June 26, 2014

Global Market Comments June 26, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 11 SARDINIA, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (MY BRIEFING FROM THE JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF), (XLK), (WHY THE JGB MARKET MAY BE READY TO COLLAPSE), (FXY), (DXJ), (EWJ) Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity (DXJ) iShares MSCI Japan (EWJ) … [Read more...]

July 11 Sardinia, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Map of Sardinia

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Golfo Arancia, Italy on Friday, July 11, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. Golfo Arancia is on the famous Costa Smeralda, some 15 kilometers north of Olbia, on the island of Sardinia. You … [Read more...]

My Briefing from the Joint Chiefs of Staff

General James Cartwright

I have always considered the US military to have one of the world’s greatest research organizations. The frustrating thing is that their “clients” only consist of the President and a handful of three and four star generals. So I thought that I would review my notes from a dinner I had with General James E. Cartwright, the former Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and … [Read more...]

Why the JGB Market May Be Ready to Collapse

Population Pyramid chart

When I first arrived in Japan in 1974, international investors widely expected the country to collapse, a casualty of the overnight quadrupling of oil prices from $3 per barrel to $1, and the global recession that followed. Japanese borrowers were only able to tap foreign debt markets by paying a 200 basis point premium to the market, a condition that came to be known as “Japan … [Read more...]

June 25, 2014

Global Market Comments June 25, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 7 ROME, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (WHERE THE ECONOMIST BIG MAC INDEX FINDS CURRENCY VALUE), (FXF), (FXE), (FXA), (FXE), (CYB) (THE FALLING MARKET FOR KIDS), (HOLLYWOOD CASHES IN ON WALL STREET TROUBLES) CurrencyShares Swiss Franc Trust (FXF) CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) CurrencyShares Australian … [Read more...]

July 7 Rome, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Rome, Italy

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Rome, Italy on Monday, July 7, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. … [Read more...]

Where The Economist “Big Mac” Index Finds Currency Value

McDonalds - China

My former employer, The Economist, once the ever tolerant editor of my flabby, disjointed, and juvenile prose (Thanks Peter and Marjorie), has released its “Big Mac” index of international currency valuations. Although initially launched as a joke three decades ago, I have followed it religiously and found it an amazingly accurate predictor of future economic success. The … [Read more...]

The Falling Market for Kids

Kids

Until the 19th century, children used to provide income and security for their parents as they worked on the family farm. That dynamic continued when industrialization brought families into the cities and kids into the factories. Since then, children have been a great short. A hundred years of state mandated education and child labor laws increased the cost of raising … [Read more...]

Hollywood Cashes in on Wall Street’s Troubles

Michael Douglas

I have done many things in my life: hedge fund manager, pilot, cowboy, journalist, stockbroker, mountain climber, translator, guide, etc, etc. etc. Now add technical consultant to Hollywood to the list. According to the New York Times, Simon Baker, star of the TV show “The Mentalist”, is using the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader as a resource to humanize Wall Street … [Read more...]

June 24, 2014

Global Market Comments June 24, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE JUNE 26 ISTANBUL, TURKEY STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (THE BEST FINANCIAL BOOK EVER), (A DAY WITH TOM FRIEDMAN OF THE NEW YORK TIMES) … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Attend the June 26 Istanbul, Turkey Strategy Luncheon

Istanbul, Turkey

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Istanbul, Turkey on Thursday, June 26, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

The Best Financial Book Ever

The Ascent of Money

I have just finished reading the best financial book ever and I have read most of them. It is The Ascent of Money: a Financial History of the World by Harvard professor Niall Ferguson. It gives you a great explanation of how the broad sweep of history delivered us to the doorstep of today’s crisis. Ferguson starts with an ancient accounting system written on clay tablets in … [Read more...]

A Day with Tom Friedman of the New York Times

John Thomas with Tom Freidman

I took a day off to attend the New York Times Global Forum at San Francisco’s Sony Metreon Center. Their goal was to put together 400 of the most forward thinking and influential minds in the Bay Area, stand back, and see what happened. It was organized by my old friend, fellow traveler, and veteran journalist, Tom Friedman. Tom and I date back to the old days in Beirut, … [Read more...]

