than any other industry.

Welcome to the world of lower costs, shedding wage bills, and boosting performance rates.

We forget to realize that employee compensation eats up 50% of bank expenses.

The 400,000 job trimmings would result in 20% of the U.S. banking sector getting axed.

The hyped-up “golden age of banking” should deliver extraordinary savings and premium services to the customer at no extra cost.

This iteration of mobile and online banking has delivered functionality that no generation of customers has ever seen.

The most gutted part of banking jobs will naturally occur in the call centers because they are the low-hanging fruit for automated chatbots.

A few years ago, chatbots were suboptimal, even spewing out arbitrary profanity, but they have slowly crawled up in performance metrics to the point where some customers are unaware that they are communicating with an artificial engineered algorithm.

The wholesale integration of automating the back-office staff isn’t the end of it, the front office will experience a 30% drop in numbers, sullying the predated ideology that front-office staff are irreplaceable heavy hitters.

Front-office staff has already felt the brunt of downsizing, with purges carried out from 2022 representing a twelfth year of continuous decline.

Front-office traders and brokers are being replaced by software engineers as banks follow the wider trend of every company transitioning into a tech company.

The infusion of artificial intelligence will lower mortgage processing costs by 30%, and the accumulation of hordes of data will advance the marketing effort into a smart, multi-pronged, hybrid cloud-based, and hyper-targeted strategy.

The last two human bank hiring waves are a distant memory.

The most recent spike came in the 7 years after the dot com crash of 2001 until the sub-prime crisis of 2008, adding around half a million jobs on top of the 1.5 million that existed then.

After the subsidies wear off from the pandemic, I do believe that the banking sector will quietly put in the call to trim even more.

The longest and most dramatic rise in human bankers was from 1935 to 1985, a 50-year boom that delivered over 1.2 million bankers to the U.S. workforce.

This type of human hiring will likely never be seen again in the U.S. financial industry.

Recomposing banks through automation is crucial to surviving as fintech companies like PayPal (PYPL) and Square (SQ) are chomping at the bit, and even tech companies like Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) have started tinkering with new financial products. 

And if you thought that this phenomenon was limited to the U.S., think again, Europe is by far the biggest culprit by already laying off 102,000 employees in 2021, more than 10x higher the number of U.S. financial job losses, and that has continued in 2022, 2023 and 2024.

In a sign of the times, the European outlook has turned demonstrably negative, with Deutsche Bank announcing layoffs of 40,000 employees as it scales down its investment banking business.

Don’t tell your kid to get into banking because they will most likely be feeding on scraps at that point.  

 

THE LAST STAGE OF HUMAN-FACING BANK SERVICES IS NOW!

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-27 14:02:492024-12-27 13:39:35The Truth About Automation And Banking
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 23, 2024

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
December 23, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(THE FUTURE IS HERE)
(NO CODE)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-23 14:04:012024-12-23 13:53:39December 23, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

The Future Is Here

Tech Letter

The future is here.

No code or low code will bring a raft of new innovative tech companies to market, and we are in the early innings of this transformative development.

What is no code?

No-code is an approach to designing and using applications that requires zero coding or knowledge of programming languages.

This type of software hits us at a perfect time when the home office is beginning to become ubiquitous.  

The self-service movement that empowers business users will support the creation, manipulation, and employment of data-driven applications.

If we turn back the pages of history, companies need an army of software programmers to develop even the measliest application.

That was then, and this is now.

Fast forward to today, and automated technology doesn’t only include cutting-edge industries like automotive cars, but also software on laptops that can be rejigged by individual entrepreneurs.

That’s right, one person with no coding experience will be able to design, develop, and offer a real-life application with meaningful business value without the help of expert programmers.

The research data backs up my thesis with research firms projecting a 23% increase for the global market for this type of technology.

During the pandemic, low-code/no-code tools saw steady growth due to their effectiveness in addressing some of tech’s most complicated challenges.

The essential need to digitize workflows to enhance customer and employee experiences will be a boost to the efficiency of commercial and operational teams.

No-code platforms have evolved from just facilitating mundane tasks to making it possible for a broader range of business employees to truly own their automation and build new software applications with no coding while increasing organizational capacity.

A few risks that larger companies might consider is that even for remote developers building new applications, governance is paramount.

