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MHFTR

The Threat to Your Digital Life from Chatbots

Tech Letter

Not all tech will survive.

Come hell or high water, chatbots are not going away today but have an ugly fate with the tech graveyard of past technologies in the near future.

The rise of pervasive technology has brought consumers a wave of modern technology – some useful and some that go straight rogue.

Microsoft (MSFT) was on the receiving end of tech gone bad when its Tay bot was duped into spewing anti-Semitic and racist blather.

Bill Gate’s brainchild allowed Tay to behave according to what it learned from fellow users with which it interacted.

The developers forgot that not all Internet speak is nice and bubbly.

In another humiliating episode, cyberhackers wielded a chatbot to masquerade as a woman asking men to hand over credit card information in order to become verified on the raunchy dating app Tinder.

Manipulating an app platform has been a favorite of cyberhackers where users blindly trust these brands with which they have become familiar, and barely question the motives behind these strange developments.

As cybercriminals endlessly hunt for monetization and opportunities ramp up, chatbots represent a critical vehicle to pillage prospective victims.

These examples are just two that were publicly reported.

In reality, flashpoints are widespread, and users are usually completely unaware that they are being victimized.

Some chatbots are even out just for data harvesting among other targeted activity.

The dark web is the perfect marketplace to sell hijacked data.

Many Internet users believe they can feel safe and secure behind the auspices of end-to-end encryption.

However, users seem to forget that this type of foolproof security has its limitations.

The easiest way to become exposed is by the other person on the other end of the message.

They can turn you in.

Paul Manafort found this out the hard way when the FBI seized messages from the people he sent them too.

WhatsApp, owned by Facebook, along with chat app Signal are the best ways to keep chats confidential if you trust the other party. This is where the conversation disappears in about ten seconds.

However, just because WhatsApp is secure now, does not mean it will be secure tomorrow.

WhatsApp co-founder and CEO Jan Koum quit in a vicious row against Facebook’s upper management flipping off the rogue ad-seller as the relationship came to a screeching halt.

He later said he was quitting to collect “rare air-cooled Porsches” and play “ultimate frisbee.”

Facebook plans to weaken WhatsApp’s encryption levels and is intent on harvesting the data to eventually install a digital ad business to this ad-less messenger.

Facebook has shown a blatant disregard to privacy. Plan on everything you have ever sent on WhatsApp being privy to all the workers in the Facebook office at some point in the near future.

In some eerie way, Facebook mimics the hackers that maneuvered around Tinder’s developers, but in a completely legal way showing zero concern for its end user.

That is a scary thing.

Facebook has become borderline criminal in the court of public opinion in Europe. And that sentiment has seeped into the hearts of minds of Americans as well, and rightly so.

In short, the tidal wave of junk tech such as chatbots and Facebook spinning your information to the hills will end badly.

The public has smartened up and cannot be misled by Facebook’s privileged management spouting out that its “values” are different as an excuse for obvious debacles.

The global chatbot market was $369.79 million in 2017, and by 2024, this industry will balloon to $2.17 billion.

Chatbots will have a ubiquitous presence in work and daily life.

Companies desire to curtail rising costs, and are doubling down on the chatbot revolution.

The current obstacle is that artificial intelligence (A.I.) is just not good enough yet for chatbots to comprehensively serve customers and never will be.

The chatbots rely on the data in their systems to solve problems to difficult questions, but humans need to receive answers on the fly in the case of multi-part complications.

Chatbots spectacularly fail at this endeavor.

Even worse, chatbots cannot empathize with a furious customer and feel out customers’ emotions to properly optimize the perfect solution.

And in some instances, humans do not feel at ease to discuss certain topics with software code.

Then there is the generational difference of age groups preferring to use what they are familiar with.

For older generations, this absolutely means speaking to a real human who lives, breathes, and sleeps at night.

Younger generations who grew up never going outside but instead addicted to a screen have an easier time routing their lives through technology.

Granted, chatbots are effective when answering rudimentary questions to direct the customer to a department where they will soon be talking to a human. But chatbots are not the solution to every customer service problem.

Then there is the question of whether a rogue chatbot is going to disperse your data to a nefarious hacker or even behave like Microsoft’s Tay chatbot.

Facebook is already a legal entity that disperses personal data for money.