June 23, 2014

Global Market Comments June 23, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 24 ZERMATT, SWITZERLAND GLOBAL STRATEGY SEMINAR), (THE NEW COLD WAR), (WHY I LOVE/HATE THE OIL COMPANIES), (XOM), (USO), (THE WORST TRADE IN HISTORY), (AAPL) Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) United States Oil (USO) Apple Inc. (AAPL) … [Read more...]

July 24 Zermatt, Switzerland Global Strategy Seminar

matterhorn-Copy2-1

Come join me for afternoon tea for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Seminar, which I will be conducting high in the Alps in Zermatt, Switzerland at 2:00 PM on Thursday, July 24, 2014. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an open discussion on the crucial issues facing investors today. Coffee, tea, and schnapps will be made available, along with light … [Read more...]

The New Cold War

Ian Bremmer

My friend, Ian Bremmer of the Eurasia Group, a global risk analyst who I regularly follow, has published an outstanding book entitled The End of the Free Markets: Who Wins the War Between States and Corporations. I find this highly depressing, as it takes me as long to read one of Ian’s books as it takes him to write another one. To read a review of his highly insightful … [Read more...]

Why I Love/Hate the Oil Companies

oil

The first thing I do when I get up every morning is to curse the oil companies as the blood sucking scourges of modern civilization. I then fall down on my knees and thank God that we have the oil companies. This is why petroleum engineers are getting $100,000 straight out of college, while English and political science majors are going straight on to food stamps. I … [Read more...]

The Worst Trade in History

Apple Computer

Say you owned 10% of Apple (AAPL) and you sold it for $800 in 1976. What would that stake be worth today? Try $22 billion. That is the harsh reality that Ron Wayne, 76, faces every morning when he wakes up, one of the three original founders of the consumer electronics giant. Ron first met Steve Jobs when he was a spritely 21-year-old marketing guy at Atari, the inventor of … [Read more...]

June 20, 2014

Global Market Comments June 20, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 11 SARDINIA, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (THE CHINA VIEW FROM 30,000 FEET), (FXI), (DBC), (DYY), (DBA), (PHO). (TRIBUTE TO A GIANT OF JOURNALISM, ROY ESSOYAN) (TESTIMONIAL) iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) PowerShares DB Commodity Index Tracking (DBC) PowerShares DB Commodity Dble Long ETN … [Read more...]

July 11 Sardinia, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Sardinia, Italy

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Golfo Arancia, Italy on Friday, July 11, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. Golfo Arancia is on the famous Costa Smeralda, some 15 kilometers north of Olbia, on the island of Sardinia. You … [Read more...]

Tribute to a Giant of Journalism, Roy Essoyan

Roy Essoyan

I had been filled with great sadness when I had learned of the passing of an old friend and mentor, Roy Essoyan, the former Tokyo bureau chief for the Associated Press. When I was a young, wet behind the ears financial journalist in Japan during the early seventies, Roy had the charity to take me under his wing and teach me a few tricks of the trade. We often met for lunch … [Read more...]

The China View from 30,000 Feet

Great Wall of China

I have long sat beside the table of McKinsey & Co., the best management consulting company in Asia, hoping to catch some crumbs of wisdom. So, I jumped at the chance to have breakfast with Shanghai based Worldwide Managing Director, Dominic Barton, when he passed through San Francisco visiting clients. These are usually sedentary affairs, but Dominic spit out fascinating … [Read more...]

June 19, 2014

Global Market Comments June 19, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 7 ROME, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (NOTICE TO MILITARY SUBSCRIBERS), (CHINA’S COMING DEMOGRAPHIC NIGHTMARE) … [Read more...]

July 7 Rome, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Rome, Italy

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Rome, Italy on Monday, July 7, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. … [Read more...]

