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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 4, 2014 - MDT - Midday Missive

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-04 14:07:562014-09-04 14:07:56September 4, 2014 - MDT - Midday Missive
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 4, 2014 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-04 10:23:322014-09-04 10:23:32September 4, 2014 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 4, 2014

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
September 4, 2014
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(WHAT?S REALLY HAPPENING IN THE MIDDLE EAST),
(USO), (TLT), (SPY), (GLD), (UUP), (XLK), (XLI), (XLF)

United States Oil (USO)
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT)
SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF (UUP)
Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK)
Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI)
Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-04 01:04:282014-09-04 01:04:28September 4, 2014
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 4, 2014 - Quote of the Day

Quote of the Day

?You always sound smarter when you?re a bear than when you?re a bull,? said Adam Parker of Morgan Stanley.

Einstein

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/Einstein-e1440525104892.jpg 300 233 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-04 01:02:152014-09-04 01:02:15September 4, 2014 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 3, 2014 - MDT - Midday Missive

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-03 16:32:502014-09-03 16:32:50September 3, 2014 - MDT - Midday Missive
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 3, 2014 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-03 09:44:082014-09-03 09:44:08September 3, 2014 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 3, 2014

Diary, Newsletter

Global Market Comments
September 3, 2014
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(THE CASE FOR BUYING FINANCIALS)
(BAC), (C), (AXP), (TLT),
(THE MYSTERY OF THE BRASHER DOUBLOON),
(TESTIMONIAL)

Bank of America Corporation (BAC)
Citigroup Inc. (C)
American Express Company (AXP)
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-03 09:30:532014-09-03 09:30:53September 3, 2014
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Case for Buying Financials

Newsletter, Research

Regular readers of this letter are probably weary of me harping away about the financials as a great place to put your money for the rest of 2014.

Never mind that these names have all jumped 10% in the past month. But this is not an ?I told you so? story. This is more of a ?But wait, there?s more,? story.

The basis for my call is quite simple. I believe that bond prices are peaking, and yields bottoming. As mining the yield curve is a major source of bank profits, borrowing short term and lending long term, a rise in interest rates falls straight to the bottom line. Thus, buying banks is an indirect way of selling short the bond market.

However, there are many more reasons to overweight this long neglected sector. In a market that has gone virtually straight up for the past three years, many large institutions are going to be forced to roll money out of leaders, like my favored technology, energy and health care, into laggards, such as the financials.

Expect this trend to accelerate as we head into yearend institutional book closing, which start as early as October 30.

Look at other important drivers of bank profits, and you?ll find them at multi decade lows.

Trading and investment banking volumes are off 30%-40% from mean historic levels. We options traders already know this all too well, as turnover has cratered and spreads widened due to investor lack of interest.

This is especially true of put options, which are now being given away virtually for free. Volatility that seems to permanently live at the $12 handle is another such indicator of this disinterest.

This will not last. If my ?Golden Age? scenario plays out in the 2020?s (click here for ?Get Ready for the Coming Golden Age?), trading and investment banking volumes will not only double to return to the norms, they will skyrocket tenfold from today?s tedious, moribund levels.

Indeed, I have recently discovered an entire subculture of financial oriented private equity firms currently amassing portfolios that are betting on precisely such an outcome. Think of big, smart, long-term money. The big bets on the coming decade are being made now.

There is another ripple in the case for banks. After passage of the Financial Stability Act of 2010, otherwise known as ?Dodd Frank?, banks became target numero uno of the federal government. The public?s demand for accountability for the 2008-09 crash knew no bounds.

As a result, the fines and settlements with the big banks, most of which were rescued from bankruptcy by the government, now well exceed $100 billion. Four years into the enforcement onslaught, the Feds are running out of scandals to prosecute. There is nothing left for the banks to plead guilty to.

This means that a major portion of the banks? costs are about to disappear, not only new massive fines, but hundreds of millions of dollars in legal fees and diverted management time as well. More money drops to the bottom line.

Dramatically rising income? Substantially falling costs? Sounds like ?Ka-ching? to me, and a ?BUY? for the bank stocks.

The bottom line is that bank stock could double from here in coming years. It is not hard to pick names. Bank of America (BAC) took the big hit on fines and settlements, and therefore should enjoy the largest bounce.

So should Citigroup (C), which came the closest to vaporizing. And for good measure, I?ll throw in American Express (AXP) as a play on the burgeoning credit card spending by the growing class of well to do.

BAC 9-2-14

AXP 9-2-14

C 9-2-14

TLT 9-2-14

John Thomas and Barney FrankBarney Frank Had a Few Things to Say

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/John-Thomas-and-Barney-Frank.jpg 357 577 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-03 09:29:542014-09-03 09:29:54The Case for Buying Financials
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 3, 2014 - Quote of the Day

Quote of the Day

?When you hit ?SEND? on a text, you lose ownership of that text. Yet, you retain the responsibility for that text.? said Mark Cuban, a serial entrepreneur who just won a nasty case with the SEC.

Send

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Send.jpg 186 323 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2014-09-03 09:20:092014-09-03 09:20:09September 3, 2014 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 2, 2014 - MDT - Pattern Alert

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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