It’s not that they shouldn’t be a company - I’ve seen worse ideas cut up on the drawing board - but I don’t see how they will ever become successful.
They probably should have invested in Bitcoin before it blew up to $65,000 because that was the last savior before tech companies realized they couldn’t just roll over debt anymore.
SFX’s lack of competitive advantage is worrisome, and they haven’t done enough to differentiate themselves amongst competition.
For a company fighting for relevancy, they have made some boneheaded mistakes.
They recent hired a new CEO Elizabeth Spaulding with no apparel experience - she was only a consultant with Bain and has never run a company in her life.
For one, customers don’t receive a great sales price on the clothes. Unless keeping the entire box (5 items), they won't get a discount. They also won't find any coupons online for Stitch Fix.
For many tech companies that preach the freemium model, Stich Fix is asking customers to pay a premium for clothing upfront without proof of a brand premium, and I believe that is turning off a lot of potential customers.
A tech company with decelerating revenue for 6 straight quarters is a red flag.
If you are a bargain bin fanatic, the sight of SFIX’s service will turn you off.
Stitch Fix claims the average price of items is around $70, but that the items can cost anywhere between $20 and $400.
You can set price ranges for each category, but that doesn't mean your stylist will always follow those instructions.
Pigeonholing oneself as a luxury service but hoping to scale broadly and fast like a tech company is counterproductive.
Many Americans simply won’t pay up to $500 for a 5-piece set of clothing no matter who is styling it.
This sounds like a service for a computer programmer in San Francisco with a $200,000 annual salary--which isn’t a bad thing, but it will fail to scale.
Just as important, there is quite robust competition that undercuts SFIX such as Amazon (AMZN) Prime Wardrobe.
Amazon Prime Wardrobe is an exclusive program just for Prime members. This service gives users the chance to have chosen clothing items shipped to their home for them to try on before buying. The difference here is that the user selects the item which, for me at least, makes sense instead of SFIX blindly shipping clothes that aren’t ok’d. I just don’t think a “stylist” can get it right more than half the time. You only pay for what you keep and you have 7 days to make up your mind.
The biggest head scratcher is the $20 SFIX styling fee if you don't keep anything.
Seriously, what is that about?
If you hate their expert stylish decisions, you get blamed for it and pay $20 for nothing! Shouldn’t it be SFIX paying the user $20 for failed style sense?
And this is without even mentioning the pain of resending the clothes!
The inferior business model explains why the stock has gone from $120 fifteen months ago to under $3 per share today.
Don’t bet on a reversion to the mean trade as well, there are so many better stocks out there.
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/stitch.png9701390Mad Hedge Fund Traderhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngMad Hedge Fund Trader2022-12-28 15:02:062022-12-29 09:40:37Stitched Up By Its Own Poor Decisions
“Our goal was never to create a better taxi.” – Said CEO of Lyft Logan Green
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/logan-green.png486302Mad Hedge Fund Traderhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngMad Hedge Fund Trader2022-12-28 15:00:082022-12-29 09:43:01Quote of the Day - July 27, 2022
No code or low code will bring a raft of new innovative tech companies to market, and we are in the early innings of this transformative development.
What is no code?
No-code is an approach to designing and using applications that requires zero coding or knowledge of programming languages.
This type of software hits us at a perfect time when the home office is beginning to become ubiquitous.
The self-service movement that empowers business users will support the creation, manipulation, and employment of data-driven applications.
If we turn back the pages of history, companies needed an army of software programmers to develop even the measliest application.
That was then and this is now.
Fast forward to today and automated technology doesn’t only include cutting-edge industries like automotive cars, but also software on laptops that can be rejigged by individual entrepreneurs.
That’s right, one person with no coding experience will be able to design, develop, and offer a real-life application with meaningful business value without the help of expert programmers.
The research data backs up my thesis with research firms projecting a 23% increase in the global market for this type of technology.
During the pandemic, low-code/no-code tools saw steady growth due to their effectiveness in addressing some of tech’s most complicated challenges.
The essential need to digitize workflows and enhance customer and employee experiences will be a boost to the efficiency of commercial and operational teams.
No-code platforms have evolved from just facilitating mundane tasks to making it possible for a broader range of business employees to truly own their automation and build new software applications with no coding while increasing organizational capacity.
A few risks that larger companies might consider is that even for remote developers building new applications, governance is paramount.
IT staff will need to install guardrails in place and have those built into low-code/no-code platforms to maintain consistent levels of security across the organization.
Cybersecurity solutions need to be integrated into this workflow by training every employee at the organization on security behavior and using compartmentalization and limited access to prevent opportunities for mistakes.
Hard landings are hard to recover from and some can be crippling to the business model.
For no-code companies, harmonizing workflows is a key requirement for success.
In a low-code/no-code organization, departments should be able to work without silos and communicate freely across functions.
Elevated performance enabled by low-code/no-code tools will mean that the number of useful apps hurling towards the marketplace will be more and merrier than ever before.
Higher performance will no doubt usher in a new renaissance of efficiency and even better performance.