Notice to Military Subscribers

Soldier

To the dozens of subscribers in Afghanistan and the surrounding ships at sea, thank you for your service! I think it is very wise to use your free time to read my letter and learn about financial markets in preparation for an entry into the financial services when you muster out. Nobody is going to call you a baby killer and shun you, as they did when I returned from … [Read more...]

China’s Coming Demographic Nightmare

emperor

Thanks to China's “one child only” policy adopted 30 years ago, and a cultural preference for children who grow up to become family safety nets, there are now 32 million more boys under the age of 20 than girls. Large scale interference with the natural male: female ratio has been tracked with some fascination by demographers for years and is constantly generating unintended … [Read more...]

June 18, 2014

Global Market Comments June 18, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 26 ISTANBUL, TURKEY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (AMERICA’S NATIVE INDIAN ECONOMY) … [Read more...]

June 26 Istanbul, Turkey Strategy Luncheon

Istanbul, Turkey

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Istanbul, Turkey on Thursday, June 26, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

America’s Native Indian Economy

indian

When I was remodeling my 160-year-old London house, the chimney was in desperate need of attention. After the bricklayer crawled up the fireplace, he found a yellowed and somewhat singed envelope addressed to Santa Claus. Thinking it was placed there by my kids, he handed it over to me. In it was a letter penned in a childlike scrawl, written with a quill and ink, dated … [Read more...]

June 17, 2014

Global Market Comments June 17, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 18 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE JUNE 23 LONDON STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (ARE JUNK BONDS PEAKING?),  (JNK), (HYG), (A TOUCHDOWN FOR USC), (INTC) SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond (JNK) iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bd (HYG) Intel Corporation (INTC) … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the June 18 Global Strategy Webinar

Making Sure that your Next  Trade Alert brings home some Bacon

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, June 18 at 12:00 PM EDT. This time Mad Day Trader Jim Parker will be my willing coconspirator. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Attend the June 23 London Strategy Luncheon

Big_Ben_8583a

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in London on Monday, June 23, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep … [Read more...]

Are Junk Bonds Peaking?

Childrens Game

There is no happier corner of the fixed income universe than junk bonds (JNK), (HYG), which have been soaring like a bat out of hell for the past four years. Average yields for the bond class most sensitive to the economy have collapsed from 18% to near an all-time low of 6%, a scant 315 basis points over ten year Treasury bonds. The ETF (JNK), which I have been aggressively … [Read more...]

A Touchdown for USC

David and Dana Dornsife

One of my many alma maters, the University of Southern California, announced that they had received their largest private donation ever. As a third generation alumni of this fanatical football factory (I went to school with Mark Harmon, Lynn Swan, and oops, OJ Simpson), I still receive their alumni newsletter, where I learned the good news. David and Dana Dornsife gave $200 … [Read more...]

June 16, 2014

Global Market Comments June 16, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE JUNE 17 NEW YORK STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (DIAMONDS ARE STILL AN INVESTOR’S BEST FRIEND), (SO YOU THINK THEY’RE NOT WATCHING YOUR PC?) … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Meet John Thomas and Jim Parker in New York on June 17

Empire State Building

Come join Mad Day Trader Jim Parker and I for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Luncheon, which we will be conducting in New York, NY on Tuesday, June 17, 2014. An excellent three course lunch will be provided. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, … [Read more...]

Diamonds Are Still an Investor’s Best Friend

ring

If you forgot to buy your loved one a birthday present and spent a week sleeping on the sofa, eating canned food, and cleaning out the cat box, you now have a chance to redeem yourself. A revolutionary new website exists called Mazal Diamond, which promises to turn the online jewelry business upside down. I went to the privately held company’s website at … [Read more...]

So You Think they’re not Watching Your PC?

Computer

Hey! You there, staring at this monitor. This is your PC talking to you. No, not you over there standing in the background. I’m talking to the guy sitting in front of me poking at my keys. Ouch! That one hurt! So you thought no one was watching, did you? Let me set you straight. About a month ago you clicked on a certain website and I installed myself as a cookie on your … [Read more...]

