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Arthur Henry

February 6, 2018

Diary

Global Market Comments
February 6, 2018
Fiat Lux

SPECIAL CRASH ISSUE

Featured Trade:
(KEEP CALM AND DON'T PANIC),
(VIX), (VXX), (SPY)

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2018-02-06 01:07:132018-02-06 01:07:13February 6, 2018
Arthur Henry

February 6, 2018

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
February 6, 2018
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(A PRIMER FOR THE CLOUD),
(CRM), (ORCL), (MSFT), (GOOGL), (AMZN)

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2018-02-06 01:06:282018-02-06 01:06:28February 6, 2018
Arthur Henry

Keep Calm and Don't Panic

Diary, Newsletter

Other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how was the play?

I thought I'd never see a 1987 crash again. But my problem is that I lived too long.

Welcome to the first flash crash of 2018, and probably not the last. And here's the really good news. It's not over!

As I write this, the Volatility Index (VIX) is trading in the aftermarket at $53, up 36% from the close. The Short Volatility ETN that I bought right a the close at $93 is now trading at $16!

Clearly a major short (VIX) player has gone bust, triggering a forced liquidation in the aftermarket. We'll find out who in a couple of days.

This could market the top of the (VIX) and the bottom in stocks once we endure one more horrific opening.

When looking for the guilty party in the mass murder, you have to vote for "All of the above."

The president declassified a memo, despite the FBI announcing in advance that it was false, prompting foreign concerns of an American right wing coup 'd etat. He preceded this with a State of the Union address which could have been lifted from George Orwell's Animal House.

Notice that every selloff started with a big share dump from Europeans concerned about American political risk. Gee, I can't believe I'm saying that.

Fed governor Janet Yellen, the greatest stock market booster of all time, retired on Friday. Markets have a history of greeting new Fed governors with a slap in the face.

The yield on the ten-year Treasury bond yield popped 45 basis points to 2.85% in a month, taking away the punch bowl for many highly leveraged traders.

Then the January Nonfarm Payroll Report revealed the highest wage growth in many years, unleashing inflation fears.

And what about all those share buy backs, a major prop to the market? Sorry, they ain't happening baby, not during the earnings quiet period. Apple shareholders will just have to wait for $270 billion in buying to hit the market.

While you can't swing a dead cat without hitting a victim of the Dow Average's 2,800-point, 10.5% decline, there were several winners.

ETF's traded remarkably well, except for the above noted volatility plays. There were no forced liquidations into penny bids, as we saw with the last flash crash.

And I have to say, the trading strategy of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader has been totally vindicated. Our Trade Alert performance has lost only 3.09% so far in February and is still up +1.00% on the year. And we'll be up in February at the options expiration on Friday next week.

I went into the meltdown with a 50% cash position, and 50% in hedged spreads in options with only 9 days to expiration. I then cut all my higher risk positions right after the Monday opening, when the market was briefly up. My long positions in gold (GLD) and bonds (TLT) actually rose today.

It looks like the harder I work, the luckier I get.

To show you how crazy things got, Yahoo mail was up and down all day, the Interactive Brokers platform regularly crashed every ten minutes, and the data inputs for the Mad Hedge Market Timing Index froze when it hit 40.

When the dust settles, we will be set up for the best buying opportunity of 2018. The market price earnings multiple has just fallen from 19X to 16X, and it may be at 15X before it is all over. That could be right after theTuesday opening.

It is hard to imagine that institutions left behind by the January melt down will ignore this opportunity.

The best thing you can do now is to make lists of stocks to buy at the bottom, focusing on the premier technology names. Recent research names provided by the Mad Hedge Fund Trader would be a good place to start.

Sorry for the short letter today, but I have been working the phones trying to get to the root of things.

Good Luck and Good Trading
John Thomas
CEO & Publisher
The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/keep-calm.jpg 348 248 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2018-02-06 01:05:552018-02-06 01:05:55Keep Calm and Don't Panic
Arthur Henry

A Primer for the Cloud

Tech Letter

One fact came out loud and clear last week among the deluge of big technology companies last week.

You want to hitch your wagon to cloud based investments in any way, shape or form you can.

That was the writing on the wall after Amazon Web Services (AMZN) announced a blistering 45% growth in sales off of an already enormous base. Microsoft followed up with an eye-popping 98% jump is cloud services. Cloud is even starting to account for a noticeable share of Apple's (AAPL) earnings.

The future is about the cloud.

These days, the average investor probably hears about the cloud a dozen times a day. If you work in Silicon Valley you can triple that figure.

So before we get deep into the weeds with this letter on cloud services, cloud fundamentals, cloud plays, and cloud Trade Alerts, let's get into the basics of what the cloud actually is. Think of this as a cloud primer.

It's import to understand the cloud, both its strengths and limitations. Giant companies that have figured it out, like Salesforce (CRM) and Oracle (ORCL), are some of the most profitable companies in the world.

