• support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Member Login
Mad Hedge Fund Trader
  • Home
  • About
  • Store
  • Luncheons
  • Testimonials
  • Contact Us
  • Click to open the search input field Click to open the search input field Search
  • Menu Menu
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 1, 2010 - My Anti Review of the Chevy Volt

Diary

Featured Trades: (CHEVY VOLT REVIEW), (NSANY), (GM)

 


2) My Anti Review of the Chevy Volt. In 2011, we will we be deluged by an onslaught of advertising praising the virtues of the electric car, as models like the Nissan Leaf (NSANY) and the Chevy Volt (GM) hit the market. If last week's San Francisco Auto Show at the downtown Moscone Center was any guide, the faceoff between the two vehicles is all over but the crying.

After spending three hours test driving the Leaf and grilling Nissan's engineers on specs (click here for my piece), I strolled over to the General Motors display on the other site of the hall. There I found the Volt up on a pedestal guarded by two silicone enhanced hotties, who, while attractive, where clueless about the capabilities of the car. Perhaps they were strategically placed there to distract viewers from the design lines of the Volt, which I found utterly uninspiring. It's as if the car was designed by a committee of old ladies. The new Corvette Stingray, now that was inspiring.

When I asked them to open the hood, I was told it was disabled to prevent access to the public. The engine has been cleverly renamed the generator, even though it is still an engine. The car can drive 40 miles on an electric charge, when a 1.4 liter, 89 horsepower gas engine takes over, taking it a total of 350 miles. I'm told that 'range anxiety' was a big factor in GM's planning, which they learned the hard way from their painful and costly EV-1 disaster in the nineties. That project was killed off when oil plunged to $8 a barrel, and the world wanted to own Suburbans.

The 435 pound lithium ion battery is two thirds the weight of the Leaf's, with half the output, recharges from 240 volts in half the Leaf's eight hours, and carries the same eight year warranty. Could they start the engine up so I could check the noise level? No, the fumes would fill the hall in minutes, which was ironic, since I had just come from tearing up the grand ballroom in the exhaust free Leaf.

You get all of this for a non subsidized price of $42,000, some $10,000 more than the vastly superior Leaf. GM is doing a token launch along with the Leaf in December, but the vehicle won't be available in real numbers until early 2012. That's when Toyota brings out its plug-in Prius, with twice the performance with a flawless ten year track record for a third less money. By then, Nissan will own the market. Talk about a day late and a dollar short. Haven't we seen this movie before?

If you were wondering why I was boycotting the GM IPO, this was a big reason. Despite all of the promises by an earnest new management, GM is still pumping out lemons. I have a feeling that the big buyer of this car will be the US government, as it is still a major shareholder in the company. For decades after the 1979 Chrysler bail out, my government ride was always in one of their vehicles. You'd be better off buying another Suburban.

Ready to Buy From Government Motors?

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2010-12-01 01:50:392010-12-01 01:50:39December 1, 2010 - My Anti Review of the Chevy Volt
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 1, 2010 - Your Engraved Invitation to Sell the Yen

Diary

Featured Trades: (JAPANESE YEN), (FXY), (YCS)


3) Your Engraved Invitation to Sell the Yen. It is looking like the worm has finally turned on the Japanese currency. After tickling ?80.20 for a nanosecond on November 1, it has swan dived. It didn't even rally during Thanksgiving week, when Uncle Buck momentarily sold off against most currencies. We broke the 50 day moving average at ?82.60 on November 15. The November 30 close promises to deliver a 'monthly outside reversal', which is a big deal for technical analysts.

Of course, I have been banging the table for some time, insisting that the yen was the world's most overvalued asset (click here for 'The Collapse of the Yen: The Party Has Started' and click here for 'Pricking the Bubble in the Yen'). The economic rationale is really quite simple. The US economy is enjoying a growth spurt, possibly to a 3.5% annualized rate, while the Land of the Rising Sun is as dead as a doorknob. This has triggered rising American interest rates, especially at the long end, and an opened up a widening interest rate differential in favor of the greenback. This forces international capital to migrate irresistibly out of the yen and into the dollar.

The Japanese currency is printing ?84 as I write this. I think worst case, the yen continues to chop around in a ?80- ?85 range. Best case, it just keeps falling. Remember to think in inverse terms with the yen, which means that a trip from ?80 to ?85 is a move down. If you don't get something on board soon, you end up reading about this in the Wall Street Journal, instead of counting profits in your trading account.

Keep in mind that this not a riskless trade. If Congress gridlocks, and there is no extension of the Bush tax cuts for anyone, the double dip recession plops right back on the table, and it will be off to the races for the yen once again. So a short on the yen here is essentially a bet that our august leaders won't commit collective political and economic suicide, which is no sure thing.

The easiest way into this trade for retail accounts is to buy the 200% leverage short ETF (YCS), which is now trading at $16.85. Since it has already run up 13% in four weeks, only take a 1/3 position here, invest another 1/3 on any pull back, and the last 1/3 on continued strength. The initial medium target should be the 200 day moving average at $18.67, and I bet this baby makes it to $40 someday. And keep a stop loss in at $15 in case an atomic bomb explodes in Washington.

-

The Yen is Not as Strong as it Looks

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2010-12-01 01:40:112010-12-01 01:40:11December 1, 2010 - Your Engraved Invitation to Sell the Yen
Page 4 of 41234

tastytrade, Inc. (“tastytrade”) has entered into a Marketing Agreement with Mad Hedge Fund Trader (“Marketing Agent”) whereby tastytrade pays compensation to Marketing Agent to recommend tastytrade’s brokerage services. The existence of this Marketing Agreement should not be deemed as an endorsement or recommendation of Marketing Agent by tastytrade and/or any of its affiliated companies. Neither tastytrade nor any of its affiliated companies is responsible for the privacy practices of Marketing Agent or this website. tastytrade does not warrant the accuracy or content of the products or services offered by Marketing Agent or this website. Marketing Agent is independent and is not an affiliate of tastytrade. 

Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

Copyright © 2025. Mad Hedge Fund Trader. All Rights Reserved. support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Privacy Policy
  • Disclaimer
  • FAQ
Scroll to top