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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

The AI Data Center Cooling Stock

Tech Letter

Not every winner from the artificial intelligence revolution will be in Nvidia (NVDA).

Let me be clear about that.

Others will wriggle their way into the group that can admire their success over time.

Here is one for you.

Readers need to look at a company that is literally collaborating with Nvidia to position themselves closest to Nvidia’s business model.

Aligning themselves with the hottest stock in the best sub-sector in the industry that grows the fastest isn’t a bad idea.

That’s why readers should take a peek at Vertiv (VRT) shares which have gone absolutely ballistic over the past year.

VRT is a provider of coolant distribution infrastructure for data centers.

IT cooling challenges continue escalating as new server-accelerated compute technologies, machine learning, artificial intelligence, and high-performance computing drive higher heat densities in the data center environment. Liquid cooling is rapidly emerging as the technology for efficiently handling power-dense hot spots.

These massive data centers require significantly more electricity to operate.

That offers an upside to industrials, utilities, and commodities, according to the firm.

GPUs need 2-2.5x more power than CPUs, and expected power usage for US data centers under construction is equivalent to more than 50% of the power currently used by US data centers.

Here is how Vertiv aids the technological revolution:

High-Density Power and Cooling Solutions: The ever-growing processing power of AI requires robust power and cooling infrastructure.

Vertiv's data center solutions are designed to handle the intense heat generated by AI workloads, ensuring optimal performance and preventing overheating.

Technical Partnerships: Vertiv actively collaborates with leading AI chipmakers like Nvidia. These partnerships ensure their solutions are specifically tailored to meet the unique power and cooling demands of cutting-edge AI hardware.

End-to-End Expertise: Vertiv doesn't just provide individual components. They offer comprehensive solutions that manage power delivery and heat rejection from the power grid all the way to the individual chip. This holistic approach streamlines AI infrastructure deployment and optimizes performance.

Their scalable solutions can adapt to the ever-increasing power and cooling needs of AI applications.

Organic orders increased by 60% compared to the same period last year and net sales reached $6.82 billion.

Operating profit for the quarter was $203 million, while adjusted operating profit stood at $249 million, reflecting a significant year-over-year growth of 42%.

The company also began returning cash to shareholders, repurchasing approximately 9.1 million shares at an average price of $66 per share.

Its strong performance is due to robust demand, particularly in AI-driven deployments and liquid cooling technologies, positioning VRT for continued growth and operational improvement in the evolving digital infrastructure landscape.

The necessity of power usage also makes these GPUs considerably hotter, putting pressure on firms such as VRT to improve cooling systems in data centers.

VRT shares have essentially gone up in a straight line in the past 1.5 years from $12 per share to $100.

That type of return has been entirely justified.

Moving forward, I believe the stock will behave in a similar fashion as the demand for its products grows strongly.

Under no scenario do I find a way that its cooling technology will go by the wayside.

In fact, they could have such a great product that it might fuel speculation of getting acquired which would fuel an even higher share price.

I am bullish VRT.

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-05-22 14:04:102024-05-22 14:42:30The AI Data Center Cooling Stock
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

May 20, 2024

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
May 20, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(AI GETS INTO MILITARY CONFLICT)
(PLTR), (AI)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-05-20 14:04:202024-05-20 15:39:48May 20, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

AI Gets Into Military Conflict

Tech Letter

Palantir (PLTR) sold off on its earnings report, but that doesn’t mean it’s a bad stock.

Sometimes stocks can’t live up to their potential in the short-term, but long-term they should have no problem. 

Growth slowed down a little and there is worry that revenue is too reliant on sources from America.

It’s positioned as an American-first company and the CEO Alex Karp doesn’t shy away from that fact.

The company is positioned perfectly as the best-in-class AI war stock and that label goes quite far in 2024.

The business model does well when an explosion of conflict breaks out around the globe and one could argue that has been the case since 2022.

