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The New Normal For Search Engines

Tech Letter

Google (GOOGL) search has altered the way it does business by implementing AI in its headline search engine.

When an internet user searches through Google’s engine, Google’s “AI Overview” offers a short summary as the first result at the top of the page.

This is the new normal so get used to it.

The data they use for the AI Overview is scraped from third-party websites and that has meant many websites have suffered a massive hemorrhage of page views since 2024.

In some cases, independent websites have reported a reduction of up to 90% of website traffic on their own pages and many of these have gone out of business.

The traffic pullback has been felt across the web and has spanned topics — fashion and lifestyle, travel, DIY and home design, and cooking.

Some creators say Google has recently made so many changes to search, coinciding with its testing of AI-powered features and an effort to rid its results of AI-generated spam, that it has choked traffic to independent websites in favor of forums like Reddit and Quora, as well as larger media brands.

Other times, once-popular sites whose domains were sold and repurposed by clickbait farms have been highlighted by Google.

According to the data firm BrightEdge, the sites receiving the most referral traffic from AI Overviews are primarily big players, like TripAdvisor (TRIP), Wikipedia, Mayo Clinic, and Google’s own YouTube, rather than smaller publishers.

The power dynamic between Google and individual creators is so lopsided that many publishers have no leverage to even negotiate anything substantial.

At a stock level, this is great news for Google as they will be able to command a more reliable ad revenue model because internet users won’t need to migrate out of the Google ecosystem.

Many of the big tech platforms are designed as “wall gardens” – a one-stop shop for everything digital.

Smaller content creators relied on Google to help catalyze web traffic and those days are long gone.

Content creators should expect a 90% drop in traffic via Google.

This development is healthy for Google’s chances to stay in the AI competition.

No doubt, they are competing with X.com’s Grok AI and ChatGPT’s AI. That is no small feat.

Unfortunately, the smaller content creators will get elbowed out of the way.

Even Google Maps has integrated with Travelocity reviews lately.

Travelocity integrates with Google Maps to help users find hotels, motels, and inns on an easy-to-use map view, allowing them to plan their trips and share their itineraries.

I believe there will be a continuous reliance on priority bigger platforms for data partnerships precisely because they have the money to pay for it.

“AI Overview” will keep Google Search relevant for longer while increasing Google ad revenue, but it has an uphill battle to climb because I believe the quality of its AI still lags behind the leaders.

IT would make sense to start the dollar cost average into Google shares at $135 per share and $120.

 

 

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