February 5, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 5, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(TRADING DEVOID OF THE THOUGHT PROCESS),(SPY), (INDU), (TLT), (USO),(GOING BACK INTO GILEAD SCINECES), (GILD),(ON EXECUTING TRADE ALERTS) SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU)iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT)United States Oil ETF (USO)Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD) … [Read more...]

Trading Devoid of the Thought Process

Money Under Mattress

The second the day traders covered their last short in a rising market today, the European Central Bank announced that the Greek debt negotiations may not be successful. The Dow Average fell 200 points, bonds jumped a full point and oil added to its 8% decline. Welcome to The Great Meat Grinder of 2015. It seems that all anyone has to do is to blow their nose, and high … [Read more...]

Going Back Into Gilead Sciences

Sovaldi - Pills

This is a stock that could double by the end of 2015. Buy a great performing stock in the top performing sector on a 10% dip. The stock has over reacted to an earnings report that was fantastic; but carried conservative forward guidance, based on expected future pricing pressure on its blockbuster Hepatitis C drugs, Sovaldi and Harvini. I am giving a nod to the current high … [Read more...]

On Executing Trade Alerts

BusinessJohnThomasProfileMap2-1

From time to time I receive an email from a subscriber telling me that they are unable to get executions on trade alerts that are as good as the ones I get. There are several possible reasons for this: 1) Markets move, sometimes quite dramatically so. 2) Your Trade Alert email was hung up on your local provider’s server, getting it to you late. This is a function of your … [Read more...]

February 4, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 4, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(SOLAR STOCKS GET A JOLT),(SCTY), (SUNE), (SPWR), (TAN),(IS THE REAL ESTATE MARKET CATCHING COLD?),(ITB), (KBE) SolarCity Corporation (SCTY)SunEdison, Inc. (SUNE)SunPower Corporation (SPWR)Guggenheim Solar ETF (TAN)iShares US Home Construction (ITB)SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) … [Read more...]

Solar Stocks Get a Jolt

Solar Panel Installation

The blockbuster for me in President Obama’s budget speech on Monday was his suggestion that the 30% alternative energy investment tax credit be made permanent. All solar stocks, including front-runners Solar City (SCTY), Sun Edison (SUNE), and SunPower (SPWR), rocketed on the news. Now slated to expire at the end of 2017, the tax break is credited with igniting a solar … [Read more...]

Is the Real Estate Market Catching Cold?

House Fire

I used to begin my pieces about residential real estate talking about the broker I found hanging from the showerhead at an open house. That didn’t really happen. But from 2008-2012 conditions were so dire that it could have. That is clearly not the case any more. The market has been on fire for the past three years. Private equity firms put a floor under the markets by … [Read more...]

February 4, 2015 – Quote of the Day

U.S. Marines Plaque

“Some People spend an entire lifetime wondering if they’ve made a difference. The Marines don’t have that problem,” said the late President, Ronald Reagan. … [Read more...]

February 3, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 3, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(FEBRUARY 4 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR),(HOW TO LOSE MONEY),(LINE), (USO),(THE MARKET’S TECHNICAL OUTLOOK IS TERRIBLE),(SPY), (QQQ), (IWM), (T), (AA), (FXY),(TESTIMONIAL) Linn Energy, LLC (LINE)United States Oil ETF (USO)SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)PowerShares QQQ Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)iShares Russell 2000 (IWM)AT&T, … [Read more...]

How to Lose Money

Pete Carroll

I’m really glad I watched the Super Bowl yesterday. Not only was it a great warm-up for next year’s championship game, which will be in my hometown of San Francisco. I also witnessed the worst coaching call in football history. The Seattle Seahawks had the game in the bag. All they had to do was move the ball one foot over two tries at the goal line. Instead, they passed? Too … [Read more...]

The Market’s Technical Outlook is Terrible

Skydiver

At yesterday morning’s opening bell, we were greeted with the unmistakable evidence the stock market is technically breaking down. The Dow Average has broken its three-year upward sloping trend line. Market leading sectors, like Consumer Discretionary and Financials have all put in eminently convincing “Head and Shoulders” tops (click here). More distressingly, the head and … [Read more...]