June 13, 2014

Global Market Comments June 13, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 18 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (JULY 11 SARDINIA, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (BE CAREFUL WHO YOU SNITCH ON), (COULD YOU QUALIFY TO BECOME A US CITIZEN?)   … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the June 18 Global Strategy Webinar

Making Sure that your Next  Trade Alert brings home some Bacon

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, June 18 at 12:00 PM EDT. I'll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the appropriate securities with which to take positions. I will also be opining … [Read more...]

July 11 Sardinia, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Map of Sardinia

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Golfo Arancia, Italy on Friday, July 11, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. Golfo Arancia is on the famous Costa Smeralda, some 15 kilometers north of Olbia, on the island of Sardinia. You … [Read more...]

Could You Qualify to Become a US Citizen?

Fireworks

The coming Fourth of July celebration brings back memories of my late wife’s campaign to become an American citizen, who originally came from Japan. Part of the process required a verbal quiz about US history and government. Our family spent a year energetically prepping her, with nightly grilling’s over dinner about the most obscure details of our independent form of … [Read more...]

June 12, 2014

Global Market Comments June 12, 2014 Fiat Lux (TAKING OFF FOR EUROPE) … [Read more...]

Taking off for Europe

Electrical Adaptors

My tux and white dinner jacket are packed, the hotels are booked, and the limo is waiting outside. The Cessna is fully fueled and the flight plan filed. I am taking off for my annual European Strategy Luncheon Tour. I have worked the hardest in my life the past year, and it is time for a break. I have also put myself through the most grueling training regimen, hiking 2,000 … [Read more...]

June 11, 2014

Global Market Comments June 11, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER TOPS 2014 GAIN OF 17.8%), (AAPL), (GOOG), (TLT), (FXY), (THE BEST STOP LOSS OF THE YEAR), (VXX), (SPY), (JUNE 17 NEW YORK STRATEGY LUNCHEON) Apple Inc. (AAPL) Google Inc. (GOOG) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) iPath S&P 500 VIX ST … [Read more...]

Mad Hedge Fund Trader Punches Tops 2014 Gain of 17.8%

TA Performance

The industry beating performance of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Trade Alert Service has punched through to a new all time high almost every day for the past ten days. The total return for my followers so far in 2014 has reached 17.82%, compared to a far more modest 4.6% for the Dow Average during the same period. June so far is up a healthy 2.32%. I managed to pull this … [Read more...]

The Best Stop Loss of the Year

Skateboard Fall

Traders throughout the industry have been left with their jaws hanging open in the wake of the complete collapse of volatility for the S&P 500 (SPY). When the volatility hit the $10 handle a few days ago, it was the lowest level in nearly a decade. Especially hard hit has been the iPath S&P 500 VIX Short Term Futures ETN (VXX), which has cratered from $56 to $30, … [Read more...]

June 10, 2014

Global Market Comments June 10, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 25 ZERMATT, SWITZERLAND GLOBAL STRATEGY SEMINAR), (IT’S “RISK ON” AGAIN), (SPY), (CAT), (IBM), (JPM), (MSFT), (AAPL), (TLT), (TBT), (MUB), (LQD), (LINE), (ELD), (FXE), (ABOUT THAT TESLA RECOMMENDATION), (TSLA) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) International Business Machines Corporation … [Read more...]

July 24 Zermatt, Switzerland Global Strategy Seminar

matterhorn-Copy2-1

Come join me for afternoon tea for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Seminar, which I will be conducting high in the Alps in Zermatt, Switzerland at 2:00 PM on Thursday, July 24, 2014. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an open discussion on the crucial issues facing investors today. Coffee, tea, and schnapps will be made available, along with light … [Read more...]

Meet John Thomas and Jim Parker in New York on June 17

Empire State Building

Come join Mad Day Trader Jim Parker and I for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Luncheon, which we will be conducting in New York, NY on Tuesday, June 17, 2014. An excellent three course lunch will be provided. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, … [Read more...]

