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Testimonial

Testimonials

I have always had a passion for the markets and Macro Millionaire gave me the courage to make my first trade. At the time I was unemployed and put in everything I could scrape together - about ten thousand dollars. For me this was a free education, as the profits would pay for all the books and the fee. My father gave me some money as a gift, while telling me ?I was crazy? following ?some guy? off the Internet.

Every suggestion I have taken religiously. I follow all your lead indicators from the Shanghai stock market to Dr. Copper and the jobless claims. In the last couple of months I have started doing my own successful options trades based on the extra suggestions you give in the webinars and commentaries. Often I do a trade and ten minutes later an alert comes.

My father who is worried about his future (like so many of us) is now joining the program. I am going to assist him with his first trades. Another family member has asked me to manage his money. I really feel you are helping me become a hedge fund manager with this fantastic program.

Geoff
London ? England

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madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com

Quote of the Day: October 28th

Quote of the Day

"It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price? said Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett.

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madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com

Trade Alert - (FXE) October 27, 2011

Trade Alert

As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com2011-10-27 10:00:452011-10-27 10:00:45Trade Alert - (FXE) October 27, 2011
madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com

Get Ready to Short the Euro Again

Diary

The financial markets exploded to the upside overnight with news of Europe?s triple resolution of their sovereign debt crisis. As I predicted in my letter only yesterday, the move has caught traders by surprise, enabling markets to break out to the upside from the recent ranges, and give this fall rally longer legs than most expect.

As I write this piece, the (SPX) futures have popped to 1275, a new high for this move. Ten year Treasury yields have ratcheted back up to 2.26%, and the dollar is in full flight against a basket of currencies. Here are the details in summary:

*Capital for the European Financial Stability Fund will be increased to ?1 trillion.

*Greek debt will be written down 50%, halving the country?s debt to GDP ratio in one fell swoop.

*European bank capital ratios must be raised from 6% to 9% by June next year.

The package raises more questions than it answers. It delivers less than what the optimists were hoping for, but more than what the pessimists dreaded. You really have to wonder where banks are going to raise $120 billion in private capital in this environment. As a result, Asian sovereign debt funds will probably end up owning large stakes in European banks at fabulous discount prices.

While the cut in Greece?s debt load to only 120% of GDP is welcome, it offers no clear path on how the beleaguered country is going to cope with the heavy burden of the remaining balance. Of course, the deal is a total home run for the Chinese, who I have been advising to load up on as much Greek debt as possible at 30 cents on the dollar. This is only the first chapter in what is likely to become an epic restructuring of the European economy and financial system. Much work lies ahead, and many more gut churning headlines lie in our future.

The move has triggered a ?feel good? rally for the European currency, which has soared to the low $1.41?s. Herein lies the opportunity. Wait for this rally to exhaust itself, then sell the daylights out of the Euro. They next move on European interest rates has to be down. Now that the can has been kicked down the road on the debt problem the European Central Bank can now focus on the distressed economy.

With outgoing ECB president no longer around to justify his disastrous rate hikes in the first half of the year, the new president, the Italian Central banker Mario Draghi, has a free hand to initiate a rapid unwind. At the end of the day, interest rate differentials are the only thing that foreign exchange traders really care about, and such a move would pave the way for a dramatic weakening of the Euro against the dollar. Today?s bail out gives us a great entry point for such a trade.

For those who play in option land, the no brainer here is to buy the $1.40 puts on the (FXE) three months out. ETF investors should start nibbling on the (EUO), the double leveraged short play on the Euro. And to show how earthshaking this conclusion is, my house was at the epicenter of a 3.6 magnitude earthquake that just caused it to literally jump off its foundations with a giant roar.

Draghi: To Cut or Not to Cut, That is the Question

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/image02.jpg 210 250 madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com2011-10-27 03:30:212011-10-27 03:30:21Get Ready to Short the Euro Again
madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com

The Bull Market in Mustangs

Newsletter

The Western US has found a new wrinkle in the housing collapse, where homeowners are desperately struggling to cut living costs to meet the next doubling of their adjustable rate mortgage payments on their underwater houses.

