“A good boss is better than a good company.” – Said Founder of Alibaba Jack Ma
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
July 26, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(YOUR NEW FULFILLMENT CENTERS)
(AMZN), (WMT), (TGT)
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
July 23, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(NEURALINK WILL CHANGE THE WORLD AND YOUR BRAIN)
(TSLA), (SPACEX), (NEURALINK), (BORINGCOMPANY)
Founder of Tesla Elon Musk is on record confessing that it would be a “good idea” to bring his four businesses — Tesla, SpaceX, Neuralink, and The Boring Company — under a giant holding company.
Doing this would encourage more talented engineers to work for Musk and allow the four companies to combine human resources and marketing departments.
The synergies would be countless.
Most of you know three of the four, so let me explain to you about Neuralink.
In short, Neuralink Corporation is an American neurotechnology company developing implantable brain-machine interfaces.
You would think this is straight out of science fiction, but mark my word that in our lifetime, we could all be operating digital devices from our heads if Musk gets his way.
And he often does get his way.
Scary as it seems now, this will probably be the first of many artificial intelligence procedures to infuse humans with layers of artificial intelligence.
Musk believes humans will go the way of robot hybrid in the future because the natural development of competition is trending in that way and sadly, this direction in humanity is ultimately existential for every one of us.
Improvements in technology will periodically be announced and iterations will need to be adopted because software is upgraded.
Fortunately, we are nowhere close to the actual implementation of these neuro devices let alone trying to analyze the consumer and economic implications of this technology.
As for today and now, we are in the early innings and testing it out on pigs.
Better them and not me.
Neuralink’s dramatically simplified design for an implant that hopes to create brain-to-machine interfaces is a big deal and partly because of the star power backing the project that can literally move mountains.
The previous design consisted of a bean-shaped device that would sit behind the ear, but now it is the size of a large coin, and it goes in your skull.
I expect the final iteration to be a millimeter wide.
The in-brain device could enable humans with neurological conditions to control technology, such as phones or computers, with mere thoughts.
The other use case is solving neurological disorders from memory, hearing loss, and blindness to paralysis, depression, and brain damage which is a tad more altruistic.
The current prototype – referred to as version 0.9 – measures 23 millimeters by eight millimeters, and has 1024 electrode "threads" attached to it that are implanted into the brain.
It is designed to replace a coin-sized portion of the skull and sit flush so it would be physically unnoticeable. It would be inductively charged the same way you would wirelessly charge a smartwatch or a phone.
The surgical robot, which is programmed to insert the neural threads safely into the brain, was done by US design company Woke Studios.
Woke Studio’s robot would be able to insert the link in under an hour without general anesthesia, with the patient able to leave the hospital right away.
The robot will eventually do the entire surgery – so everything from the incision, removing the skull, inserting electrodes, placing the device, and then closing things up.
It will be completely automated.
Test pigs are being used to test the device which offers important insights into the process of inserting a chip into a brain.
The implant sends real-time signals from the pig’s brain whenever it touches something with its snout.
Described as "healthy and happy", one of the pigs demonstrated that it is possible to have multiple chips in your head at one time.
Musk also showed a pig that previously had a chip inserted into its brain, but had since been removed, to show that the procedure is reversible without any serious side effects.
Neuralink’s Breakthrough Device designation by FDA supports Musk’s neuroscience objectives. The startup is now preparing for its first human test case, pending required approvals, and further safety testing.
If this technology is green-lighted by the U.S. Federal Government, I envision a free for all into this technology from the likes of Facebook, Google, Apple, and Microsoft, and so on.
If you thought website “cookie tracking” is bad now, then once tech firms are granted access to consumers’ brains, it could open up a pandora's box of moral conflicts of interest, an avalanche of revenue opportunities, and lawsuits galore.
Look at the hesitation and disgruntlement of the health industry hoping to convince Americans to take two jabs of an mRNA vaccine in the arm and now think about trying to convince Americans to implant a brain in their head for the sake of competing.
Will American society really get to the point where Facebook is selling your “thoughts” to neural advertisers?
It’s scary to think about but that is the direction we are headed down for better or worse.
If you view this through the lens of big tech, battering down the hatches to get access to consumer’s “thoughts” is the holy grail of access points and revenue flow.
In 2021, humans still need to digest thoughts and carry out functions through fingers into a phone interface.
We have also allowed big tech into our home feeding them data through smart devices and virtual assistants like Amazon Alexa.
Getting rid of all that “fluff” and extracting data and behavioral results from the original source is potentially worth over 10 trillion dollars along with a recurring revenue source to infinity.
Not only will physical devices be useless at that point, but they will also spawn a mega cloud storage business that is hooked straight to the mind.
An economic analyst can digest how cloud companies like Amazon and Google would rake in the trillions by storing libraries of data that a mind can tap in at any time.
It really is a gigantic step that will digitize and computerize humans - big tech is first in line to reap the profits and literally control our brains.
Maybe by that time, the government will actually lift a finger and regulate since the current crop of Baby Boomers still have no idea what Facebook does and have been turning a blind eye.
This is the future – a future where we coexist with artificial intelligence.
“When something is important enough, you do it even if the odds are not in your favor.” – Said Founder and CEO of Tesla and Neuralink Elon Musk
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
July 21, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(THE TRUTH ABOUT AUTOMATION AND WALL STREET JOBS)
(AAPL), (SQ), (AMZN), (PYPL)
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
July 19, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(THE LARGEST SHADOW BANKER AND U.S. TECH)
(BLK), (AMZN), (MSFT), (AAPL)
In the top-heavy global media landscape, there seems to be this notion that the U.S. and its capital is the primary alpha male swaying asset prices.