Testimonial

John Thomas

Really enjoyed the Chicago lunch with you, Jim and the guys from Toronto. My trading improved just from the two-hour lunch seminar. Looking forward to coming in the spring if you do another Chicago lunch. Thanks, Rich Detroit, Michigan … [Read more...]

February 3, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Bad-Good Meter

"When you develop your opinions on the basis of weak evidence, you will have difficulty interpreting subsequent information that contradicts these opinions, even if this new information is obviously more accurate.” said Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder. … [Read more...]

February 2, 2015

Global Market CommentsFebruary 2, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(THE GREAT AMERICAN ROT IS ENDING),(SPY), (TLT), (FXY), (FXE), (USO) SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT)CurrencyShares Japanese Yen ETF (FXY)CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)United States Oil ETF (USO) … [Read more...]

The Great American Rot is Ending

Holmes & Watson

Those of a certain age can’t help but remember that things for the US went to hell in a hand basket after 1963. That’s when President John F. Kennedy was assassinated, heralding decades of turmoil. Race riots exploded everywhere. The Vietnam War ramped up out of control, taking 60,000 lives, and destroying the nation’s finances. Nixon took the US off the gold standard. Two … [Read more...]

February 2, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Neighborhood Oil Spill

“All we need to know about crude right now is that we have it coming out of our ears, both here and in the Middle East, and that’s why it’s headed to $40,” said Scott Nations, president of the options trading firm, NationsShares. … [Read more...]

January 30, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 30, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(FEBRUARY 4 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR),(SIGN UP NOW FOR TEXT MESSAGING OF TRADE ALERTS),(QCOM), (SPY),(THE CHINA VIEW FROM 30,000 FEET)(FXI), (DBC), (DYY), (DBA), (PHO) QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM)SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)iShares China Large-Cap (FXI)PowerShares DB Commodity Tracking ETF (DBC)PowerShares DB … [Read more...]

January 29, 2015

Global Market Comments January 29, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (QUALCOMM GUIDANCE CRUSHES STOCK), (QCOM) (BUSINESS IS BOOMING AT THE MONEY PRINTERS), (TESTIMONIAL) QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) … [Read more...]

Qualcomm Guidance Crushes Stock

Ship

It seems that the harder I work, the luckier I get. Last week I made a bet that companies with a high share of international business would be punished severely during earnings season. Specifically, I picked QUALCOMM (QCOM), the San Diego based maker of processors for cell phones, tablets, and laptops, because it had the highest percentage of foreign earnings among the … [Read more...]

Business is Booming at the Money Printers

New $100 Bill

All of the high-grade paper used by the US Treasury to print money is bought from a single firm, Crane & Co., which has been in the same family for seven generations. Last year, the Feds printed 38 million banknotes worth $639 million. Although they have seen the recession cause the velocity of money to decline, recent reflationary efforts have spurred a big increase in … [Read more...]

Testimonial

John Thomas - Breakfast

I’m happy to renew my subscription to The Mad Hedge Fund Trader. This current, very perplexing market demands a coach advising you on what it is doing. If you do not step up to the plate and hit what is being pitched you will not succeed. The same is true with this market. With a personal 35+ years of investing, some as a professional, I do not know of anyone that can … [Read more...]

January 28, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 28, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(THE UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES OF THE EURO CRASH),(FXE), (EUO)(CAT), (PG), (MSFT), (M), (FDO), (COST), (TGT), (WMT)(RSP), (QQQ), (IWM)(WATCH OUT FOR THE HEAD AND SHOULDERS)(SPY), (QQQ), (TLT), (FXE), (FXY), (GLD), (SLV) CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO)Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)The Procter … [Read more...]

The Unintended Consequences of the Euro Crash

John Thomas

For those of you who heeded my expert advice to buy the ProShares Ultra Short Euro ETF (EUO) last July, well done! You are up a massive 48%! This is on a move in the underlying European currency of only 18.5%. My browsing of the Galleria in Milan, the strolls through Spanish shopping malls, and my dickering with an assortment of dubious Greek merchants, all paid off big time. … [Read more...]