This also puts a 3 or even 4-day workweek squarely in play.
Many of the best tech minds in the world have supported the concept of working smarter instead of working harder.
A low code/no-code standard will allow for these achievements to take place.
The cratering of costs to start and run a tech firm is affected too.
Deploying startup capital to pay for other expenses will make it easier for successful incubation.
This will ultimately mean that this new type of tech company will need to embrace the fusion of IT and business staff, empowering them with composable applications to speed up the time to market for new solutions.
Low-code/no-code, APIs, and other tools are enabling companies to integrate new applications into their existing tech stack in a more seamless manner with a lift-and-shift approach vs a rip-and-replace.
At the entrepreneur level, individuals will be able to harness the technology to build $100 million companies with a snap of the fingers when it wasn’t possible to do it before.
This is finally a chance for the little guy to recapture their moxie in the vast and sometimes overwhelming business world.
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/no-coders.png504922Mad Hedge Fund Traderhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngMad Hedge Fund Trader2022-12-23 15:02:252022-12-23 15:37:14The Future is Here
“If you're not stubborn, you'll give up on experiments too soon.” – Said Founder of Amazon Jeff Bezos
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/jeff-bezos-e1662579950878.png325350Mad Hedge Fund Traderhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngMad Hedge Fund Trader2022-12-23 15:00:092022-12-23 15:36:55December 23, 2022 - Quote of the Day
Automation is taking place at warp speed displacing employees from all walks of life.
Next could be you!
According to a recent report, the U.S. financial industry will depose of 200,000 workers in the next decade because of automating efficiencies.
Yes, humans are going the way of the dodo bird and banking will effectively become algorithms working for a handful of executives and engineers.
The x-factor in this equation is the $250 billion annually that banks spend on technological development in-house which is second highest after the traditional tech giants.
Welcome to the world of lower cost, shedding wage bills, and boosting performance rates.
We forget to realize that employee compensation eats up around 50% of bank expenses.
The 200,000 job trimmings would result in 10% of the U.S. banking sector getting axed.
The hyped-up “golden age of banking” should deliver extraordinary savings and premium services to the customer at no extra cost.
This iteration of mobile and online banking has delivered functionality that no generation of customers has ever seen.
Gutting bank jobs will naturally occur in the call centers first, because they are the low-hanging fruit for the automated chatbots.
A few years ago, chatbots were suboptimal, even spewing out arbitrary profanity, but they have slowly crawled up in performance metrics to the point where some customers are unaware they are communicating with an artificially engineered algorithm.
The wholesale integration of automating the back-office staff isn’t contained to the rudimentary part of the staff.
The front office will experience a 30% drop in numbers sullying the predated ideology that front office staff are irreplaceable heavy hitters.
The front-office staff has already felt the brunt of downsizing with purges carried out from 2022 representing a twelfth year of continuous decline.
Front-office traders and brokers are being rapidly replaced by software engineers as banks follow the wider trend of every company transitioning into a tech company.
The infusion of artificial intelligence will lower mortgage processing costs by 30% and the accumulation of hordes of data will advance the marketing effort into a potent, multi-pronged, hybrid cloud-based, and hyper-targeted strategy.
The last two human bank hiring waves are a distant memory.
The most recent spike came in the 7 years after the dot com crash of 2001 until the sub-prime crisis of 2008 adding around half a million jobs on top of the 1.5 million that existed then.
After the subsidies wear off from the pandemic, I do believe that the banking sector will quietly put in the call to trim even more.
The longest and most dramatic rise in human bankers was from 1935 to 1985, a 50-year boom that delivered over 1.2 million bankers to the U.S. workforce.
This type of human hiring will likely never be seen again in the U.S. financial industry.
And if you thought that this phenomenon was limited to the U.S., think again, Europe is by far the biggest culprit by already laying off 100,000 employees in 2022.
Even Europe’s banking jewel Credit Suisse is on the brink of collapsing and in need of a bailout.
Don’t tell your kid to get into banking, because they will most likely be feeding on scraps at that point.
An interesting tech stock that integrates financial payments is Square (SQ) which has given back its entire pandemic performance.
As US interest rates are expected to peak and go down in 2023, I recommend dollar cost average into this stock at bargain basement prices.
THE LAST STAGE OF HUMAN-FACING BANK SERVICES IS NOW!
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Dealing with the Cloud works, and for every relevant tech company, this division serves as the pipeline to the CEO position.
If this isn’t the case for a tech company, then there’s something egregiously wrong with them!
Take Andy Jassy - he is the mastermind behind Amazon’s (AMZN) lucrative cloud computing division and was the man who succeeded company founder Jeff Bezos.
He was rewarded this important position based on his performance in the cloud and faces a daunting proposition of following Bezos as CEO.
Bezos incorporated Amazon almost 30 years ago.
Jassy developed a highly profitable and market-leading business, Amazon Web Services, that runs data centers serving a wide range of corporate computing needs.
Cloud 101
If you've been living under a rock the past few years, the cloud phenomenon hasn't passed you by and you still have time to cash in.
You want to hitch your wagon to cloud-based investments in any way, shape, or form.
