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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

AstraZeneca’s Washington Freebie

Biotech Letter

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has pushed people to gamble on unproven and untested products for as long as these can offer even just a shred of hope.

Call it the grasping for straws strategy.

The latest biotechnology company granted this kind of confidence is AstraZeneca (AZN).

The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) recently announced its decision to provide the cardiovascular heavyweight up to $1.2 billion in funding to speed up the company’s progress on AZD1222. The problem is that the vaccine has not been proven to work.

You would think that if the US government was going to blow $1.2 billion on an unproven vaccine at least it would be on an American company. That is not the case. Pre pandemic, a drug at this stage of development would not have earned the time of day.

The experimental vaccine is a gene therapy that AstraZeneca has been working on alongside Oxford University. Aside from the funding, HHS also committed to supporting the clinical trial for this vaccine which would involve 30,000 participants.

In return, the biopharmaceutical company has agreed to send up to 300 million doses of the vaccine to the US, with the first shipment expected to be sent before 2020 ends. AstraZeneca will also provide 100 million doses to Great Britain.

Before getting too excited on this news though, it’s critical to note that AZD1222 is not yet proven effective against COVID-19.

This proposed vaccine from Oxford is created from a weakened version of a common cold virus. It was then genetically altered to disable it from growing in humans. So far, over 1,000 individuals already received this vaccine during an early stage test that started in April.

The plan is for the two companies to use the same technique that the Oxford University researchers applied to fight the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS).

Based on the results of a small clinical trial, this approach managed to prevent the transmission of MER-CoV among the patients. The goal is to replicate this success and halt the spread of COVID-19.

With AstraZeneca securing a manufacturing capacity of 1 billion doses, the first deliveries of the vaccine are estimated to start by September.

Apart from the US and the UK, AstraZeneca is also tapping the Serum Institute of India along with other potential collaborators to boost the production of the COVID-19 vaccine.

While all these updates sound promising, it’s undeniable that choosing which stock to invest in this chaotic market is not for the faint of heart.

The pandemic has clouded the earnings landscape of practically all companies across the board for at least the rest of 2020, with the uncertainty possibly spilling into 2021.

So far, several vital members of various industries have already sought unprecedented levels of aid from the state. A glaring example of this is the ailing airline industry, which has been receiving the most help from governments across the globe.

Meanwhile, AstraZeneca’s shares are up nearly double from the March bottom.

Looking at its financial history, it can be said that AstraZeneca’s ability to swim against the current is due in large part to its top-quality clinical pipeline.

In 2018 alone, the company received a whopping 23 regulatory approvals in various fields including oncology, cardiovascular, and kidney disorders.

The latest product to boost AstraZeneca’s already potent pipeline is its collaboration drug with Merck (MRK) called Lynparza.

Previously approved as a treatment for ovarian and breast cancer, Lynparza is now approved as medication for prostate cancer as well.

This label expansion allows AstraZeneca and Merck to go head to head against Johnson & Johnson’s (JNJ) Zytiga and even Pfizer (PFE) and Astellas Pharma’s Xtandi.

In 2019, Lynparza’s annual sales increased by 85% primarily because of label expansions. The drug is anticipated to show a surge in its 2020 sales as well thanks to this recent approval.

However, the best is yet to come for AstraZeneca.

While the company has put on hold a couple of its clinical trials, reports show that it has many late-stage data readouts up its sleeve. Hence, investors should be on the lookout for these announcements in the next 24 months.

Due to all the new growth products and label expansions, AstraZeneca’s top line is projected to jump by 13.7% in 2021, making it one of the fastest forecasted growth rates in the industry at this point.

For even more good news, this biopharmaceutical powerhouse disclosed that it has no intention of revising its annual guidance despite the pandemic. This announcement is tangible proof of the economic staying power of AstraZeneca’s portfolio.

AstraZeneca stock is not exactly cheap though. With its recent developments and track record, the company has definitely gained a following in the biotechnology and healthcare sector. Nonetheless, AstraZeneca has proven that it deserves its top-shelf valuation.

AstraZeneca

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/azn-logo.png 184 275 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-28 11:00:002020-12-05 01:12:31AstraZeneca’s Washington Freebie
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 28, 2020 - MDT Alert (OSTK)

MDT Alert

Today, I am going to suggest an adjustment to the OSTK position.

I am going to suggest you buy back this week's $18 call and roll it out to next week.

Here is how you do that.

My suggestion is to buy back the May 29th call for $0.10.

After you close the position that expires today, then Sell to Open (1) June 5th - $18 call for every 100 shares you own.

The June 5th - $18 call can be sold for $0.75.

You pick up a gain of $1.10 cents per share on the call that expires tomorrow and another $0.75 per share for the calls that expire next Friday.

This brings the total premium collected on this position to $2.25 per share.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-28 10:55:432020-05-28 10:55:43May 28, 2020 - MDT Alert (OSTK)
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 28, 2020 - MDT Alert (CTXS)

MDT Alert

The CTXS debit spread has hit a profit of just over 50% in two days, so I am going to suggest you take it.