Raising horses can cost more than children, so Nevadans are turning them loose to join herds of wild mustangs, to dodge the $30,000/year it costs to board and care for these voracious animals. Local populations are exploding, eating local ranchers out of house and home, who depend on public grazing lands to feed commercial livestock.

Recently, the Bureau of Land Management held hearings on where to place 25,000 excess animals. Mustangs are the feral descendants of horses which escaped the conquistadores, and there are now thought to be 30,000 running wild, down from a 19th century peak of 2 million. The BLM has another 30,000 in pens, and is making 10,000/year available for adoption at $125/each.
The problem is that many adopt ?pets? who then flip them to Canadian slaughterhouses, which cater to the odd French taste for horseflesh. To see how this works, watch Clark Gable, Marilyn Monroe, and James Dean?s last film, The Misfits.

Madeleine Pickens, the wife of famed oil trader T. Boone Pickens, has offered to take the BLM?s entire herd and put them out to pasture at an undisclosed million acre location. If there is anyone who could have an undisclosed million acres, it is Boone. I have frequently run into majestic and beautiful mustang herds over the years while camping in the remote desert (no, I don?t go to Burning Man). Reminding me that there is still some ?wild? in the ?West?, I will miss them when they are gone.

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/image03.jpg 440 615 madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com2011-10-27 03:20:002011-10-27 03:20:00The Bull Market in Mustangs
madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com

Watch Me on Money Show TV

Diary

My friend, Charles Githler, organizer of the hugely successful Money Shows, graciously invited me to appear as a keynote speaker at the recent Las Vegas event. You will never find more talent, useful tools, and new points of view under one roof than any other confab of this kind. And best of all, they are free to attend.

After my speech, I made a series of instructional videos for new, prospective investors on how to make money in these incredibly difficult and contentious markets. I have listed three titles below along with their links. If long term followers and friends want to have a laugh and see how much this business has aged me, please take a look. They run about ten minutes each. For a calendar of the next Money Show nearest you, please click here.

Video 1: How to Trade Like a Hedge Fund Manager - Play Video

Video 2: 3 Global ETFs Worth Watching - Play Video

Video 3: The Most Common Investor Mistake - Play Video

If you have any questions about the videos, please don't hesitate to contact me.
Thanks again,

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madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com

Quote of the Day: October 27th

Diary

?A bank is a place where they lend you an umbrella in fair weather and ask for it back when it begins to rain,? said the American poet laureate, Robert Frost.

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/image06.jpg 335 426 madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com2011-10-27 03:00:052011-10-27 03:00:05Quote of the Day: October 27th
madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com

Sold Out! Portland November 25th Strategy Luncheon

Lunch

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader?s Global Strategy Lunch, which I will be conducting in Portland, Oregon at 12:00 noon on Friday, November 25, 2011, the day after Thanksgiving. A three course lunch will be followed by a PowerPoint presentation and an extended question and answer period.

I?ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep you in suspense, I?ll be throwing a few surprises out there too. Enough charts, tables, graphs, and statistics will be thrown at you to keep your ears ringing for a week. Tickets are available for $215.

I?ll be arriving an hour early and leaving late in case anyone wants to have a one on one discussion, or just sit around and chew the fat about the financial markets. I expect a small group, so there will be plenty of opportunities to exchange ideas.

The lunch will be held at downtown Portland hotel that will be emailed to you with your confirmation.

I look forward to meeting you, and thank you for supporting my research. To purchase tickets for the luncheons, click the button below:

[button size="large" color="red"]Sold Out[/button]

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madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com

Winging My Way Back From China

Diary

I am writing TO you from my first class seat on Singapore Airlines, winging my way the 12 hours from Hong Kong to San Francisco. While most airlines jettisoned their first class sections years ago as a cost saving measure, Singapore carried on to maintain its reputation as the best airline in the world. The small section at the front of the bus is populated with a few Chinese billionaires, Taipans, and CEO?s flying at shareholder expense. They are transported in untold luxury with a fully flat bed almost the size of a regular single and a 24 inch high HDTV with a vast movie library. The plane carries double the number of stewardesses on American airliners.

