May 26, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Man Egg on Face

“The idea that somehow you are going to exit the most accommodative Fed policy in history, without breaking a few eggs is delusional,” said Josh Dan Greenhouse of BTIG Capital. … [Read more...]

May 22, 2015


July 24 Zermatt, Switzerland Global Strategy Seminar

John Thomas - Switzerland

Come join me for afternoon tea for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Seminar, which I will be conducting high in the Alps in Zermatt, Switzerland at 2:00 PM on Friday, July 31, 2015. The guests and I will engage in an open discussion on the crucial issues facing investors today. Coffee, tea, and schnapps will be made available, along with light snacks. I’ll be … [Read more...]

A Tribute to a True Veteran

Medal of Honor

This coming Monday will be Memorial Day in the United States.I'll be putting on my faded Marine Corp fatigues and railroad track bars and leading the home town's Veteran's Day parade. So I thought it would be a good day to tell you the story of my Uncle Mitch.Since job prospects for high school graduates in rural Pennsylvania in 1936 were poor, Mitch walked 200 miles to the … [Read more...]

May 22, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Ocean - Lighthouse

“Getting information off the internet is akin to trying to sweep back the ocean with a broom,” said Ray Kurzweil, director of engineering at Google. … [Read more...]

May 21, 2015

Global Market Comments May 21, 2015 Fiat Lux SPECIAL SALT ISSUE Featured Trade: (REPORT ON THE 7th ANNUAL SKYBRIDGE ALTERNATIVES (SALT) CONFERENCE)   … [Read more...]

Report on the 7th Annual SkyBridge Alternatives (SALT) Conference

Bellagio Hotel

Once again, I am writing to you from the poolside cabana B-2 at the posh Bellagio Hotel in Las Vegas. It is a baking hot 100 degrees in the shade and the air is bone-dry, so I’m draining my third strawberry daiquiri for the day. The days when I risked getting dragged out to the parking lot by some heavies to get my hands broken with a hammer for card counting at blackjack … [Read more...]

May 21, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Warren Buffett

“Most of the time, stocks are in a zone of reasonableness. I think stocks are reasonable now,” said Oracle of Omaha, Berkshire Hathaway’s Warren Buffett. … [Read more...]

May 20, 2015

Global Market Comments May 20, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 22 MILAN, ITALY GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (AN EVENING WITH TEXAS GOVERNOR RICK PERRY), (LNG), (UNG), (TSLA) Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) United States Natural Gas (UNG) Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) … [Read more...]

July 22 Milan, Italy Global Strategy Luncheon

The Duomo, Milan

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy luncheon, which I will be conducting in Milan, Italy on Wednesday, July 22, 2015. A three-course lunch will be followed by an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals and real estate. And to keep you in suspense, … [Read more...]

An Evening with Texas Governor Rick Perry

Rick Perry

As a precondition to joining a dinner with Texas governor, Rick Perry, I had to promise many things. I was not allowed to bring up the fact that he shoots coyotes while jogging. I couldn’t mention statistics proving that 70% of the jobs created in his state during his 12-year tenure as governor were government ones, not private. I was not even permitted to ask what would … [Read more...]

May 19, 2015

Global Market CommentsMay 19, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(JULY 13 MARRAKESH, MOROCCO GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON)(HOW TO AVOID PONZI SCHEMES),(TESTIMONIAL)(PLAY CHINA’S YUAN FROM THE LONG SIDE),(CYB), ($SSEC), (FXI) WisdomTree Chinese Yuan Strategy ETF (CYB) Shanghai Stock Exchange Compostite Index ($SSEC)iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) … [Read more...]

How to Avoid Ponzi Schemes

bernie madoff

I spent a sad and depressing, but highly instructional evening with Dr. Stephen Greenspan, who lost most of his personal fortune with Bernie Madoff. The University of Connecticut psychology professor had poured the bulk of his savings into Sandra Mansky’s Tremont feeder fund; receiving convincing trade confirms and rock solid custody statements from the Bank of New York. This … [Read more...]


Jim Parker

Hello Jim, I have now joined you in the quest to learn and make money. I reviewed your last 6 quarterly outlooks and I can categorically say that your work is brilliant. I really appreciate having your strong views about the lows and highs on the market.  Your views seem to be far more sophisticated than just relying on a moving average for example.  You also know where … [Read more...]

