When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more
Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 18, 2018
Fiat Lux
The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)
1) Fed Says They’re Still Raising Rates Four Times in a Year, no matter what the president says. Look for a 3.25% overnight rate in a year, and 4% for three months funds. Can the economy handle it? Me thinks not. Click here.
2) Elon Musk Buys $20 Million of Tesla Stock, adding to his existing $9 billion. If this won’t scare the shorts what will? Click here.
3) Initial Jobless Claims at 210,000, down 5,000, hugging all-time lows. I saw “NOW HIRING” signs everywhere on the Southeast US Road Show, especially makers of pecan pralines after my visit. Click here.
4) Facebook Hires 10,000 to Fight Fake News. It won’t work. No analog strategy can ever beat digital ones, and many of these screeners are coming down with post-traumatic stress. Whenever they close one bogus account, ten more pop up like whack-a-moles. Click here.
5) I Finally Became a Grandfather. Meet Corbin, the newest reader of the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader. Do you think there’s a trader in him?
Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:
SPECIAL TRAVEL PLANNING ISSUE
(IS AIRBNB YOUR NEXT TEN BAGGER?)
(UNDERSTANDING THE REAL COMPETITION),
(SPOT), (AAPL), (GOOGL), (MSFT), (HUAWEI)
While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more
Global Market Comments
October 18, 2018
Fiat Lux
SPECIAL TRAVEL PLANNING ISSUE
Featured Trade:
(IS AIRBNB YOUR NEXT TEN BAGGER?)
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
October 18, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(UNDERSTANDING THE REAL COMPETITION),
(SPOT), (AAPL), (GOOGL), (MSFT), (HUAWEI)
Microsoft sells computers?
That was the bizarre look I got after telling my friend that Microsoft (MSFT) is in the business of selling laptops, desktop computers, and tablets that convert into laptops from a product line called Microsoft Surface.
This is not your father’s Microsoft.
Things are different now.
Everything changed once they got rid of Steve Ballmer whose inertia prevented Microsoft from taking advantage of the huge influence they culled in the tech sector from being the universal operating system for PCs.
Ballmer’s lack of technical expertise was his own downfall stemming from his terrible decision to buy Nokia’s handset business for $7.6 billion.
The board of directors forced him out and was a blessing in disguise.
Thousands were laid off in the Nokia handset division and a massive write-down was taken.
As big tech spread out their wings and branch off into various businesses they never imagined before, they have reinvented the former images of themselves.
This goes for Microsoft who’s taking their legacy business of Microsoft Office and Windows and leveraging it with the cloud to create a stellar product.
And with the cash hoard, not only are they creating new products by fusing together old products with new technologies, they are overlapping into other big tech companies’ turf.
The overlapping products can be seen in hardware products made by this software behemoth and their neighbors.
The Microsoft Surface division is up 25% YOY speaking volumes to the quality hardware Microsoft produce now even if you didn’t know about it.
Apple (AAPL) has attracted most of the conversation in the "smart" headphones space because of the AirPods.
The sleek white earbuds are becoming ubiquitous with the headphone space trending to a smaller and "true" wireless.
A schism has formed as the AirPods don’t satisfy the entire spectrum of smart headphone fans.
The retro ear-muff shaped headphone with more immersive sound is what I am talking about, and I do recognize that Beats has been in the market for a decade.
Microsoft chose to go this route with their smart headphones and this is their answer to the iconic AirPods and the Google (GOOGL) Pixel Buds.
This smart headphone comes with an embedded digital assistant and integrates noise cancellation.
I tried out the Microsoft's Surface Headphones before they came on the market, and I only had positive things to say about the quality and experience.
They sound impressive, the controls are easy to use, and the modern design is definitely a plus.
The color could use a little reimagination but all in all, I was pleased.
Microsoft Cortana, Microsoft’s digital assistant, for all who don’t know, is also slipped into the experience and a tap on the right earcup will summon Cortana.
It seems that Microsoft still needs a few kinks to work out with Cortana, but voice activation and smart assistants like Siri and Google Assistant can be found in almost every hardware and software product now.
Headphones are city workers’ second most important smart device because of its functionality.
Have you ever been on the New York metro and seen how many people are wearing smart headphones?
Quality headphones shut off the outside world and warm up the insides with the user’s favorites on Spotify (SPOT) or Apple Music.
Stressing out on the commute into work in an Uber is common and calming the frayed nerves before workers enter into the office of dungeons and dragons has a type of value that can never be replicated.
Urban dwellers need high-quality smart headphones and these big tech companies are acutely aware of this.
Google has made an audacious attempt to integrate real-time foreign translation into the Pixel Buds. It only works with Google’s Pixel phones, is hard to operate, and needs the Google Translate app on the phone.
It’s a good first step but the applications using smart headphones are endless.
Smart assistants are the key.
As they become more adept at processing the real world, they streamline and better a human’s life.
Microsoft’s smart headphones have embedded Skype, one of Ballmer’s positive acquisitions during his tenure. And with Cortana integration, it could morph into a natural extension of the Windows 10 experience.
Microsoft’s smart headphones morph into a point of conversion for more of Microsoft’s hardware products as they start to construct an expanding moat.
Headphones used to be more or less the same.
Plug it into the jack and you’re on your merry way.
The headphones of today are looking more different from each other with every iteration.
This was glaringly evident when Apple chose to no longer sell any phones with a 3.5mm headphone jack.
Ironically enough, Google dumped the headphone jack with its Pixel 2 phones a year later even though they bashed Apple for it a few months earlier.
The reason was mainly functional as Google said, “We want the display to go closer and closer to the edge.”
Gradually, smartphones will get rid of everything except a razor-thin screen. All the other clunky business in and around it needs to go. This is the first step and home buttons have been chopped off smartphones as well.
It is fine to get consumed in the battle of smart products between Silicon Valley companies, but there is a larger threat.
Chinese smart products are rapidly catching up to what American companies can produce.
The Middle Kingdom hasn’t surpassed American tech expertise yet but they are debuting devices relative to the competition that could only be dreamed about a few years ago.
Huawei's flagship smartphone Mate 20 and Mate 20 Pro pack a lot of punch and this must be frightening to the FANGs.
The timing of the phone debut is a big victory for American smartphone companies because this phone is good enough to grab market share from existing American companies but aren’t allowed to sell inside America.
Congress putting the kibosh on any sliver of a chance to partner with an American carrier means that there will be no chance of Chinese phones gutting the American smartphone market.
What it does mean is that they will invade and dominate other markets such as South East Asia, Eastern Europe, and Russia.
The same will go for any Chinese smart device.
Huawei has given up trying to circumvent the government blockade.
The Huawei Mate 20 is priced around $800 and the Mate 20 Pro at $1140. They are probably two of the best smartphones ever made and are a direct threat to any American company’s revenue that manufactures smartphones and smart devices.
"The idea of Twitter started with me working in dispatch since I was 15 years old, where taxi cabs or firetrucks would broadcast where they were and what they were doing." - Said CEO of Twitter and Square Jack Dorsey
“The red light on a television camera going on has the same effect on members of Congress as a full moon does on werewolves,” said former Secretary of Defense, Robert Gates.
While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more
Global Market Comments
October 17, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(WHO WAS THE GREATEST WEALTH CREATOR IN HISTORY?)
(FB), (AAPL), (GOOG), (AMZN),
(XOM), (BRKY), (T), (GM), (VZ), (CCA),
(WHY DOCTORS MAKE TERRIBLE TRADERS?)
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