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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Fin-Tech Automation and Banking

Tech Letter

Automation is taking place at warp speed displacing employees from all walks of life. 

Next could be you!

According to a recent report, the U.S. financial industry will depose of 200,000 workers in the next decade because of automating efficiencies.

Yes, humans are going the way of the dodo bird and banking will effectively become algorithms working for a handful of executives and engineers.

The x-factor in this equation is the $250 billion annually that banks spend on technological development in-house which is second highest after the traditional tech giants.

Welcome to the world of lower cost, shedding wage bills, and boosting performance rates.

We forget to realize that employee compensation eats up around 50% of bank expenses.

The 200,000 job trimmings would result in 10% of the U.S. banking sector getting axed.

The hyped-up “golden age of banking” should deliver extraordinary savings and premium services to the customer at no extra cost.

This iteration of mobile and online banking has delivered functionality that no generation of customers has ever seen.

Gutting bank jobs will naturally occur in the call centers first, because they are the low-hanging fruit for the automated chatbots.

A few years ago, chatbots were suboptimal, even spewing out arbitrary profanity, but they have slowly crawled up in performance metrics to the point where some customers are unaware they are communicating with an artificially engineered algorithm.

The wholesale integration of automating the back-office staff isn’t contained to the rudimentary part of the staff.

The front office will experience a 30% drop in numbers sullying the predated ideology that front office staff are irreplaceable heavy hitters.

The front-office staff has already felt the brunt of downsizing with purges carried out from 2022 representing a twelfth year of continuous decline.

Front-office traders and brokers are being rapidly replaced by software engineers as banks follow the wider trend of every company transitioning into a tech company.

The infusion of artificial intelligence will lower mortgage processing costs by 30% and the accumulation of hordes of data will advance the marketing effort into a potent, multi-pronged, hybrid cloud-based, and hyper-targeted strategy.

The last two human bank hiring waves are a distant memory.

The most recent spike came in the 7 years after the dot com crash of 2001 until the sub-prime crisis of 2008 adding around half a million jobs on top of the 1.5 million that existed then.

After the subsidies wear off from the pandemic, I do believe that the banking sector will quietly put in the call to trim even more.

The longest and most dramatic rise in human bankers was from 1935 to 1985, a 50-year boom that delivered over 1.2 million bankers to the U.S. workforce.

This type of human hiring will likely never be seen again in the U.S. financial industry.

And if you thought that this phenomenon was limited to the U.S., think again, Europe is by far the biggest culprit by already laying off 100,000 employees in 2022.

Even Europe’s banking jewel Credit Suisse is on the brink of collapsing and in need of a bailout.

Don’t tell your kid to get into banking, because they will most likely be feeding on scraps at that point.  

An interesting tech stock that integrates financial payments is Square (SQ) which has given back its entire pandemic performance.

As US interest rates are expected to peak and go down in 2023, I recommend dollar cost average into this stock at bargain basement prices.

 

THE LAST STAGE OF HUMAN-FACING BANK SERVICES IS NOW!

 

bank

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-12-21 14:02:452023-01-02 20:08:33Fin-Tech Automation and Banking
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 19, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
December 19, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(GO STRAIGHT TO THE TOP WITH THE CLOUD)
(AMZN), (ZS), (CRM), (GOOGL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-12-19 16:04:062022-12-19 17:31:40December 19, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Go Straight To The Top With The Cloud

Tech Letter

Dealing with the Cloud works, and for every relevant tech company, this division serves as the pipeline to the CEO position.

If this isn’t the case for a tech company, then there’s something egregiously wrong with them!

Take Andy Jassy - he is the mastermind behind Amazon’s (AMZN) lucrative cloud computing division and was the man who succeeded company founder Jeff Bezos.

He was rewarded this important position based on his performance in the cloud and faces a daunting proposition of following Bezos as CEO.  

Bezos incorporated Amazon almost 30 years ago.

Jassy developed a highly profitable and market-leading business, Amazon Web Services, that runs data centers serving a wide range of corporate computing needs.

Cloud 101

If you've been living under a rock the past few years, the cloud phenomenon hasn't passed you by and you still have time to cash in.

