• support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Member Login
Mad Hedge Fund Trader
  • Home
  • About
  • Store
  • Luncheons
  • Testimonials
  • Contact Us
  • Click to open the search input field Click to open the search input field Search
  • Menu Menu
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (GOOGL) June 11, 2020 - SELL-STOP LOSS

Tech Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-11 10:47:172020-06-11 10:47:17Trade Alert - (GOOGL) June 11, 2020 - SELL-STOP LOSS
Douglas Davenport

June 11, 2020 - MDT Alert (MKC)

MDT Alert

With the sell off today and the fact that I suggested short dated options on the MKC trade, I am going to suggest you close the position and recoup some cash.

Here is how you close the trade on MKC.

Sell to Close June 19th - $175.00 call @ 1.50

Buy to Close June 19th - $180.00 call @ $.40

The credit will be $1.10 per spread. With a small allocation when I suggested the trade, the cash loss is limited to $160 if you traded the suggested 4 lot.

Better to close and move at this point.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Douglas Davenport https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Douglas Davenport2020-06-11 10:42:052020-06-11 10:43:36June 11, 2020 - MDT Alert (MKC)
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 11, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
June 11, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE BIOTECH MERGER BOOM ACCELERATES)
(AZN), (GILD), (BMY), (ABBV), (AGN), (TAK), (CI), (SNY), (JNJ), (UNH), (RHHBY), (LLY)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-11 10:02:402020-06-11 10:53:20June 11, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Biotech Merger Boom Accelerates

Biotech Letter

Nothing can ever be absolutely shocking in the biotechnology and healthcare world.

I’ll admit though that the reports on AstraZeneca’s (AZN) interest in acquiring Gilead Sciences (GILD) surprised me.

The two companies touched base last month on a potential acquisition deal.

If this rumor turns into a reality, then we’re looking at what could be the biggest healthcare deal to date.

That’s saying something considering the massive mergers we’ve seen in the past years.

So far, the biggest biotechnology and healthcare deal is the $87.6 billion acquisition of Celgene (CELG) by Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) in 2019.

In the same year, AbbVie (ABBV) acquired Allergan (AGN) for a whopping $83.8 billion, making it the third biggest deal in the healthcare sector to date.

The year 2018 paved the way for two more massive deals in the form of Takeda’s (TAK) $81 billion acquisition of Shire, which ranks fourth overall, and Cigna’s (CI) $68.4 billion deal with Express Scripts (ESRX) in seventh place.

Fifth on the list is by Sanofi’s (SNY) $73.5 billion deal with Aventis in 2004.

Although it has been two decades since it happened, the $72.5 billion merger of Glaxo and SmithKline Beecham in 2000 still counts as one of the biggest deals in the industry. This agreement gave birth to GlaxoSmithKline (GSK).

Prior to Bristol-Myers Squibb and Celgene deal, it was Pfizer’s (PFE) $87.3 billion acquisition of Warner-Lambert in 1999 that topped the list.

AstraZeneca’s current market capitalization is roughly $140 billion. Meanwhile, Gilead Science’s market cap stands at approximately $96 billion.

With all these in mind, the AstraZeneca-Gilead Sciences merger is estimated to reach roughly $250 billion on top of the significant synergies expected throughout the years.

If these two health industry heavyweights merge, then their newly formed company would become the third biggest healthcare company in the world behind Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), which has a market cap of $384.55 billion, and UnitedHealth Group (UNH) with $293.85 billion.

Looking at this potential merger in the context of the coronavirus race, it’s safe to say that the combined efforts of AstraZeneca and Gilead would create a COVID-19 titan.

AstraZeneca’s partnership with the University of Oxford resulted in a COVID-19 vaccine candidate that was recently selected as one of the top five candidates worthy of US government support through Trump’s Operation Warp Speed program.

Meanwhile, Gilead’s antiviral medication Remdesivir has been constantly hailed as the standard of care for COVID-19 treatment since the pandemic broke.

