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MHFTF

The Cloud for Dummies

Tech Letter

If you've been living under a rock the past few years, the cloud phenomenon hasn't passed you by and you still have time to cash in.

You want to hitch your wagon to cloud-based investments in any way, shape or form.

Microsoft's (MSFT) pivot to its Azure enterprise business has sent its stock skyward, and it is poised to rake in more than $100 billion in cloud revenue over the next 10 years.

Microsoft's share of the cloud market rose from 10% to 13% and is catching up to Amazon Web Services (AWS).

Amazon leads the cloud industry it created and the 49% growth in cloud sales from 42% in Q3 2017 is a welcome sign that Amazon is not tripping up.

It still maintains more than 30% of the cloud market. Microsoft would need to gain a lot of ground to even come close to this jewel of a business.

Amazon (AMZN) relies on AWS to underpin the rest of its businesses and that is why AWS contributes 73% to Amazon's total operating income.

Total revenue for just the AWS division is an annual $5.5 billion business and would operate as a healthy stand-alone tech company if need be.

Cloud revenue is even starting to account for a noticeable share of Apple's (AAPL) earnings, which has previously bet the ranch on hardware products.

The future is about the cloud.

These days, the average investor probably hears about the cloud a dozen times a day. If you work in Silicon Valley you can triple that figure.

So, before we get deep into the weeds with this letter on cloud services, cloud fundamentals, cloud plays, and cloud Trade Alerts, let's get into the basics of what the cloud actually is.

Think of this as a cloud primer.

It's important to understand the cloud, both its strengths and limitations. Giant companies that have it figured out, such as Salesforce (CRM) and Zscaler (ZS), are some of the fastest growing companies in the world.

Understand the cloud and you will readily identify its bottlenecks and bulges that can lead to extreme investment opportunities. And that's where I come in.

Cloud storage refers to the online space where you can store data. It resides across multiple remote servers housed inside massive data centers all over the country, some as large as football fields, often in rural areas where land, labor, and electricity are cheap.

They are built using virtualization technology, which means that storage space spans across many different servers and multiple locations. If this sounds crazy, remember that the original Department of Defense packet-switching design was intended to make the system atomic bomb proof.

As a user, you can access any single server at any one time anywhere in the world. These servers are owned, maintained and operated by giant third-party companies such as Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet (GOOGL), which may or may not charge a fee for using them.

The most important features of cloud storage are:

1) It is a service provided by an external provider.

2) All data is stored outside your computer residing inside an in-house network.

3) A simple Internet connection will allow you to access your data at any time from anywhere.

4) Because of all these features, sharing data with others is vastly easier, and you can even work with multiple people online at the same time, making it the perfect, collaborative vehicle for our globalized world.

Once you start using the cloud to store a company's data, the benefits are many.

  1. No Maintenance

Many companies, regardless of their size, prefer to store data inside in-house servers and data centers.

However, these require constant 24-hour-a-day maintenance, so the company has to employ a large in-house IT staff to manage them - a costly proposition.

Thanks to cloud storage, businesses can save costs on maintenance since their servers are now the headache of third-party providers.

Instead, they can focus resources on the core aspects of their business where they can add the most value, without worrying about managing IT staff of prima donnas.

  1. Greater Flexibility

Today's employees want to have a better work/life balance and this goal can be best achieved by letting them telecommute. Increasingly, workers are bending their jobs to fit their lifestyles, and that is certainly the case here at Mad Hedge Fund Trader.

How else can I send off a Trade Alert while hanging from the face of a Swiss Alp?

Cloud storage services, such as Google Drive, offer exactly this kind of flexibility for employees. According to a recent survey, 79% of respondents already work outside of their office some of the time, while another 60% would switch jobs if offered this flexibility.

With data stored online, it's easy for employees to log into a cloud portal, work on the data they need to, and then log off when they're done. This way a single project can be worked on by a global team, the work handed off from time zone to time zone until it's done.

It also makes them work more efficiently, saving money for penny-pinching entrepreneurs.

  1. Better Collaboration and Communication

In today's business environment, it's common practice for employees to collaborate and communicate with co-workers located around the world.

For example, they may have to work on the same client proposal together or provide feedback on training documents. Cloud-based tools from DocuSign, Dropbox, and Google Drive make collaboration and document management a piece of cake.

These products, which all offer free entry-level versions, allow users to access the latest versions of any document so they can stay on top of real-time changes which can help businesses to better manage workflow, regardless of geographical location.

  1. Data Protection

Another important reason to move to the cloud is for better protection of your data, especially in the event of a natural disaster. Hurricane Sandy wreaked havoc on local data centers in New York City, forcing many websites to shut down their operations for days.

The cloud simply routes traffic around problem areas as if, yes, they have just been destroyed by a nuclear attack.