You want to hitch your wagon to cloud-based investments in any way, shape, or form.

Amazon leads the cloud industry it created.

It still maintains more than 30% of the cloud market. Microsoft would need to gain a lot of ground to even come close to this jewel of a business.

Amazon relies on AWS to underpin the rest of its businesses and that is why AWS contributes most of Amazon's total operating income.

Total revenue for just the AWS division would operate as a healthy stand-alone tech company if need be.

The future is about the cloud.

These days, the average investor probably hears about the cloud a dozen times a day.

If you work in Silicon Valley, you can quadruple that figure.

So, before we get deep into the weeds with this letter on cloud services, cloud fundamentals, cloud plays, and cloud Trade Alerts, let's get into the basics of what the cloud actually is.

Think of this as a cloud primer.

It's important to understand the cloud, both its strengths and limitations.

Giant companies that have it figured out, such as Salesforce (CRM) and Zscaler (ZS), are some of the fastest-growing companies in the world.

Understand the cloud and you will readily identify its bottlenecks and bulges that can lead to extreme investment opportunities. And that is where I come in.

Cloud storage refers to the online space where you can store data. It resides across multiple remote servers housed inside massive data centers all over the country, some as large as football fields, often in rural areas where land, labor, and electricity are cheap.

They are built using virtualization technology, which means that storage space spans across many different servers and multiple locations. If this sounds crazy, remember that the original Department of Defense packet-switching design was intended to make the system atomic bomb-proof.

As a user, you can access any single server at any one time anywhere in the world. These servers are owned, maintained, and operated by giant third-party companies such as Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet (GOOGL), which may or may not charge a fee for using them.

The most important features of cloud storage are:

1) It is a service provided by an external provider.

2) All data is stored outside your computer residing inside an in-house network.

3) A simple Internet connection will allow you to access your data at anytime from anywhere.

4) Because of all these features, sharing data with others is vastly easier, and you can even work with multiple people online at the same time, making it the perfect, collaborative vehicle for our globalized world.

Once you start using the cloud to store a company's data, the benefits are many.

No Maintenance

Many companies, regardless of their size, prefer to store data inside in-house servers and data centers.

However, these require constant 24-hour-a-day maintenance, so the company has to employ a large in-house IT staff to manage them - a costly proposition.

Thanks to cloud storage, businesses can save costs on maintenance since their servers are now the headache of third-party providers.

Instead, they can focus resources on the core aspects of their business where they can add the most value, without worrying about managing IT staff of prima donnas.

Greater Flexibility

Today's employees want to have a better work/life balance and this goal can be best achieved by letting them working remotely which effectively happened because of the public health situation. Increasingly, workers are bending their jobs to fit their lifestyles, and that is certainly the case here at Mad Hedge Fund Trader.

How else can I send off a Trade Alert while hanging from the face of a Swiss Alp?

Cloud storage services, such as Google Drive, offer exactly this kind of flexibility for employees.

With data stored online, it's easy for employees to log into a cloud portal, work on the data they need to, and then log off when they're done. This way a single project can be worked on by a global team, the work handed off from time zone to time zone until it's done.

It also makes them work more efficiently, saving money for penny-pinching entrepreneurs.

 

Better Collaboration and Communication

In today's business environment, it's common practice for employees to collaborate and communicate with co-workers located around the world.

For example, they may have to work on the same client proposal together or provide feedback on training documents. Cloud-based tools from DocuSign, Dropbox, and Google Drive make collaboration and document management a piece of cake.

These products, which all offer free entry-level versions, allow users to access the latest versions of any document so they can stay on top of real-time changes which can help businesses to better manage workflow, regardless of geographical location.

Data Protection

Another important reason to move to the cloud is for better protection of your data, especially in the event of a natural disaster. Hurricane Sandy wreaked havoc on local data centers in New York City, forcing many websites to shut down their operations for days.

And we haven’t talked about the ransomware attacks by Eastern Europeans on energy company Colonial Pipeline and meat producer JBS Foods.

The cloud simply routes traffic around problem areas as if, yes, they have just been destroyed by a nuclear attack.

It's best to move data to the cloud, to avoid such disruptions because there your data will be stored in multiple locations.

