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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 15, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
March 15, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(CRYPTO GETS A PASS FOR NOW)
(BTC), (MICA)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-15 15:04:552022-03-15 17:37:47March 15, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Crypto Gets a Pass for Now

Bitcoin Letter

Europe has to be considered the King of regulation. They boast the highest tax regimes of the developed world, and I am not referring to loophole countries like Cyprus.

Why does that matter?

The EU went after and still goes after big tech with a vengeance.

Alphabet and Facebook have been on the receiving ends of many billions of dollars in fines and more will head their way in the future.

Tech fines don’t matter in terms of the health of crypto but don’t think that the Europeans are any different when they set their sights on digital currency.

If they see it, they will try to tax it to oblivion.

Just look at Belgium which charges a robust 11.3% in annual property taxes and Spain which registers right behind them at 8%.

The Europeans don’t discriminate and love to tax everything.

So it wasn’t out of the ordinary that The Markets in Crypto Assets (MiCA) legislation included a clause pledging to make crypto assets traded or issued within the bloc ‘subject to minimum environmental sustainability standards’.

Even if this wasn’t a direct tax on crypto, the design of the legislation would amount to a de facto ban on crypto assets because there is nothing environmentally sustainable about mining crypto.

In fact, mining crypto is terrible for the environment and requires large sums of energy to produce digital coins.

That energy is usually dirty energy in the form of fossil fuels.

An element of this has to do with spiking energy costs which has been induced by Russia’s Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine.

Many countries have experienced a doubling of energy prices and for the supply left over, do we as a society want to allocate energy to crypto mining when apartment is going dark?

Energy and inflation have become the modern-day battlefield for politicians duking it out and dragging crypto into this game is overwhelmingly negative for crypto.

Crypto has experienced poor price action lately and this adds fuel to the fire.

Banning crypto in Europe would be cataclysmic to the currency after China slammed the door shut on it.

The EU’s Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee voted on a final draft of the Markets in Crypto-assets (MiCA) which included a clause pledging to make crypto assets traded or issued within the bloc “subject to minimum environmental sustainability standards.” A final tally of the committee’s voting showed the proposed clause was defeated with 23 votes in favor, 30 against and six abstentions.

Demand for Bitcoin (BTC) and other tokens has pushed up their carbon footprint significantly in the last year. Data from the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance put Bitcoin’s estimated power consumption at an annual rate of 138 terawatt-hours in early 2022, more than the size of a country like Norway.

Miners, much like car drivers, aren’t interested in unreliable renewable energy.

Intermittent supply of energy would cripple a crypto miners’ business much like if a truck driver would rely on sparse electric refill stations to drive cross country.

Although many have boiled down this decision to a landmark victory, I don’t believe this is the end of the regulation circus that is Europe.

If exorbitant energy prices are here to stay, Europe might not have any other choice but to go after crypto for another source of revenue.

And if crypto mining is taxed using sustainability criteria, it will cause many miners to shut down and the crypto industry itself will be shut down because they won’t pass the clean energy criteria needed to operate.

High energy prices have many unintended consequences are crypto could be another martyr to it.

Let’s hope the crypto regulation is pushed out into the long term so the industry has time to develop its foundation and obviously that won’t be possible if the mining business gets killed.

Can the Europeans singlehandedly crash the crypto industry?

No, but it doesn’t help the adoption rate for an emerging industry making it that much harder to mature.

America’s pro-business climate has been a godsend to multinational corporations, and it will be the same way for crypto if it is allowed to develop in America.

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-15 15:02:522022-03-15 17:37:57Crypto Gets a Pass for Now
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - March 15, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

“It’s money 2.0, a huge, huge, huge deal.” – Said venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/palihapitiya.png 450 328 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-15 15:00:292022-03-15 17:38:14Quote of the Day - March 15, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 15, 2022

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
March 15, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

Featured Trade:
(THE MAD HEDGE TRADERS & INVESTORS SUMMIT IS ON FOR MARCH 14-16)
(WHY YOUR OTHER INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER IS SO DANGEROUS)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-15 09:06:072022-03-15 12:05:02March 15, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Mad Hedge Traders & Investors Summit is on for March 14-16.