Watch Out for the Head and Shoulders

Head & Shoulders Shampoo

Every technical analyst in the world is pouring over their charts and coming to the same conclusion. A “Head and Shoulders” pattern is setting up for the major indexes, especially for the S&P 500 (SPY). This is terrible news for the stock investors, as well as other owners of risk assets like the US dollar, commodities, and real estate. It is wonderful news for those long … [Read more...]

January 28, 2015 – Quote of the Day

firingsquad

“As for the Swiss franc, there’s blood in the street and on the walls,” said Stephen Schwarzman, CEO of the Blackstone Group, a global private equity firm. … [Read more...]

January 27, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 27, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(MORE PAIN TO COME IN OIL)(USO), (XOM), (OXY), (COP), (DAL)(THE SERVICE JOB IN YOUR FUTURE), (MCD) United States Oil ETF (USO)Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)ConocoPhillips (COP)Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL)McDonald's Corp. (MCD) … [Read more...]

More Pain to Come in Oil

The Prize

There are very few people I will drop everything to listen to. One of the handful is Daniel Yergin, the bookish founder and CEO of Cambridge Energy Research Associates, the must-go-to source for all things energy. Daniel received a Pulitzer Prize for The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power, a rare feat for a non-fiction book (I’ve never been able to get … [Read more...]

The Service Job in Your Future

McDonalds Employee

Anyone wondering about the long term future of the US economy should take a look at the chart below. It shows the unrelenting growth of services’ share of American GDP growing from 25% to 45% over the last sixty years. Far and away the fastest growth area has been in health care and with the first Obamacare now underway, that growth is set to accelerate hugely. Financial … [Read more...]

January 26, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 26, 2015Fiat Lux SPECIAL RAILROAD ISSUE Featured Trade:(WILL THE OIL BUST KILL THE RAILROADS?),(UNP), (CSX), (NSC), (CP), (ACI),(TESTIMONIAL) Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)CSX Corp. (CSX)Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC)Canadian Pacific Railway Limited (CP)Arch Coal Inc. (ACI) … [Read more...]

Will the Oil Bust Kill the Railroads?

Train-Cargo

No, not really. I was fascinated by the recent comments made by Union Pacific (UNP) CEO, Jack Koraleski, about the current robust health of his company. Fourth quarter profits rocketed by an amazing 22% and those stellar numbers look set to continue. I love railroads, not because they used to belch smoke and steam and have these incredibly loud, romantic, wailing whistles. … [Read more...]

Testimonial

John Thomas

Greetings from the great white north. I am a BIG fan of yours and have rejoined your Trade Alert Service for another year. You have friends around the world you have yet to meet. Enclosed is a token of my appreciation. Thanks a 100 trillion! Bob Vancouver, Canada … [Read more...]

January 26, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Quiz

“China has been doing everything right for the last ten years. Our government is made up of 'C' students that were political science majors, whereas, the Chinese government is made up of PhD's that were educated at Cambridge and Harvard,' said one Washington observer. … [Read more...]

January 23, 2015

Global Market Comments January 23, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (STOCKS TO BUY AT THE BOTTOM), (CRASH TESTING THE TESLA), (TSLA) Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) … [Read more...]

12 Stocks to Buy at the Bottom

Jim Parker

My friend and esteemed colleague, Mad Day Trader Jim Parker, spent the weekend perusing hundreds of long term charts. He was assembling a short list of attractive names to buy after the next major sell off. I am not talking about a modest 4% decline. Even a textbook 10% won’t get his attention. I’m talking about the kind of gut churning, rip your face off, time to change the … [Read more...]

Crash Testing the Tesla

Tesla  Damage

The Tesla Model S1 (TSLA) has been rated by Consumer Reports magazine as the best car ever built, grabbing a covered 99 score out of 100. It has been ranked by the US government Department of Transportation as the safest car ever built. Even competitors love the car. So I decided to see if these vaunted claims were true and crash test my own $110,000 high performance Model S1 … [Read more...]

