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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Mining Gold in Niche Drugs

Biotech Letter

In 2019, approximately 1.8 million Americans were diagnosed with cancer. On a global scale, the total reaches almost 17 million. Hence, it comes as no surprise that over 700 biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies have been investing hugely in experimental cancer drugs.

Meanwhile, rare disease beta-thalassemia affects the lives of at least 1,000 or so patients in the United States alone. In a nutshell, people with this blood disorder do not have enough oxygen in various parts of their bodies.

Although beta-thalassemia is more prevalent in other countries, this disease impacts one in every 100,000 people. Given these numbers, you’d expect that only one or two biotechnology companies would be interested in looking for treatments.

By my last count though, I found at least a dozen biotechnology companies scrambling to come up with a drug for this rare disease.

While there may be a lot of underlying reasons for this focus on beta-thalassemia, one reason is the most obvious to me: beta-thalassemia is a lifelong disease that requires regular treatment throughout the life of the patient.

Among the biotechnology companies working on this sector, one name has emerged as the leader of the pact: bluebird bio (BLUE).

After unexpectedly doubling the price tag for gene therapy Zynteglo from the anticipated $900,000 to $1.8 million in Europe, bluebird bio (BLUE) announced that its expensive beta-thalassemia treatment will be available in the US sometime in the second half of 2020.

This gene therapy is the second most expensive treatment worldwide, with Novartis’ (NOVN) Zolgensma ranking first with a jaw-dropping $2.1 million price tag.

Following Novartis’ lead, installment plans will be offered to Zynteglo users.

While the details have yet to be ironed out, this bluebird bio gene therapy is expected to be paid over a period of five years. Notably, the patients will only pay for the treatment if it actually works for them.

That is, bluebird will not bind patients to pay the full $1.8 million if Zynteglo fails to alleviate their condition. They can even get reimbursements depending on the situation.

If successful, bluebird bio points out that Zynteglo can dramatically cut down not only on the financial burden of the patients but also reduce their suffering from the transfusions and treatments.

Here’s how this gene therapy works.

The first step is to harvest stem cells from the patient’s body. Then, chemotherapy is required to prepare the recipient’s bone marrow for gene therapy.

A healthy copy of the beta-globin gene, which is a component of hemoglobin, is subsequently implanted into the bone marrow and the body will be able to normally produce red blood cells.

If the patient’s body responds well to Zynteglo, then this means living over four years without the need for any transfusion.

In contrast, traditional treatments for this rare blood disorder include regular blood transfusions. There are also drugs needed to get rid of the extra iron from the patient’s system. At times, the spleen is even surgically removed.

Taking all these into consideration, bluebird bio defended its shocking price tag by pointing out that Zynteglo’s “intrinsic” value is actually worth $2.1 million.

This was calculated based on the claim that this treatment can deliver 22 quality-adjusted life-years to its users.

In effect, patients get a 15% discount on the total cost.

While it remains to be seen how the FDA will handle bluebird bio’s application for Zynteglo, the fact that this gene therapy has received approval in the European market gives the company its much needed push to pursue more innovative products geared towards rare diseases.

Apart from beta-thalassemia, Zynteglo is also being tested for another rare blood disorder called sickle cell disease.

Throughout 2019, bluebird bio’s income solely came from the license and royalty revenues derived from its collaboration with Celgene, which has since been acquired by Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY).

The two companies worked together on cancer cell therapies called ide-cel and bb21217. Analysts estimate that both drugs could achieve blockbuster sales potential in the multiple myeloma sector.

Adding to Zynteglo and the cancer therapies in its pipeline is another rare genetic disorder gene therapy called Lenti-D.

This specifically targets cerebral adrenoleukodystrophy, which is a deadly genetic brain disease that affects 1 in 17,000 males. Bluebird bio is expected to seek FDA approval for Lenti-D by the second half of 2020.

Bluebird bio currently has a market cap of roughly $5 billion, which I think provides it plenty of room to maneuver and grow.

Since the lifeblood of any biotechnology company is its pipeline, I can see how well-positioned bluebird bio is in this aspect.

At this point, it already has a couple of winners in its portfolio with Zynteglo, Lenti-D, and the multiple myeloma drugs with Celgene.

With these in mind, it’s easy to see that bluebird bio will transform into a huge winner over the next 10 years or even earlier.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-02-27 16:00:142020-02-27 16:27:54Mining Gold in Niche Drugs
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (AAPL) February 27, 2020 - SELL

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-02-27 11:46:082020-02-27 11:47:06Trade Alert - (AAPL) February 27, 2020 - SELL
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

February 27, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

==While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to a six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-02-27 09:49:042020-02-27 09:49:04February 27, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

February 27, 2020

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
February 27, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(GET READY TO TAKE A LEAP BACK INTO LEAPS),
(AAPL), (BA),
(TESTIMONIAL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-02-27 08:06:582020-02-27 11:14:00February 27, 2020
Arthur Henry

Get Ready to Take a Leap Back into Leaps

Diary, Newsletter

Just as every cloud has a silver lining, every stock market crash offers generational opportunities.

In a month or two, there will be spectacular trades to be had with LEAPS. What are LEAPS, you may ask?

This is the best strategy with which to cash in on the gigantic market swoons, which have become a regular feature of our markets.

Since the advent of the recent incredible market volatility, I have been asked one question.

What do you think about LEAPS?