Diary, Newsletter

A collection of the 27 best traders and managers in the world, or eight a day, each giving an educational webinar. Back-to-back one-hour presentations are followed by an interactive Q&A. It’s a smorgasbord of trading strategies, so pick the one that is right for you. Covering all stocks, bonds, commodities, foreign exchange, precious metals, energy, bitcoin, and real estate. It’s the best look at the rest of 2022’s money-making opportunities you will get anywhere. Oh, and you will have a chance to win $100,000 in prizes. To view the schedule and speakers and to register NOW, click here.

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/summit-mar2022-e1648049471212.png 261 450 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-15 09:04:012022-03-15 12:04:21The Mad Hedge Traders & Investors Summit is on for March 14-16.
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Why Your Other Investment Newsletter is So Dangerous

Diary, Newsletter

Not a day goes by without me hearing from a reader about the competition.

They previously subscribed to a newsletter that promised a top drawer education, an insider’s insights, and spectacular returns, sometimes 100% or more a month.

“Doubled in a day” is a frequently heard term.

The entry-level costs are only a few bucks, but they are ever teased onward by the “trade of the century”, a certain 100X winner that they will reveal to you only after another upgrade to their service.

Customers eventually spend outrageous amounts of money, $5,000, $10,000, or even $100,000 a year for the service.

They then lose their shirts.

I hear from readers who have gone through as many as ten of these scams before they find me. Some have lost millions of dollars. Others have been wiped out.

The sob stories are legion.

Then, they find the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader.

This is the source of all those effusive testimonials you find on my website (click here). Believe me, they come in every day. I don’t make this stuff up.

Here is the problem. I work in an industry where 99% of the participants are frauds. They are giant Internet marketing firms with hundreds or thousands of employees.

They spend millions to buy your email address. They then spend millions more on copywriters and programmers to pen and distribute top rate invitations to you to get rich.

Some of these pitches are so compelling, that even I take a look from time to time. These guys are slick, really slick.

None of these people have ever worked on Wall Street. They have never been employed as traders. They have not even traded for their own account.

They would not know which end of a stock to hold upward if you handed one to them.

For the most part, they are twenty-something kids who got an “A” in creative writing, if they ever went to school. Many haven’t.

So by putting your faith and your wealth in these newsletters and “trade-mentoring” services, you are placing them in the hands of kids without any experience whatsoever.

Hence, the disastrous results. You’d have a better outcome tossing a coin or throwing darts at a dartboard.

Some of the larger services hire washed out has been investment professionals who become the “face” of the company and lend it some bogus credibility.

They know the lingo, can quote you statistics all day long, and may even boast of proprietary models and hidden indicators. But chances are they have never made a trading dollar in their life.

Without exception, they are lightweights, have-beens, and wannabees who failed in the big show. None have ever traded for a living. If they did, they would be broke.

Better to sell the shovels to the gold miners than to try it themselves.

They include the oil newsletter that never saw the crash coming, the fixed income service that is always predicting the return of hyperinflation and a crash, and the perennial prediction that the Dow Average is about to plunge to 3,000.

And because these guys are lousy at their jobs, they always tell you to do THE EXACT OPPOSITE of the right thing to do at market extremes.

Just saw a flash crash? Sell everything! The next crash is here! Just hit a new all-time high? Load the boat! The market is about to double! For them, markets are always about to zero, or to infinity.

Here’s another problem. Negativity outsells a positive outlook hugely, sometimes by 10:1. It makes people look smarter. That’s the source of all of these Armageddon scenarios. They make a ton of money for their purveyors.

It’s not about being right or dispensing sage advice and proper guidance. It’s only about making a dollar, nothing else. There is no guilt or responsibility involved whatsoever.

All of this is done at your expense. I get emails for victims who sold their house at the market bottom and want to know what to do now that the house has doubled in value and rents are rising.

There are a lot of people out there who drank the Master Limited Partnership Kool-Aid and put all of their assets there to get the double-digit yields. If they are lucky, they are down only 90%.

The precious metal area is a favorite of Internet marketers. Readers who bought this sector on margin, as they were urged to do with great urgency, lost everything.

I know this all sounds like sour grapes coming from me. The sad reality is that out of hundreds of competing investment and trading newsletters in the industry, I can count on one hand those run by true professionals, and I know most of them.

The rest are all crooks.

Yes, I know who these people are. But I am not going to name any names. No time to sling mud here. I can hear the collective sighs of relief already.

This is why I strive to provide the opposite of the con-men. To me, it is more important to be right than to be rich. I will give you my unvarnished, undiluted views, even if it is bad for my business, which it often is.