As the tech sector advances, the weak technology will crash and burn.

Low-quality social media platforms such as Facebook and inferior technology-like chatbots will succumb to the same fate as the woolly mammoth.

Investors are experiencing this massive migration up in quality as the public and investors are doing everything to insulate themselves from the dark side of technology.

In a further blow to user-generated platforms Facebook and Alphabet’s Google (GOOGL), Brussels voted in favor of a law that would force tech companies to actively filter out copyrighted content uploaded to their platforms.

This will crimp profitability for the two giants, as the data and content received for free is being put under a stronger microscope.

Europe is doing everything it can to disrupt these two companies from their free lunch, and they are fed up with the negligence and arrogance in which they run their platforms.

This was evident when Europe slapped Alphabet on the wrist with a $5 billion antitrust penalty earlier this year.

Chatbots will eventually face the public opinion death squad, as fatigued Internet users will completely avoid chatting with software code and move their businesses to the competitor.

The ultimate problem tying chatbots and Facebook together is the utter lack of attention to the customers’ needs.

These two phenomena exist to make more corporate money in a myopic fashion.

Every shortcut available will be taken and has been taken.

Facebook will never be able to monetize its website like the pre-Cambridge Analytica scandal days. It will take a sweeping reset, most importantly dethroning Mark Zuckerberg from his perch in Menlo Park, California, to reinvigorate this lost firm.

Chatbots will not exist in a few years and technology will move on to more effective solutions.

It is the end of bad tech as we know it, as technology is evolving so fast, yesterday’s conquerors become todays pariah’s in just a few years.

 

 

 

Chatbots – A Flash in The Pan Tech

 ________________________________________________________________________________________________

Quote of the Day 

"Our goal has never been to make the most. It's always been to make the best,” said CEO of Apple Tim Cook.

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Iphone-image-3-e1536782011404.jpg 437 325 MHFTR https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTR2018-09-13 01:05:002018-09-12 20:07:07The Threat to Your Digital Life from Chatbots
MHFTR

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 12, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 12, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Producer Price Index Down 0.1%, versus +0.2% expected. This shocking deflationary print is amazing at the top of an economic cycle. Click here.

2) Apple (AAPL) to Launch Three New Phones Today, but most of the specs have already leaked out. Take profits on the stock. Click here.

3) Semiconductor Stocks Get Clocked Again (LRCX), (MU), with another broker downgrade, and they will continue to fall apart as long as the trade war with China continues. Are we getting close to “BUY” territory? Click here.

4) Risk-Taking in Emerging Countries (EEM) is in Free Fall. If 56% of the global economy is sick, how long will it take for the contagion to spread to us?  Click here.

5) Trade Wars to Chop $10 Off S&P 500 Earnings This Year, from $168 to $158, with two-thirds of all companies impacted. The benefits of the tax cuts have been wiped out. When are those midterms again? Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

 

THE FUTURE OF AI ISSUE:
(THE NEW AI BOOK THAT INVESTORS ARE SCRAMBLING FOR),
(GOOG), (FB), (AMZN), MSFT), (BABA), (BIDU),
(TENCENT), (TSLA), (NVDA), (AMD), (MU), (LRCX),
(HOW TO PLAY “SOFTWARE AS A SERVICE”),
(AMZN), (IBM), (ADBE), (CRM), (BABA),
(CSCO), (SAP), (ORCL), (GOOGL)

 

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 MHFTR https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTR2018-09-12 16:20:562018-09-12 19:03:32Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 12, 2018
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 12, 2018 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-09-12 13:01:372018-09-12 13:01:37September 12, 2018 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
MHFTR

September 12, 2018

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
September 12, 2018
Fiat Lux

THE FUTURE OF AI ISSUE

Featured Trade:
(THE NEW AI BOOK THAT INVESTORS ARE SCRAMBLING FOR),
(GOOG), (FB), (AMZN), MSFT), (BABA), (BIDU),
(TENCENT), (TSLA), (NVDA), (AMD), (MU), (LRCX)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 MHFTR https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTR2018-09-12 01:07:272018-09-11 20:53:08September 12, 2018
MHFTR

September 12, 2018

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
September 12, 2018
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(HOW TO PLAY “SOFTWARE AS A SERVICE”),
(AMZN), (IBM), (ADBE), (CRM), (BABA), (CSCO), (SAP), (ORCL), (GOOGL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 MHFTR https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTR2018-09-12 01:06:142018-09-12 02:12:50September 12, 2018
MHFTR

September 12, 2018 - Quote of the Day

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

“I’m prepared to eat our children because if I don’t, somebody else will,” said Sir Martin Sorrell about the extreme competitiveness of online marketing.