The drug which was previously marketed as an HIV medication is now expected to generate $2 billion in sales as a COVID-19 treatment in 2020 alone.

In 2022, Remdesivir is estimated to rake in roughly $7.7 billion in sales. After that, the antiviral drug is projected to generate annual sales somewhere between $6 billion and $7 billion.

Although everything is hypothetical, let’s take a quick look at where each company stands at the moment outside their COVID-19 efforts.

AstraZeneca has been a consistent strong stock market performer throughout the years.

In the first quarter of 2020, sales improved in practically all of AstraZeneca’s territories. Although it has a diversified portfolio of drugs and a robust pipeline, the company’s hottest segment is its oncology business.

A good example of this is non-small cell lung cancer treatment Tagrisso, which is starting to live up to expectations as the next mega-blockbuster for AstraZeneca.

The cancer drug’s first quarter sales reached an impressive $982 million, showing off a 56% jump year over year.

This is promising considering that its competitors include Roche’s (RHHBY) Tarceva and Eli Lilly’s (LLY) Cyramza.

As for its 2020 revenue forecast, AstraZeneca is reported to rake in $25 billion, from which it will generate approximately $7.5 billion in operating profit.

On the other hand, Gilead also has an impressive portfolio that it can bring to the table.

In the first quarter of 2020, the company earned $5.47 billion in revenue compared to the $5.20 billion it generated in the same period last year.

Despite the decline in its hepatitis products from $790 million in the first quarter of 2019 to $729 in the same period of 2020, Gilead’s HIV line made up for the loss by bringing in over $4 billion in sales compared to the $3.6 billion it earned last year.

Not only that, some of Gilead’s other candidates are exciting.

For example, rheumatoid arthritis drug Filgotinib is expected to become another blockbuster and generate $5 billion in revenue annually.

Meanwhile, the anti-tumor treatment Magrolimab is estimated to rake in $3 billion in peak sales.

With the company’s older drugs still capable of generating strong revenue and its new candidates showing their potential for revenue expansion, Gilead can be assured of a continued cash flow well into the 2030s.

Regardless of whether this rumored mega-merger pushes through, both Gilead and AstraZeneca are attractive stocks worthy of their premium valuations.

 

AstraZeneca gilead merger

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-11 10:00:402020-06-11 14:25:58The Biotech Merger Boom Accelerates
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 11, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to a six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-11 09:23:152020-06-11 09:23:15June 11, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 11, 2020

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
June 11, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(WHY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS DOESN’T WORK)
(FB), (AAPL), (AMZN), (GOOG), (MSFT), (VIX)
(TESTIMONIAL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-11 09:06:072020-06-11 09:13:16June 11, 2020
DougD

Why Technical Analysis Doesn't Work

Diary, Newsletter

Santa Claus came early this year.

We have now rocketed all the back from -37% to a feeble 0% return for the Dow Average for 2018. By comparison, the Mad Hedge Fund Trader is up a nosebleed 8.5% during the same period.

If you had taken Cunard’s round-the-world cruise four months ago, as I recommended, you would be landing in New York about now, wondering what the big deal was. Indexes are nearly unchanged since you departed, with the Dow only 5.50% short of an all-time high.

This truly has been the Teflon market. Nothing will stick to it. Not, plague, not depression, not mass bankruptcies, not the worst economic data in history.

Go figure.

It makes you want to throw your hands up in despair and your empty beer can at the TV set. All this work and I’m delivered the perfectly wrong conclusions?

Let me point out a few harsh lessons learned from this most recent meltdown and the rip-your-face-off rally that followed.

Remember all those market gurus claiming stocks would rise every day for the rest of the year? They were wrong.

This is why almost every Trade Alert I shot out for the past two months has been from the “RISK ON” side, but only after cataclysmic market selloffs.

We have just moved from a “Buy in November”  to a “Sell in May” posture.

The next six months are ones of historical seasonal market weakness. For the misty origins of this trend, read “If You Sell in May, What to Do in April?” On top of that, we have the uncertainty of the presidential election to deal with.