Play China’s Yuan from the Long Side

Girl - Chinese

One of the oldest games in the foreign exchange market is to always buy the currencies of strong countries that are growing and to sell short the currencies of the weak countries that are shrinking. Any doubts that China’s Yuan is a huge screaming buy should have been dispelled when news came out that exports have once again started to surge, thanks to the recovery of its … [Read more...]

May 18, 2015

Global Market CommentsMay 18, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(JULY 2 LISBON, PORTUGAL GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON)(WHY ARE THE MARKETS GOING CRAZY?),(TLT), (FXE), (EUO),(ANNOUNCING THE MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER VIDEO CHANNEL ON YOUTUBE) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT)CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO) … [Read more...]

Why Are the Markets Going Crazy?

Whining Plaque

You would think that with US interest rates spiking up, as they have done for the past month, the US dollar would be strong. After all, interest rate differentials are the principal driver of foreign exchange rates. But you would be wrong. The greenback has in fact pared 12% off its value against the Euro (FXE) during this period. You also could be forgiven for thinking that … [Read more...]

Announcing the Mad Hedge Fund Trader Video Channel on YouTube

John Thomas

One request I get more than any other, is to expand on my half century of international travel, provide a business, economic, and historical backdrop, and place it in today’s global context. Shake up such a cocktail of experience and knowledge, and more than a few trading and investment ideas spill over the top. If it’s funny, that helps too. It seems that I am one of a tiny … [Read more...]

May 18, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Girl Hiding

“When companies don’t want you to look at traditional metric, it is usually a good time to look at traditional metrics,” said hedge fund genius David Einhorn, of Greenlight Capital. … [Read more...]

May 19, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Jim Carrey

“The barriers to Wall Street are quite low, once you have the Ivy League credentials. If you’re a certain kind of kid who doesn’t actually know anything about anything, Wall Street is still a great place to go,” said Michael Lewis, author of “The Big Short.” … [Read more...]

May 15, 2015


A Note on the Friday Options Expiration

Pat on the back

We have a couple of options positions that expire on Friday, and I just want to explain to the newbies how to best maximize their profits. These include: The S&P 500 SPDRs ETF (SPY) May $213-$216 vertical bear put spread The Goldman Sachs (GS) May $185-$190 vertical bull call spread My bet that (GS) would rise, and that the (SPY) would grind sideways proved dead on … [Read more...]

An Evening with Bill Gates, Sr.

Bill Gates Jr-Sr

I had a chat with Bill Gates, Sr. recently, co-chairman of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, the world’s largest private philanthropic organization. There, a staff of 800 helps him manage $30 billion. The foundation will give away $3.1 billion this year, a 10% increase over last year. Some $1.5 billion will go to emerging nation health care and another $750 million to … [Read more...]


John Thomas

Nice work!  You do great analysis and execution. I got a 100% overnight profit on the (UVXY) calls! Zev Potomac, Maryland You’ve Got to Be Dialed in the Get These Trades … [Read more...]

May 15, 2015 – Quote of the Day


“If you’re early on in your career, and they give you a choice between a great mentor or higher pay, take the mentor every time. It’s not even close. And don’t even think about leaving that mentor until your learning curve peaks,” said legendary hedge fund trader Paul Tudor Jones. … [Read more...]

May 14, 2015

Global Market CommentsMay 14, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(JUNE 22 WASHINGTON DC GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON)(WHAT TO DO ABOUT APPLE),(AAPL), (CHL)(DON’T BE SHORT CHINA HERE),($SSEC), (FXI), (CYB), (CHL), (BIDU) Apple Inc. (AAPL)China Mobile Limited (CHL)Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (EOD)iShares China Large-Cap (FXI)WisdomTree Chinese Yuan Strategy ETF (CYB)Baidu, … [Read more...]

What To Do About Apple 2

Apple Logo

It is the world’s largest company. It is the planet’s most widely owned stock. Of the 200 million Americans who possess financial assets, probably all of them own Apple (AAPL), either directly through a trading account, or indirectly though an ETF (it is a massive 14.3% of the PowerShares QQQ), public or private pension fund. So more than a few people are interested in what … [Read more...]