This redundancy makes it so that even if one area is affected, your operations don't have to capitulate, and data remains accessible no matter what happens. It's a system called deduplication.

Lower Overhead

The cloud can save businesses a lot of money.

By outsourcing data storage to cloud providers, businesses save on capital and maintenance costs, money that in turn can be used to expand the business. Setting up an in-house data center requires tens of thousands of dollars in investment, and that's not to mention the maintenance costs it carries.

Plus, considering the security, reduced lag, up-time and controlled environments that providers such as Amazon's AWS have, creating an in-house data center seems about as contemporary as a buggy whip, a corset, or a Model T.

The cloud is where you want to be.

 

 

 

the cloud

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-12-19 16:02:582023-01-02 16:48:34Go Straight To The Top With The Cloud
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 16, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
December 16, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(AMERICAN SUPER APP)
(APPL), (WECHAT), (META), (GRAB), (RAPPI)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-12-16 14:04:422022-12-16 16:41:00December 16, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

American Super App

Tech Letter

America will never achieve a “super app,” and what does that mean for Silicon Valley?

These “killer apps” thrive in other places but not in America.

WeChat is the super app in China, while there is Careem in the Middle East, Rappi in Latin America, and Grab in Southeast Asia.

Any attempt to move in on that territory has been stymied by Washington.

A Super app is roughly a place where ecommerce, daily and monthly payments, financial management, social chats, social media, and daily services like ride-hailing co-exist in harmony on one app.

American tech companies are getting blocked from incorporating new payments into their apps while legacy payment systems remain.

Facebook’s attempts to build out standalone payment capabilities through the Libra/Diem blockchain project failed, but other apps in its family such as Instagram and WhatsApp are bolting on payment and e-commerce functionality.

As Zuckerberg and his team seem to have noticed, payments are critical to any would-be super app.

Half of US smartphone users are expected to adopt mobile payments as late as 2025, according to eMarketer research.

By contrast, 64% of China's population had made a payment on their phone by the end of 2021, according to a report from China UnionPay, the state-owned financial services firm.

Companies will struggle to generate the volume needed to make a super app work the way WeChat does, which has accumulated more than 1 billion users thanks to its mix of services and payments that ensure people don't have to look elsewhere.

In emerging market countries, payments skipped cards altogether because the infrastructure was weak.

Instead of bank cards, citizens went from cash to paying by phones using their local super app.

This could never happen in America because card payment options are diverse and trustworthy.

America has a reliable network of fragmented services and regulators have become so emboldened that they would never allow a financial payment system on a super app to ever develop.  

There's another clear reason why the most successful super app has emerged in China.

Beijing has shut out foreign competitors from offering Chinese consumers any alternative.

Under Lina Khan, the FTC is becoming more sharply focused on competition and user privacy. Creating super apps would almost certainly require aggressive consolidation through acquisitions — a surefire way of attracting scrutiny.

As it stands, American regulators are now hawkish against American tech.

There's also the issue of Apple.

With the iOS system, Apple doesn’t allow the type of access needed to be able to build a super app on an iPhone.

Even if Apple wants to build a super app, there are still plentiful Android users in America that wouldn’t be captured either.

Apple would also need to backtrack on its pledge to safeguard personal data which is very unlikely to happen.

The best bet is probably Elon Musk’s Tesla, Twitter, and Space X combo.

He has two strong elements needed for a super app, but he doesn’t have a payment system and there is almost no chance in this regulatory climate of getting that approved.

The best way forward is tech firms with strong balance sheet picking up the best of breed in tech sub-sectors and eventually, they will all merge together.

However, that’s proved difficult as well with Microsoft’s blocked acquisition of video game firm Activision.

In a high interest rate world, profitable tech firms with strong balance sheets will be rewarded the most if they buy smaller tech companies which will be additive to their profit model.

The cash burners have a tough time competing in a high rate world and zero chance of achieving that super app status.