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Martin-Sorrell-quote-of-the-day-e1536698273639.jpg 234 350 MHFTR https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTR2018-09-12 01:05:422018-09-11 20:52:01September 12, 2018 - Quote of the Day
MHFTR

How to Play “Software as a Service”

Tech Letter

If you have read any of our content in the first year of the Mad Hedge Technology Letter, the content is distinctly bullish technology stocks.

A fundamental driver propelling this cogent argument is the dominant Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) industry booming inside the confines of Silicon Valley.

If you want to boil down your tech investment thesis to one indispensable rule – only invest in tech companies that carve out prominent SaaS businesses.

If you stick with this nostrum, you will be delivered profits in spades.

We have recently taken in a swarm of new tech letter subscribers and understanding the panacea that is SaaS will entrench your portfolio in a glorious position to reap untold profits.

What is SaaS?

SaaS is a distribution method in which software is diffused to paid subscribers, usually on an annual, reoccurring payment plan, and the software is remotely stored on a centralized cloud platform awaiting use.

Unsurprisingly, SaaS remains the most lucrative segment of the cloud market.

In 2017, the tech industry did $60.2 billion in annual SaaS sales, that number is poised to explode to $117.1 billion in 2021.

The near doubling of sales underscores the robust nature of these tech firms setting up businesses of this ilk, and the positive effects dripping down to the bottom line.

Simply put, no SaaS business, no reason to invest.

SaaS isn’t the only cloud revenue companies can carve out. Tech firms also offer platform-as-a-service (PaaS) and infrastructure-as-a-service (IaaS).

However, SaaS is by far the prominent growth lever in the high-margin cloud industry.

The indomitable presence inside the SaaS industry is Bill Gates’ creation Microsoft (MSFT).

Microsoft leads all companies with a 17% global share of the SaaS market.

The Redmond, Washington, outfit blew past stalwart Salesforce (CRM) nine quarters ago.

Microsoft’s sizzling SaaS business is an oversized contributor to its 45% revenue growth rate, which is head-and-shoulders above the industry average.

Salesforce (CRM), Adobe (ADBE), Oracle (ORCL) and SAP (SAP) fill out the top five largest global SaaS businesses, but it is really a tale of two stories.

Oracle and SAP, which are competing in the same market, are grappling with legacy database businesses and legacy tech, which are punished by investors.

John Dinsdale, a chief analyst at Synergy Research Group, mentioned two outliers of “Cisco (CSCO) and Google too who are making ever-bigger inroads into the SaaS market” leveraging Cisco’s multitude of software assets and Google’s G Suite.

The thing that makes SaaS the x-factor for tech companies is that inevitably every company from every walk of life will adopt this mode of software, giving legs to this distribution model.

Vendors are scrambling to put together some resemblance of a SaaS product together, and this trend is a vital contributor to an industry that is growing 32% YOY worldwide.

Kevin Cochrane, chief marketing officer of SAP Customer Experience lay bare his thoughts about this type of service describing it as the “Golden Age of SaaS.”

Companies are becoming digital first from end to end, explaining the sharp rise in IT professional salaries and rise in quality software products.

As we look around the corner to the IaaS part of the cloud industry, which is growing at around 30% YOY, there is one dominant player, and everybody knows its name.

Amazon (AMZN) is the No. 1 vendor with Microsoft, Alibaba (BABA), Google, and International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) trailing behind.

The top four IaaS players have carved out a total of 73% of the global market ravaging any resemblance of competition.

Amazon is the industry standard with the best record of customer success.

If Amazon branched off into the SaaS industry, it could unlock an additional $100 billion in annual revenue.

A shift into this direction could pad Amazon’s margin’s even more after successfully boosting North American e-commerce margins from 2.4% to 4.7%.

It’s not entirely inconceivable that Amazon could break the $2 trillion valuation in three to five years, as its revved up digital ad business registered growth of 129% YOY last quarter.