Don’t Be Short China Here

Chinese Parade

Everyone who has been reading this letter for the past eight years (yes, there are quite a few of you), know that I am a fundamentalist first and a technician second. Of course you need to use both, as those who mistakenly leave one tool in the bag reliably underperform indexes. The one liner here is that I use fundamentals to identify broad, long term, even epochal trends, … [Read more...]

May 13, 2015

Global Market CommentsMay 13, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(JUNE 25 NEW YORK STRATEGY LUNCHEON)(TIME TO TAKE ANOTHER RIDE WITH GENERAL MOTORS), (GM), (F), (TM),(TESTIMONIAL)(QUANTITATIVE EASING EXPLAINED TO A 12 YEAR OLD) General Motors Company (GM)Ford Motor Co. (F) Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) … [Read more...]

Time to Take Another Ride with General Motors


It is safe to say that all of the bad news is finally in the price at General Motors (GM). In the wake of the latest batch of recalls, the total number of cars slated for mandatory repairs now equals virtually all of the company’s production of the last five years. Woe to the outside supplier who provided those faulty, but cheap ignition switches to the beleaguered company! … [Read more...]

Quantitative Easing Explained to a Twelve Year Old

QE Explained youtube

I know you spend all day trolling the internet for the most entertaining video on YouTube every day. What, you don’t? I’m shocked, shocked. That’s OK, so I’ve done it for you. Click on the link below to watch a six-minute animation explaining quantitative easing to a 12 year old, using cute little cuddly figures. Was Ben Bernanke a plumber who was called to fix a pipe only to … [Read more...]

May 8, 2015

Global Market CommentsMay 8, 2015Fiat Lux SPECIAL FIXED INCOME ISSUE Featured Trade:(FRIDAY, MAY 15 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON),(THE LIQUIDITY CRISIS COMING TO A MARKET NEAR YOU),(TLT), (TBT), (MUB), (LQD),(TAKE A RIDE IN THE NEW SHORT JUNK ETF),(SJB), (JNK), (CORN)(TESTIMONIAL) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT)ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT)iShares … [Read more...]

Friday, May 15 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

San Francisco

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, May 15, 2015. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

The Liquidity Crisis Coming to a Market Near You

Mohamed El-Erian

I had the great pleasure of having breakfast the other morning with my long time friend, Mohamed El-Erian, former co-CEO of the bond giant, PIMCO. Mohamed argues that there has been a major loss of liquidity in the financial markets in recent decades that will eventually come home to haunt us all. The result will be a structural increase in market volatility, and wild … [Read more...]

Take a Ride in the New Short Junk ETF


When you look at the profusion of new ETF’s being launched today, you find that they almost always correspond with market tops. The higher the market, the greater the demand for the underlying, and the more leverage traders pay for it. The resulting returns for investors are disastrous. But occasionally a blind squirrel finds an acorn, and if you fire buckshot long enough, … [Read more...]



I would like to express how much I enjoy reading your newsletter and the global views that I gain from it.  It has been the best, by far, and the most financially worthwhile letter I have ever bought.  I find most newsletters spin and promote their returns during the good times, and never factor in or disclose their bad times. I have had some bad trades with you, but the … [Read more...]

May 7, 2015

Global Market CommentsMay 7, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(JUNE 22 WASHINGTON DC GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON)(WHY I’M GETTING CAUTIOUS ON THE MARKET),(SPY), (QQQ), (IWM), (UVXY), (FXE), (USO), (TLT),(POPULATION BOMB ECHOES),(POT), (MOS), (AGU), (WEAT), (CORN), (SOYB), (RJA) SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)PowerShares QQQ Trust, Ser 1 (QQQ)iShares Russell 2000 (IWM)ProShares Ultra VIX … [Read more...]

Why I’m getting Cautious on the Market

John Thomas - beer

Let’s face it. We’ve had a great run since the stock market bottomed in a furious selling climax on October 15. Since then, the large cap S&P 500 (SPY) had tacked on some 18%, while the high tech NASDAQ (QQQ) has gained an impressive 23.6%, and the small cap Russell 2000 (IWM) flew 24.4%. My Own Trade Alert service performance improved by a positively steroidal 27.7%, as … [Read more...]