We go into this with big tech leaders, including Facebook (FB), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Google (GOOG), and Microsoft (MSFT), all at or close to all-time highs.

The other lesson learned this year was the utter uselessness of technical analyses. Usually, these guys are right only 50% of the time. This year, they missed the boat entirely. After perfectly buying the last top, they begged you to dump shares at the bottom.

When the S&P 500 (SPY) was meandering in a narrow nine-point range, and the Volatility Index (VIX) hugged the $11-$15 neighborhood, they said this would continue for the rest of the year.

It didn’t.

When the market finally broke down in February, cutting through imaginary support levels like a hot knife through butter ($26,000? $25,000? $24,500?), they said the market would plunge to $24,000, and possibly as low as $22,000.

It didn’t do that either.

If you believed their hogwash, you lost your shirt. The market just kept going, and going, and going down to $18,000.

This is why technical analysis is utterly useless as an investment strategy. How many hedge funds use a pure technical strategy? Absolutely none, as it doesn’t make any money on a stand-alone basis.

At best, it is just one of 100 tools you need to trade the market effectively. The shorter the time frame, the more accurate it becomes.

On an intraday basis, technical analysis is actually quite useful. But I doubt a few of you engage in this hopeless persuasion. 

This is why I advise portfolio managers and financial advisors to use technical analysis as a means of timing order executions, and nothing more.

Most professionals agree with me.

Technical analysis derives from humans’ preference for looking at pictures instead of engaging in abstract mental processes. A picture is worth 1,000 words, and probably a lot more.

This is why technical analysis appeals to so many young people entering the market for the first time. Buy a book for $5 on Amazon and you can become a Master of the Universe.

Who can resist that?

The problem is that high-frequency traders also bought that same book from Amazon a long time ago and have designed algorithms to frustrate every move of the technical analyst.

Sorry to be the buzzkill, but that is my take on technical analysis.

Hope you enjoyed your cruise.

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/John-in-Owners-Suite.jpg 404 398 DougD https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png DougD2020-06-11 09:04:172020-06-11 09:13:25Why Technical Analysis Doesn't Work
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Testimonial

Diary, Newsletter, Testimonials

All the presenters at the Mad Hedge Traders & Investors Summit offered good information.  However, none of them can hold a candle to John Thomas. All of their presentations confirmed further John’s superiority in both the market and trading methods and techniques.  His insight and communication are tops.

Bill
Seminole, Florida

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-11 09:02:432020-06-11 09:10:32Testimonial
MHFTR

June 11, 2020 - Quote of the Day

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

"There is only one boss: the customer. And he can fire everybody in the company, from the chairman on down, simply by spending his money somewhere else," said Sam Walton, the founder of Walmart (WMT).

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 MHFTR https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTR2020-06-11 09:00:172020-06-11 09:10:11June 11, 2020 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 10, 2020

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
June 10, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE TAILWIND BEHIND BEYOND MEAT),
(BYND)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-06-10 09:34:202020-06-10 09:49:42June 10, 2020
Page 11 of 17«‹910111213›»

tastytrade, Inc. (“tastytrade”) has entered into a Marketing Agreement with Mad Hedge Fund Trader (“Marketing Agent”) whereby tastytrade pays compensation to Marketing Agent to recommend tastytrade’s brokerage services. The existence of this Marketing Agreement should not be deemed as an endorsement or recommendation of Marketing Agent by tastytrade and/or any of its affiliated companies. Neither tastytrade nor any of its affiliated companies is responsible for the privacy practices of Marketing Agent or this website. tastytrade does not warrant the accuracy or content of the products or services offered by Marketing Agent or this website. Marketing Agent is independent and is not an affiliate of tastytrade. 

Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

Copyright © 2025. Mad Hedge Fund Trader. All Rights Reserved. support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Privacy Policy
  • Disclaimer
  • FAQ
Scroll to top