Microsoft seized the runner-up position in the IaaS market to Amazon by growing 98% YOY with sales eclipsing $3.1 billion in 2017.

Wherever you turn, whether toward the cloud business or gaming, investors can find Microsoft making sales.

Microsoft has been a favorite of the Mad Hedge Technology Letter and it’s hard pressed to find a better public tech company in operation now.

The SaaS industry is not a one-size-fits-all proposition.

Thus, there is abundant room for niche offerings that quench companies’ demand for specific services.

This is the reason why cloud companies have participated in a non-stop buying binge of smaller companies that fit their needs.

Microsoft purchased developer favorite GitHub for $7.5 billion earlier this year, and similar examples are scattered all over the tech ecosphere.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) will be the kicker that powers SaaS performance to new heights because incorporating this groundbreaking technology will enhance functionality and, in return, raise profits for all involved.

The scalability of SaaS products has allowed companies to offer software for affordable prices allowing the smallest of firms to adopt a digital-first strategy.

This software connects with other software seamlessly integrating an array of productive apps that help teams overperform and overdeliver.

In the American workplace, 73% of companies will be exclusively using SaaS to function by 2020.

American companies are using 16 apps on average per day, a 33% jump in the number of apps they were using just two years ago.

The migration to mobile has swallowed up SaaS products as well with more mobile-specific software rolling out to mobile devices.

The meteoric rise of SaaS offerings has cut IT security budgets substantially as security has been delegated to the cloud instead of in expensive in-house security teams.

No longer do tech firms need to beef up guarding their own gates.

Protection is provided on a centralized cloud with a third-party company ensuring safety.

This development has helped a new industry rise – cloud security.

Whether people realize it or not, the SaaS industry is here to stay and will become more prevalent in every industry going forward.

This is incredibly bullish for companies that sell SaaS products as revenue will continue to rise.

 

 

 

 

________________________________________________________________________________________________

Quote of the Day

“Growth and comfort do not coexist,” – said CEO of IBM Ginni Rometty.

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Saas-image-3-e1536717382380.jpg 324 580 MHFTR https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTR2018-09-12 01:05:082018-09-12 02:12:03How to Play “Software as a Service”
MHFTR

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 11, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 11, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 


1) Stocks Open Down, on what will be a muted day on 9/11 remembrances. I can’t believe it’s been 17 years. The bloom is coming off the rose as trade wars overhang risk taking. Keep those shorts! Click here.

2) Hedge Fun Guru Ray Dalio Says It’s Time to Go Defensive. The Bridgewater founder also thinks we’re in the seventh inning of the economic recovery. The next bear market won’t be as bad as the last, but the politics could be worse. Sees parallels with the 1935-39 drawdown, when income tax rates were raised to 90% and the rich were vilified for the next 20 years. I’m keeping my shorts. Click here.
 
3) JOLTS Report Shows 6.93 Million Job Openings in July, a new all-time high. This is what an overheating economy looks like. It’s just a matter of time before we start seeing strikes for high wages. Click here.

4) Small Business Optimism Hits an All-Time High in August, up 0.9 points to 108.8. That’s a 35-year high. Super bullish small businesses are another topping indicator. Click here.

5) Tesla’s (TSLA) Battery Business is Booming, but nobody knows it because of all the hoopla over Elon Musk. The stock is still uninvestable as it hits a new low for the year. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

 

(A NOTE ON ASSIGNED OPTIONS,
OR OPTIONS CALLED AWAY), (MSFT),
(TEN MORE REASONS WHY BONDS WON’T CRASH),
(TLT), (TBT), (ELD), (MUB),
(IS IT TIME TO PICK UP THE SLACK?),
SLACK WORKSPACE APP

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 MHFTR https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTR2018-09-11 16:09:062018-09-12 19:04:47Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 11, 2018
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

September 11, 2018 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-09-11 13:08:132018-09-11 13:08:13September 11, 2018 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
MHFTR

September 11, 2018

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
September 11, 2018
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(A NOTE ON ASSIGNED OPTIONS,
OR OPTIONS CALLED AWAY), (MSFT),
(TEN MORE REASONS WHY BONDS WON’T CRASH),
(TLT), (TBT), (ELD), (MUB)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 MHFTR https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTR2018-09-11 01:08:422018-09-10 20:45:25September 11, 2018
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There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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