Population Bomb Echoes

Crowd - Overcrowding

Pack your portfolios with agricultural plays like Potash (POT), Mosaic (MOS) and Agrium (AGU) if Dr. Paul Ehrlich is just partially right about the impending collapse of the world’s food supply. You might even throw in long positions in wheat (WEAT), corn (CORN), soybeans (SOYB) and rice. The never dull and often controversial Stanford biology professor told me he expects … [Read more...]

May 7, 2015 – Quote of the Day


“Wall Street’s denizens are always ready to suspend disbelief when dubious maneuvers are used to manufacture rising per-share earnings, particularly if these acrobatics produce mergers that generate huge fees for investment bankers,” said Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett. … [Read more...]

May 6, 2015

Global Market CommentsMay 6, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(JUNE 29 LONDON STRATEGY LUNCHEON)(MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER HITS 23.7% PROFIT IN 2015),(FXE), (EUO), (FCX), (AAPL), (GS), (PANW), (DXJ), (LEN), (GOOG),(THE COOLEST TOMBSTONE CONTEST) CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO)Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX)Apple Inc. (AAPL)The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. … [Read more...]

Mad Hedge Fund Trader Hits 23.7% Profit in 2015

John Thomas

I am sitting here in my luxury suite atop the Bellagio Hotel in Las Vegas. The vast expanse of the southern Nevada desert sprawls out before me, stretching all the way out to the red rock mountains. Fluffy clouds dot the horizon, and the weather is perfect. Reports say it will only be 95 degrees today. Nearby, the flashing LED’s of the Nevada strip continue their never … [Read more...]

The Coolest Tombstone Contest


To prove that The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader only deals with the highest quality, top drawer clientele, I want to share the picture below sent in by a subscriber. … [Read more...]

May 5, 2015

Global Market CommentsMay 5, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE LAS VEGAS WEDNESDAY MAY 8 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON)(THE SOLAR MISSING LINK IS HERE!),(SCTY), (FSLR), (SPWR), (TSLA), (GE) SolarCity Corporation (SCTY)First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)SunPower Corporation (SPWR)Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA)General Electric Company (GE) … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Attend the Las Vegas Friday, May 8 Global Strategy Luncheon

Las Vegas

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Las Vegas, Nevada on Friday, May 8. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. … [Read more...]

The Solar Missing Link is Here!


I have seen the future, and it works. In my never-ending search for my readers for “ten-baggers,” or investments that will rise in value tenfold over the foreseeable future, I keep circling back to the solar industry. Tesla founder Elon Musk never does anything small. On Friday he announced the first ever, economical home battery electrical storage system, which he will call … [Read more...]

May 5, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Auction Signs

“As successful as solar has become, there was a bloody road of corporate carnage to get there,” said Joel Makower, chairman of the GreenBiz Group. … [Read more...]

May 4, 2015


Catching the Mayweather/Pacquiao Fight


Fights certainly attract a different kind of crowd than, say, the Opera, the Chicago Art Institute or the PTA. This I was reminded of on Saturday while checking in to catch my flight from the Windy City to Las Vegas to catch the Mayweather/Pacquiao fight for the welterweight championship of the world. “Glam” was definitely the order of the day, with the men drenched in bling … [Read more...]

May 4, 2015 – Quote of the Day


“Sitting tight is seldom recommended by Wall Street. Don’t ask the barber whether you need a haircut,” said Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffet. … [Read more...]

May 1, 2015

Global Market CommentsMay 1, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(JUNE 22 WASHINGTON DC GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON)(CASHING IN ON FREEPORT MCMORAN),(FCX), (USO), (CU), (FM.TO), (ANTO.L),(BUY FLOOD INSRANCE WITH THE VIX), (VIX), (VXX), (UVXY),(TESTIMONIAL) Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX)United States Oil ETF (USO)First Trust ISE Global Copper ETF (CU)First Quantum Minerals Ltd. (FM.TO) … [Read more...]