So it’s not a shocker to find out that the stock has done quite well since 2022 after tanking before that.

As the wars pile up, the company shares intel with agencies that pay for their knowledge through software and AI modeling.

They also offer companies a chance to use Palantir software to optimize their commercial business models.

If you haven’t heard, the Pentagon has failed audits for 6 years on the trot with trillions of bucks unaccounted for.

Even if PLTR investments are accounted for, the point is that money is pouring into the defense side of the equation.

This stock is certainly a “recession-proof” tech stock, and I would not say that PLTRs relatively short history brings uncertainty with it.

In the first quarter of 2024, Palantir's revenue of $634 million increased by 21%. While that is a considerable increase, it does not compare to a stock like Nvidia, which has experienced triple-digit revenue growth in recent quarters.

Additionally, the full-year 2024 revenue forecast calls for just under $2.7 billion. That would mean a 20% annual revenue growth rate, which may seem a little light when compared to other growth stocks.

PLTR’s U.S. commercial customer account rose 69% compared to year-ago levels.

Furthermore, when talking about its latest artificial intelligence platform (AIP), the company has reported eye-popping productivity gains. Palantir stated on its quarter-one earnings call that Lowe's utilized AI in its customer service department and reduced overdue tasks by 75%. Also, Cleveland Clinic was impressed enough to commit to a 10-year plan to deploy AIP across a network of hospitals.

In total, I do believe that PLTR will make major headway on the commercial side of revenue while profiting from the stable government revenue.

In a new era of AI, companies want to reduce tasks and optimize operations translating into bountiful revenue growth for PLTR.

Granted, the 20% revenue growth isn’t stuff of legends, but I do see a roadmap to double the company’s valuation from $50 billion to $100 billion if they execute well and keep improving the product.

That being said, buy incrementally on big dips of over 10% and that should be an effective strategy if a reader holds this stock long term.

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-05-20 14:02:392024-05-20 15:39:30AI Gets Into Military Conflict
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 20, 2024 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“Be stubborn on vision, but flexible on details.” – Said Founder of Amazon Jeff Bezos

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/Jeff-Bezos-quote-photo-4-e1522806831697.jpg 272 300 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2024-05-20 14:00:532024-05-20 15:39:13May 20, 2024 - Quote of the Day
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

May 17, 2024

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
May 17, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(AI MOVES THE NEEDLE)
(TSLA), (AI), ($COMPQ), (SORA)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-05-17 14:04:222024-05-17 15:38:00May 17, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

AI Moves The Needle

Tech Letter

Compassion for humanity – that’s all we need – this is the only trait corporate Americans need for bosses like him to employ humans over AI filmmaker Tyler Perry.

That’s all a tall order for corporate tech ($COMPQ) in Silicon Valley which usually prefers not to prioritize compassion for humanity over profits.

That’s bad news for tech workers and we got more confirmation of this trend with Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk cutting 600 white-collar corporate jobs from the Fremont, California office.

Elon is usually one to be on the forefront of the curve and he isn’t late with the firing means we are just in the first innings of it.

An interview with Tyler Perry led him down the rabbit hole of the future of AI and it wasn’t pretty if you are a W2 worker.

As it relates to implanting AI, the one irrefutable conclusion he could make was that human workers would lose out at the expense of the bosses who would gain.

Over the past four years, Tyler Perry had been planning an $800 million expansion of his studio in Atlanta, which would have added 12 soundstages to the 330-acre property.

Now, however, those ambitions are on hold — thanks to the rapid developments he’s seeing in the realm of artificial intelligence, including OpenAI’s text-to-video model Sora, which debuted on Feb. 15 and stunned observers with its cinematic video outputs.

His productions might not have to travel to locations or build sets with the assistance of technology.

His expansions are currently and indefinitely on hold because of the quick developments of AI.

He might not need to invest in anything at all except some AI additive technology.