Understand the cloud and you will readily identify its bottlenecks and bulges that can lead to extreme investment opportunities. And that's where I come in.

Cloud storage refers to the online space where you can store data. It resides across multiple remote servers housed inside massive data centers all over the country, some as large as football fields, often in rural areas where land, labor, and electricity are cheap.

They are built using virtualization technology, which means that storage space spans across many different servers and multiple locations. If this sounds crazy remember that the original Department of Defense packet switching design was intended to make the system atomic bomb proof.

As a user you can access any single server at any one time anywhere in the world. These servers are owned, maintained and operated by giant third-party companies like Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet (GOOGL), which may or may not charge a fee for using them.

The most important features of cloud storage are:

1) It is a service provided by an external provider

2) All data is stored outside your computer and in-house network

3) A simple Internet connection will allow you to access your data at any time.

4) Because of all these features, sharing data with others is vastly easier, and you can even work with multiple people online at the same time, making it the perfect vehicle for our globalized world.

Once you start using the cloud to store a company's data, the benefits are many.

1. No Maintenance

Many companies, regardless of their size, prefer to store data inside in-house servers and data centers.

However, these require constant 24 hour a day maintenance, so the company has to employ a large in-house IT staff to manage them, a costly proposition.

Thanks to cloud storage, businesses can save tons of money on maintenance since their servers are now the headache of third-party providers.

Instead, they can focus resources on the core aspects of their business where they can add the most value, without worrying about managing IT staff of prima donnas.

2. Greater Flexibility

Today's employees want to have a better work-life balance and this goal can be best achieved through letting them telecommute. Increasingly, workers are bending their jobs to fit their lifestyles, and that is certainly the case here at Mad Hedge Fund Trader.

How else can I send off a Trade Alert while hanging from the face of a Swiss Alp?

Cloud storage services, like Google Drive, offer exactly this kind of flexibility for employees. According to a recent survey, 79% of respondents already work outside of their office some of the time, while another 60% would switch jobs if offered this flexibility.

With data stored online, it's easy for employees to log into a cloud portal, work on the data they need to, and then log off when they're done. This way a single project can be worked on by a global team, the work handed off from time zone to time zone until it's done.

It also makes them work more efficiently, saving penny pinching entrepreneurs money.

3. Better Collaboration and Communication

In today's business environment, it's common practice for employees to collaborate and communicate with co-workers located around the world.

For example, they may have to work on the same client proposal together or provide feedback on training documents. Cloud-based tools like Hightail, Dropbox, and Google Drive make collaboration and document management a piece of cake.

These products, which all offer free entry level versions, allow users to access the latest versions of any document, so they can stay on top of real time changes, which can help businesses to better manage their work flow, regardless of geographical location.

4. Data Protection

Another important reason to move to the cloud is for better protection of your data, especially in the event of a natural disaster. Hurricane Sandy wrought havoc on local data centers in New York City, forcing many websites to shut down their operations for days.

The cloud simply routs traffic around problem areas as if, yes, they have just been destroyed by a nuclear attack.

It's best to move data to the cloud, to avoid such disruptions because there your data will be stored in multiple locations.

This redundancy makes it so that, even if one area is affected, your operations don't have to suffer and data remains accessible no matter what happens. It's a system called de-duplication.

5. Lower Overhead

The cloud can save businesses a lot of money.

By outsourcing data storage to cloud providers, businesses save on capital and maintenance costs, money which in turn can be used to expand the business. Setting up an in-house data center requires tens of thousands of dollars in investment, and that's not to mention the maintenance costs it carries.

Plus, considering the security, reduced lag, up time and controlled environments that providers like Amazon's AWS have, creating an in-house data center seems about as contemporary as a buggy whip, a corset, or a Model T.

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/cloud-computing.jpg 453 459 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2018-02-06 01:05:252018-02-06 01:05:25A Primer for the Cloud
Arthur Henry

Trade Alert - (SPY) - February 5, 2018

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2018-02-05 15:56:462018-02-05 15:56:46Trade Alert - (SPY) - February 5, 2018
Arthur Henry

Trade Alert - (XIV) February 5, 2018 BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2018-02-05 15:36:112018-02-05 15:36:11Trade Alert - (XIV) February 5, 2018 BUY
Arthur Henry

Trade Alert - (TLT) February 5, 2018 BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2018-02-05 14:41:032018-02-05 14:41:03Trade Alert - (TLT) February 5, 2018 BUY
Arthur Henry

Trade Alert - (MS) February 5, 2018

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2018-02-05 10:56:172018-02-05 10:56:17Trade Alert - (MS) February 5, 2018
Arthur Henry

Trade Alert - (NEM) February 5, 2018

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2018-02-05 10:08:012018-02-05 10:08:01Trade Alert - (NEM) February 5, 2018
Douglas Davenport

February 5, 2018 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Douglas Davenport https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Douglas Davenport2018-02-05 10:01:292018-02-05 10:01:29February 5, 2018 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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