They say a change is as good as a vacation, and this trip certainly fit the bill. I covered 23,000 miles in 17 days, which is really a trip around the world, touching down in New Zealand, Australia, Singapore, Hong Kong, and mainland China. The people I met were fascinating, and included a Maori chieftain, an Australian media mogul, gold miners from Queensland, sheep farmers in New South Wales, Chinese bankers, a Singaporean F-5 combat pilot, and senior officials from the People?s Republic of China. I even managed to track down a Chinese renegade rare earth miner on his day off, and the good news is that he didn?t shoot me, as long as I didn?t take pictures.

I heard some amazing stories and gained some first class intelligence, which I will translate into killer trading opportunities. I will be feeding these out as fast as these old, arthritic and scarred fingers can type them. Alas, I can only knock out about 1,500 words a day before it starts to turn to mush and my back gives out. I will be publishing a series of Pacific country reports over the next four Fridays.

The market? Ohhhh, you want me to talk about the market! Let me give you my quickie read here. My fall rally kicked in right on schedule, my call to cover all shorts coming within a point of the actual bottom in the (SPX). This is the closest I have ever come picking an absolute bottom. After that, it was off to the races with a ?RISK ON? trade with a vengeance. Corporate earnings are coming in much better than anticipated.

This has triggered a buying stampede for all risk assets as hedge fund traders rush to cover shorts and conventional managers frenetically readjust substantial underweight positions they only recently achieved. This has truly been the year from hell, and the word is that 40% of active managers are underperforming their benchmarks by 250 basis points or more.

Having discounted a double dip recession that was never going to happen, Mr. Market is now backing that possibility out again. The net result of all this was to take the S&P 500 from a 1,075 bottom up 17% to just short of my target at the 200 day moving average of 1,275. The entire script unfolded exactly as I expected. Followers of my Macro Millionaire trading service got the memo in my October 8 webinar, The Short Game is Over, and have been laughing all the way to the bank since then. Their year to trade performance now stands at a new high of 42.13%.

The easy money in this move has been made, and we are now bumping up against 200 day moving averages across all equity classes. Expect a prolonged battle to be fought here. So this is not a great place to initiate new positions. Bonds have died, but yields have not risen as much as I would have thought, given the ebullience of the price action.

The (TBT) is the sole position I currently have in my portfolio, and it has only picked up a measly 23% in this move. I would have expected more.

Expect the rally to fail several times at these levels before they make further progress. There is a lot of hot money to flush out here before they can mount a break out to the upside. Take a look at the chart for crude oil and the (USO), which is telling you that this risk on will have longer legs than most expect. What will be the trigger? Surprise progress on the European sovereign debt crisis, or even a deliberate kicking of the can down the road.

One additional note. You have noticed some modifications to the website. No, it has not had a sex change operation to get even with me for my absence. I am launching a major upgrade, redesign, and improvement in functionality, plowing in new capital that thousands of new subscribers have afforded me. The final version will be up and running in a couple of days. But like all great birthing events, this was has not without surprises, difficulties, and setbacks.

Rather than willingly give up its toys to the new kid on the block, our hosting service has chosen to break them instead. In addition, moving over two War and Peace?s on the Internet, the extent of the content I have written over the past four years, is no piece of cake. It took Tolstoy seven years just to write it once, but that was in long hand with a quill pen, so I?ll forgive the old man.

For those who wish to participate in Macro Millionaire, my highly innovative and successful trade mentoring program, please email John Thomas directly at madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com . Please put ?Macro Millionaire? in the subject line, as we are getting buried in emails.

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madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com

Quote of the Day: October 26th

Quote of the Day

?Seek the truth, and let the chips fall where they may,? Said White House Correspondent, Helen Thomas, about her profession, adding ?I?m a cynic with hope.?

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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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