The close to $6 trillion in recent stimulus chasing too few services demonstrably has an outsized vote on the matter of asset pricing.
But the dirty little secret about this stimulus is that U.S. private equity is spilling into Nordic and Western European markets effectively forcing a rapid Americanization of asset prices across the Atlantic.
Shadow banks finance financial transactions that are too risky for banks.
In the US, they already grant half of all loans.
In times of low or even negative interest rates for credit, fewer and fewer investors bring their money to a normal bank, but rather to a so-called shadow bank.
This is a term that has become established to describe a phenomenon for financial participants who are not a bank.
What a shadow bank is is not exactly defined, because there are no shadow banking licenses; but tech companies and the U.S. wielding of this critical function have changed the financial world.
In some cases, a few large private families who now have the means to invest in such funds are also focused on funding through these shadow banks and most of the time to buy American tech stocks.
And they deliberately invest not just in a single fund, but across all countries in the world, and shadow banks make up around a third of the financial sector.
In Germany, it is more than a third and on the EU average, it is almost exactly a third.
Pension funds and pension funds work like small insurance companies: employees of a company pay part of their gross wages directly, free of tax and social security contributions. At the end of their working life, they will then be paid a supplementary pension from the income generated.
The fact that “their” money is mandated to be invested in the global financial markets - at least if people hope to receive a pension after their active working life.
These European pension funds are also turning to U.S. branded shadow banking.
According to the Financial Stability Board, shadow banks had a total of $80 trillion in business in 2021.
Compared to the previous year, this was an increase of 8.5%. The FSB information is based on data from 29 countries. These in turn represent 80% of global economic output.
Many deals and transactions are outsourced from the banks now. That means: The financial business tries to circumvent the regulations and the largest shadow bank is BlackRock (BLK) - involved in 20,000 companies.
Many of these outsourced financial service providers are also nothing more than subsidiaries of BlackRock.
This outsourcing offers their customers the prospect of significantly higher interest rates.
BlackRock is an influential major shareholder in all listed global corporations from Europe and the USA.
Although it was founded in 1988, BlackRock was unknown to most people in Germany for decades.
That only changed in 2018, when the politician and lobbyist Friedrich Merz announced his candidacy for the CDU party chairmanship.
At this point in time, Friedrich Merz had been head of the supervisory board of the German offshoot of BlackRock for two years.
This is a company that currently manages a fortune of over nine trillion dollars which is far more than what is produced in Germany, every year, in terms of goods and services - considerably more.
At BlackRock, they harness the smorgasbord of mechanisms that define this new area of shadow banking: hedge funds, VC, real estate, index funds, and money market funds.
BlackRock holds considerable blocks of shares through various subsidiaries, including in normal commercial banks - such as Bank of America, Citigroup, and Deutsche Bank.
But that’s not all.
BlackRock is by far the largest owner in the German share index - with a share of 15 to 17%.
That means: every sixth share of the 30 largest German corporations is controlled by one of the BlackRock funds.
That BlackRock's ownership structure rotates in circles. The asset management companies control themselves, or are actually not subject to any control.
It’s an almost incestuous system where you pursue your own interests through a network of participation. While banks are systemically relevant, BlackRock is still uncontrolled, and they refuse to classify this company as systemically relevant.
But that is BlackRock and that is part of what made them highly successful.
It is extremely well connected. It has long-standing, important politicians in its ranks. Friedrich Merz is just one example in the big picture.
French President Emmanuel Macron recently said he wanted to see the creation of at least 10 tech companies in Europe worth over 100 billion euros each by 2030.
While Europe is now home to many unicorns — start-ups valued at over $1 billion — it is yet to produce a company with the scale of American and Chinese tech giants.
But I am ready to argue that Europeans no longer have control over their own narrative in their own financial system, it is now U.S. private equity.
Assuming that this holds true, even if President Macron’s wish bears fruit, the owners of these “European” tech companies will of course be Americans who are dressed up as European pension funds and maybe even perhaps somehow a company starting with a B and ending with ROCK?
The oversupply of capital from the U.S. that has overcharged U.S. tech shares will get any piece of the action that Europe creates if they are to create a tech renaissance, which I highly doubt.
And the real truth is that any unicorn created in Europe will most likely go public in New York anyway.
The pandemic has also supercharged the influence of Blackrock in Germany and Europe as a whole and that cannot be diminished.
According to Blackrock’s 13F, 10% of their portfolio is Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN) - holding $128 billion in AAPL, $123 billion in MSFT, and only $87 billion in AMZN.
Their largest 7 holdings are in U.S. tech stocks.
This is just a 13F in their main fund, and it wouldn’t be shocking to find out some of their European subsidiaries are also doing the same thing even if not with the same amount of capital.
The European financial system has effectively been gamed by Blackrock and its copycats, so next time you hear of a large Nordic or German equity fund making a big splash in U.S. tech shares, the eventual originator of that decision could be Blackrock.
This is the type of sophistication we are dealing with at this point in global markets and essentially nothing beats the eye test anymore because we have no idea what is happening unless we follow the trail of money.
“If GM had kept up with technology like the computer industry has, we would all be driving $25 cars that got 1,000 MPG.” – Said Co-Founder of Microsoft Bill Gates
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
July 16, 2021
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(THE CLOUD)
(AMZN), (GOOGL), (CRM)
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