January 22, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 22, 2015Fiat Lux SPECIAL GOLD ISSUE Featured Trade:(IS THE BULL MARKET IN GOLD BACK?),(GLD), (GDX), (SIL), (ABX), (REMX), (SLV),(ANOTHER NAIL IN THE NUCLEAR COFFIN),(NLR), (CCJ) SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL)Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX)Market Vectors Rare EarthStrat Mtls ETF … [Read more...]

Is the Bull Market in Gold Back?

John Thomas -Gold

After a prolonged, four year hibernation, it appears that the gold bulls are at long last back. Long considered nut cases, crackpots and the wearers of tin hats, lovers of the barbarous relic have just enjoyed the first decent trading month in a very long time. The question for the rest of us is whether there is something real and sustainable going on here, or whether the … [Read more...]

Another Nail in the Nuclear Coffin

Nuclear Power Plant

Southern California Edison (SCE/PF) has announced that it is permanently shuttering its controversial nuclear power plant at San Onofre, California. The move is only the latest in a series of closures implemented by utilities around the country, and could well spell the end of this flagging industry. This is further dismal news for holders of ETF’s in the sector, like the … [Read more...]

January 22, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Financials Knife in Hand

“The stupid market cliché about catching a falling knife is actually happening now. This is a falling knife. You have to look at the market as a hot air balloon. You only want to grab it as it is going up. I don’t think dollar cost averaging is the plan here,” said Bob Iaccino at Traderoutlook.com. … [Read more...]

January 21, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 21, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(JANUARY 21 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR),(THE TECHNICAL/FUNDAMENTAL TUG OF WAR: WHO WILL WIN?)(MAKE YOUR NEXT KILLING IN AFRICA),(AFK), (GAF) Market Vectors Africa ETF (AFK)SPDR S&P Emerging Middle East&Afr ETF (GAF) … [Read more...]

The Technical/Fundamental Tug of War: Who Will Win?

Cromagnon Man

At my many Mad Hedge Fund Trader Global Strategy Luncheons, speaking engagements and conferences which I attend around the world, I never fail to get asked the same question by beginning traders. “Which is more useful, fundamental or technical analysis?” That question has earned a heightened urgency over the past few weeks, when I have had two diametrically opposed groups of … [Read more...]

Make Your Next Killing in Africa

African

Feel like investing in a state sponsor of terrorism? How about a country whose leaders have stolen $400 billion in the last decade and has seen 300 foreign workers kidnapped? Another country lost four wars in the last 40 years. Still interested? How about a country that suffers the world’s highest AIDS rate, regularly endures insurrections where all of the Westerners are … [Read more...]

January 20, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 20, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(THE YEAR OF THE BLACK SWAN),(FXF), (FXE), (EUO)(THE PRICE OF STARDOM AT DAVOS),(WILL GOLD COINS SUFFER THE FATE OF THE $10,000 BILL), (GLD),(SIGN UP NOW FOR TEXT MESSAGING OF TRADE ALERTS) CurrencyShares Swiss Franc ETF (FXF)CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO)SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) … [Read more...]

The Year of the Black Swan

John Thoms - Black Swans

I’ve just spent the entire morning on the phone, and it’s clear that thousands of individuals, hedge funds and brokers have just been wiped out as a result of The Swiss National Bank’s surprise move to remove its cap against the Euro. This is a black swan on steroids. And it hasn’t just been Swiss franc positions that have been bedeviling traders. You can add to the list … [Read more...]

The Price of Stardom at Davos

Davos Emblem

It’s that time of year again, when finance ministers, central bank governors, hedge fund managers, and assorted rock stars hold their annual confab high in the Alps at Davos, Switzerland. When I was a director of one of the largest banks in Switzerland, I found myself a frequent visitor to the Alpine village of Davos. In years gone by, we provided the loans to the Canton of … [Read more...]

Will Gold Coins Suffer the Fate of the $10,000 Bill?

ten-thousand-10000-dollar-bill

The conspiracy theorists will love this one. Buried deep in the bowels of the 2,000 page health care bill was a new requirement for gold dealers to file Form 1099's for all retail sales by individuals over $600. Specifically, the measure can be found in section 9006 of the Patient Protection and Affordability Act of 2010. For foreign readers unencumbered by such concerns, … [Read more...]