It's best to move data to the cloud, to avoid such disruptions because there your data will be stored in multiple locations.

This redundancy makes it so that even if one area is affected, your operations don't have to capitulate, and data remains accessible no matter what happens. It's a system called deduplication.

  1. Lower Overhead

The cloud can save businesses a lot of money.

By outsourcing data storage to cloud providers, businesses save on capital and maintenance costs, money that in turn can be used to expand the business. Setting up an in-house data center requires tens of thousands of dollars in investment, and that's not to mention the maintenance costs it carries.

Plus, considering the security, reduced lag, up-time and controlled environments that providers such as Amazon's AWS have, creating an in-house data center seems about as contemporary as a buggy whip, a corset, or a Model T.

 

 

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/Cloud-computing.png 499 506 MHFTF https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTF2018-12-24 01:06:352018-12-21 18:44:33The Cloud for Dummies
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 24, 2018 - Quote of the Day

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

“If the Fed brings a lump of coal in 2019, then they better bring some candy canes for the kids as well,” said Bill Gross, former CEO of bond giant, PIMCO.

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/santa.png 449 449 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-24 01:05:082018-12-21 18:10:03December 24, 2018 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 21, 2018 - MDT Alert (PHM)

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-21 14:54:052018-12-21 14:54:47December 21, 2018 - MDT Alert (PHM)
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (MSFT) December 21, 2018 - STOP LOSS

Tech Alert, Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-21 13:11:502018-12-21 13:11:50Trade Alert - (MSFT) December 21, 2018 - STOP LOSS
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for December 21, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
December 21, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) December is the Worst Month of the Year, for the first time in market history. Santa Claus goes on strike. Trade wars, rising interest rates, government shut down? There is a lot of blame to go around. Click here.

2) NY Fed Governor Williams Juices the Market for 300 Points. What a difference a word makes! By saying rate rises are NOT on autopilot he triggered a monster rally. Apparently, the Fed cares about the stock crash after all. Click here.

3) Q3 GDP Revised Dow to 3.4%, down 0.1% from the last look. Too bad the stock market doesn’t see it. Click here.

4) November Durable Goods Plunge from 1.3% down to 0.8%. Isn’t this what the numbers are supposed to look like going into a recession? Click here.

5) Mad Hedge Hot Tips Will be Taking a Two Week Break. When the peloton TV adds dominate the airwaves, it time to get out of town. Catch you on the ski slopes at Lake Tahoe. See you again on January 7. Good luck in the New Year. John Thomas.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(WHY CASH IS ALWAYS THE BEST HEDGE)

(INDU)

(PRINT YOUR OWN CAR),

(TESTIMONIAL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-21 11:50:282018-12-21 11:51:01Mad Hedge Hot Tips for December 21, 2018
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 21, 2018 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-21 09:20:022018-12-21 09:20:02December 21, 2018 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 21, 2018

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 21, 2018
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(WHY CASH IS THE BEST HEDGE)
(INDU)
(PRINT YOUR OWN CAR),
(TESTIMONIAL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-21 01:09:392018-12-20 19:01:49December 21, 2018
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Why Cash is the Best Hedge

Diary, Newsletter

Over the decades, I have been besieged by suggestions by various market players over how to hedge their downside risk in the stock market.

I have analyzed most of these, experimented with them, and even tried out a few. These range from buying equity put options to selling call options,  investing in bear ETFs, and trading the volatility index (VIX).

My conclusion is always the same: Cash is always the best hedge.

Hedge fund managers like me are always under pressure to deliver positive returns whether the stock market goes up, down, or sideways. A lot make this promise but few are actually able to deliver. You can almost count them on one hand and I know all of them personally.

And here is a hedge fund manager’s worst nightmare: both your longs go down and your shorts go down, eroding capital at a double rate. This is often the result when you come to rely on these esoteric “hedges.”

This happens when you have done all the research in the world, have countless mathematical formulas to back you up, and you backtest your data for 30 years.

First of all, assets classes don’t always perform according to financial models because there is always one big variable that managers can’t quantify: human emotion.

While algorithms and computers are completely rational, people aren’t, even the most experienced ones. After watching markets for over 50 years I can tell you that there is only one certainty. That the natural tendency of most people is to buy at market tops and sell at market bottoms.

In order words, making money in the stock market is an unnatural act and fights against the long-term tide of evolution. We, humans, are predators and hunters evolved to track game on the horizon of an African savanna. Modern humans are maybe 5 million years old but civilization has been around for only 10,000 years. Our brains have not had time to make the adjustment.

In the market, this means that if a stock has gone up, you believe it will continue to do so. This is why market tops and bottoms see volume spikes. To make money, you have to go against these innate instincts. Some people are born with this ability while others can only learn it through decades of training. I am in the latter group.