IT staff will need to install guardrails in place and have those built into low-code/no-code platforms to maintain consistent levels of security across the organization.

Cybersecurity solutions need to be integrated into this workflow by training every employee at the organization on security behavior and using compartmentalization and limited access to prevent opportunities for mistakes.

Hard landings are hard to recover from, and some can be crippling to the business model.

For no-code companies, harmonizing workflows is a key requirement for success.

In a low-code/no-code organization, departments should be able to work without silos and communicate freely across functions.

Elevated performance enabled by low-code/no-code tools will mean that the number of useful apps hurling towards the marketplace will be more and merrier than ever before.

Higher performance will no doubt usher in a new renaissance of efficiency and even better performance.

This also puts a 3 or even 4-day workweek squarely in play.

Many of the best tech minds in the world have supported the concept of working smarter instead of working harder.

A low code/no-code standard will allow for these achievements to take place.

The cratering of costs to start and run a tech firm is affected, too.

Deploying startup capital to pay for other expenses will make it easier for successful incubation.

This will ultimately mean that this new type of tech company will need to embrace the fusion of IT and business staff, empowering them with composable applications to speed up the time to market for new solutions.

Low-code/no-code APIs and other tools are enabling companies to integrate new applications into their existing tech stack in a more seamless manner with a lift-and-shift approach vs a rip-and-replace.

At the entrepreneur level, individuals will be able to harness the technology to build $100 million companies with a snap of the fingers when it wasn’t possible to do it before.

This is finally a chance for the little guy to recapture their moxie in the vast and sometimes overwhelming business world.

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-23 14:02:322024-12-23 13:53:28The Future Is Here
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 23, 2024 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“If you're not stubborn, you'll give up on experiments too soon.” – Said Founder of Amazon Jeff Bezos

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/Jeff-Bezos-quote-photo-4-e1522806831697.jpg 272 300 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2024-12-23 14:00:212025-01-17 14:46:22December 23, 2024 - Quote of the Day
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 20, 2024

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
December 20, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(BUYER BEWARE)
(TIKTOK)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-20 14:04:332024-12-20 14:27:03December 20, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Buyer Beware

Tech Letter

Sometimes, the best way to become successful at investing in technology stocks is to avoid the black swan or the big disaster.

I hate to say it, but investment risk has never been higher as we migrate our lives to the internet to extract what we need from personal to business affairs. 

One question that keeps getting rehashed that I thought I might take time to address is the rise of the TikTok influencer-adviser.

According to a brief Google search, TikTok, known in China as Douyin, is a video-sharing social networking service owned by Chinese company ByteDance.

The social media platform is used to make a variety of short-form videos from genres like dance, comedy, and education that have a duration from three seconds to one minute.

Unfortunately, for serious retail investors lately, content has migrated into high-stakes themes like financial education and financial advising, giving rise to content that is produced by video creators to get a piece of the financial industry.

Naturally, this has brought down the quality of the financial content on the internet to historic lows simply because most of the content is marginal at best. 

These promulgators often preach about their status as “trading gurus” and often leverage the hype of digital currencies to claim they are fully invested in “crypto assets” and urge anyone reading to become one of their new “cult followers.” 

They are also usually paid to market a “bulletproof” financial app or certain crypto asset to avid followers without properly disclosing that they are being paid for the advertisement. 

This behavior is being encouraged by the TikTok algorithms, who order this type of misleading content at the top of searches simply because it gets more hits being a click-bait type of content.

The more outlandish the videos become, gloating about get-rich-quick schemes and 1,000% daily returns, the higher up in the search queries they usually populate when filtered through TikTok algorithms. 

These accounts are known as financial “influencers” and post 100s of such videos every month featuring fraudulent success or minimizing the difficulty of profiting through trading and a mix or mash of everything in between.

Even some proclaim to have unlocked the holy grail of trading and “guarantee” 100% returns or your money back.

Another speaking point they like to touch on is how video watchers can “also” afford wealthy lifestyles without having to work, at least in the traditional way.

To dumb down the travails of investing and trading to something easier than pouring a glass of water is a lie.

Many of these novice investors are duped into paying for exorbitant services that are nothing more than promotional buzz offering hyped-up marketing language as specific trading advice. 