Sign Up Now for Text Messaging of Trade Alerts

BusinessJohnThomasProfileMap2-1

Subscribers to Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Fund Trader PRO are able to receive instantaneous text messages of my proprietary Trade Alerts. This eliminates frustrating delays caused by traffic surges on the Internet itself, and by your local server. To activate your free service, please log in to your account at www.madhedgefundtrader.com, look under your name on the … [Read more...]

January 20, 2015 – Quote of the Day

bushnell2-9937

Steve Jobs offered me one third of Apple for $50,000 and I was so smart that I turned it down. It’s funny when you think about it now, except when I’m crying,” said Nolan Bushnell, the founder of game company Atari and Jobs’ first employer. … [Read more...]

January 16, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 16, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(SWISS SURPRISE RATTLES MARKETS)(FXF), (FXE), (EUO)(FRIDAY, APRIL 3 HONOLULU, ALASKA, WASHINGTON, OREGON, BRITISH COLUMBIA, JAPAN, AND CHINA STRATEGY LUNCHEON) CurrencyShares Swiss Franc ETF (FXF)CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO) … [Read more...]

Swiss Surprise Rattles Markets

John Thomas - Switzerland

It was one of those moves that appeared so gigantic and so unreal that you had to blink, while checking the cables on the back of your computer and your broadband connection. The Swiss franc has just skyrocketed by 17% against the dollar in one tick. First the bad news: the rent on my summer chalet in Zermatt, Switzerland had just risen by 17%. And the good news? Holders of … [Read more...]

January 15, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 15, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(2014 TRADE ALERT REVIEW),(FXE), (EUO), (SPY), (AAPL), (GILD), (F), (GM), (TLT), (UNG), (VIX), (VXX) CurrencyShares Euro ETF (FXE)ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO)SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)Apple Inc. (AAPL)Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)Ford Motor Co. (F)General Motors Company (GM)iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond … [Read more...]

2014 Trade Alert Review

John Thomas - Beach

When is the Mad Hedge Fund Trader a genius, and when is he a complete moron? That is the question readers have to ask themselves whenever their smart phones ping, and a new Trade Alert appears on their screens. I have to confess that I wonder myself sometimes. So I thought I would run my 2014 numbers to find out when I was a hero, and when I was a goat. The good news is … [Read more...]

January 14, 2015

Global Market Comments January 14, 2015 Fiat Lux SPECIAL SHORT SELLING ISSUE Featured Trade: (SHORT SELLING SCHOOL 101), (SH), (SDS), (PSQ), (DOG), (RWM), (SPXU), (AAPL), (VIX), (VXX), (IPO), (MTUM), (SPHB), (HDGE) ProShares Short S&P500 (SH) ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) ProShares Short QQQ (PSQ) ProShares Short Dow30 (DOG) ProShares Short Russell2000 (RWM) … [Read more...]

Short Selling School 101

Wile E. Coyote - TNT

There is nothing worse than closing the barn door after the horses have bolted. No doubt, you will receive a wealth of short selling and hedging ideas from your other research sources and the media at the next market bottom. That is always how it seems to play out. So I am going to get you out ahead of the curve, putting you through a refresher course on how to best trade … [Read more...]

January 14, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Lawn Smiley Face

“When asked how he manages the time to be chairman of Microsoft, run the world’s largest charity, and raise three kids, Bill Gates answered “I don’t mow the lawn.” … [Read more...]

January 13, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 13, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(A DAY IN THE LIFE OF THE MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER),(SPY), (SPX), (QQQ), (AAPL), (VIX), (FSLR), (SCTY), (TLT), (TBT), (FXE), (GLD), (GDX), (USO) SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)S&P 500 Index (SPX)PowerShares QQQ (QQQ)Apple Inc. (AAPL)VOLATILITY S&P 500 (^VIX)First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)SolarCity Corporation (SCTY)iShares … [Read more...]

A Day in the Life of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader

John Thomas

Diary Entry for Monday, January 12, 2015 Dear Diary, 4:30 PM Sunday-the day before - Thought I’d check my Bloomberg to see how the Asian markets were opening. Yikes! Oil is down another buck. Looks like it is going to be a “RISK OFF” day. Better fasten my seat belt, put on my hard hat, and get ready for a rough day. No rest for the wicked. At least for the first 15 minutes. … [Read more...]