Here is how you close the position:

Sell to Close June 12th - $138.00 call @ $4.65

Buy to Close June 12th - $142.00 call @ $2.60

The net credit will be $2.05 per spread.  And with a debit of $1.35 per spread when the trade was initiated, the gain will be $0.70 per spread.

This results in a gain of 52% in two days.

If you traded the suggested 6 lot, the cash return for two days will be $420 on an investment of $810.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-28 10:39:012020-05-28 10:39:31May 28, 2020 - MDT Alert (CTXS)
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 28, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to a six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-28 09:48:462020-05-28 09:48:46May 28, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 28, 2020

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
May 28, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE IRS LETTER YOU SHOULD DREAD),
(PANW), (CSCO), (FEYE),
 (CYBR), (CHKP), (HACK), (SNE)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-28 09:04:252020-05-28 09:26:24May 28, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (ADBE) May 27, 2020 - BUY

Tech Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-27 11:44:512020-05-27 11:44:51Trade Alert - (ADBE) May 27, 2020 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 27, 2020

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
May 27, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE NEXT DIGITAL ARMS RACE IS HERE),
(SPOT), (AMZN), (AAPL), (GOOGL), (FB)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-27 10:04:362020-05-27 11:37:17May 27, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Next Digital Arms Race is Here

Tech Letter

The arms race for digital content is on and the next leg of the race is all about podcasts.

Wasn’t it just a few years ago that nobody listened to podcasts but kids?

Well, the surge in popularity recently has been nothing short of unfathomable with podcast personality of the stars such as Joe Rogan raking in 190 million downloads per month.

The "off the beaten path" media vehicle has exploited holes left by legacy media and the numbers back me up.

The tech world has taken note of this growing trend with reports that Apple is preparing to double down on original podcast content, purchasing shows that would become exclusive to its Apple platforms.

Apple (AAPL) would most likely try to sync new podcasts with Apple TV+ content and eventually cross-pollinate the video-streaming service.

Nothing has been as catchy as Spotify’s deep investments into the podcast world with $700 million combined for Parcast, Gimlet, Anchor, The Ringer, and The Joe Rogan Experience exclusivity.

Investors have rewarded Spotify for their aggressive strategy and shares are now trading over $190, up from $110 just a few months ago.

Spotify is all about the digital ad model and the coronavirus pandemic has shown us that TV ads are in a death spiral with ad companies like Facebook (FB) and Google (GOOGL) holding up the digital ad stakeholders.

I will say that the loss of Joe Rogan to YouTube is painful for Alphabet and they could likely continue to bleed big accounts until they cough on the money to buy premium content for itself.

Certain content is worth paying the premium for exclusivity or even overpaying for like a top-five NFL quarterback and podcasts are the new battleground to reach the populace who are fed up with sanitized legacy media who have been throttled by the U.S. culture wars.

“The Joe Rogan Experience” is the top podcast in America in terms of listeners and cultural influence and its over 300 million base is a massive win for Spotify (SPOT).

Rogan has leaped to great heights by interviewing guests like Tesla’s Elon Musk and smoking weed with him on set.

Amazon (AMZN) is reportedly looking for burgeoning podcast talent to fuse with its smart speaker assets.

No doubt the big boys are readying the bazookas.

I believe we are about to see the cornering of all popular podcast shows and the data backs up this strategy for big tech who will most likely become buyers because of their deep pockets.

Over 37% of the U.S. population devour podcasts at least once a month, or 104 million people.

Popular podcasts are ad revenue bell cows.

For instance, Rogan advertises directly to his audience and has brands backing him such as 23andme, Blue Apron, Square’s Cash App, Casper, Dollar Shave Club, Postmates, and Quibi.

The number of monthly podcast listeners jumped 16% in the last year and has doubled since 2015.

Over 55% of monthly podcast listeners are between ages 12 and 34 meaning the content is influential to the daily discourse of popular culture and an incubator of trend formation.

Barstool Sports has more than 30 podcasts and is a top 10 U.S. podcast publisher, with more monthly podcast listeners than sports channel distributor ESPN.

Podcasts are here to stay and the industry’s best will gravitate towards the most lucrative offers.

It doesn’t matter what platforms want to host them because their giant audiences will follow.

After Spotify’s buy of Rogan’s podcast, Apple, Facebook, Google, and Amazon must be contemplating their next move.

The reason we promulgate trades in big tech is because of their nimbleness in adapting their revenue models to the revenues drop off points.

The acceleration of entrenched trends like cord-cutting and digital media adoption offers a great boost to digital products like podcasts.

In the past quarter, legacy media has lost another 2 million subscribers representing a 6% loss.

Keeping tabs on who scoops up the best podcasts will be a lead indicator in who is harnessing funds to secure the best digital content.

My guess is that it is big tech and they will only become more diverse and powerful.

Digital content podcasts

 

digital content podcasts

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-27 10:02:322020-05-27 21:23:20The Next Digital Arms Race is Here
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 27, 2020 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“Computers are useless. They can only give you answers.” – Said Artist Pablo Picasso

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/picasso.png 234 266 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-27 10:00:262020-05-27 10:25:50May 27, 2020 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 27, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to a six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-27 09:22:272020-05-27 09:22:27May 27, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips
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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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