Unfortunately, US regulators have turned a blind eye to what is happening on this nefarious Chinese platform, and imitators are spawned daily and are certainly incentivized to do so. 

While I must admit that regulating this type of behavior on TikTok is incredibly messy, to leave this unchecked will result in massive fraud for the little guy that I try to help.

I will say the main reason for ignoring these TikTok “influencers” is because there is even worse cybercrime taking place out there, and the content these influencers are peddling is straddling the gray areas of the law.

The digital migration during Covid has created a tsunami of fresh cybercrime that is really making the TikTok gurus look like choir boys.

Here are some statistics to stew over, according to Gartner research.

  • 88% of organizations worldwide experienced spear-phishing attempts in 2023. 
  • 68% of business leaders feel their cybersecurity risks are increasing in 2023. 
  • On average, only 5% of companies’ folders are properly protected in 2023. 
  • Data breaches exposed 36 billion records in the first half of 2023. 
  • 86% of breaches were financially motivated, and 10% were motivated by espionage in 2023. 
  • 45% of breaches featured hacking, 17% involved malware, and 22% involved phishing in 2023.

When digital professionals went remote, this also increased the risk of cybercriminals wreaking havoc by isolating their targets.

In the grand scheme of the internet, the TikTok trading “gurus” are small fish to fry when hackers are attempting to topple state of federal governments and Fortune 500 companies, yet that doesn’t make it okay.

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is already looking into trading scams and considering ramping up its capacity to monitor those TikTok creators and others who are flogging trading signals, managed investment services, or other fraudulent services. 

But it’s not enough, and readers need to understand the heightened risks of diving feet-first into these TikTok polar vortexes where you just get whipped around unknowingly. 

Pre-emptively protect your portfolio by avoiding these TikTok trading gurus is the order of the day.

Stay vigilant and happy trading, and just know there is no holy grail of trading.

It’s hard work earning your crust of bread.

 

BUYER BEWARE

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-20 14:02:212024-12-20 14:26:42Buyer Beware
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 18, 2024

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
December 18, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(UNLOCKING THE FUTURE OF TECH)
(TSLA), (NVDA), (AMZN)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-18 14:04:482024-12-18 14:22:52December 18, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Unlocking The Future Of Tech

Tech Letter

Unshackling the restraints on human labor – that is where tech is headed.

I’m talking about AI.

Robots aren’t able to perform complicated tasks, and that is the holy grail of AI.

If headway is made just on this one issue, then the sky is the limit.

Profits are then unlimited, and the world will change into something we could have never imagined.

If stakes weren’t high enough, the next explosive leg up in tech shares is now centered on this concept.

There is only so much balance sheet maneuvering can add to the bottom line.

Magnificent 7 stocks who are experts are juicing up the balance sheet will gradually run out of levers to pull.

Technology stocks demand that management move the needle along because the alternative is that the company will get left behind.

When the Department of Defense commenced its robotics challenge in 2015, the stated goal was to develop ground robots that can aid in disaster recovery with the help of human operators.

Nearly a decade later, generative AI is accelerating that learning curve, pushing human-like machines to pick up new tasks in real-time.

And in June, Tesla (TSLA) presented an updated version of its Optimus robot at Tesla’s Investor Day and showed it roaming a factory floor. CEO Elon Musk touted the robot’s potential, saying it had the ability to push the company’s market cap to $25 trillion.

Humanoids that can adapt to existing environments have long been seen as the ultimate test if they can work alongside humans in spaces built for them.

Nvidia (NVDA) is driving rapid development through an ecosystem built specifically for humanoids. It combines high-powered chips that process data at high speeds with a digital world that allows users to train robots on skills applied in the real world.

Nvidia has already unveiled “NIM Microservices,” a visual training ground that allows generative AI models to visually interpret their surroundings in 3D.

Nvidia’s ecosystem now enables robots to train using text and speech input in addition to live demonstrations.

Humanoids have already begun taking their first steps into reality. Musk has said two Optimus robots are working at Tesla’s Fremont factory, and he expects a few thousand to be deployed by next year. Amazon (AMZN) has partnered with Oregon-based Agility to utilize its Digit robot at a test facility. Apptronik is working with Mercedes-Benz to integrate Apollo into its manufacturing line.