Amazon leads the cloud industry it created.
It still maintains more than 30% of the cloud market. Microsoft would need to gain a lot of ground to even come close to this jewel of a business.
Amazon relies on AWS to underpin the rest of its businesses and that is why AWS contributes most of Amazon's total operating income.
Total revenue for just the AWS division would operate as a healthy stand-alone tech company if need be.
The future is about the cloud.
These days, the average investor probably hears about the cloud a dozen times a day.
If you work in Silicon Valley, you can quadruple that figure.
So, before we get deep into the weeds with this letter on cloud services, cloud fundamentals, cloud plays, and cloud Trade Alerts, let's get into the basics of what the cloud actually is.
Think of this as a cloud primer.
It's important to understand the cloud, both its strengths and limitations.
Giant companies that have it figured out, such as Salesforce (CRM) and Zscaler (ZS), are some of the fastest-growing companies in the world.
Understand the cloud and you will readily identify its bottlenecks and bulges that can lead to extreme investment opportunities. And that is where I come in.
Cloud storage refers to the online space where you can store data. It resides across multiple remote servers housed inside massive data centers all over the country, some as large as football fields, often in rural areas where land, labor, and electricity are cheap.
They are built using virtualization technology, which means that storage space spans across many different servers and multiple locations. If this sounds crazy, remember that the original Department of Defense packet-switching design was intended to make the system atomic bomb-proof.
As a user, you can access any single server at any one time anywhere in the world. These servers are owned, maintained, and operated by giant third-party companies such as Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet (GOOGL), which may or may not charge a fee for using them.
The most important features of cloud storage are:
1) It is a service provided by an external provider.
2) All data is stored outside your computer residing inside an in-house network.
3) A simple Internet connection will allow you to access your data at anytime from anywhere.
4) Because of all these features, sharing data with others is vastly easier, and you can even work with multiple people online at the same time, making it the perfect, collaborative vehicle for our globalized world.
Once you start using the cloud to store a company's data, the benefits are many.
No Maintenance
Many companies, regardless of their size, prefer to store data inside in-house servers and data centers.
However, these require constant 24-hour-a-day maintenance, so the company has to employ a large in-house IT staff to manage them - a costly proposition.
Thanks to cloud storage, businesses can save costs on maintenance since their servers are now the headache of third-party providers.
Instead, they can focus resources on the core aspects of their business where they can add the most value, without worrying about managing IT staff of prima donnas.
Greater Flexibility
Today's employees want to have a better work/life balance and this goal can be best achieved by letting them working remotely which effectively happened because of the public health situation. Increasingly, workers are bending their jobs to fit their lifestyles, and that is certainly the case here at Mad Hedge Fund Trader.
How else can I send off a Trade Alert while hanging from the face of a Swiss Alp?
Cloud storage services, such as Google Drive, offer exactly this kind of flexibility for employees.
With data stored online, it's easy for employees to log into a cloud portal, work on the data they need to, and then log off when they're done. This way a single project can be worked on by a global team, the work handed off from time zone to time zone until it's done.
It also makes them work more efficiently, saving money for penny-pinching entrepreneurs.
Better Collaboration and Communication
In today's business environment, it's common practice for employees to collaborate and communicate with co-workers located around the world.
For example, they may have to work on the same client proposal together or provide feedback on training documents. Cloud-based tools from DocuSign, Dropbox, and Google Drive make collaboration and document management a piece of cake.
These products, which all offer free entry-level versions, allow users to access the latest versions of any document so they can stay on top of real-time changes which can help businesses to better manage workflow, regardless of geographical location.
Data Protection
Another important reason to move to the cloud is for better protection of your data, especially in the event of a natural disaster. Hurricane Sandy wreaked havoc on local data centers in New York City, forcing many websites to shut down their operations for days.
And we haven’t talked about the ransomware attacks by Eastern Europeans on energy company Colonial Pipeline and meat producer JBS Foods.
The cloud simply routes traffic around problem areas as if, yes, they have just been destroyed by a nuclear attack.
It's best to move data to the cloud, to avoid such disruptions because there your data will be stored in multiple locations.
This redundancy makes it so that even if one area is affected, your operations don't have to capitulate, and data remains accessible no matter what happens. It's a system called deduplication.
Lower Overhead
The cloud can save businesses a lot of money.
By outsourcing data storage to cloud providers, businesses save on capital and maintenance costs, money that in turn can be used to expand the business. Setting up an in-house data center requires tens of thousands of dollars in investment, and that's not to mention the maintenance costs it carries.
Plus, considering the security, reduced lag, up-time and controlled environments that providers such as Amazon's AWS have, creating an in-house data center seems about as contemporary as a buggy whip, a corset, or a Model T.
The cloud is where you want to be.
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png00Mad Hedge Fund Traderhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngMad Hedge Fund Trader2022-12-19 16:02:582023-01-02 16:48:34Go Straight To The Top With The Cloud
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
December 16, 2022 Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(AMERICAN SUPER APP) (APPL), (WECHAT), (META), (GRAB), (RAPPI)
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