January 13, 2015 – Quote of the Day

zimbabwe-1

“Over the long term, all of the fiat currencies of the world are involved in a competitive devaluation. The structural stresses in most of the western economies are such that centrals banks will attempt to continue to substitute liquidity for solvency.” said Rick Rule, chairman of Sprott US Holdings, a precious metals specialist. … [Read more...]

January 12, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 12, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(THROWING IN THE TOWEL ON THE BOND MARKET),(TBT), (TLT), (LQD), (MUB), (ELD),(THE 1% AND THE BOND MARKET),(TLT), (TBT), (MUB), (LQD), (ELD), (JNK) ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT)iShares Trust - iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)iShares Trust - iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF … [Read more...]

Throwing in the Towel on the Bond Market

John Thomas

Here are the long-winded, feeble bunch of excuses I promised you. I have broken every rule in my trading book hanging on to my position in the (TBT) for the past four months. I ignored my own stop losses. I listened to the morons on TV saying interest rates were about to spike up. I took the pile of charts that were telling me there was no bottom in sight, and deliberately … [Read more...]

The 1% and the Bond Market

Dracula

As a follow up the Mea Culpa above, I thought I’d delve into one of the more mysterious reasons why the bond market keeps going from strength to strength. To a man, hedge fund traders expected bond prices to take a dive this year, and for yields to soar. Isn’t that what’s supposed to happen in recovering economies? Instead, we got the opposite, and yields have plunged, from … [Read more...]

January 9, 2015

Global Market Comments January 9, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (A VERY CHICAGO CHRISTMAS), (TESTIMONIAL), (BREAKFAST WITH MOHAMED EL-ERIAN) … [Read more...]

A Very Chicago Christmas

John Thomas - Art Museum

There is nothing more enjoyable than partaking in an all you can eat Christmas buffet lunch with a group of friends. That was how my Chicago Global Strategy Luncheon turned out two weeks ago. Guests came from Detroit, Canada, and remote Illinois. The abundance of roast beef, ham, and turkey on our plates matched the tales of outsized trading returns in 2014. We all had much … [Read more...]

Testimonial

John Thomas - Hiking

Thank you for talking with me on the phone right before Christmas.  I enjoyed our conversation and look forward to meeting you at your Incline Village Global Strategy Luncheon in the spring.  I will also look forward to the hike up to 12,000 ft. after our lunch, (are you sure you want to spot me by carrying a 60 lbs pack?). I usually stop running at 12,000 just saying. LOL.  … [Read more...]

Breakfast with Mohamed El-Erian

Mohamed El-Erian

Passing through Los Angeles for a day, I thought I would take a walk down Nostalgia Lane and have breakfast at the historic Langham Huntington Hotel, the venue for my 1970 senior prom. I was half way through my eggs Benedict in the Terrace Room when, who sits at the next table, but bond giant PIMCO’s brilliant former CEO and co-CIO, Mohamed El-Erian. That’s the last time he … [Read more...]

January 9, 2015 – Quote of the Day

firingsquad

“If You’ve lived long enough on Wall Street, you know that we shoot our wounded and eat our young,” said Brad Hintz, an analyst with Sandford Bernstein. … [Read more...]

January 8, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 8, 2015Fiat Lux Featured Trade:(MAD DAY TRADER JIM PARKER’S Q1, 2015 VIEWS),(SPY), (XLV), (XLK), (PCLN), (F), (TLT), (TBT),(FXE), (EUO), (FXA), (FXB),(GLD), (GDX), (SLV),(USO)(VIX), (VXX)(THE MARKETS ARE NOT RIGGED)(TESTIMONIAL) SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV)The Select Sector SPDR Trust - The Technology … [Read more...]