About That Tesla Recommendation

JT with Tesla

Will the person who bought Tesla shares (TSLA) on my recommendation last year at $30 please email me? I have been traveling a lot recently and lost your email address. I would like to get a testimonial from you. The stock hit $250 earlier this year and is up 833% from your cost, making it one of the best performing shares in US over the last 18 months With the money … [Read more...]

June 9, 2014

Global Market Comments June 9, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE JUNE 13-14 INVEST LIKE A MONSTER LAS VEGAS CONFERENCE) (JULY 18 BARCELONA, SPAIN STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (THE SOLAR ROAD REVISTED), (AAPL), (GOOG), (TSLA), (FB), (TWTR) Apple Inc. (AAPL) Google Inc. (GOOG) Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) Facebook, Inc. (FB) Twitter, Inc. (TWTR) … [Read more...]

Come to the June 13-14 Invest Like a Monster Las Vegas Conference

ilam-lasvegas-baby

Please come to hear me, Mad Hedge Fund Trader John Thomas, as the keynote speaker at the Invest Like a Monster Las Vegas Conference on June 13-14. I will be joined by many old friends from across the investment spectrum. Jon and Pete Najarian will teach you the tricks of the trade for navigating the ever complex options markets. Fellow former combat pilot, Chuck Hughes, … [Read more...]

July 18 Barcelona, Spain Strategy Luncheon

Barcelona, Spain

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Barcelona, Spain on Friday, July 18, 2014. A three-course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

June 6, 2014

Global Market Comments June 6, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 11 SARDINIA, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (THE ECB’S DRAGHI FINALLY USES HIS BAZOOKA), (FXE), (EUO), (EZU), (EEM), (SPY), (A COW BASED ECONOMICS LESSON) CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO) iShares MSCI EMU Index (EZU) iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) … [Read more...]

July 11 Sardinia, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Sardinia, Italy

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Golfo Arancia, Italy on Friday, July 11, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. Golfo Arancia is on the famous Costa Smeralda, some 15 kilometers north of Olbia, on the island of Sardinia. You … [Read more...]

June 5, 2014

Global Market Comments June 5, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 7 ROME, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (IS CYTRX (CYTR) ANOTHER TEN BAGGER?), (CYTR), (TSLA), (BIDU), (MCP), (LNG), (DNA), (AN EVENING WITH “GOVERNMENT MOTORS”), (GM) CytRx Corporation (CYTR) Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) Baidu, Inc. (BIDU) Molycorp, Inc. (MCP) Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) Genentech, Inc … [Read more...]

July 7 Rome, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Rome, Italy

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Rome, Italy on Monday, July 7, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. … [Read more...]

An Evening with “Government Motors”

GM-CEO-Dan-Akerson-1

Yesterday, the auto industry announced blowout sales figures for May which came in at an eye popping SAAR of 16.77 million units. We are now within a hairs breadth of the 17 million units we last saw during the salad days of 2001-2002. It all provides more evidence of the ultra bull scenario for the rest of 2014, which has the economy growing a 4% annualized rate during the … [Read more...]

June 4, 2014

Global Market Comments June 4, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 26 ISTANBUL, TURKEY STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (GET READY FOR THE COMING GOLDEN AGE), (SPY), (INDU), (FXE), (FXY), (UNG), (EEM), (USO), (TLT), (NSANY), (TSLA) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) United States … [Read more...]

June 26 Istanbul, Turkey Strategy Luncheon

Istanbul, Turkey

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Istanbul, Turkey on Thursday, June 26, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

Get Ready for the Coming Golden Age

thunderbird_1

I believe that the global economy is setting up for a new golden age reminiscent of the one the United States enjoyed during the 1950’s, and which I still remember fondly. This is not some pie in the sky prediction. It simply assumes a continuation of existing trends in demographics, technology, politics, and economics. The implications for your investment portfolio will be … [Read more...]