This is why we publish our model trading performance on a daily basis, warts and all.

Notice that no other newsletter does this. If they did, they would only show huge losses, which don’t sell well. It’s all about making tons of incredible claims without a shred of documentation.

So please continue trolling the web for new investment insights and trading opportunities. After all, that’s how you found me all those years ago. But I will give you a piece of advice:

Caveat emptor!

Buyer beware!

I Think I’ll Recommend This One

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/Dartboard2-e1454014789841.jpg 267 400 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-15 09:02:352022-03-15 12:04:02Why Your Other Investment Newsletter is So Dangerous
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 14, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 14, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(RISK RISE IN CUPERTINO)
(AAPL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-14 15:04:442022-03-14 16:19:39March 14, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Risk Rises in Cupertino

Tech Letter

It works until it doesn’t, doesn’t it?

That was ex-German Chancellor Angela Merkel who brought Russian energy closely into the orbit of the German economy and made excuses for them time and time again as they deployed an army to pillage in the East.

Then when Russia showed up at the European Union’s doorstep triggering a massive refugee crisis, the sushi hit the fan and the world went bonkers.

The same thing could be happening with Apple’s (AAPL) CEO Tim Cook in China as its Chinese factories were shut down in Shenzhen, the Chinese Silicon Valley, because of a Covid outbreak.

Foxconn is the name of the factory that is responsible for Apple’s outsourced work.

The growing clusters spawned by the highly infectious omicron variant have turned China upside down.

The policy, which kept China virtually virus-free for long periods, is increasingly isolating the country as others open up.

The country still hasn’t seen a virus fatality since January 2021.

This is an ominous sign for the Middle Kingdom because of their abundance of aging citizens who are highly susceptible to succumbing if they do contract the virus.

Then any prudent investors would ask what’s next for Apple?

It’s safe to say that China has done a much better job protecting its citizens against the worst of Covid with their zero Covid policies.

These hard lockdowns prioritize saving lives at all costs and that is extremely hard for businesses to swallow.

Foxconn didn’t specify the length of the suspension. The measures from the Chinese government call for non-essential businesses in Shenzhen to halt until March 20.

As usual, the Chinese communist party has been extremely tight-lipped about when this could end, and even if March 20th is the goal, it could easily spin out of control if zero Covid backfires and cases spread like wildfire.

Foxconn will stop operations at the two Shenzhen campuses and has reallocated production to other sites to reduce impact of the disruption.

Hon Hai, the primary assembler for iPhones, says it expects no “major” impact for now to its finances and business from the temporary shutdown.

Hon Hai’s suspension of iPhone production in Shenzhen due to lockdowns may not affect Apple’s smartphone supply chain.

Its main production hub in Zhengzhou which makes iPhones hasn’t yet been affected by China’s latest virus resurgence and could help offset lost capacity.

Zhengzhou is also geographically distant from Shenzhen, so cases won’t easily spread to that area of the country.

However, Zhengzhou is part of the Henan province which has the largest population in all of China.

Henan being the poorest province in all of China means migrants at the lowest rung of society enter and leave the province more than others mostly looking for work.

Shenzhen is one of the richest cities in China and it appears as if Apple dodged a bullet.

But what if the highly contagious omicron spreads to Zhengzhou and there is a national zero Covid lockdown for months?

Apple would easily become collateral damage and the stock would sell off by 10%.

Also, unfortunately for Apple, there is a real risk that China is dragged into the Russian – Ukraine conflict.

This could set the grounds for the Chinese government to freeze the Apple supply chain in China.

As the business world has completely fractured into democratic versus totalitarian regimes, it could turn out to be a massive liability to extend oneself on enemy grounds.

Apple might find this out the hard way.

Wait for the volatility to calm down before getting back into Apple shares.

 

china apple

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-14 15:02:412022-03-19 01:53:19Risk Rises in Cupertino
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 14, 2022 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“Your time is limited, so don't waste it living someone else's life.” – Said Co-Founder of Apple Steve Jobs

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/steve-jobs.png 254 277 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-14 15:00:382022-03-14 16:18:34March 14, 2022 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 14, 2022

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
March 14, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or RECESSION FEARS ARISE)
(TLT), (SPY), (VIX), (TSLA), (VXX)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-14 09:06:392022-03-14 12:56:59March 14, 2022
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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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