The goal is to adapt humanoid for the future, which will allow them to operate beyond industrial use. They could become as ubiquitous if companies are able to scale and bring costs down to $10,000 per machine.

Technology is still in the stage of calculating how they bring the expenses under control.

It is not very cost-effective if a company needs to spend 5 times the actual cost of running the AI division on retrofitting the environment for a humanoid and resetting the language models for different tasks.

Much of these technical aspects are being worked out, and these companies are inching their way closer to a day when companies might be able to work fully without a human worker or alongside a minimum amount of workers.

Tesla is a company long-term that needs to be looked at, and this assumption is solely based on their robotics and humanoid business. It is highly plausible that Elon Musk is at peace with sacrificing his EV business in the medium time as long as moving up the value chain to become the leader of what is next, which is looking more like robotics using AI.

Musk is skating to where the puck is next, and that is where the future will be.

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-18 14:02:552024-12-18 14:22:29Unlocking The Future Of Tech
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

December 16, 2024

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
December 16, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(OVERCOMING UNCERTAINTY IN 2025)
($COMPQ), (SOFTBANK)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-16 14:04:462024-12-16 15:52:34December 16, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Overcoming Uncertainty in 2025

Tech Letter

There have been many prognosticators concerned that next year is trouble for tech stocks, but I am here to dispel that notion.

The uncertainty has permeated into global investment fund management with some even calling for a mild pullback in tech valuations ($COMPQ).

Concerns are concerns and that doesn’t mean we will get a wild selloff or a crash.

There are still too many drivers that tech can pull to bail itself out of any hole they or others might dig for them.

I do agree with the notion that the era of super growth for the current tech business model is over and we are really trying hard to eke over the bar every quarter now.

One trend that could go into overdrive next year is the acceleration of AI investment from funds waiting on the sidelines.

I’ve mentioned to people off the record the staggering amount of capital that has poured into the US after the election.

The surprising part of this is that a meaningful amount of these funds are foreign.

Remember that in places like China and Europe, economics are going in the wrong direction and investment funds have nowhere to place their capital.

Europe has overregulated itself to death more interested in protecting the old money and destroying anything closely relating a start-up.

I argue to clients that Europe is the last place on earth I would ever start a tech company.

China has reached the end of its current growth phase and now has a system that won’t change just to protect the incumbents.

Inherently, Chinese tech could turn into the next Japan.

The end results are a terrible foreign tech scene in most places not named the United States.

Japan, for a matter of fact, has produced people like Softbank CEO Masayoshi Son who try to scrape as many billions together to throw into US tech.

Part of the foreign capital I talk about comes from him, but also other massive funds such as Norway’s sovereign fund valued at over $2 trillion now.

More than 40% of that portfolio is in US tech stocks giving them ammunition for an even bigger step up next year.

President-elect Donald Trump, with SoftBank Group CEO Masayoshi Son at his side, announced that SoftBank would invest $100 billion in the U.S. over the next four years in what would be a boost to the U.S. economy.

Trump said in his joint appearance with Son that the investment would create 100,000 jobs focused on artificial intelligence (AI) and related infrastructure, with the money to be deployed before the end of Trump's term.

Son has been a strong proponent of the potential for AI and has been pushing to expand SoftBank's exposure to the sector, taking a stake in OpenAI and acquiring chip startup Graphcore.

The uncertainty is warranted, because we will replace a U.S. administration with a vastly different view of the economy and tech scene.

I do believe we missed a bullet. If Harris won, she would of choked off the vitality of Silicon Valley and placed power and control in the hands of a few. 

I say that even though tech stocks performed greatly the past 4 years.

I don’t believe that tech stocks are about to lose steam and the case for the new administration turbo charging the economy is definitely realistic.

Trump wants to cut U.S. corporate tax to 15% and that 6% drop for U.S. tech firm would represent a gargantuan windfall to the bottom line.

If Silicon Valley is the beneficiary pro-corporate legislation, the sky is the limit for tech stocks next year even if they don’t create anything game changing.

Playing with house money is fun and we could be in a situation next year where U.S. tech firms can shoot for the stars.

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-12-16 14:00:262024-12-16 15:52:14Overcoming Uncertainty in 2025
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There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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