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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 14, 2020

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
October 14, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(GOOGLE’S MAJOR BREAKTHROUGH IN QUANTUM COMPUTING),
(GOOGL), (IBM)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-14 07:04:402020-10-13 18:20:48October 14, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 14, 2020 - Quote of the Day

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

“The stock market is very much a mood ring,” said Josh Brown, of Ritholtz Wealth Management.

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/mood-ring.png 406 406 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-14 07:00:172020-10-13 17:47:48October 14, 2020 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 13, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
October 13, 2020
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(THE UNDERDOGS OF THE COVID-19 VACCINE RACE)
(BNTX), (PFE), (CVAC), (PFE), (RHHBY)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-13 13:02:492020-10-13 13:26:22October 13, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Underdogs of the COVID-19 Vaccine Race

Biotech Letter

It’s about time we talk about the German reinforcements brought in to fight this war against COVID-19.

For all the horror that this health crisis brought us, it’s nearly impossible to believe that there could be an upside to all these.

However, there is a bit of good news here.

Since the pandemic started, efforts to determine its origin, understand how it works, and search for a cure and vaccine have kickstarted innovation across the entire healthcare spectrum – from the familiar pharmaceutical sector to the volatile oft-misunderstood biotechnology field.

In fact, the biotechnology industry has received more attention in the past 10 months than the combined coverage of this sector since it was first introduced in 1919.

Nowadays, companies like Moderna (MRNA) have enjoyed practically round the clock coverage for their work.

So let’s take a look at the other up-and-coming biotechnology companies that have not received enough air time but are just as impressive.

In particular, let’s check out two of the German companies leading the charge in the COVID-19 vaccine race.

One company that isn’t getting enough credit these days is BioNTech (BNTX).

Since this German company paired up with Pfizer (PFE) in its vaccine development program, it rarely gets mentioned in the news.

After all, Pfizer with its $204.99 billion market capitalization makes for a bigger story compared to BioNTech’s $20.95 billion.

Nonetheless, the duo’s COVID-19 vaccine candidate, BNT162b2, is arguably the leading candidate right now – just ask Bill Gates.

If BNT162b2 succeeds, BioNTech stands to enjoy a financial windfall in the coming years.

So far, its vaccine program with Pfizer has secured them deals with the US, Canada, and Japan.

The German biotechnology company has also sealed an agreement with Fosun Pharma to supply 10 million doses to Macau and Hong Kong.

By 2021, BioNTech is expected to produce 250 million doses of the vaccine every six months.

This is enough to cover roughly 125 million people.

At a price of $19.50 for every dose, the company is estimated to earn $9.75 billion in annual revenue—not bad for a biotechnology company of its size.

The success of BNT162b2 could also mean additional leverage to propel the pipeline candidates in BioNTech’snmessenger RNA (mRNA) platform.

BioNTech has been working with Roche (RHHBY) in developing an mRNA therapy, called BNT122, to offer as a first-line treatment for melanoma and other solid tumors.

Apart from that, the company also has six early-stage mRNA candidates that target various types of cancer. 

Aside from its mRNA technology-based programs, BioNTech is working with Denmark’s Genmab (CPH: GMAB) on three antibody therapies in early-stage trials for solid tumors and pancreatic cancer.

Another German biotechnology company flying under the radar is CureVac (CVAC).

A possible reason why it has not been generating that much buzz in the US is because it only conducted its initial public offering on the Nasdaq stock exchange in August.

Ever since the pandemic began though, CureVac has been one of the most active vaccine developers.

CureVac’s COVID-19 vaccine candidate uses the same technology as Moderna, which utilizes mRNA to trigger the body’s immune system to generate antibodies.

While Moderna has a huge head start in terms of clinical trials, CureVac may still have an advantage over the more popular biotechnology company.

Based on recent data, CureVac’s vaccine candidate shows more promise because it can take effect at very low doses of 2 to 6 micrograms.

In comparison, Moderna’s mRNA-1273 COVID-19 vaccine candidate requires a 100-microgram dosage.

Like BioNTech, the success of CureVac’s vaccine candidate would also bode well for the rest of the company’s mRNA candidates in its pipeline.

Two of those candidates are for cancer immunotherapies; one targets non-small lung cancer and the other targets a rare kind of cancer called adenoid cystic carcinoma. These therapies are also being studied for advanced melanoma as well as cancers of the head and neck.

Neither BioNTech nor CureVac has been hailed a household name in the US, and they may never reach that status.

Regardless, both companies will become extremely important and relevant for so many American households in the not-too-distant-future.

Due to the money they received to fund their COVID-19 programs, neither are in danger of running out of capital sometime soon or even take dilutive financing options as an alternative recourse. This stability, albeit short term, makes both biotechnology companies worth checking out.

More importantly, the pipeline programs of BioNTech and CureVac look promising despite being in the early stages.

All things considered, BioNTech and CureVac look like risky bets. However, these are risks with the potential to transform into massive rewards.

So, what should you do?

It all boils down to your investing style.

If you are an aggressive investor with high-risk tolerance, buy shares from dynamic biotechnology players that offer promising gains in a relatively short period.

Companies like BioNTech and CureVac, if successful in their COVID-19 vaccine efforts, could extend those gains to the long term and even leverage them to eventually market new products.

If you have lower risk tolerance, you can still make a play on these biotechnology companies. The key is to take a small position. This will limit your losses if things go south, but would also offer you rewards if the candidates work out.