 

super app

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-12-16 14:02:392023-01-02 16:33:59American Super App
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - December 16, 2022

Tech Letter

“You can't just ask customers what they want and then try to give that to them. By the time you get it built, they'll want something new.” – Said Apple Co-Founder Steve Jobs

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/steve-jobs-e1631634374388.png 328 350 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-12-16 14:00:372022-12-16 16:40:40Quote of the Day - December 16, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 14, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
December 14, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(TESLA IN TROUBLE)
(TSLA)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-12-14 16:04:312022-12-14 19:02:18December 14, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Tesla In Trouble

Tech Letter

Tesla (TSLA) stock is now toxic.

Many are surprised.

TSLA stock was once the darling of tech that could do no wrong.

The stock fetched a high premium punching above its weight.

That was then and this is now.

Then CEO of Tesla Elon Musk bought Twitter and everything changed.

He took a financial hit from the acquisition and investors are still not sure this purchase will weigh down his other companies.

Even more concerning is Musk’s entrance into American cultural wars and political punditry where he has tweeted fiercely about controversial topics lately.

This area is a black hole for tech entrepreneurs.

Losing half of a customer base is not a good business strategy and Musk is finding this out the hard way.

He has tweeted that the reason for his behavior is to “save mankind” or “nothing else matters.”

Try telling that to owners of Tesla shares.

They have been losing money hand over fist lately as Tesla shares have cratered while other tech stocks experience a mild renaissance.

Tesla has deflated by half a billion dollars in market cap lately.

Tech shares lurched upwards yesterday fueling a strong rally after weak inflation data.  

However, there was one stock that was noticeably lagging big time.

Tesla was down 4% as investors used it as a good reason to dump the stock. Tesla shares are down again today – it’s almost like Groundhog Day.

There has also been a massive uptick in Democrats dumping Tesla shares and posting their actions on Instagram while claiming to have sold their Tesla car.

Musk alienating Tesla owners’ way of thinking and way of life spells lower future revenue.

Musk is simply shutting off the path for more Joe Biden-loving investors, and that’s bad news for the stock short-term since most owners of Tesla shares are Democrats.

There are also other issues percolating under the hood.

Slumping demand in China is forcing the electric-vehicle maker to slow production and delay hiring at its Shanghai factory.

Activist Tesla investor, Ross Gerber, is calling for the board to add a director who would represent retail shareholders.

This is after news reports of Musk sleeping at San Francisco’s Twitter headquarters.

Investors also feel that part of the reason Tesla shares have sold off is because the CEO isn’t paying attention to Tesla while he works on Twitter.

Musk reiterated that he “continues to oversee both Tesla & SpaceX, but the teams there are so good that often little is needed from me.”

“Tesla Team has done incredibly well, despite extremely difficult times,” he said earlier in the day, citing the European energy crisis, real estate downturn in China, and US interest rates as macroeconomic challenges.

The volatile recent stretch muddies the close of a year in which Tesla is still expected to achieve record sales and retain its crown as the world’s largest EV maker.

It hasn’t been immune, however, from the slowdown in China’s car market and recessionary conditions in Europe.

Tesla expects to come up just short of the 50% growth in vehicle deliveries that the company has repeatedly said it’s expecting over several years.

Tesla’s plant in Austin, Texas is scaling slower than expected, with a new form of lithium-ion battery cells not yet ready for volume production.

In China, Tesla plans to cut production on the Model Y and Model 3 production lines in Shanghai by about 20%.

There are some silver linings.

The company recently started delivering its long-awaited Semi truck several years late and plans to finally start producing its first pickup, the Cybertruck.

Tech investors need to be careful about TSLA for the time being and understand that it doesn’t command a hefty premium like it once did.

I believe that there are plenty of other tech companies to focus on when tech stocks start to buck the negativity of 2022.

Profitable software stocks with a strong balance sheet should be at the top of your list.

 

 

tesla

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-12-14 16:02:282022-12-29 15:15:52Tesla In Trouble
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - December 14, 2022

Tech Letter

“We’re here to put a dent in the universe. Otherwise why else even be here?” – Said Co-Founder of Apple Steve Jobs

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/steve-jobs.png 510 430 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-12-14 16:00:252022-12-14 19:01:11Quote of the Day - December 14, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 12, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
December 12, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(A DIFFERENT PLAYBOOK)
(META), (AAPL), (CSCO), (INTC)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-12-12 16:04:092022-12-12 17:15:36December 12, 2022
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