Perry said the job losses in his industry could range from writers, actors, sound specialists, builders, designers, architects, and so on.

Human actors are on the chopping block and the only digestible content that will be saved from the bloodbath is live sports which is why premium content like the NFL, soccer World Cup, and Alabama college football fetch astronomical numbers to license these games.

None of that will be replaced by AI, but much of the best of the rest will and the hundreds and thousands of jobs will sink with them.

Perry also described a situation in which he used AI which kept him out of makeup for hours.

In post and on set, he was able to use this AI technology to avoid ever having to sit through hours of aging makeup.

The movie industry won’t need to negotiate with the actor's or writers' unions again, because they are dispensable.

What will happen in tech?

Google and Apple will build products but with much less staff involved.

Compensation expense is about to drop precipitously without warning.

Remember that the dive into AI won’t be a drip, but a waterfall because once one figures out a way to optimize the technology, everyone else follows suit.

The copycats come out of the woodwork and reverse engineering takes hold.

If you thought that Congress is responsible to save the workers then you’ll be waiting for a long time.

Tech executives have been lobbying Washington for a generation, and I believe they will take the side of management.

And in any case, if the government does get involved, they usually make regulations too onerous to hire humans making the situation worse.

What does this mean for tech stocks?

They go higher.

Expenses will take a meaningful dive, dividends and buybacks go up with more cash on hand, and tech stocks comprise an even larger percentage of the overall market.

We have sunny days ahead for the tech sector.

 

AI WILL HAVE A BIG IMPACT IN THE MOVIE INDUSTRY

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-05-17 14:02:252024-05-17 15:37:40AI Moves The Needle
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

May 15, 2024

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
May 15, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(MEME MAYHEM)
(GME), (AMC), (NVDA), (SMCI)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-05-15 14:04:402024-05-15 16:08:59May 15, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Meme Mayhem

Tech Letter

GameStop (GME) and AMC (AMC) shares taking off like a bandit from a bank heist is highly advantageous for tech stocks.

Everyone who owns tech stocks maybe doesn’t know that but won’t complain when their shares go up.

This aggressive price action clearly signals to the rest of the stock market that monetary policy is way too loose.

Yes, and I am saying that at Fed Fund rate sitting at 5% today.

It’s a tough job to reign in the inflationary genie after it’s out of the bottle, and the liquidity sloshing around that overflows into a high inflation backdrop means that prices trend up.

That also goes for tech stocks.

Much of that liquidity has found its way into growth tech stocks like Nvidia (NVDA) and Super Micro Computers (SMCI).

It’s also found its way into marginal tech companies like Gamestop and meme movie cinema stock AMC.

Capital wouldn’t be allocated this poorly into mediocre stocks if there was a tighter cap on liquidity which there isn’t.

It was only just the other week in which the US Central Bank slowed the pace of asset run off to their balance sheet which equated to yet another injection of quantitative easing for tech stocks.

What does that mean?

In the short-term, tech stocks are off to the races.

This is a side effect to the easy money policies resulting in 100% moves in AMC and GME.

It’s almost laughable but that is the world we live in.

The moves higher in both stocks, which have since been followed by several trading halts and subsequent paring of gains Tuesday, came after the reemergence of Keith Gill, also known as "Roaring Kitty," whose bull case on GameStop ignited the meme stock rally back in 2021.

Every bull market has its share of excess and mini bubbles, but this only becomes dangerous when it becomes widespread.

Even if interest in ‘meme’ stocks rebounds following a renewed surge in GameStop’s share price, it doesn’t mean that we are at the end of the tech sector’s Bull Run.

It does mean we are very late in the tech cycle, but honestly speaking, we have been late cycle since 2019.

It’s so late that tech companies now have to issue dividends to keep investors onboard.

They used not have to do that because they were growing so fast.

Sometimes tech stocks don’t sell themselves and this is a period when that is so.