LEAPS, or Long Term Equity AnticiPation Securities, is just a fancy name for a stock option spread with a maturity of more than one year.

You execute orders for these securities on your options online trading platform, pay options commissions, and endure option like volatility.

Another way of describing LEAPS is that they offer a way to rent stocks instead of buying them, with the prospect of enjoying years’ worth of stock gains for a fraction of the price.

While these are highly leveraged instruments, you can’t lose any more money than you put into them. Your risk is well defined.

And there are many companies in the market where LEAPs are a very good idea, especially on those gut-wrenching 1,000-point down days.

Interested?

Currently, LEAPS are listed all the way out until January 2022, some 695 days away.

However, the further expiration dates will have far less liquidity than near month options, so they are not a great short-term trading vehicle. That is why limit orders in LEAPS, as opposed to market orders, are crucial.

These are really for your buy-and-forget investment portfolio, defined benefit plan, 401k, or IRA.

Because of the long maturities, premiums can be enormous. However, there is more than one way to skin a cat, and the profit opportunities here can be astronomical.

Like all options contracts, a LEAP gives its owner the right to "exercise" the option to buy or sell 100 shares of stock at a set price for a given time.

LEAPS have been around since 1990, and traded on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE).

To participate, you need an options account with a brokerage house, an easy process that mainly involves acknowledging the risk disclosures that no one ever reads.

If a LEAP expires "out-of-the-money" – when exercising, you can lose all the money that was spent on the premium to buy it. There's no toughing it out waiting for a recovery as with actual shares of stock. Poof, and your money is gone.

LEAPS are also offered on exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track indices like the Standard & Poor's 500 index (SPY) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU), so you could bet on up or down moves of the broad market.

Not all stocks have options, and not all stocks with ordinary options also offer LEAPS.

Note that a LEAPS owner does not vote proxies or receive dividends because the underlying stock is owned by the seller, or "writer," of the LEAP contract until the LEAP owner exercises.

Despite the Wild West image of options, LEAPS are actually ideal for the right type of conservative investor.

They offer more margin and more efficient use of capital than traditional broker margin accounts. And you don’t have to pay the usurious interest rates that margin accounts usually charge.

And for a moderate increase in risk, they present outsized profit opportunities.

For the right investor, they are the ideal instrument.

Let me go through some examples to show you their inner beauty.

By now, you should all know what vertical bull call spreads are. If you don’t, then please click their link for a quickie video tutorial. You must be logged in to your account.

Let’s go back to February 9, 2018 when the Dow Average plunged to its 23,800 low for the year. I then begged you to buy the Apple (AAPL) June, 2018 $130-$140 call spread at $8.10, which most of you did. A month later, that position is worth $9.40, up some 16.04%. Not bad.

Now let’s say that instead buying a spread four months out, you went for the full year and three months, to June 2019.

That identical (AAPL) $130-$140 would have cost $5.50 on February 9. The spread would be worth $9.40 today, up 70.90%, and worth $10 on June 21, 2019, up 81.81%.

So, by holding a 15-month to expiration position for only a month, you get to collect 86.67% of the maximum potential profit of the position.

So, now you know why we leap into LEAPS.

When the meltdown comes, and that could be as soon as today, use this strategy to jump into longer-term positions in the names we have been recommending and you should be able to retire early.

What’s out there today? Take a look at Boeing (BA), one of the most undervalued companies in the market, thanks to their 737 MAX woes.

Today, (BA) shares were trading at a lowly $305. Let say that Boeing shares recover to $350 by the end of 2020. You can buy a January 2021 $340-$350 vertical bull call spread for $3.00.  If Boeing makes it back up to $350 by the January 15, 2021 option expiration, the LEAP will expire worth $10, an increase of 233%.

It gets better. You can buy a (BA) January 2022 $370-$380 call spread for $2.15. If Boeing recovers to $380 by the January 21, 2022 expiration it will expire worth $10, giving you a gain of 365%!

What if you think that Boeing is overdue for a monster rally back to its old all-time high of $450?

You can buy a (BA) January 2022 $420-$430 calls spread for $0.90. If Boeing makes it all the way back to $430 by the January 21, 2022 expiration, it will expire worth $10, giving you a gain of 1,011%! Caution: If the shares only make it back up to $429, the position becomes worthless.

Now you know why I like LEAPS so much. Play around with the names and the numbers and I’m sure you will find something you like. But remember one thing. Buying LEAPS is only a trade to consider at long time market bottoms, not tops!

buying leaps

 

buying leaps

 

Time to Leap Into LEAPS
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/leap-of-faith.jpg 400 400 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2020-02-27 08:04:432020-05-12 22:29:43Get Ready to Take a Leap Back into Leaps
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (UAL) February 26, 2020 - SELL-STOP LOSS

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-02-26 15:50:272020-02-26 15:57:01Trade Alert - (UAL) February 26, 2020 - SELL-STOP LOSS
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (UAL) February 26, 2020 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-02-26 11:32:252020-02-26 11:32:25Trade Alert - (UAL) February 26, 2020 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (AAPL) February 26, 2020 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-02-26 10:30:022020-02-26 10:43:22Trade Alert - (AAPL) February 26, 2020 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (AMZN) February 26, 2020 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-02-26 10:29:122020-02-26 10:29:12Trade Alert - (AMZN) February 26, 2020 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

February 26, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

==While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to a six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-02-26 09:21:512020-02-26 09:21:51February 26, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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