Cashing in on Freeport McMoRan

Beijing Restaurant

I am writing this to you from Terminal 2 at San Francisco Airport, awaiting my Virgin America flight to Chicago. My conclusion so far is that the beef curry rice at the Japanese fast food joint Wakaba isn’t what it used to be. The meat is paper thin and full of fat and gristle. I guess everyone is trying to cut costs these days. I saw a tall blond hustle by in a pilot’s … [Read more...]

Buy Flood Insurance With the VIX

Man-Pogo Stick

I am one of those cheapskates who buys Christmas ornaments by the bucket load from Costco in January for ten cents on the dollar because my eleven month return on capital comes close to 1,000%. I also like buying flood insurance in the middle of the summer when the forecast here in California is for endless days of sunshine. That is what we are facing now with the … [Read more...]


Jim Parker

Dear Jim, Those Apple calls you got me into on Friday at $5.80 opened this morning at $30! You’re the man! You made my Christmas, New Years, Presidents Day, Easter, and maybe even my Fourth of July. Keep ‘em coming. I’ve made over $200,000 since signing up for your Mad Day Trader Service. You’ve finally made me into a real trader. I thank you. I think I go buy myself a new … [Read more...]

April 30, 2015

Global Market CommentsApril 30, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(FRIDAY, MAY 15 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON),(HOW THE MARKETS WILL PLAY OUT THIS QUARTER),(SPY), (FXE), (FXY), (IWM), (QQQ), (USO), (FCX), (TLT), (TBT), (GS), (PANW), (TAN), (AAPL),(TESTIMONIAL),(SIGN UP NOW FOR TEXT MESSAGING OF TRADE ALERTS) SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)CurrencyShares … [Read more...]

How the Markets Will Play Out This Quarter

Fox Hunt

I think I have figured out the course of the global financial markets over the next few months. We are currently transitioning from an economic data flow from Q1 that was very weak, to the second quarter, which will almost certainly deliver us a robust set of numbers. This is on the heels of a white hot Q1, 2014. Hot, cold, hot; this is a trader’s dream come true, as it gives … [Read more...]


John Thomas

A BIG  AAA+++ to John Thomas on the Apple (AAPL) trade. This is what it is all about. Steve, Mission Viejo, California With These Glasses I Can See the Future … [Read more...]

Sign Up Now for Text Messaging of Trade Alerts


Subscribers to Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Fund Trader PRO are able to receive instantaneous text messages of my proprietary Trade Alerts. This eliminates frustrating delays caused by traffic surges on the Internet itself, and by your local server. To activate your free service, please log in to your account at, look under your name on the … [Read more...]

April 29, 2015

Global Market CommentsApril 29, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAS VEGAS WEDNESDAY MAY 8 GLOBAL STRAGEGY LUNCHEON),(HOW OBAMACARE WILL BOOST YOUR PORTFOLIO),(XLV), (GILD), (XLS), (XPH), (XBI), (GOOG) Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV)Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)Exelis Inc. (XLS)SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF (XPH)SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI)Google Inc. (GOOG) … [Read more...]

How Obamacare Will Boost Your Portfolio


Basking in the glow of the spectacular 22% profit by the Trade Alert Service so far in 2015, I sat down on a rock on a high mountain the other day to try and figure out what happened. The last time I saw a move this healthy was back in 2013, when I clocked a 68% gain for the year. During the 1990’s, we saw a perfect trifecta of the Internet going mainstream, cheap graphical … [Read more...]

April 29, 2015 – Quote of the Day


“It is entirely predictable that people will occasionally panic, but not at all predictable when this will happen,” said Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffet. … [Read more...]

April 28, 2015


Last Chance to Attend the Chicago Friday, April 30 Global Strategy Luncheon


Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Thursday, April 30. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And … [Read more...]

Apple Blows Out All Profit Forecasts


Apple blew away even the most optimistic forecasts yesterday, announcing earnings per share of $2.33, versus a consensus expectation of $2.16, and $1.75 last quarter. The firm earned $13.6 billion in profits on $58 billion in gross profits, the largest quarterly profit in world history. The company sold a staggering 61.2 million iPhone during the three-month period, 4 million … [Read more...]


John Thomas

John, you make me laugh. Following you has been awesome. If it weren’t for you, I'd have been a mega bear for the last three years. Cheers Justin Western Australia … [Read more...]