Mad Day Trader Jim Parker’s Q1, 2015 Views

Jim Parker

Mad Day Trader Jim Parker is expecting the first quarter of 2015 to offer plenty of volatility and loads of great trading opportunities. He thinks the scariest moves may already be behind us. After a ferocious week of decidedly ‘RISK OFF” markets, the sweet spots going forward will be of the “RISK ON” variety. Sector leadership could change daily, with a brutal rotation, … [Read more...]

The Markets Are Not Rigged

Flash Boys

I managed to get a copy of “Flash Boys”, Michael Lewis’s latest bestseller about high frequency trading, and plowed through it over the weekend. In it, Lewis claims the markets are “rigged” for the ordinary investor, and they are getting ripped off, in effect, paying a giant “tax” to Wall Street to get their trades done. Nothing could be further from the truth. I have known … [Read more...]

Testimonial

John Thomas

Hi John, I now have some great strategies, which are working well thanks to you. I just need to follow them, stop listening to others, and stick more to my own plan, and of course your research. All the best for the festive season. Dallas Melbourne, Australia   Hatchet Throwing Contest at Fort Vancouver, Washington … [Read more...]

January 7, 2015

Global Market Comments January 7, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (A VERY WESTERN CHRISTMAS), (THE BLACK SWAN SOLUTION TO OUR ENERGY PROBLEMS), (USO), (TSLA), (GE), (TESTIMONIAL) United States Oil ETF (USO)Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA)General Electric Company (GE)     … [Read more...]

A Very Western Christmas

Candy Cane Express

This year I had the pleasure of spending a nostalgic Christmas day in Virginia City, Nevada, now a national historic monument. The old western town is the home of the famed Comstock load, once the world’s largest silver deposit, discovered in 1859. The ore mined here played a major role in building San Francisco into an important city, and financed the Union’s victory in the … [Read more...]

The “Black Swan” Solution to Our Energy Problems

LED Lights

I firmly believe that simple solutions to our energy problems are in the process of coming out of the blue, and are something no one is thinking about now. Add up the contributions of many small improvements, and the cumulative change will alter our economic future beyond all recognition. Here are two of them. General Electric (GE) is now mass-producing their “Smart Energy … [Read more...]

Testimonial

Jim Parker

Dear Jim Parker, I cannot thank you enough for the service that you are providing.  In my case, I can honestly say that you are accomplishing your goals of enabling me to trade profitably.   I wish you a well-earned rest and the best of joy with your family and friends during this season.    Rene Y. Retired Canadian Farmer   … [Read more...]

January 7, 2015 – Quote of the Day

David Tepper

“2015 is setting up to be a repeat of 1999,” the year when NASDAQ delivered a nonstop melt up, rocketing by a stunning 85%, said my friend and hedge fund legend, David Tepper. … [Read more...]

January 6, 2015

Global Market CommentsJanuary 6, 2015Fiat Lux 2015 Annual Asset Class Review FOR PAID SUBSCRIBERS ONLY Featured Trades:(SPX), (QQQ), (XLF), (XLE), (XLI), (XLY), (EEM), (SCTY), (TAN),(TLT), (TBT), (JNK), (PHB), (HYG), (PCY), (MUB), (HCP)(FXE), (EUO), (FXC), (FXA), (YCS), (FXY), (CYB)(FCX), (VALE), (MOO), (DBA), (MOS), (MON), (AGU), (POT), (PHO), (FIW), (CORN), (WEAT), (SOYB), … [Read more...]

January 5, 2015

Global Market Comments January 5, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THE AMERICAN ONSHORING TREND IS ACCELERATING), (GE), (TSLA), (TESTIMONIAL) General Electric Company (GE)Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) … [Read more...]

The American Onshoring Trend is Accelerating

Leonard DiCaprio

Onshoring, the return of US manufacturing from abroad, is rapidly gathering pace. It is increasingly playing a crucial part in the unfolding American industrial renaissance. It could well develop into the most important new trend on the global economic scene during the early 21st century. It is also paving the way for a return of the roaring twenties to our home shores. Of … [Read more...]

Testimonial

John Thomas - Melbourne

Thanks for your very informative daily updates and stories. I subscribe to four daily investment advisors and yours are the only one I always read and almost always follow. I followed your trades to the letter and most were successful. The problem was I was not trading live (always at least half a day late and sometimes a full day due to the time difference (US versus AUD), … [Read more...]