The 4,400-point decline we have all suffered over the last 2 ½ months is a classic example. Prices earnings multiples have given up half of their gains since the 2009 bear market bottom. It is one of the best buying opportunities in four years. So, what are investors doing? Selling.

Share prices are now discounting a severe recession in 2019 that probably isn’t going to happen. I don’t believe that we’ll get one until the end of 2019 and even then it will be a modest one. Essentially, we already have a recession in the price at these levels. If the recession doesn’t show, stocks will rocket.

What hedges worked during this time? Absolutely none. If you shifted from growth stocks to value ones, or from high beta ones to low beta shares, you still lost money, probably a lot. Those who hedged with volatility probably has some one-hit wonders, but add up their profit and loss for the entire year and it probably comes to negative numbers.

You know what didn’t lose money? Cash which in fact is now earning 2%-4% depending on where you have it parked.

This is why I have been running cash positions of 70%-90% for the past four months. Oh, how I love the smell of cash in the morning. Logging into my online trading account every morning and seeing a wad of cash is like getting a short rush of adrenaline.

Absolutely, cash is the best hedge.

 

Without Cash Your Portfolio Will Bite You Back

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/John-Thomas-bear.png 402 291 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-21 01:08:572018-12-20 19:00:19Why Cash is the Best Hedge
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Print Your Own Car

Diary, Newsletter, Research

I am ever on the lookout for disruptive technologies that lead to great investment opportunities. Sitting here next door to Silicon Valley, that is not hard to do.

So I watched my TV with utter amazement the other day when I saw a 3-D printer create an entire car from scratch. It took ten hours to build the body, and the rest of the day to bolt on the electric motors, axels, wheels, and the rest of the parts.

Beyond the drive train, the vehicle has only 50 parts. This compares to the 5,000 or 6,000 parts needed for a conventional car. There’s a gigantic labor and cost saving right there.

I have to admit that I came late to the 3-D printing scene. When hobbyists started making colorful figurines on their printers a few years ago, I thought it no more than a niche of a few passionate geeks who are in such abundance here.

That was a good thing because the initial batch of stock market plays all went meteoric, then crashed and burned.

Such is often the case with cutting-edge technologies. You often don’t generate real profits until you get the second or third generation.

That’s the way the personal computer started which went mainstream with incredible speed in the early 1980s (to get the flavor of the day, watch the hit AMC series “Halt and Catch Fire”).

Then my biotech friends told me they were printing human organs substituting ink with cells. After that, I discovered that Elon Musk was using 3-D printers to build rocket engine parts at his Space X venture in Los Angeles.

Suddenly, I started to take the technology seriously.

Arizona-based Local Motors plans to take a great leap forward with the launch of a 3D printed car next year (click here for their website).

Dubbed the “Strati” (layers in Italian), the vehicle is made of reinforced carbon fiber thermoplastic, or ABS. It has one fifth the weight of steel with ten times the strength. You can pick up the car with two hands.

The company planned to build two versions of its vehicle during the first quarter of 2016. One would be a low-speed battery car or so-called neighborhood electric vehicle priced between $18,000 and $30,000. Faster, higher-priced versions would come later.

While the entry costs to the auto industry are legendarily high, in the billions of dollars, Local Motors’ upfront expenses are miniscule by comparison. The 49 foot long printer needed to print the body costs only $50,000.

Oak Ridge National Labs in Tennessee is a partner in the project which helped develop the monster printer. Nuclear weapons historians will recall them as the first refiner of U-235 during WWII.

It is the first effort to fundamentally change the way cars are put together since Henry Ford modernized the auto assembly line 100 years ago.

Local Motors is an internet creation all the way. It obtained its original funding through crowdsourcing, and held an international contest to find a design.  An Italian won, hence the name.

It’s hard to see the Strati threatening the Tesla (TSLA), or any conventional car manufacturer any time soon. The current car is not yet street legal, and only does 40 miles per hour.

There is no great trading or investment play here yet. It is still early days. Give it a year or two.

However, it could be a hint of great things to come. I’ll take mine in black.
 
For the YouTube video of and interview with the Strati engineer, click here.

Strati Car

Ah, But is the Girl Printed As Well?

Car Production

Lithium Battery Charge

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Strati-Car-e1449756259694.jpg 299 400 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-21 01:07:552018-12-20 18:39:52Print Your Own Car
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Testimonial

Diary, Newsletter, Testimonials

 I can't tell you how much I enjoy your blog. It is the first place I go every morning and I miss you on the weekends.

I stumbled upon your site about 4 months ago and have been addicted to it since day one. I really appreciate not only your insight into the markets but also your global and historical perspectives.

All of this served up with your great sense of humor makes it a must read! Thanks for all your hard work.

Chip

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/John-Thomas.png 387 483 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-21 01:06:512018-12-20 19:01:24Testimonial
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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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