April 28, 2015 – Quote of the Day

apple logo

“Apple really has become “the” stock. People used to say “Whatever is good for GM is good for the country. Apple is now that stock. The market will continue to be a good market as long as Apple is a good stock,” said Roger McNamee of venture capital firm Elevation Partners. … [Read more...]

April 27, 2015

Global Market CommentsApril 27, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(JUNE 29 LONDON STRATEGY LUNCHEON)(JUMPING BACK INTO GOOGLE),(GOOG), (AAPL),(WHO WAS BEN BERNANKE?) Google Inc. (GOOG)Apple Inc. (AAPL) … [Read more...]

June 29, 2015 London Strategy Luncheon

John Thomas

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in London on Monday, June 29, 2015. A three course lunch is included. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep you in suspense, I’ll be throwing a few surprises out there too. Enough … [Read more...]

Jumping Back Into Google


Google’s earnings were terrible. Therefore, the stock is rocketing. The fact that the earnings were not as bad as they could have been seems to be the twisted logic behind this rally. You would think I have a hole in my head buying a stock that just got slapped with a massive antitrust suit in Europe, which could potentially result in a record $6 billion fine, and suffers … [Read more...]

Who is Ben Bernanke?


Since nothing less than the fate of the free world depended on the judgment of Ben Bernanke, I thought I’d touch base with David Wessel, the Wall Street Journal economics editor, who has just published In Fed We Trust: Ben Bernanke’s War on the Great Panic. I doubted David could tell me anything more about the former Princeton professor I didn’t already know. I couldn’t have … [Read more...]

April 27, 2015 – Quote of the Day


“In the world of business, bad news often surfaces serially: You see a cockroach in your kitchen; as the days go by, you meet his relatives,” said oracle of Omaha Warren Buffett. … [Read more...]

April 24, 2015

Global Market Comments April 24, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (WEDNESDAY APRIL 29 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (THE RECESSION IS OVER!), (PLEASE USE MY FREE DATA BASE SEARCH) … [Read more...]

The Recession is Over!


The earnings announced for Q1 so far have been miserable, pummeled by a weak Euro, terrible weather and the West Coast port strike. But rather than collapse, global equity markets have punched through to new highs. It isn’t just the United States that is performing this magic trick. Most European indexes (HEDJ) have blasted through to new eight-year highs. Even more … [Read more...]

Please Use My Free Data Base Search

Woman hitting head

The original purpose of this letter was to build a database of ideas to draw on in the management of my hedge fund. When a certain trade comes into play, I merely type in the symbol, name, currency, or commodity into the search box, and the entire fundamental argument in favor of that position pops up. You can do the same. Just type anything into the search box with the little … [Read more...]

April 24, 2015 – Quote of the Day


“Though the preachers of pessimism prattle endlessly about America’s problems, I’ve never seen one who wishes to emigrate (though I can think of a few for whom I would happily buy a one-way ticket), said Oracle of Omaha Warren Buffet. … [Read more...]

April 23, 2015

Global Market CommentsApril 23, 2015Fiat Lux SPECIAL BERSHIRE HATHAWAY ISSUE Featured Trade:(A CHAT WITH BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY’S WARREN BUFFET),(BRK-A), (AXP), (WFC), (IBM), (KO), (GS), (AAPL), (UNP), (BAC) Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK-A)American Express Company (AXP) Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) The Coca-Cola Company (KO) … [Read more...]

A Chat With Berkshire Hathaway’s Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

Sometime in the early 1970’s, a friend of mine said I should take a look at a stock named Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA) run by a young stud named Warren Buffett. I thought, “Why the hell should I invest in a company that makes sheets?” After all, the American textile industry was in the middle of a long trek toward extinction that began in the 1920’s, and was only briefly … [Read more...]

April 22, 2015

Global Market Comments April 22, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 29 LONDON STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (THE TWO CENTURY DOLLAR SHORT), (CNN’S JOHN LEWIS; THE DEATH OF A COLLEAGUE) … [Read more...]