January 5, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Grave Diggers

“Guys that are short, they better have a shovel to dig themselves out of the grave,” said legendary hedge fund manager, David Tepper, of Appaloosa Management. … [Read more...]

January 2, 2015

Global Market Comments January 2, 2015 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THE LONG VIEW ON EMERGING MARKETS), (HOW TO AVOID THE PONZI SCHEME TRAP), (MURRAY SAYLE: THE PASSING OF A GIANT IN JOURNALISM), (TESTIMONIAL)   … [Read more...]

The Long View on Emerging Markets

China

I managed to catch a few comments in the distinct northern accent of Jim O'Neil, the fabled analyst who invented the 'BRIC' term, and who was later kicked upstairs to the chairman's seat at Goldman Sachs International (GS) in London. Jim thinks that it is still the early days for the space, and that these countries have another ten years of high growth ahead of them. As I have … [Read more...]

How to Avoid the Ponzi Scheme Trap

Bernie Madoff

I spent a sad and depressing, but highly instructional evening with Dr. Stephen Greenspan, who had lost most of his personal fortune with Bernie Madoff. The University of Connecticut psychology professor had poured the bulk of his savings into Sandra Mansky's Tremont feeder fund; receiving convincing trade confirms and rock solid custody statements from the Bank of New … [Read more...]

Murray Sayle: The Passing of a Giant in Journalism

Murray Sayle

I was saddened when I heard of the death of my close friend, the Australian, Murray Sayle a few years ago, after his long battle with Parkinson's disease at the age of 84. Murray was one of the giants of journalism in the second half of the 20th century. He started by editing the newspaper at University of Sydney, where his incendiary opinions got him expelled from school. It … [Read more...]

Testimonial

BusinessJohnThomasProfileMap2-1

We view The Mad Hedge Fund Trader as a vital resource that helps us focus on major market trends that are most likely to make money over time. It is a resource that helps us filter out the daily noise in various markets and the mostly irrelevant commentary of TV's talking heads. Unlike many newsletters that focus on one strategy or asset class The Mad Hedge Fund Trader's … [Read more...]

January 2, 2015 – Quote of the Day

Walter Bagehot

“A central bank is best that governs least, but is prepared to govern radically when called upon,” said 19th century man of letters, Walter Bagehot, an early editor of The Economist … [Read more...]

December 31, 2014

Global Market Comments December 31, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (FRIDAY APRIL 3 HONOLULU, HAWAII STRATEGY LUNCHEON), (WILL SYNBIO SAVE OR DESTROY THE WORLD?), (XLV), (XPH), (XBI), (MON), (IBM), (GOOG), (AAPL), (CSCO) Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF (XPH) SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI) Monsanto Company (MON) International Business … [Read more...]

Will SynBio Save or Destroy the World?

Man Bio Hazard Suit

Some 40 years ago, when I was a biotechnology student at UCLA, a handful of graduate students speculated about how dangerous our work really was. It only took us an hour to figure out how to synthesize a microbe that had a 99% fatality rate, was immune to antibiotics, and was so simple it could be produced in your home kitchen. Basically, a bunch of bored students discovered a … [Read more...]

December 31, 2014 – Quote of the Day

Obama Inaugeration

“It is very important for President Obama to succeed,” said former President George W. Bush to Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates, three weeks after the inauguration. … [Read more...]

December 30, 2014

Global Market Comments December 30, 2014 Fiat Lux Featured Trade: (THE SECOND AMERICAN INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION), (INDU), (SPY), (QQQ), (USO), (UNG), (GLD), (DBA), (TESTIMONIAL) Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) PowerShares QQQ (QQQ) United States Oil ETF (USO) United States Natural Gas ETF (UNG) SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) PowerShares … [Read more...]

December 29, 2014

Global Market Comments December 29, 2013 Fiat Lux Featured Trades: (BE CAREFUL WHO YOU SNITCH ON), (A CONVERSATION WITH THE BOOTS ON THE GROUND), (DINNER WITH JOSEPH STIGLITZ) … [Read more...]