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Running the San Francisco Bay to Breakers

I suffer earthquakes, forest fires, floods, dubious neighbors, high taxes, corrupt politicians, and a bankrupt state government to live in California. It is all worth it just to run the Bay to Breakers every year, a five mile run from the San Francisco Bay to the Pacific Ocean, which has evolved into the world’s most […]

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March 14, 2014

Global Market Comments March 14, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (ORLANDO FLORIDA SATURDAY, MAY 17 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON), (CASHING IN ON THE SAUDI ARABIA OF MILK), (ENZL), (TAKE A RIDE IN THE NEW SHORT JUNK ETF), (SJB), (JNK), (CORN) iShares MSCI New Zealand Capped (ENZL) ProShares Short High Yield (SJB) SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond […]

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Orlando, Florida Saturday May 17 Global Strategy Luncheon

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Orlando, Florida on Saturday, May 17. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, […]

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Cashing in on the “Saudi Arabia of Milk”

On of the scariest parts of driving around New Zealand a few weeks ago were these huge trucks and trailers that came barreling at you on tiny narrow roads. There couldn’t have been more than a few inches of clearance between us. This, I had to deal with while driving a rental stick shift on […]

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Take a Ride in the New Short Junk ETF

When you look at the profusion of new ETF’s being launched today, you find that they almost always correspond with market tops. The higher the market, the greater the demand for the underlying, and the more leverage traders pay for it. The resulting returns for investors are disastrous. But occasionally a blind squirrel finds an […]

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March 13, 2014

­Global Market Comments March 13, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WHY THIS CHART IS UTTERLY MEANINGLESS), (THE REAL ESTATE MARKET IN 2030) (TESTIMONIAL)

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Why This Chart is Utterly Meaningless

Much has been made of the rising level of margin debt held by individuals. Cumulative NYSE margin debt, or the amount of money lent to buy stocks on credit, is rapidly approaching $2.3 trillion, an all time high. Historically, when this figure peaked, and no more money was available for mom and pop to buy […]

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The Real Estate Market in 2030

Long time readers of this letter know too well that I have been hugely negative on the sector since late 2005, when I unloaded all of my holdings (click here for ‘The Hard Truth About Residential Real Estate’). However, I believe that ‘forever’ may be on the extreme side. Personally, I believe there will be […]

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March 12, 2014

Global Market Comments March 12, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 25 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (WHY COPPER IS CRASHING), (CU), (FCX), (BREAKFAST WITH FED GOVERNOR BOB MCTEER), Pulling the Ripcord on GM (BAC), (GS), (GM), (AIG) First Trust ISE Global Copper Index (CU) Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX) Bank of America Corporation […]

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Friday April 25 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 25, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, […]

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Why Copper is Crashing

When Dr. Copper (CU), the only commodity with a PhD in economics, suddenly collapses from a heart attack, risk takers everywhere have to sit up and take notice. Since the 2011 top, the red metal has collapsed a shocking 38%. It has given back 10% just in the last two weeks. Will copper take down […]

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Breakfast with Fed Governor Bob McTeer

No one can explain the most complex economic and monetary issues in a simpler, more homespun fashion than former governor of the Federal Reserve, Bob McTeer. He is known for carrying around two yardsticks, one slightly longer than the other, to demonstrate to your average guy the monthly changes in employment. Bob argues that the […]

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Pulling the Ripcord on GM

Ouch. To get snake bit twice in two days hurts. But three times? I thought that when the General Motors (GM) ignition recall was announced last week, it was a nice entry point on the long side. I was right for at least a whole day. This morning news hit that there would be a […]

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March 11, 2014

Global Market Comments March 11, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER KILLS IT WITH A 2014 12.6% RETURN), (TLT), (SPY), (BAC), (GM), (EBAY), (DAL), (GS), (XLV), (XLF), (GE), (MARCH 12 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (EUROPEAN STYLE HOMELAND SECURITY) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Bank of America Corporation (BAC) […]

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader Kills it with a 12.6% 2014 Return

The industry beating performance of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Trade Alert Service has maintained its gob smacking pace from last year, picking up another 12.6% profit in the first ten trading weeks of 2014. The Dow Average was up a feeble 1.4% during the same period, pegging my outperformance of the index at a […]

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