June 3, 2014

Global Market Comments June 3, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 4 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (JUNE 23 LONDON STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (THERE ARE NO GURUS), (THE COST OF CLEAN COAL), (KOL), (UNG), (PCE), (BTU), (JOY) Market Vectors Coal ETF (KOL) United States Natural Gas (UNG) PG&E Corporation (PCG) Peabody Energy Corp. (BTU) Joy Global, Inc. (JOY) … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the June 4 Global Strategy Webinar

Making Sure that your Next  Trade Alert brings home some Bacon

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, June 4 at 12:00 PM EDT. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the appropriate securities with which to take positions. I will also be opining … [Read more...]

June 23 London Strategy Luncheon

Big_Ben_8583a

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in London on Monday, June 23, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep … [Read more...]

June 2, 2014

Global Market Comments June 2, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER PUNCHES THROUGH TO NEW ALL TIME HIGH), (AAPL), (GOOG), (TLT), (FXY), (JUNE 17 NEW YORK STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (TESTIMONIAL) Apple Inc. (AAPL) Google Inc. (GOOG) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) … [Read more...]

Mad Hedge Fund Trader Punches Through to New All Time High

John Thomas

The industry beating performance of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Trade Alert Service has finally punched through to a new all time high for the first time in seven weeks. The total return for my followers so far in 2014 has reached 15.50%, compared to a feeble 1.3% for the Dow Average during the same period. May alone is up a blistering 4.61%. I managed to pull this off … [Read more...]

Meet John Thomas and Jim Parker in New York on June 17

Empire State Building

Come join Mad Day Trader Jim Parker and I for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Luncheon, which we will be conducting in New York, NY on Tuesday, June 17, 2014. An excellent three course lunch will be provided. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, … [Read more...]

May 30, 2014

Global Market Comments May 30, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 4 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (JULY 18 BARCELONA, SPAIN STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (WHY I’M SELLING SHORT TREASURY BONDS), (TLT), (TBT), (SPY), (VIX), (VXX) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) VOLATILITY S&P 500 (^VIX) iPath S&P 500 … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the June 4 Global Strategy Webinar

Making Sure that your Next  Trade Alert brings home some Bacon

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, June 4 at 12:00 PM EDT. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the appropriate securities with which to take positions. I will also be opining … [Read more...]

July 18 Barcelona, Spain Strategy Luncheon

Barcelona, Spain

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Barcelona, Spain on Friday, July 18, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

May 29, 2014

Global Market Comments May 29, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 23 LONDON STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (JOHN THOMAS AND ALAN PATCHING ON HEDGE FUND RADIO), (UUP), (FXI), (FXA), (EWA), (AAPL), (GOOG), (GLD), (SLV), (MON), (POT), (MOS), (AND MY PREDICTION IS….), (TESTIMONIAL) PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (UUP) iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) CurrencyShares … [Read more...]

June 23 London Strategy Luncheon

Big_Ben_8583a

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in London on Monday, June 23, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep … [Read more...]

John Thomas and Alan Patching on Hedge Fund Radio

Alan Patching

During my recent trip to Australia, I had the privilege to be interviewed by Alan Patching, one of the leaders of the country’s vibrant business community, on his show, Transforming Business Minds. Alan was the chief organizer of the 2000 Sydney Olympics. He is the author of several business books. He is also a professor at Bond University on Queensland’s Gold Coast in … [Read more...]

And My Prediction Is…

The Beatles

Take those predictions, forecasts, and prognostications with so many grains of salt. They have a notorious track record for being completely wrong, even when made by the leading experts in their fields. In preparing for my autumn lecture series, I came across the following nuggets and thought I’d share them with you. There are some real howlers. 1876  “This 'telephone' has … [Read more...]

May 28, 2014

Global Market Comments May 28, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JULY 25 ZERMATT, SWITZERLAND GLOBAL STRATEGY SEMINAR) (THE 60-40 CORRECTION), (SPY), (QQQ), (IWM), (TLT), (FXY), (GLD), (IBB), (COME TO THE JUNE 13-14 INVEST LIKE A MONSTER LAS VEGAS CONFERENCE) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) PowerShares QQQ (QQQ) iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond … [Read more...]