The almost 5 year late cycle action has meant that tech stocks are a good bet in the short-run and the underpinnings to this rally has been fortified due to AI mania that has engulfed many of the best and brightest of tech.

Stocks like GME and AMC shouldn’t be experiencing 100% gains in days in this part of the late cycle, not because I don’t like these companies, but because their business models don’t support such price action.

Gamestop sells video games at the mall.

AMC has a failing movie theatre business.

My take from it is that the tech Bull Run is alive and well in the short-term and there is definitely enough capital to stage a summer tech rally.

Hold on to your hat cowboy!

 

 

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-05-15 14:02:252024-05-15 16:08:39Meme Mayhem
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

May 13, 2024

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
May 13, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(BUY THE TOURIST PLATFORM TECH STOCK)
(ABNB), (EXPE)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-05-13 14:04:412024-05-13 15:25:28May 13, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Buy The Tourist Platform Tech Stock

Tech Letter

Any type of selloff in Airbnb (ABNB) shares will be short-lived as we approach the summer Olympics and European soccer summer tournament.

Global Events of a month-long will get people out of their homes and spending their cash.

These premium events will move the needle for Airbnb revenue-wise in Europe.

The heart of world travel is Western Europe so it’s convenient that these mega-events are in France and Germany and not in some backwater. 

Better luck next time if you haven’t locked up your Airbnb in Germany or France by now.

Travelers even have the option to stay through September and enjoy the annual Oktoberfest in Bavaria.

There isn’t lodging to be found in Western Europe in the summer months and even though the economy is starting to weaken around the edges, we are still in for another summer of travel post-pandemic style.

Tourists are splurging like there is no tomorrow held up by the higher income bracket. 

Italy is famous for hosting 8 million Americans per year and is otherwise known as Americans' favorite European destination.

That number is poised to balloon to 12 million by 2030 and that means revenue growth for Airbnb as Italian Airbnb’s are rampant everywhere you go in Italy.

As for the company, the business model has been doing great ever since CEO and Founder Brian Chesky put a tight leash on expenses after being caught wrongfooted during the pandemic.

The stock sold off on the earnings even with the nice beat and the Mad Hedge tech letter executed a call spread on the underlying shares.

Weak guidance has been a hallmark of this past earnings season as the economy softens.

Management needs a lower bar to jump over for later this year.

Revenue increased 18% year over year to $2.14 billion last quarter, ahead of the $2.06 billion consensus.

The surge in profit margins was due in part to a shift in the Easter holiday to the first quarter, strong interest income, and leverage from its revenue growth and cost discipline.

The stock is now down 13% from its year-to-date peak and at its lowest point in close to three months.

Airbnb competes with hotels and other types of overnight accommodations, but its closest competitors are other home-sharing platforms like Expedia's VRBO.

But Airbnb already dominates the home-sharing niche with a leading market share among those platforms, and the company appeared to strengthen its position in the first quarter. Revenue at Expedia (EXPE) increased 8% in the period, while its B2C division which includes VRBO was up just 3%.

Competitors have been unable to overcome the powerful network effect present on Airbnb's platform, allowing it to continue growing its lead.

The shareholder returns program is beefing up.

The company continues to return capital to shareholders, buying back $750 million in stock last quarter. With $2.5 billion in total share repurchases over the past year,

Airbnb has reduced its shares outstanding by nearly 3% over that period. While 3% might not sound like much, this strategy compounds over time, and Airbnb should be able to increase buybacks as profits grow.

Additionally, the company is benefiting from higher interest rates as it's on track to generate close to $1 billion in interest income this year, giving it a significant boost on the bottom line.

I’m betting on an uptick in shareholder interest in the short term at these price levels.

I was a little uncomfortable chasing it higher from $170, but $150 is more reasonable and I do believe the Fed pivot tailwinds could catapult us into profits with this trade.

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-05-13 14:02:412024-05-13 15:25:09Buy The Tourist Platform Tech Stock
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