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-13 13:00:482020-10-14 17:33:30The Underdogs of the COVID-19 Vaccine Race
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 13, 2020

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
October 13, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(COFFEE WITH RAY KURZWEIL), (GOOG)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-13 10:04:192020-10-13 09:54:56October 13, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 13, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to a six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-13 09:51:302020-10-13 09:51:30October 13, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (GOOGL) October 12, 2020 - SELL-STOP LOSS

Tech Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-12 14:47:372020-10-12 14:47:37Trade Alert - (GOOGL) October 12, 2020 - SELL-STOP LOSS
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 12, 2020 - MDT Alert (MSFT)

MDT Alert

MSFT has made a nice run since I suggested the trade 7 days ago.

As I write this, it is trading around $218.65 or almost $4 above the short strike.

Because of this, I am going to suggest you book your profit on the position.

Here is how you close the position:

Sell to Close October 23rd - $210.00 Call for $9.50

Buy to Close October 23rd - $215.00 Call for  $5.80

The net debit will be $3.70 per spread. 

The initial cost of the position was $2.20 per spread.  Closing at the prices above will result in a profit of $1.50 per spread.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-12 12:40:002020-10-12 12:40:00October 12, 2020 - MDT Alert (MSFT)
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

October 12, 2020

Tech Letter



Mad Hedge Technology Letter
October 12, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(DATA ANALYTICS IS THE WAY FORWARD FOR ANY BUSINESS)
(DDOG)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-12 10:04:122020-10-12 17:09:28October 12, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Data Analytics is the Way Forward for Any Business

Tech Letter

As the coronavirus shows no signs of stopping in the short-term, it only delays the economic recovery that was first labeled as a “V-shaped” recession.

I do believe the negative economic news is being understated when the broader global picture is being looked at.

The sad fact is that emerging countries have taken the harder hit to relative GDP than the US and the US has financial levels in dollar-denominated debt that other countries don’t have access to.

While this macro uncertainty remains in the near term, it only gives more proof that investors need to be digital-first and agile and confirms the cloud as the best path to achieve these results over the long term.

The evidence of this transformation is growing with the overall demand in the form of new customers and new use cases existing customers.

Data analytics will facilitate this renaissance towards digital offerings and that is why, for the first time, I am recommending Datadog (DDOG) — a monitoring service for cloud-scale applications, providing monitoring of servers, databases, tools, and services, through a SaaS-based data analytics platform.

Why are they a great tech firm to buy and hold in?

Their 2nd quarter performance was nothing short of breathtaking.

Revenue was $140 million, an increase of 68% year-over-year and they ended the quarter with 1,015 customers with new client accounts of $100,000 or more — an increase of 71% from last year.

As of the end of Q2, 68% of customers are using two or more products, which is up 40% a year ago.

Can you believe that it’s going so well now that 15% of Datadog’s customers are now using four or more products?

That figure is up from 0% the year before.

The support of cloud and other ephemeral architectures is more important than ever as the rapid change from work-from-home has demonstrated the limitation of legacy infrastructure.

Recent macro events like the pandemic that have accelerated the pivot to digital will unequivocally accelerate the migration to the cloud as the economy improves.

How does Datadog become one of the outsized winners?

They offer a broader solution with end-to-end visibility from back-end infrastructure all the way through to the end-user experience and now security as well. And they win because they offer a truly integrated platform for a single paid view into the IT stack.

Analyzing the management, execution was strong, being able to uphold accounts with larger customers who already have sizable cloud environments. Given macro uncertainty, these customers look to conserve cash while they still could and therefore optimize the consumption of cloud infrastructure and those management relationships are critical to preserving client accounts in major players.

Lower quality customers with large cloud deals from AWS, Azure, or Google Cloud look for immediate short-term savings and focus less on Datadog’s management and client relationships.

These quality customers will lead to a high rate of upselling into more robust packages as the broader economy strengthens.

Customers have been highly receptive of the single platform deliverability from Datadog — the customer has been able to move from multiple disparate monitoring tools to using a single platform for all three pillars of observability.

This allowed them to refocus engineering teams on building new features, and not out of the realm of possibility to expect more than 15% in savings from consolidating disparate monitoring and logging vendors into Datadog.

Another example of a recent deal is with a large entertainment platform that continued to upgrade its Datadog packages and now pledge to commit to over $10 million in the year.

This company has decided to increase investment in observability and broader use of Datadog both with new products and by scaling up on existing products.

So now they can use Datadog to quickly drill down into any failed request and easily identify layers. This company is now using all three pillars, including Synthetics, RUM, and NPM, and has standardized monitoring on Datadog.

The pathway to profits in 2020 is now to be a digital-first business, and the cloud is the best path to achieve this outcome.

Datadog will be the primary beneficiary of this trend and remains very well-positioned to win in the market.

In the near term, the macro environment is likely to continue to cause uncertainty, but in relative terms, Datadog will have no problem in scoring new deals as the volume of companies becoming digital will not cease.

Sustaining strong growth both in the near term and over time is something of a safe bet for Datadog and growing from $100 million of annual revenue in 2017 to $200 million in total revenue in 2018, and $362 million in annual revenue in 2019 is hard evidence the parabolic trajectory will continue uninterrupted for the foreseeable future.

I am bullish Datadog and not surprised that shares of the stock are up over 300% in 2020. This is just the beginning of share appreciation.

 

datadog

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-10-12 10:02:092020-10-13 00:58:05Data Analytics is the Way Forward for Any Business
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There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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