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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (GRUB) April 7, 2020 - BUY

Tech Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-04-07 10:53:262020-04-07 10:53:26Trade Alert - (GRUB) April 7, 2020 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 7, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to a six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-04-07 09:44:272020-04-07 09:44:27April 7, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 7, 2020

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
April 7, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(WHY GLOBALIZATION WORKS)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-04-07 08:04:232020-04-07 07:18:26April 7, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 7, 2020 - Quote of the Day

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

“It looks like consumers are going to continue to do what they do best, which is to spend,” said Brian Jacobsen of Wells Fargo.

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/consumers.png 256 385 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-04-07 08:00:012020-04-07 07:26:33April 7, 2020 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (MSFT) April 6, 2020 - SELL-TAKE PROFITS

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-04-06 13:28:162020-04-06 13:28:16Trade Alert - (MSFT) April 6, 2020 - SELL-TAKE PROFITS
Douglas Davenport

April 6, 2020 - MDT Alert (FCX)

MDT Alert

Like most stocks today, FCX is getting a bounce, so I would like to take this as an opportunity to collect some call premium.

FCX is trading around $7.12 as I write this.

My suggestion is going to be to this.

Sell to Open (1) April 17th - $7.50 call for every 100 shares you own.

These are the calls that expire next Friday, which technically are the monthly options.

You should be able to sell them for $.28.

This will bring the amount of option premium collected on this position to $.63.

If the calls are assigned next Friday, the return will be 21%.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Douglas Davenport https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Douglas Davenport2020-04-06 11:33:282020-04-06 11:33:28April 6, 2020 - MDT Alert (FCX)
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (DOCU) April 6, 2020 - SELL-TAKE PROFITS

Tech Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-04-06 11:16:592020-04-06 11:16:59Trade Alert - (DOCU) April 6, 2020 - SELL-TAKE PROFITS
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (AMZN) April 6, 2020 - SELL-TAKE PROFITS

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-04-06 10:37:152020-04-06 10:40:40Trade Alert - (AMZN) April 6, 2020 - SELL-TAKE PROFITS
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 6, 2020

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
April 6, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(AVOID THE GIG ECONOMY LIKE THE PLAGUE)
(UBER), (LYFT), (UPWK)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-04-06 10:04:352020-04-06 10:43:02April 6, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Avoid the Gig Economy Like the Plague

Tech Letter

I assume many believe that stock-picking is the path to riches, and the post-coronavirus environment will eventually appear to offer investors new opportunities.

It’s also important for investors to avoid the rotten parts of the tech market.

The gig economy could enter the post-health crisis tech economy as huge losers, as already weak business models must absorb even more pressure.

Let me remind you that this pocket of the economy is not the gold standard of Silicon Valley and exists primarily because of the never-ending capital that propped up many poor business models.

Well, that funding is gone in this new world.

The health scare has already crushed the 2020 IPO market and the newly public companies are next in the crosshairs whom many are nothing more than labor arbitrage companies masquerading as real tech companies.

Examples such as Uber (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT) are predatory in behavior, feasting off contractors who do not have a unified voice.

An investor wouldn’t be wrong to say these are nothing more than glorified taxi companies utilizing a functioning app.

The gig economy effectively matches the digital workforce with a suitable “tech” company, but they do not deliver anything else of value.

These types of “broker” services can be eliminated quickly if tech companies choose to hire gig workers directly.

Even tech companies that only hire gig workers do it themselves - ask Uber drivers how easy it is to start working for them.

I reference Uber because they were responsible for 58% of gig worker payouts reaching $204 billion in 2018.

Payout volume is expected to double by 2023, but that was until the worst economic recession since the Great Depression of 1929 hit U.S. shores.

Let’s quickly analyze a weak gig economy company that wasn’t doing great before the health scare called Upwork.

Upwork (UPWK), formerly Elance-oDesk, is a global freelancing platform where businesses and independent professionals connect and collaborate remotely.

Upwork’s life as a public company has only seen the share price decline -hitting a high of $24 per share in February 2019 and currently sitting at $5 today.

Why have shares declined precipitously since going public?

Wasn’t the gig economy working miracles and was a slice of life I needed to become a part of?

Even as the freelance employee hiring platform grew revenue 19% in 2019, shares have tumbled nearly 75% from their all-time high.

Granted, the market needed to reexamine the business based on current expectations, and yes, the coronavirus market sell-off hasn't helped matters.

Economic activity is about to nosedive, many businesses have already begun to cut spending and reduce staff.

The swiftest way of reducing expenditures is by eliminating business contractors or non-employee workers that get hired on a freelance basis from Upwork.

Upwork receives a commission by liaising workers with tech companies and that business is sure to be severely damaged.

Since Upwork went public, the company increased sales and marketing spend by more than 31% in 2019 to promote growth because the company is simply not relevant.

Making the story even worse, the general and administrative costs also grew 36% year over year.

Upwork's revenue is not rising at the same type of rate that justifies higher administrative and marketing spend.

This business model simply never worked and now that a monstrous recession has hit, imagine how terrible future prospects look now.

The only silver lining is that industry will migrate to digital spaces quicker but that in no way guarantees that Upwork will harvest the benefits from this massive migration.

Work-from-home just got a massive shot in the arm, and many organizations are suddenly scrambling to invest in the ability to allow employees to work remotely and could a possible use case enrich Upwork?

But why can’t these same companies hire directly?

Nobody really knows Upwork anyway and since the shortage of jobs will become acute, directly communicating about possible jobs could harvest more than enough qualified candidates without the help of unknown Upwork.

Another imminent problem is the balance sheet.

Upwork had $133.9 million in cash, equivalents, and short-term investments on its balance sheet at the end of 2019, but if that is frittered away, is this company attractive enough to receive another round of funding?

I would say probably not and if yes, only on disadvantageous debt terms.

This firm is merely treading water before it gets shot out of its misery.

Upwork overspends and under delivers; a toxic combination and that was its performance in a period of favorable economic times.

What about other gig economy firms?

There is not one I like, again, they overspend and underdeliver with illogical revenue acquisition costs, but the silver lining for Uber and Lyft is that everyone knows who they are so they will be able to survive on poor unit economics for a while until they cannot.

Time is money and the risk of not getting torpedoed in one second is valuable in the current climate as revenues have gone to 0% for hotels and bars.

These glorified taxi companies have one ace up their sleeve and that is pushing the self-driving service revolution because that is their get-out-of-jail free card.

Upwork doesn’t have that luxury as they will look to survive now before their stock becomes a zero with a brand name that doesn’t resonate with investors.

Avoid the stock of all companies that are tied to the gig economy.

gig economy

 

gig economy

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-04-06 10:02:592020-06-01 18:25:51Avoid the Gig Economy Like the Plague
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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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