July 24 Zermatt, Switzerland Global Strategy Seminar

matterhorn-Copy2-1

Come join me for afternoon tea for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Seminar, which I will be conducting high in the Alps in Zermatt, Switzerland at 2:00 PM on Thursday, July 24, 2014. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an open discussion on the crucial issues facing investors today. Coffee, tea, and schnapps will be made available, along with light … [Read more...]

Come to the June 13-14 Invest Like a Monster Las Vegas Conference

ilam-lasvegas-baby

Please come to hear me, Mad Hedge Fund Trader John Thomas, as the keynote speaker at the Invest Like a Monster Las Vegas Conference on June 13-14. I will be joined by many old friends from across the investment spectrum. Jon and Pete Najarian will teach you the tricks of the trade for navigating the ever complex options markets. Fellow former combat pilot, Chuck Hughes, … [Read more...]

May 27, 2014

Global Market Comments May 27, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 17 NEW YORK STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (INTRODUCING “THE OPENING BELL WITH JIM PARKER”), (BUY NOW TO BEAT THE PRICE INCREASE), (ORDER EXECUTION 101)   … [Read more...]

Meet John Thomas and Jim Parker in New York on June 17

Empire State Building

Come join Mad Day Trader Jim Parker and me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Luncheon, which we will be conducting in New York, NY on Tuesday, June 17, 2014. An excellent three course lunch will be provided. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, … [Read more...]

Introducing The Opening Bell with Jim Parker

Jim Parker

Well, you asked for it, and now it is here. I am pleased to announce, at the one year anniversary of the Mad Day Trader, the launch of the latest service, The Opening Bell with Jim Parker. With The Opening Bell, Jim Parker will give an early read on where each day’s market action will take place. He will focus on a dozen or so names where traders are most likely to find … [Read more...]

Buy Now to Beat the Price Increase

John Thomas

In 2013, the Mad Hedge Fund Trader Trade Alert Service delivered a blowout return of 68% for followers. As I present my Global Strategy luncheons around the world, I am learning that many made much more. I am therefore raising the price for our flagship product, Mad Hedge Fund Trader Pro, by $500 to $4,500 a year and Mad Day Trader to $2,500 a year or $859 per quarter. We … [Read more...]

Order Execution 101

Diver

Given the recent difficulty in placing orders in this tedious, illiquid market, I have been inundated with requests for how to execute orders. So I thought I’d take some time today to expound on the basics of order execution 101. There are three basic ways to intelligently get an order into the market: 1) The No Brainer Average In. Buy half at the receipt of the Trade … [Read more...]

May 23, 2014

Global Market Comments May 23, 2014 Fiat Lux SPECIAL MEMORIAL DAY ISSUE Featured Trade: (JULY 7 ROME, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (A TRIBUTE TO A TRUE VETERAN) … [Read more...]

July 7 Rome, Italy Strategy Luncheon

Rome, Italy

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Rome, Italy on Monday, July 7, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. … [Read more...]

A Tribute to a True Veteran

Uncle Mitch

This coming Monday will be Memorial Day in the United States. I’ll be putting on my faded Marine Corp fatigues, with gold railroad track bars on my shoulders, and leading the hometown’s parade.  So I thought it would be a good day to tell you the story of my Uncle Mitch. Since job prospects for high school graduates in rural Pennsylvania in 1936 were poor, Mitch walked 200 … [Read more...]

May 22, 2014

Global Market Comments May 22, 2014 Fiat Lux SPECIAL INDIA ISSUE Featured Trade: (JUNE 26 ISTANBUL, TURKEY STRATEGY LUNCHEON) (THE GAME CHANGER IN INDIA), (INP), (PIN), (EPI), (EEM), (CEW), (ELD), (USO), (KOL), (CU), (GLD), (INDIA IS CATCHING UP WITH CHINA) iPath MSCI India Index ETN (INP) PowerShares India (PIN) WisdomTree India Earnings (EPI) iShares MSCI … [Read more...]

June 26 Istanbul, Turkey Strategy Luncheon

Istanbul, Turkey

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Istanbul, Turkey on Thursday, June 26, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real … [Read more...]