The Two Century Dollar Short

10 Dollar Bill

Any trader will tell you the trend is your friend and the overwhelming direction for the US dollar for the last 220 years has been down. Our first Treasury Secretary, Alexander Hamilton, found himself constantly embroiled in sex scandals. Take a ten dollar bill out of your wallet and you’re looking at a world class horn dog, a swordsman of the first order. When he wasn’t … [Read more...]

CNN’s John Lewis; the Death of a Colleague


I was deeply saddened by the death, 5 years ago, of my old friend, CNN Asia correspondent, John Lewis, a legend in television journalism. I first met John in Tokyo at the Foreign Correspondents’ Club of Japan back in 1974, when he was a decorated Vietnam vet from Ohio trying to claw his way into TV, bootstrap style. Personable and easy going, he was one of the few in the club … [Read more...]

April 21, 2015

Global Market CommentsApril 21, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(JUNE 25 NEW YORK STRATEGY LUNCHEON)(MY BRIEFING FROM THE JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF),(PANW), (PHO), (HACK), (FXI), (RSX),(TESTIMONIAL) Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW)PowerShares Water Resources ETF (PHO) PureFunds ISE Cyber Security ETF (HACK) iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) Market Vectors Russia ETF (RSX) … [Read more...]


John Thomas

I retired eight years ago, and my broker told me to hang in there with my stocks before the recession, so I saved myself a lot of money and closed the account.  In 2009 I started paying for advice and investing on line.  A blind chicken could have made a fortune in 2009, and I did well. But it got harder, so I added advisers.  John Thomas was one I added in 2010.  Since … [Read more...]

April 21, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Roller Coaster

“My experience in business helps me as an investor, and my investment experience makes me a better businessman,” said Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett. … [Read more...]

April 20, 2015

Global Market CommentsApril 20, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(JUNE 22 WASHINGTON DC GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON)(WHERE THE ECONOMIST BIG MAC INDEX FINDS CURRENCY VALUE),(FXF), (FXE), (FXA), CYB)(THE FALLING MARKET FOR KIDS),(HOLLYWOOD CASHES IN ON WALL STREET TROUBLES) CurrencyShares Swiss Franc ETF (FXF) CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE) CurrencyShares Australian Dollar ETF (FXA) … [Read more...]

Where The Economist “Big Mac” Index Finds Currency Value


My former employer, The Economist, once the ever tolerant editor of my flabby, disjointed, and juvenile prose (Thanks Peter and Marjorie), has released its “Big Mac” index of international currency valuations. Although initially launched by an imaginative journalist as a joke three decades ago, I have followed it religiously and found it an amazingly accurate predictor of … [Read more...]

The Falling Market for Kids


Until the 19th century, children used to provide income and security for their parents as they worked on the family farm. That dynamic continued when industrialization brought families into the cities and kids into the factories. Since then, children have been a great short. A hundred years of state mandated education and child labor laws increased the cost of raising … [Read more...]

Hollywood Cashes in on Wall Street’s Troubles

Demi Moore

I have done many things in my life: hedge fund manager, pilot, cowboy, journalist, stockbroker, mountain climber, translator, guide, etc, etc. etc. Now add technical consultant to Hollywood to the list. According to the New York Times, Simon Baker, star of the TV show “The Mentalist”, is using the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader as a resource to humanize Wall Street traders … [Read more...]

April 17, 2015


Special Note for My April 17 Incline Village Lunch Guests

John Thomas

Those who will be attending my Incline Village Global Strategy luncheon today, April 17 are welcome to join me on my daily hike afterwards. You need to do something to work off the excellent lunch. I’ll be kicking off from the trailhead at the Tunnel Creek Café off of Nevada State Highway 28. Please bring your hiking boots, hat, sunscreen, and a canteen. The weather will be … [Read more...]

The Portfolio That Will Double in Three Years


Below, I have listed a portfolio of ten stocks that will almost certainly double in three years. If I am wrong, it will gain 100% in only two years. But there is a catch. This basket of stocks may have to drop 20%-30% first. It is a cardinal rule of investment that if you want to earn higher returns, you must accept higher volatility as well. It doesn’t require a rocket … [Read more...]

April 16, 2015

Global Market Comments April 16, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY, MAY 15 SAN FRANCISCO STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (THE NEW COLD WAR) (THE BEST FINANCIAL BOOK EVER) … [Read more...]