May 21, 2014

Global Market Comments May 21, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 23 LONDON STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (BACK AT THE RANCH), (GILD), (PFE), (IBB), (HCA) Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD) Pfizer Inc. (PFE) iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology (IBB) HCA Holdings, Inc. (HCA) … [Read more...]

June 23 London Strategy Luncheon

Big_Ben_8583a

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in London on Monday, June 23, 2014. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep … [Read more...]

Back at the Ranch

John Thomas

“Give us all your money,” said the largest of the three men who snuck up behind me at the entrance to the Orlando Marriott World Hotel. It was 1:30 AM, pitch dark, and the area was abandoned. I had my wallet out to pay the taxi driver, brimming with $5,000 in cash, my winnings at the blackjack tables at the just completed SALT conference in Las Vegas. He took off like a … [Read more...]

May 20, 2014

Global Market Comments May 20, 2014 Fiat Lux SPECIAL LAS VEGAS SALT ISSUE Featured Trade: (LAST CHANCE TO ATTEND THE CHICAGO FRIDAY, MAY 23 GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (REPORT ON THE 6th ANNUAL SKYBRIDGE ALTERNATIVES (SALT) CONFERENCE)   … [Read more...]

Last Chance to Attend the Chicago Friday, May 23 Global Strategy Luncheon

Chicago

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Friday, May 23. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to … [Read more...]

Report on the 6th Annual SkyBridge Alternatives (SALT) Conference

Anthony Scaramucci

Once again, I am writing to you from the poolside cabana B-2 at the Bellagio Hotel in Las Vegas. It is a baking hot 100 degrees in the shade and the air is bone-dry, so I’m draining my third rum punch for the day. The days when I risked getting dragged out to the parking lot to get my hands broken with a hammer for card counting at blackjack have long since passed, so I am … [Read more...]

May 19, 2014

Global Market Comments May 19, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (JUNE 17 NEW YORK STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (MAY 21 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR), (COME TO THE JUNE 13-14 INVEST LIKE A MONSTER LAS VEGAS CONFERENCE) … [Read more...]

Meet John Thomas and Jim Parker in New York on June 17

Empire State Building

Come join Mad Day Trader Jim Parker and I for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Luncheon, which we will be conducting in New York, NY on Tuesday, June 17, 2014. An excellent three course lunch will be provided. A PowerPoint presentation will be followed by an extended question and answer period. I’ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, … [Read more...]

Don’t Miss the May 21 Global Strategy Webinar

Making Sure that your Next  Trade Alert brings home some Bacon

My next global strategy webinar will be held on Wednesday, May 21 at 12:00 PM EDT. I’ll be giving you my updated outlook on stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, precious metal, and real estate. The goal is to find the cheapest assets in the world to buy, the most expensive to sell short, and the appropriate securities with which to take positions. I will also be opining … [Read more...]

Come to the June 13-14 Invest Like a Monster Las Vegas Conference

ilam-lasvegas-baby

Please come to hear me, Mad Hedge Fund Trader John Thomas, as the keynote speaker at the Invest Like a Monster Las Vegas Conference on June 13-14. I will be joined by many old friends from across the investment spectrum. Jon and Pete Najarian will teach you the tricks of the trade for navigating the ever complex options markets. Fellow former combat pilot, Chuck Hughes, … [Read more...]

May 16, 2014

Global Market Comments May 16, 2014 Fiat Lux (SPECIAL DAVID TEPPER ISSUE), Featured Trade: (AN EVENING WITH DAVID TEPPER), (SPY), (QQQ), (IWM) (TLT), (FXE) (MAY 21 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) PowerShares QQQ (QQQ) iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) … [Read more...]

An Evening with David Tepper

David Tepper

“There is a time to make money, and a time to not lose money. This is one of those times.” That was the insightful gem I came away with after listening to David Tepper speak at the 7th annual SALT Alternative Investment Conference in Las Vegas Nevada. Tepper continued, opining that the markets are “dangerous” here, and that he was “nervous.” “It was easy to buy stocks (SPY), … [Read more...]